Bundesliga · Germany

RB LeipzigvBorussia Mönchengladbach

Saturday 29 August at 14:30Red Bull Arenalineups not announced

Referee

Not appointed

0 matches on record

Fouls per game

—

League average

22.6

fouls per match, both teams

Value

No edges published on this fixture. An edge is published only when a bookmaker's price beats the model's fair price by that market's full bar — most fixtures never produce one. The value board explains every gate a candidate has to clear.

What these numbers are

Not tips and not prices. Each row is the model's expected count for one player in this match — how many fouls, tackles or shots it thinks he records — plus the full spread of outcomes around it. Nothing here has been compared to a bookmaker.

Step 1
His own record
Every completed match in the dataset, as a rate per 90 minutes. The n column is how many matches that rests on.
Step 2
Pulled toward his position
A thin record gets pulled hard toward other players in his position, in his league — a goalkeeper toward goalkeepers, not toward the outfielders around him. How hard is fitted per market, not chosen: tackles pull about four times harder than shots on target.
Step 3
This fixture's conditions
How much of the stat the opponent concedes, what the referee's matches look like, and home or away. This is where a projection stops being a season average.
Step 4
Scaled to expected minutes
A rate becomes a count only once you say how long he plays. 60 minutes carries two-thirds the exposure of 90, and the distribution is built at that exposure.

How to read each column

Model /90: The model's rate for this match with the minutes taken back out — steps 1 to 3 already applied. It moves with the opponent and the referee, so it is not his raw career rate; the builder shows career and model rates side by side.
Exp. mins: Minutes the model expects. Confirmed means the lineup is out; provisional means it is guessing from his start rate, and is the widest of the three.
Projected: The expected count in this match, at those minutes. This is the number a line is set against.
Over 1.5, etc.: Read straight off the distribution beside it, not off how often he has beaten that line before. It answers what the model thinks, not what has happened.
n: Matches behind his own rate. Under 30 it turns amber: the projection is mostly his position group speaking, and §6.3 will not publish an edge on it.
Distribution: The whole spread, not just the average. The dashed amber cut is the line; jade bars beat it. An expected 1.8 fouls made of 2 every week and an expected 1.8 made of a 0 and a 5 are different bets, and this is where you see which one you have.

Counts are modelled as negative binomial rather than Poisson, because fouls and tackles are overdispersed and a Poisson would systematically underprice the tails — which is exactly where over bets live. Every market on this page cleared its calibration gate before it was allowed to produce a projection: when the model says 60%, it lands within a point or so of 60% out of sample.

Fouls v20260811-1858 · Tackles v20260811-1858 · Shots v20260811-1858 · Shots on target v20260811-1905 · Fouls won v20260811-1858 · Cards v20260811-1905 · Saves v20260812-1340

Model projections

Fouls42 playersHighest: Tim Kleindienst, 1.27 expectedshow

What drives it — Who referees the match. A strict official lifts every player on the pitch, which is the part most books price off a season average. See what has actually happened.

Tim Kleindienst
FWD · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
81
Proj.
1.27
O 1.5
36%
Model /90
1.41
033%
131%
221%
310%
44%
51%
6+0%
Haris Tabakovic
FWD · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
1.07
O 1.5
29%
Model /90
1.28
037%
134%
218%
37%
42%
51%
6+0%
Christoph Baumgartner
MID · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
69
Proj.
1.01
O 1.5
27%
Model /90
1.32
041%
132%
217%
37%
42%
51%
6+0%
Jens Castrop
MID · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
61
Proj.
0.93
O 1.5
25%
Model /90
1.36
044%
131%
216%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Rômulo José Cardoso da Cruz
FWD · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
74
Proj.
0.91
O 1.5
24%
Model /90
1.12
042%
134%
216%
35%
42%
5+0%
Rocco Reitz
MID · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
77
Proj.
0.91
O 1.5
24%
Model /90
1.06
043%
134%
216%
36%
42%
50%
6+0%
Lois Openda
FWD · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
72
Proj.
0.90
O 1.5
23%
Model /90
1.13
044%
133%
216%
36%
42%
50%
6+0%
Franck Honorat
FWD · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
73
Proj.
0.85
O 1.5
21%
Model /90
1.05
045%
134%
215%
35%
41%
5+0%
Robin Hack
FWD · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
61
Proj.
0.82
O 1.5
21%
Model /90
1.21
048%
131%
214%
35%
41%
50%
6+0%
Philipp Sander
MID · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
68
Proj.
0.82
O 1.5
21%
Model /90
1.08
048%
131%
214%
35%
41%
5+0%
Nicolas Seiwald
MID · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
0.79
O 1.5
19%
Model /90
0.93
048%
133%
214%
34%
41%
5+0%
Conrad Harder
FWD · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
32
Proj.
0.77
O 1.5
19%
Model /90
2.18
056%
125%
210%
35%
42%
51%
6+1%
David Raum
DEF · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
84
Proj.
0.77
O 1.5
18%
Model /90
0.83
048%
134%
213%
34%
41%
5+0%
Shuto Machino
FWD · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
33
Proj.
0.75
O 1.5
18%
Model /90
2.02
056%
125%
210%
35%
42%
51%
6+0%
Kevin Diks
DEF · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
82
Proj.
0.74
O 1.5
18%
Model /90
0.81
049%
133%
213%
34%
41%
5+0%
Willi Orban
DEF · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
89
Proj.
0.74
O 1.5
17%
Model /90
0.75
049%
134%
213%
33%
41%
5+0%
Joseph Michael Scally
DEF · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
81
Proj.
0.74
O 1.5
17%
Model /90
0.82
049%
133%
213%
34%
41%
5+0%
Brajan Gruda
MID · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
58
Proj.
0.73
O 1.5
18%
Model /90
1.13
052%
131%
212%
34%
41%
5+0%
Antonio Eromonsele Nordby Nusa
FWD · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
64
Proj.
0.72
O 1.5
17%
Model /90
1.02
052%
131%
212%
34%
41%
5+0%
Kevin Kampl
MID · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
55
Proj.
0.72
O 1.5
18%
Model /90
1.17
054%
128%
212%
34%
41%
5+0%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 1.5	n	Distribution
Tim KleindienstFWD	Borussia Mönchengladbach	1.41	81provisional	1.27	36%	34	033% 131% 221% 310% 44% 51% 6+0%
Haris TabakovicFWD	Borussia Mönchengladbach	1.28	76provisional	1.07	29%	32	037% 134% 218% 37% 42% 51% 6+0%
Christoph BaumgartnerMID	RB Leipzig	1.32	69provisional	1.01	27%	64	041% 132% 217% 37% 42% 51% 6+0%
Jens CastropMID	Borussia Mönchengladbach	1.36	61provisional	0.93	25%	26	044% 131% 216% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Rômulo José Cardoso da CruzFWD	RB Leipzig	1.12	74provisional	0.91	24%	30	042% 134% 216% 35% 42% 5+0%
Rocco ReitzMID	Borussia Mönchengladbach	1.06	77provisional	0.91	24%	58	043% 134% 216% 36% 42% 50% 6+0%
Lois OpendaFWD	RB Leipzig	1.13	72provisional	0.90	23%	35	044% 133% 216% 36% 42% 50% 6+0%
Franck HonoratFWD	Borussia Mönchengladbach	1.05	73provisional	0.85	21%	47	045% 134% 215% 35% 41% 5+0%
Robin HackFWD	Borussia Mönchengladbach	1.21	61provisional	0.82	21%	41	048% 131% 214% 35% 41% 50% 6+0%
Philipp SanderMID	Borussia Mönchengladbach	1.08	68provisional	0.82	21%	57	048% 131% 214% 35% 41% 5+0%
Nicolas SeiwaldMID	RB Leipzig	0.93	76provisional	0.79	19%	63	048% 133% 214% 34% 41% 5+0%
Conrad HarderFWD	RB Leipzig	2.18	32provisional	0.77	19%	29	056% 125% 210% 35% 42% 51% 6+1%
David RaumDEF	RB Leipzig	0.83	84provisional	0.77	18%	52	048% 134% 213% 34% 41% 5+0%
Shuto MachinoFWD	Borussia Mönchengladbach	2.02	33provisional	0.75	18%	32	056% 125% 210% 35% 42% 51% 6+0%
Kevin DiksDEF	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0.81	82provisional	0.74	18%	30	049% 133% 213% 34% 41% 5+0%
Willi OrbanDEF	RB Leipzig	0.75	89provisional	0.74	17%	58	049% 134% 213% 33% 41% 5+0%
Joseph Michael ScallyDEF	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0.82	81provisional	0.74	17%	64	049% 133% 213% 34% 41% 5+0%
Brajan GrudaMID	RB Leipzig	1.13	58provisional	0.73	18%	13	052% 131% 212% 34% 41% 5+0%
Antonio Eromonsele Nordby NusaFWD	RB Leipzig	1.02	64provisional	0.72	17%	56	052% 131% 212% 34% 41% 5+0%
Kevin KamplMID	RB Leipzig	1.17	55provisional	0.72	18%	29	054% 128% 212% 34% 41% 5+0%

20 of 42 players shown, ranked by projection.

Tackles42 playersHighest: Rocco Reitz, 1.84 expectedshow

What drives it — Possession share. A tackle count depends far more on how much of the match is played at your own end than on a player’s own form. See what has actually happened.

Rocco Reitz
MID · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
77
Proj.
1.84
O 1.5
54%
Model /90
2.15
019%
127%
225%
316%
48%
53%
6+2%
Jens Castrop
MID · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
61
Proj.
1.70
O 1.5
49%
Model /90
2.49
025%
127%
222%
314%
47%
53%
6+2%
Kevin Diks
DEF · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
82
Proj.
1.64
O 1.5
48%
Model /90
1.79
022%
130%
225%
314%
46%
52%
6+1%
Philipp Sander
MID · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
68
Proj.
1.63
O 1.5
47%
Model /90
2.16
026%
127%
222%
314%
47%
53%
6+1%
Nico Elvedi
DEF · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
88
Proj.
1.60
O 1.5
47%
Model /90
1.63
021%
132%
226%
314%
46%
52%
6+1%
Nicolas Seiwald
MID · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
1.56
O 1.5
45%
Model /90
1.85
024%
131%
224%
313%
46%
52%
6+1%
Tim Kleindienst
FWD · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
81
Proj.
1.55
O 1.5
46%
Model /90
1.72
025%
129%
224%
313%
46%
52%
6+1%
Joseph Michael Scally
DEF · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
81
Proj.
1.54
O 1.5
45%
Model /90
1.70
023%
132%
224%
313%
45%
52%
6+1%
David Raum
DEF · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
84
Proj.
1.49
O 1.5
44%
Model /90
1.61
024%
132%
224%
313%
45%
52%
6+1%
Christoph Baumgartner
MID · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
69
Proj.
1.44
O 1.5
42%
Model /90
1.88
029%
130%
222%
312%
45%
52%
6+1%
Willi Orban
DEF · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
89
Proj.
1.44
O 1.5
42%
Model /90
1.45
024%
134%
224%
312%
44%
51%
6+0%
Ridle Bote Baku
DEF · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
75
Proj.
1.38
O 1.5
40%
Model /90
1.66
028%
132%
222%
311%
44%
51%
6+0%
Lukas Ullrich
DEF · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
66
Proj.
1.35
O 1.5
39%
Model /90
1.85
030%
131%
221%
311%
44%
51%
6+1%
Kevin Stöger
MID · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
48
Proj.
1.34
O 1.5
37%
Model /90
2.52
036%
127%
217%
310%
45%
52%
6+1%
Castello Lukeba
DEF · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
77
Proj.
1.28
O 1.5
37%
Model /90
1.51
031%
132%
221%
310%
44%
51%
6+0%
Brajan Gruda
MID · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
58
Proj.
1.20
O 1.5
33%
Model /90
1.86
035%
132%
219%
39%
44%
51%
6+0%
Robin Hack
FWD · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
61
Proj.
1.16
O 1.5
32%
Model /90
1.71
036%
131%
219%
39%
43%
51%
6+0%
Kevin Kampl
MID · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
55
Proj.
1.09
O 1.5
30%
Model /90
1.78
041%
129%
217%
38%
43%
51%
6+0%
El Chadaille Bitshiabu
DEF · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
56
Proj.
1.08
O 1.5
30%
Model /90
1.73
043%
127%
217%
39%
43%
51%
6+0%
Lukas Klostermann
DEF · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
58
Proj.
1.02
O 1.5
29%
Model /90
1.58
044%
127%
216%
38%
43%
51%
6+0%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 1.5	n	Distribution
Rocco ReitzMID	Borussia Mönchengladbach	2.15	77provisional	1.84	54%	58	019% 127% 225% 316% 48% 53% 6+2%
Jens CastropMID	Borussia Mönchengladbach	2.49	61provisional	1.70	49%	26	025% 127% 222% 314% 47% 53% 6+2%
Kevin DiksDEF	Borussia Mönchengladbach	1.79	82provisional	1.64	48%	30	022% 130% 225% 314% 46% 52% 6+1%
Philipp SanderMID	Borussia Mönchengladbach	2.16	68provisional	1.63	47%	57	026% 127% 222% 314% 47% 53% 6+1%
Nico ElvediDEF	Borussia Mönchengladbach	1.63	88provisional	1.60	47%	58	021% 132% 226% 314% 46% 52% 6+1%
Nicolas SeiwaldMID	RB Leipzig	1.85	76provisional	1.56	45%	63	024% 131% 224% 313% 46% 52% 6+1%
Tim KleindienstFWD	Borussia Mönchengladbach	1.72	81provisional	1.55	46%	34	025% 129% 224% 313% 46% 52% 6+1%
Joseph Michael ScallyDEF	Borussia Mönchengladbach	1.70	81provisional	1.54	45%	64	023% 132% 224% 313% 45% 52% 6+1%
David RaumDEF	RB Leipzig	1.61	84provisional	1.49	44%	52	024% 132% 224% 313% 45% 52% 6+1%
Christoph BaumgartnerMID	RB Leipzig	1.88	69provisional	1.44	42%	64	029% 130% 222% 312% 45% 52% 6+1%
Willi OrbanDEF	RB Leipzig	1.45	89provisional	1.44	42%	58	024% 134% 224% 312% 44% 51% 6+0%
Ridle Bote BakuDEF	RB Leipzig	1.66	75provisional	1.38	40%	51	028% 132% 222% 311% 44% 51% 6+0%
Lukas UllrichDEF	Borussia Mönchengladbach	1.85	66provisional	1.35	39%	49	030% 131% 221% 311% 44% 51% 6+1%
Kevin StögerMID	Borussia Mönchengladbach	2.52	48provisional	1.34	37%	60	036% 127% 217% 310% 45% 52% 6+1%
Castello LukebaDEF	RB Leipzig	1.51	77provisional	1.28	37%	49	031% 132% 221% 310% 44% 51% 6+0%
Brajan GrudaMID	RB Leipzig	1.86	58provisional	1.20	33%	13	035% 132% 219% 39% 44% 51% 6+0%
Robin HackFWD	Borussia Mönchengladbach	1.71	61provisional	1.16	32%	41	036% 131% 219% 39% 43% 51% 6+0%
Kevin KamplMID	RB Leipzig	1.78	55provisional	1.09	30%	29	041% 129% 217% 38% 43% 51% 6+0%
El Chadaille BitshiabuDEF	RB Leipzig	1.73	56provisional	1.08	30%	32	043% 127% 217% 39% 43% 51% 6+0%
Lukas KlostermannDEF	RB Leipzig	1.58	58provisional	1.02	29%	33	044% 127% 216% 38% 43% 51% 6+0%

20 of 42 players shown, ranked by projection.

Shots42 playersHighest: Lois Openda, 2.74 expectedshow

What drives it — The player’s own shot rate, shrunk toward others in his position, then adjusted for how many shots the opponent concedes. See what has actually happened.

Lois Openda
FWD · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
72
Proj.
2.74
O 1.5
67%
Model /90
3.43
014%
119%
219%
316%
412%
58%
6+11%
Rômulo José Cardoso da Cruz
FWD · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
74
Proj.
2.63
O 1.5
67%
Model /90
3.22
012%
120%
221%
318%
412%
58%
6+9%
Antonio Eromonsele Nordby Nusa
FWD · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
64
Proj.
2.29
O 1.5
58%
Model /90
3.21
019%
123%
220%
315%
410%
56%
6+7%
Tim Kleindienst
FWD · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
81
Proj.
2.06
O 1.5
56%
Model /90
2.28
021%
123%
222%
316%
410%
55%
6+4%
Haris Tabakovic
FWD · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
2.00
O 1.5
55%
Model /90
2.38
019%
126%
222%
315%
49%
55%
6+4%
Franck Honorat
FWD · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
73
Proj.
1.76
O 1.5
49%
Model /90
2.16
022%
128%
223%
314%
47%
53%
6+2%
Conrad Harder
FWD · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
32
Proj.
1.69
O 1.5
37%
Model /90
4.80
036%
127%
213%
37%
45%
54%
6+7%
Robin Hack
FWD · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
61
Proj.
1.64
O 1.5
45%
Model /90
2.42
028%
127%
220%
312%
47%
53%
6+3%
Johan Bakayoko
FWD · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
39
Proj.
1.59
O 1.5
39%
Model /90
3.70
035%
126%
215%
39%
46%
54%
6+5%
Christoph Baumgartner
MID · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
69
Proj.
1.50
O 1.5
41%
Model /90
1.95
030%
128%
220%
312%
46%
53%
6+2%
Hugo Bolin
FWD · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
42
Proj.
1.28
O 1.5
34%
Model /90
2.73
036%
130%
217%
39%
44%
52%
6+2%
Nicolas Seiwald
MID · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
1.21
O 1.5
33%
Model /90
1.43
035%
132%
219%
39%
44%
51%
6+1%
Brajan Gruda
MID · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
58
Proj.
1.19
O 1.5
32%
Model /90
1.85
037%
131%
218%
39%
44%
51%
6+1%
Rocco Reitz
MID · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
77
Proj.
1.04
O 1.5
28%
Model /90
1.22
039%
133%
217%
37%
42%
51%
6+0%
Shuto Machino
FWD · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
33
Proj.
1.04
O 1.5
25%
Model /90
2.79
049%
126%
212%
36%
43%
52%
6+2%
Forzan Assan Ouedraogo
MID · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
46
Proj.
1.00
O 1.5
27%
Model /90
1.97
047%
127%
214%
37%
43%
51%
6+1%
Kevin Kampl
MID · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
55
Proj.
0.98
O 1.5
26%
Model /90
1.61
046%
128%
215%
37%
43%
51%
6+0%
Philipp Sander
MID · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
68
Proj.
0.91
O 1.5
24%
Model /90
1.21
046%
130%
215%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Tidiam Gomis
FWD · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
19
Proj.
0.90
O 1.5
20%
Model /90
4.30
051%
129%
211%
34%
42%
51%
6+2%
Jens Castrop
MID · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
61
Proj.
0.88
O 1.5
23%
Model /90
1.29
047%
130%
215%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 1.5	n	Distribution
Lois OpendaFWD	RB Leipzig	3.43	72provisional	2.74	67%	35	014% 119% 219% 316% 412% 58% 6+11%
Rômulo José Cardoso da CruzFWD	RB Leipzig	3.22	74provisional	2.63	67%	30	012% 120% 221% 318% 412% 58% 6+9%
Antonio Eromonsele Nordby NusaFWD	RB Leipzig	3.21	64provisional	2.29	58%	56	019% 123% 220% 315% 410% 56% 6+7%
Tim KleindienstFWD	Borussia Mönchengladbach	2.28	81provisional	2.06	56%	34	021% 123% 222% 316% 410% 55% 6+4%
Haris TabakovicFWD	Borussia Mönchengladbach	2.38	76provisional	2.00	55%	32	019% 126% 222% 315% 49% 55% 6+4%
Franck HonoratFWD	Borussia Mönchengladbach	2.16	73provisional	1.76	49%	47	022% 128% 223% 314% 47% 53% 6+2%
Conrad HarderFWD	RB Leipzig	4.80	32provisional	1.69	37%	29	036% 127% 213% 37% 45% 54% 6+7%
Robin HackFWD	Borussia Mönchengladbach	2.42	61provisional	1.64	45%	41	028% 127% 220% 312% 47% 53% 6+3%
Johan BakayokoFWD	RB Leipzig	3.70	39provisional	1.59	39%	20	035% 126% 215% 39% 46% 54% 6+5%
Christoph BaumgartnerMID	RB Leipzig	1.95	69provisional	1.50	41%	64	030% 128% 220% 312% 46% 53% 6+2%
Hugo BolinFWD	Borussia Mönchengladbach	2.73	42provisional	1.28	34%	13	036% 130% 217% 39% 44% 52% 6+2%
Nicolas SeiwaldMID	RB Leipzig	1.43	76provisional	1.21	33%	63	035% 132% 219% 39% 44% 51% 6+1%
Brajan GrudaMID	RB Leipzig	1.85	58provisional	1.19	32%	13	037% 131% 218% 39% 44% 51% 6+1%
Rocco ReitzMID	Borussia Mönchengladbach	1.22	77provisional	1.04	28%	58	039% 133% 217% 37% 42% 51% 6+0%
Shuto MachinoFWD	Borussia Mönchengladbach	2.79	33provisional	1.04	25%	32	049% 126% 212% 36% 43% 52% 6+2%
Forzan Assan OuedraogoMID	RB Leipzig	1.97	46provisional	1.00	27%	22	047% 127% 214% 37% 43% 51% 6+1%
Kevin KamplMID	RB Leipzig	1.61	55provisional	0.98	26%	29	046% 128% 215% 37% 43% 51% 6+0%
Philipp SanderMID	Borussia Mönchengladbach	1.21	68provisional	0.91	24%	57	046% 130% 215% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Tidiam GomisFWD	RB Leipzig	4.30	19provisional	0.90	20%	26	051% 129% 211% 34% 42% 51% 6+2%
Jens CastropMID	Borussia Mönchengladbach	1.29	61provisional	0.88	23%	26	047% 130% 215% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%

20 of 42 players shown, ranked by projection.

Shots on target40 playersHighest: Lois Openda, 1.11 expectedshow

What drives it — Shot volume first, conversion second — literally: the projection is the shots model thinned by the player’s own on-target rate, so a high-volume low-accuracy shooter and a sniper price differently at the same shot count. See what has actually happened.

Lois Openda
FWD · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
72
Proj.
1.11
O 0.5
62%
Model /90
1.39
038%
132%
218%
38%
43%
51%
6+0%
Rômulo José Cardoso da Cruz
FWD · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
74
Proj.
1.10
O 0.5
63%
Model /90
1.34
037%
133%
218%
38%
43%
51%
6+0%
Tim Kleindienst
FWD · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
81
Proj.
0.98
O 0.5
58%
Model /90
1.09
042%
132%
217%
37%
42%
51%
6+0%
Haris Tabakovic
FWD · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
0.80
O 0.5
52%
Model /90
0.95
048%
133%
214%
34%
41%
5+0%
Antonio Eromonsele Nordby Nusa
FWD · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
64
Proj.
0.79
O 0.5
50%
Model /90
1.10
050%
131%
213%
35%
41%
50%
6+0%
Robin Hack
FWD · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
61
Proj.
0.66
O 0.5
44%
Model /90
0.97
056%
129%
211%
33%
41%
5+0%
Franck Honorat
FWD · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
73
Proj.
0.64
O 0.5
45%
Model /90
0.78
055%
131%
211%
33%
41%
5+0%
Johan Bakayoko
FWD · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
39
Proj.
0.62
O 0.5
40%
Model /90
1.44
060%
125%
29%
33%
41%
50%
6+0%
Conrad Harder
FWD · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
32
Proj.
0.62
O 0.5
38%
Model /90
1.75
062%
123%
28%
34%
41%
51%
6+0%
Christoph Baumgartner
MID · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
69
Proj.
0.59
O 0.5
42%
Model /90
0.77
058%
129%
210%
33%
41%
5+0%
Hugo Bolin
FWD · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
42
Proj.
0.49
O 0.5
36%
Model /90
1.04
064%
126%
27%
32%
40%
5+0%
Brajan Gruda
MID · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
58
Proj.
0.45
O 0.5
34%
Model /90
0.70
066%
126%
27%
32%
4+0%
Shuto Machino
FWD · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
33
Proj.
0.42
O 0.5
29%
Model /90
1.12
071%
121%
26%
32%
41%
5+0%
Forzan Assan Ouedraogo
MID · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
46
Proj.
0.39
O 0.5
29%
Model /90
0.77
071%
122%
26%
31%
4+0%
Nicolas Seiwald
MID · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
0.39
O 0.5
31%
Model /90
0.46
069%
125%
25%
31%
4+0%
Rocco Reitz
MID · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
77
Proj.
0.34
O 0.5
28%
Model /90
0.39
072%
123%
24%
3+1%
Tidiam Gomis
FWD · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
19
Proj.
0.33
O 0.5
25%
Model /90
1.59
075%
119%
24%
31%
40%
5+0%
Kevin Kampl
MID · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
55
Proj.
0.33
O 0.5
26%
Model /90
0.53
074%
121%
24%
31%
4+0%
Philipp Sander
MID · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
68
Proj.
0.32
O 0.5
26%
Model /90
0.43
074%
121%
24%
31%
4+0%
Jens Castrop
MID · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
61
Proj.
0.32
O 0.5
26%
Model /90
0.47
074%
121%
24%
3+1%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 0.5	n	Distribution
Lois OpendaFWD	RB Leipzig	1.39	72provisional	1.11	62%	35	038% 132% 218% 38% 43% 51% 6+0%
Rômulo José Cardoso da CruzFWD	RB Leipzig	1.34	74provisional	1.10	63%	30	037% 133% 218% 38% 43% 51% 6+0%
Tim KleindienstFWD	Borussia Mönchengladbach	1.09	81provisional	0.98	58%	34	042% 132% 217% 37% 42% 51% 6+0%
Haris TabakovicFWD	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0.95	76provisional	0.80	52%	32	048% 133% 214% 34% 41% 5+0%
Antonio Eromonsele Nordby NusaFWD	RB Leipzig	1.10	64provisional	0.79	50%	56	050% 131% 213% 35% 41% 50% 6+0%
Robin HackFWD	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0.97	61provisional	0.66	44%	41	056% 129% 211% 33% 41% 5+0%
Franck HonoratFWD	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0.78	73provisional	0.64	45%	47	055% 131% 211% 33% 41% 5+0%
Johan BakayokoFWD	RB Leipzig	1.44	39provisional	0.62	40%	20	060% 125% 29% 33% 41% 50% 6+0%
Conrad HarderFWD	RB Leipzig	1.75	32provisional	0.62	38%	29	062% 123% 28% 34% 41% 51% 6+0%
Christoph BaumgartnerMID	RB Leipzig	0.77	69provisional	0.59	42%	64	058% 129% 210% 33% 41% 5+0%
Hugo BolinFWD	Borussia Mönchengladbach	1.04	42provisional	0.49	36%	13	064% 126% 27% 32% 40% 5+0%
Brajan GrudaMID	RB Leipzig	0.70	58provisional	0.45	34%	13	066% 126% 27% 32% 4+0%
Shuto MachinoFWD	Borussia Mönchengladbach	1.12	33provisional	0.42	29%	32	071% 121% 26% 32% 41% 5+0%
Forzan Assan OuedraogoMID	RB Leipzig	0.77	46provisional	0.39	29%	22	071% 122% 26% 31% 4+0%
Nicolas SeiwaldMID	RB Leipzig	0.46	76provisional	0.39	31%	63	069% 125% 25% 31% 4+0%
Rocco ReitzMID	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0.39	77provisional	0.34	28%	58	072% 123% 24% 3+1%
Tidiam GomisFWD	RB Leipzig	1.59	19provisional	0.33	25%	26	075% 119% 24% 31% 40% 5+0%
Kevin KamplMID	RB Leipzig	0.53	55provisional	0.33	26%	29	074% 121% 24% 31% 4+0%
Philipp SanderMID	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0.43	68provisional	0.32	26%	57	074% 121% 24% 31% 4+0%
Jens CastropMID	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0.47	61provisional	0.32	26%	26	074% 121% 24% 3+1%

20 of 40 players shown, ranked by projection.

Fouls won42 playersHighest: Lois Openda, 1.34 expectedshow

What drives it — How much a player runs at defenders. Dribble volume drives this far more than the referee does. See what has actually happened.

Lois Openda
FWD · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
72
Proj.
1.34
O 1.5
37%
Model /90
1.68
032%
130%
220%
310%
45%
52%
6+1%
Antonio Eromonsele Nordby Nusa
FWD · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
64
Proj.
1.16
O 1.5
31%
Model /90
1.63
038%
131%
218%
38%
44%
51%
6+1%
Rocco Reitz
MID · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
77
Proj.
1.05
O 1.5
28%
Model /90
1.23
039%
132%
217%
37%
43%
51%
6+0%
Tim Kleindienst
FWD · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
81
Proj.
1.01
O 1.5
27%
Model /90
1.12
041%
132%
217%
37%
42%
51%
6+0%
Rômulo José Cardoso da Cruz
FWD · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
74
Proj.
0.99
O 1.5
26%
Model /90
1.21
041%
133%
217%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Haris Tabakovic
FWD · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
0.94
O 1.5
25%
Model /90
1.12
043%
133%
216%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Christoph Baumgartner
MID · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
69
Proj.
0.85
O 1.5
22%
Model /90
1.11
048%
131%
214%
35%
42%
50%
6+0%
Forzan Assan Ouedraogo
MID · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
46
Proj.
0.85
O 1.5
22%
Model /90
1.68
051%
127%
213%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Franck Honorat
FWD · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
73
Proj.
0.82
O 1.5
20%
Model /90
1.01
047%
133%
214%
35%
41%
5+0%
Robin Hack
FWD · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
61
Proj.
0.80
O 1.5
20%
Model /90
1.17
050%
130%
213%
35%
41%
50%
6+0%
Joseph Michael Scally
DEF · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
81
Proj.
0.79
O 1.5
19%
Model /90
0.87
048%
133%
213%
34%
41%
5+0%
Brajan Gruda
MID · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
58
Proj.
0.73
O 1.5
18%
Model /90
1.14
052%
130%
212%
34%
41%
50%
6+0%
Jens Castrop
MID · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
61
Proj.
0.71
O 1.5
17%
Model /90
1.05
053%
130%
212%
34%
41%
5+0%
Hugo Bolin
FWD · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
42
Proj.
0.69
O 1.5
16%
Model /90
1.47
055%
129%
211%
34%
41%
50%
6+0%
Kevin Stöger
MID · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
48
Proj.
0.66
O 1.5
16%
Model /90
1.24
058%
126%
210%
34%
41%
50%
6+0%
Johan Bakayoko
FWD · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
39
Proj.
0.66
O 1.5
16%
Model /90
1.53
059%
126%
210%
34%
41%
50%
6+0%
Willi Orban
DEF · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
89
Proj.
0.63
O 1.5
14%
Model /90
0.63
055%
131%
210%
33%
41%
5+0%
Nicolas Seiwald
MID · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
0.63
O 1.5
14%
Model /90
0.74
056%
130%
210%
33%
41%
5+0%
Kevin Diks
DEF · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
82
Proj.
0.61
O 1.5
13%
Model /90
0.67
056%
130%
210%
33%
41%
5+0%
Philipp Sander
MID · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
68
Proj.
0.60
O 1.5
14%
Model /90
0.80
058%
128%
210%
33%
41%
5+0%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 1.5	n	Distribution
Lois OpendaFWD	RB Leipzig	1.68	72provisional	1.34	37%	35	032% 130% 220% 310% 45% 52% 6+1%
Antonio Eromonsele Nordby NusaFWD	RB Leipzig	1.63	64provisional	1.16	31%	56	038% 131% 218% 38% 44% 51% 6+1%
Rocco ReitzMID	Borussia Mönchengladbach	1.23	77provisional	1.05	28%	58	039% 132% 217% 37% 43% 51% 6+0%
Tim KleindienstFWD	Borussia Mönchengladbach	1.12	81provisional	1.01	27%	34	041% 132% 217% 37% 42% 51% 6+0%
Rômulo José Cardoso da CruzFWD	RB Leipzig	1.21	74provisional	0.99	26%	30	041% 133% 217% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Haris TabakovicFWD	Borussia Mönchengladbach	1.12	76provisional	0.94	25%	32	043% 133% 216% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Christoph BaumgartnerMID	RB Leipzig	1.11	69provisional	0.85	22%	64	048% 131% 214% 35% 42% 50% 6+0%
Forzan Assan OuedraogoMID	RB Leipzig	1.68	46provisional	0.85	22%	22	051% 127% 213% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Franck HonoratFWD	Borussia Mönchengladbach	1.01	73provisional	0.82	20%	47	047% 133% 214% 35% 41% 5+0%
Robin HackFWD	Borussia Mönchengladbach	1.17	61provisional	0.80	20%	41	050% 130% 213% 35% 41% 50% 6+0%
Joseph Michael ScallyDEF	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0.87	81provisional	0.79	19%	64	048% 133% 213% 34% 41% 5+0%
Brajan GrudaMID	RB Leipzig	1.14	58provisional	0.73	18%	13	052% 130% 212% 34% 41% 50% 6+0%
Jens CastropMID	Borussia Mönchengladbach	1.05	61provisional	0.71	17%	26	053% 130% 212% 34% 41% 5+0%
Hugo BolinFWD	Borussia Mönchengladbach	1.47	42provisional	0.69	16%	13	055% 129% 211% 34% 41% 50% 6+0%
Kevin StögerMID	Borussia Mönchengladbach	1.24	48provisional	0.66	16%	60	058% 126% 210% 34% 41% 50% 6+0%
Johan BakayokoFWD	RB Leipzig	1.53	39provisional	0.66	16%	20	059% 126% 210% 34% 41% 50% 6+0%
Willi OrbanDEF	RB Leipzig	0.63	89provisional	0.63	14%	58	055% 131% 210% 33% 41% 5+0%
Nicolas SeiwaldMID	RB Leipzig	0.74	76provisional	0.63	14%	63	056% 130% 210% 33% 41% 5+0%
Kevin DiksDEF	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0.67	82provisional	0.61	13%	30	056% 130% 210% 33% 41% 5+0%
Philipp SanderMID	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0.80	68provisional	0.60	14%	57	058% 128% 210% 33% 41% 5+0%

20 of 42 players shown, ranked by projection.

Cards42 playersHighest: Christoph Baumgartner, 0.15 expectedshow

Known defect — Prices ANY card — yellow or straight red — matching how books settle "to be shown a card" (D-048). The trends column alongside counts yellows only.

What drives it — Fouls first, then how readily the referee reaches for a card. Two officials averaging four cards a match can do it for opposite reasons. See what has actually happened.

Christoph Baumgartner
MID · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
69
Proj.
0.15
O 0.5
14%
Model /90
0.19
086%
112%
2+1%
Kevin Diks
DEF · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
82
Proj.
0.15
O 0.5
13%
Model /90
0.16
087%
112%
2+1%
Joseph Michael Scally
DEF · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
81
Proj.
0.14
O 0.5
13%
Model /90
0.16
087%
112%
2+1%
Rocco Reitz
MID · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
77
Proj.
0.14
O 0.5
13%
Model /90
0.17
087%
112%
2+1%
Jens Castrop
MID · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
61
Proj.
0.14
O 0.5
12%
Model /90
0.20
088%
111%
2+1%
Willi Orban
DEF · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
89
Proj.
0.13
O 0.5
13%
Model /90
0.14
087%
112%
2+1%
David Raum
DEF · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
84
Proj.
0.13
O 0.5
12%
Model /90
0.14
088%
112%
2+1%
Nico Elvedi
DEF · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
88
Proj.
0.13
O 0.5
12%
Model /90
0.13
088%
111%
2+1%
Philipp Sander
MID · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
68
Proj.
0.12
O 0.5
11%
Model /90
0.16
089%
110%
2+1%
Kevin Kampl
MID · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
55
Proj.
0.12
O 0.5
11%
Model /90
0.19
089%
110%
2+1%
Tim Kleindienst
FWD · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
81
Proj.
0.12
O 0.5
11%
Model /90
0.13
089%
110%
2+1%
Haris Tabakovic
FWD · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
0.12
O 0.5
11%
Model /90
0.14
089%
110%
2+1%
Castello Lukeba
DEF · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
77
Proj.
0.12
O 0.5
11%
Model /90
0.14
089%
110%
2+1%
Lukas Ullrich
DEF · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
66
Proj.
0.12
O 0.5
11%
Model /90
0.16
089%
110%
2+1%
Ridle Bote Baku
DEF · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
75
Proj.
0.11
O 0.5
10%
Model /90
0.13
090%
110%
2+1%
Benjamin Henrichs
DEF · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
39
Proj.
0.11
O 0.5
10%
Model /90
0.26
090%
19%
2+1%
Brajan Gruda
MID · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
58
Proj.
0.11
O 0.5
10%
Model /90
0.17
090%
19%
2+1%
Rômulo José Cardoso da Cruz
FWD · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
74
Proj.
0.11
O 0.5
10%
Model /90
0.13
090%
19%
2+1%
Lois Openda
FWD · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
72
Proj.
0.10
O 0.5
10%
Model /90
0.13
090%
19%
2+1%
Nicolas Seiwald
MID · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
0.10
O 0.5
10%
Model /90
0.12
090%
19%
2+1%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 0.5	n	Distribution
Christoph BaumgartnerMID	RB Leipzig	0.19	69provisional	0.15	14%	64	086% 112% 2+1%
Kevin DiksDEF	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0.16	82provisional	0.15	13%	30	087% 112% 2+1%
Joseph Michael ScallyDEF	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0.16	81provisional	0.14	13%	64	087% 112% 2+1%
Rocco ReitzMID	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0.17	77provisional	0.14	13%	58	087% 112% 2+1%
Jens CastropMID	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0.20	61provisional	0.14	12%	26	088% 111% 2+1%
Willi OrbanDEF	RB Leipzig	0.14	89provisional	0.13	13%	58	087% 112% 2+1%
David RaumDEF	RB Leipzig	0.14	84provisional	0.13	12%	52	088% 112% 2+1%
Nico ElvediDEF	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0.13	88provisional	0.13	12%	58	088% 111% 2+1%
Philipp SanderMID	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0.16	68provisional	0.12	11%	57	089% 110% 2+1%
Kevin KamplMID	RB Leipzig	0.19	55provisional	0.12	11%	29	089% 110% 2+1%
Tim KleindienstFWD	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0.13	81provisional	0.12	11%	34	089% 110% 2+1%
Haris TabakovicFWD	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0.14	76provisional	0.12	11%	32	089% 110% 2+1%
Castello LukebaDEF	RB Leipzig	0.14	77provisional	0.12	11%	49	089% 110% 2+1%
Lukas UllrichDEF	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0.16	66provisional	0.12	11%	49	089% 110% 2+1%
Ridle Bote BakuDEF	RB Leipzig	0.13	75provisional	0.11	10%	51	090% 110% 2+1%
Benjamin HenrichsDEF	RB Leipzig	0.26	39provisional	0.11	10%	32	090% 19% 2+1%
Brajan GrudaMID	RB Leipzig	0.17	58provisional	0.11	10%	13	090% 19% 2+1%
Rômulo José Cardoso da CruzFWD	RB Leipzig	0.13	74provisional	0.11	10%	30	090% 19% 2+1%
Lois OpendaFWD	RB Leipzig	0.13	72provisional	0.10	10%	35	090% 19% 2+1%
Nicolas SeiwaldMID	RB Leipzig	0.12	76provisional	0.10	10%	63	090% 19% 2+1%

20 of 42 players shown, ranked by projection.

Saves42 playersHighest: Moritz Nicolas, 3.87 expectedshow

What drives it — Opponent shot volume. A keeper’s own record carries so little that this market shrinks harder than any other on the board. See what has actually happened.

Moritz Nicolas
GK · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
89
Proj.
3.87
O 2.5
70%
Model /90
3.93
03%
110%
216%
319%
417%
513%
6+22%
Maarten Vandevoordt
GK · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
82
Proj.
2.57
O 2.5
46%
Model /90
2.81
011%
121%
222%
318%
413%
57%
6+7%
Nico Elvedi
DEF · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
88
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Joseph Michael Scally
DEF · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
81
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Kevin Diks
DEF · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
82
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Tim Kleindienst
FWD · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
81
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Rocco Reitz
MID · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
77
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Haris Tabakovic
FWD · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Franck Honorat
FWD · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
73
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Philipp Sander
MID · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
68
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Lukas Ullrich
DEF · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
66
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Robin Hack
FWD · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
61
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Willi Orban
DEF · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
89
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Jens Castrop
MID · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
61
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
David Raum
DEF · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
84
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Ridle Bote Baku
DEF · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
75
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Nicolas Seiwald
MID · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Rômulo José Cardoso da Cruz
FWD · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
74
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Castello Lukeba
DEF · RB Leipzig
provisional
Mins
77
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Kevin Stöger
MID · Borussia Mönchengladbach
provisional
Mins
48
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 2.5	n	Distribution
Moritz NicolasGK	Borussia Mönchengladbach	3.93	89provisional	3.87	70%	53	03% 110% 216% 319% 417% 513% 6+22%
Maarten VandevoordtGK	RB Leipzig	2.81	82provisional	2.57	46%	18	011% 121% 222% 318% 413% 57% 6+7%
Nico ElvediDEF	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0.00	88provisional	0.00	—	58	0100% 1+0%
Joseph Michael ScallyDEF	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0.00	81provisional	0.00	—	64	0100% 1+0%
Kevin DiksDEF	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0.00	82provisional	0.00	—	30	0100% 1+0%
Tim KleindienstFWD	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0.00	81provisional	0.00	—	34	0100% 1+0%
Rocco ReitzMID	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0.00	77provisional	0.00	—	58	0100% 1+0%
Haris TabakovicFWD	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0.00	76provisional	0.00	—	32	0100% 1+0%
Franck HonoratFWD	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0.00	73provisional	0.00	—	47	0100% 1+0%
Philipp SanderMID	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0.00	68provisional	0.00	—	57	0100% 1+0%
Lukas UllrichDEF	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0.00	66provisional	0.00	—	49	0100% 1+0%
Robin HackFWD	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0.00	61provisional	0.00	—	41	0100% 1+0%
Willi OrbanDEF	RB Leipzig	0.00	89provisional	0.00	—	58	0100% 1+0%
Jens CastropMID	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0.00	61provisional	0.00	—	26	0100% 1+0%
David RaumDEF	RB Leipzig	0.00	84provisional	0.00	—	52	0100% 1+0%
Ridle Bote BakuDEF	RB Leipzig	0.00	75provisional	0.00	—	51	0100% 1+0%
Nicolas SeiwaldMID	RB Leipzig	0.00	76provisional	0.00	—	63	0100% 1+0%
Rômulo José Cardoso da CruzFWD	RB Leipzig	0.00	74provisional	0.00	—	30	0100% 1+0%
Castello LukebaDEF	RB Leipzig	0.00	77provisional	0.00	—	49	0100% 1+0%
Kevin StögerMID	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0.00	48provisional	0.00	—	60	0100% 1+0%

20 of 42 players shown, ranked by projection.