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Fixtures

28 fixtures · Saturday 29 August · best price from bet365, Sky Bet, Paddy Power and William Hill · compare all bookmakers

Stale odds

Prices were last checked 122 minutes ago, which is beyond the 75-minute limit for the current sweep cadence. Treat every price below as out of date.

Value board is live

11 published edges on upcoming fixtures — each one a live bookmaker price the model prices above its threshold, with the fair price and stake maths shown. See the board →

On a run in these fixtures

Cleared their line in all 5 of their last 5, in the matches below

Every run →
Samuel SzmodicsDerby County· MID
Fouls committed over 0.5
113115/51.40 per 90
v Swansea CitySat 12:30
Jordan WilliamsPortsmouth· DEF
Tackles over 1.5
223325/52.40 per 90
at Bristol CitySat 15:00

Read this carefully — a run of 5 is 5 matches, which is a small sample and not a trend in the statistical sense. These are not selections and nothing here has been compared to a bookmaker price — a run is a pattern, not an edge. The strip is shown (hover any match for the opponent and minutes behind it) so the run can be judged rather than taken on the percentage.

Premier League

England4 fixtures · 0 edgesshow

Championship

England11 fixtures · 0 edgesshow

La Liga

Spain3 fixtures · 0 edgesshow

Serie A

Italy4 fixtures · 0 edgesshow

Bundesliga

Germany6 fixtures · 0 edgesshow

Model · most fouls

The player the model expects to commit the most fouls in that fixture, and how many. An expected count over his expected minutes — not a price, not a selection. Open any fixture for all seven markets with the full distribution behind each number.

Best price

The highest decimal price across the books shown, per outcome, with the book beneath it. Always the latest price from each book, never a stale high one from a book that has since moved.

Form and H2H

Last five results per side, and the last five meetings read from the home team's point of view so the strip agrees with the row it sits on.