Championship · England

Wolverhampton WanderersvStoke City

Saturday 29 August at 12:30Molineux Stadiumlineups not announced

Referee

Not appointed

0 matches on record

Fouls per game

—

League average

22.6

fouls per match, both teams

Value

No edges published on this fixture. An edge is published only when a bookmaker's price beats the model's fair price by that market's full bar — most fixtures never produce one. The value board explains every gate a candidate has to clear.

What these numbers are

Not tips and not prices. Each row is the model's expected count for one player in this match — how many fouls, tackles or shots it thinks he records — plus the full spread of outcomes around it. Nothing here has been compared to a bookmaker.

Step 1
His own record
Every completed match in the dataset, as a rate per 90 minutes. The n column is how many matches that rests on.
Step 2
Pulled toward his position
A thin record gets pulled hard toward other players in his position, in his league — a goalkeeper toward goalkeepers, not toward the outfielders around him. How hard is fitted per market, not chosen: tackles pull about four times harder than shots on target.
Step 3
This fixture's conditions
How much of the stat the opponent concedes, what the referee's matches look like, and home or away. This is where a projection stops being a season average.
Step 4
Scaled to expected minutes
A rate becomes a count only once you say how long he plays. 60 minutes carries two-thirds the exposure of 90, and the distribution is built at that exposure.

How to read each column

Model /90: The model's rate for this match with the minutes taken back out — steps 1 to 3 already applied. It moves with the opponent and the referee, so it is not his raw career rate; the builder shows career and model rates side by side.
Exp. mins: Minutes the model expects. Confirmed means the lineup is out; provisional means it is guessing from his start rate, and is the widest of the three.
Projected: The expected count in this match, at those minutes. This is the number a line is set against.
Over 1.5, etc.: Read straight off the distribution beside it, not off how often he has beaten that line before. It answers what the model thinks, not what has happened.
n: Matches behind his own rate. Under 30 it turns amber: the projection is mostly his position group speaking, and §6.3 will not publish an edge on it.
Distribution: The whole spread, not just the average. The dashed amber cut is the line; jade bars beat it. An expected 1.8 fouls made of 2 every week and an expected 1.8 made of a 0 and a 5 are different bets, and this is where you see which one you have.

Counts are modelled as negative binomial rather than Poisson, because fouls and tackles are overdispersed and a Poisson would systematically underprice the tails — which is exactly where over bets live. Every market on this page cleared its calibration gate before it was allowed to produce a projection: when the model says 60%, it lands within a point or so of 60% out of sample.

Fouls v20260811-1858 · Tackles v20260811-1858 · Shots v20260811-1858 · Shots on target v20260811-1905 · Fouls won v20260811-1858 · Cards v20260811-1905 · Saves v20260812-1340

Model projections

Fouls43 playersHighest: Sorba Thomas, 1.17 expectedshow

What drives it — Who referees the match. A strict official lifts every player on the pitch, which is the part most books price off a season average. See what has actually happened.

Sorba Thomas
FWD · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
87
Proj.
1.17
O 1.5
32%
Model /90
1.21
033%
135%
220%
38%
43%
51%
6+0%
Adam Armstrong
FWD · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
82
Proj.
1.13
O 1.5
31%
Model /90
1.24
034%
135%
220%
38%
43%
51%
6+0%
Million Manhoef
FWD · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
68
Proj.
1.01
O 1.5
27%
Model /90
1.35
040%
133%
217%
37%
42%
51%
6+0%
Róbert Boženík
FWD · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
40
Proj.
1.01
O 1.5
26%
Model /90
2.28
046%
128%
214%
37%
43%
51%
6+1%
Lewis Baker
MID · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
0.98
O 1.5
26%
Model /90
1.17
041%
133%
217%
37%
42%
51%
6+0%
Marshall Nyasha Munetsi
MID · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
72
Proj.
0.96
O 1.5
25%
Model /90
1.19
042%
133%
216%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Toluwalase Emmanuel Arokodare
FWD · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
43
Proj.
0.90
O 1.5
23%
Model /90
1.91
050%
127%
213%
36%
43%
51%
6+1%
Lamine Cisse
FWD · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
50
Proj.
0.90
O 1.5
23%
Model /90
1.63
048%
129%
214%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Tatsuki Seko
MID · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
61
Proj.
0.90
O 1.5
24%
Model /90
1.33
047%
130%
215%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
André Trindade da Costa Neto
MID · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
77
Proj.
0.89
O 1.5
23%
Model /90
1.04
043%
134%
216%
35%
41%
5+0%
Jhon Adolfo Arias Andrade
FWD · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
49
Proj.
0.87
O 1.5
23%
Model /90
1.60
049%
128%
214%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Sam Gallagher
FWD · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
41
Proj.
0.86
O 1.5
21%
Model /90
1.91
047%
132%
214%
35%
42%
51%
6+0%
Ben Pearson
MID · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
56
Proj.
0.81
O 1.5
21%
Model /90
1.31
050%
130%
214%
35%
42%
50%
6+0%
Hee-Chan Hwang
FWD · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
45
Proj.
0.81
O 1.5
20%
Model /90
1.62
051%
128%
213%
35%
42%
51%
6+0%
Joon-Ho Bae
MID · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
71
Proj.
0.80
O 1.5
20%
Model /90
1.01
048%
133%
214%
34%
41%
5+0%
Mateus Mané
MID · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
64
Proj.
0.77
O 1.5
19%
Model /90
1.09
051%
130%
213%
35%
41%
5+0%
Milan Smit
FWD · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
40
Proj.
0.74
O 1.5
18%
Model /90
1.66
055%
127%
212%
35%
42%
50%
6+0%
J. Tchamadeu
DEF · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
77
Proj.
0.73
O 1.5
17%
Model /90
0.85
050%
133%
213%
34%
41%
5+0%
Tomáš Rigo
MID · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
54
Proj.
0.73
O 1.5
18%
Model /90
1.21
053%
129%
212%
34%
41%
5+0%
Ladislav Krejčí
DEF · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
84
Proj.
0.72
O 1.5
17%
Model /90
0.77
050%
134%
212%
33%
41%
5+0%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 1.5	n	Distribution
Sorba ThomasFWD	Stoke City	1.21	87provisional	1.17	32%	45	033% 135% 220% 38% 43% 51% 6+0%
Adam ArmstrongFWD	Wolverhampton Wanderers	1.24	82provisional	1.13	31%	14	034% 135% 220% 38% 43% 51% 6+0%
Million ManhoefFWD	Stoke City	1.35	68provisional	1.01	27%	79	040% 133% 217% 37% 42% 51% 6+0%
Róbert BoženíkFWD	Stoke City	2.28	40provisional	1.01	26%	22	046% 128% 214% 37% 43% 51% 6+1%
Lewis BakerMID	Stoke City	1.17	76provisional	0.98	26%	36	041% 133% 217% 37% 42% 51% 6+0%
Marshall Nyasha MunetsiMID	Wolverhampton Wanderers	1.19	72provisional	0.96	25%	27	042% 133% 216% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Toluwalase Emmanuel ArokodareFWD	Wolverhampton Wanderers	1.91	43provisional	0.90	23%	33	050% 127% 213% 36% 43% 51% 6+1%
Lamine CisseFWD	Stoke City	1.63	50provisional	0.90	23%	34	048% 129% 214% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Tatsuki SekoMID	Stoke City	1.33	61provisional	0.90	24%	68	047% 130% 215% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
André Trindade da Costa NetoMID	Wolverhampton Wanderers	1.04	77provisional	0.89	23%	68	043% 134% 216% 35% 41% 5+0%
Jhon Adolfo Arias AndradeFWD	Wolverhampton Wanderers	1.60	49provisional	0.87	23%	23	049% 128% 214% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Sam GallagherFWD	Stoke City	1.91	41provisional	0.86	21%	41	047% 132% 214% 35% 42% 51% 6+0%
Ben PearsonMID	Stoke City	1.31	56provisional	0.81	21%	44	050% 130% 214% 35% 42% 50% 6+0%
Hee-Chan HwangFWD	Wolverhampton Wanderers	1.62	45provisional	0.81	20%	47	051% 128% 213% 35% 42% 51% 6+0%
Joon-Ho BaeMID	Stoke City	1.01	71provisional	0.80	20%	87	048% 133% 214% 34% 41% 5+0%
Mateus ManéMID	Wolverhampton Wanderers	1.09	64provisional	0.77	19%	28	051% 130% 213% 35% 41% 5+0%
Milan SmitFWD	Stoke City	1.66	40provisional	0.74	18%	13	055% 127% 212% 35% 42% 50% 6+0%
J. TchamadeuDEF	Stoke City	0.85	77provisional	0.73	17%	67	050% 133% 213% 34% 41% 5+0%
Tomáš RigoMID	Stoke City	1.21	54provisional	0.73	18%	31	053% 129% 212% 34% 41% 5+0%
Ladislav KrejčíDEF	Wolverhampton Wanderers	0.77	84provisional	0.72	17%	28	050% 134% 212% 33% 41% 5+0%

20 of 43 players shown, ranked by projection.

Tackles43 playersHighest: André Trindade da Costa Neto, 1.97 expectedshow

What drives it — Possession share. A tackle count depends far more on how much of the match is played at your own end than on a player’s own form. See what has actually happened.

André Trindade da Costa Neto
MID · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
77
Proj.
1.97
O 1.5
57%
Model /90
2.29
017%
126%
225%
317%
49%
54%
6+2%
Tatsuki Seko
MID · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
61
Proj.
1.85
O 1.5
51%
Model /90
2.74
025%
124%
220%
314%
49%
55%
6+3%
Santiago Ignacio Bueno Sciutto
DEF · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
73
Proj.
1.63
O 1.5
47%
Model /90
2.01
027%
126%
222%
314%
47%
53%
6+1%
Joon-Ho Bae
MID · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
71
Proj.
1.63
O 1.5
47%
Model /90
2.06
023%
129%
223%
314%
46%
52%
6+1%
Marshall Nyasha Munetsi
MID · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
72
Proj.
1.56
O 1.5
45%
Model /90
1.94
025%
130%
223%
313%
46%
52%
6+1%
Lewis Baker
MID · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
1.53
O 1.5
45%
Model /90
1.81
025%
130%
223%
313%
46%
52%
6+1%
Ben Pearson
MID · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
56
Proj.
1.50
O 1.5
43%
Model /90
2.43
030%
127%
220%
312%
46%
53%
6+1%
Yerson Mosquera
DEF · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
81
Proj.
1.43
O 1.5
42%
Model /90
1.60
026%
133%
223%
312%
45%
51%
6+0%
Emmanuel Agbadou
DEF · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
84
Proj.
1.43
O 1.5
41%
Model /90
1.53
025%
134%
224%
312%
44%
51%
6+0%
Maksym Talovierov
DEF · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
73
Proj.
1.39
O 1.5
40%
Model /90
1.71
028%
132%
222%
311%
45%
51%
6+1%
Mateus Mané
MID · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
64
Proj.
1.38
O 1.5
39%
Model /90
1.94
032%
129%
220%
311%
45%
52%
6+1%
Tote António Gomes
DEF · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
81
Proj.
1.37
O 1.5
40%
Model /90
1.53
027%
133%
223%
311%
44%
51%
6+0%
Jackson Tchatchoua
DEF · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
59
Proj.
1.35
O 1.5
38%
Model /90
2.04
033%
129%
219%
311%
45%
52%
6+1%
J. Tchamadeu
DEF · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
77
Proj.
1.34
O 1.5
39%
Model /90
1.56
029%
133%
222%
311%
44%
51%
6+0%
Mohammed Bosun Lawal
DEF · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
68
Proj.
1.34
O 1.5
38%
Model /90
1.76
031%
131%
221%
311%
44%
51%
6+1%
Ben Wilmot
DEF · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
85
Proj.
1.31
O 1.5
38%
Model /90
1.39
028%
135%
223%
310%
43%
51%
6+0%
Aaron Cresswell
DEF · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
80
Proj.
1.30
O 1.5
37%
Model /90
1.46
028%
135%
222%
310%
43%
51%
6+0%
Hugo Bueno
DEF · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
68
Proj.
1.29
O 1.5
37%
Model /90
1.72
033%
130%
220%
310%
44%
51%
6+0%
Angel Gomes
MID · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
39
Proj.
1.29
O 1.5
36%
Model /90
2.95
036%
128%
218%
310%
45%
52%
6+1%
Ladislav Krejčí
DEF · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
84
Proj.
1.27
O 1.5
36%
Model /90
1.36
028%
135%
222%
310%
43%
51%
6+0%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 1.5	n	Distribution
André Trindade da Costa NetoMID	Wolverhampton Wanderers	2.29	77provisional	1.97	57%	68	017% 126% 225% 317% 49% 54% 6+2%
Tatsuki SekoMID	Stoke City	2.74	61provisional	1.85	51%	68	025% 124% 220% 314% 49% 55% 6+3%
Santiago Ignacio Bueno SciuttoDEF	Wolverhampton Wanderers	2.01	73provisional	1.63	47%	58	027% 126% 222% 314% 47% 53% 6+1%
Joon-Ho BaeMID	Stoke City	2.06	71provisional	1.63	47%	87	023% 129% 223% 314% 46% 52% 6+1%
Marshall Nyasha MunetsiMID	Wolverhampton Wanderers	1.94	72provisional	1.56	45%	27	025% 130% 223% 313% 46% 52% 6+1%
Lewis BakerMID	Stoke City	1.81	76provisional	1.53	45%	36	025% 130% 223% 313% 46% 52% 6+1%
Ben PearsonMID	Stoke City	2.43	56provisional	1.50	43%	44	030% 127% 220% 312% 46% 53% 6+1%
Yerson MosqueraDEF	Wolverhampton Wanderers	1.60	81provisional	1.43	42%	32	026% 133% 223% 312% 45% 51% 6+0%
Emmanuel AgbadouDEF	Wolverhampton Wanderers	1.53	84provisional	1.43	41%	30	025% 134% 224% 312% 44% 51% 6+0%
Maksym TalovierovDEF	Stoke City	1.71	73provisional	1.39	40%	16	028% 132% 222% 311% 45% 51% 6+1%
Mateus ManéMID	Wolverhampton Wanderers	1.94	64provisional	1.38	39%	28	032% 129% 220% 311% 45% 52% 6+1%
Tote António GomesDEF	Wolverhampton Wanderers	1.53	81provisional	1.37	40%	50	027% 133% 223% 311% 44% 51% 6+0%
Jackson TchatchouaDEF	Wolverhampton Wanderers	2.04	59provisional	1.35	38%	31	033% 129% 219% 311% 45% 52% 6+1%
J. TchamadeuDEF	Stoke City	1.56	77provisional	1.34	39%	67	029% 133% 222% 311% 44% 51% 6+0%
Mohammed Bosun LawalDEF	Stoke City	1.76	68provisional	1.34	38%	34	031% 131% 221% 311% 44% 51% 6+1%
Ben WilmotDEF	Stoke City	1.39	85provisional	1.31	38%	73	028% 135% 223% 310% 43% 51% 6+0%
Aaron CresswellDEF	Stoke City	1.46	80provisional	1.30	37%	25	028% 135% 222% 310% 43% 51% 6+0%
Hugo BuenoDEF	Wolverhampton Wanderers	1.72	68provisional	1.29	37%	35	033% 130% 220% 310% 44% 51% 6+0%
Angel GomesMID	Wolverhampton Wanderers	2.95	39provisional	1.29	36%	12	036% 128% 218% 310% 45% 52% 6+1%
Ladislav KrejčíDEF	Wolverhampton Wanderers	1.36	84provisional	1.27	36%	28	028% 135% 222% 310% 43% 51% 6+0%

20 of 43 players shown, ranked by projection.

Shots43 playersHighest: Adam Armstrong, 2.15 expectedshow

What drives it — The player’s own shot rate, shrunk toward others in his position, then adjusted for how many shots the opponent concedes. See what has actually happened.

Adam Armstrong
FWD · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
82
Proj.
2.15
O 1.5
60%
Model /90
2.36
015%
125%
224%
317%
410%
55%
6+4%
Sorba Thomas
FWD · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
87
Proj.
1.68
O 1.5
48%
Model /90
1.74
022%
130%
223%
314%
47%
53%
6+2%
Toluwalase Emmanuel Arokodare
FWD · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
43
Proj.
1.54
O 1.5
37%
Model /90
3.25
037%
126%
214%
39%
46%
54%
6+5%
Million Manhoef
FWD · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
68
Proj.
1.48
O 1.5
41%
Model /90
1.96
029%
130%
220%
311%
45%
52%
6+1%
Jhon Adolfo Arias Andrade
FWD · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
49
Proj.
1.37
O 1.5
37%
Model /90
2.52
037%
126%
217%
310%
45%
53%
6+2%
Marshall Nyasha Munetsi
MID · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
72
Proj.
1.24
O 1.5
34%
Model /90
1.54
035%
131%
219%
39%
44%
51%
6+1%
Hee-Chan Hwang
FWD · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
45
Proj.
1.18
O 1.5
31%
Model /90
2.38
041%
128%
215%
38%
44%
52%
6+1%
Lamine Cisse
FWD · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
50
Proj.
1.15
O 1.5
31%
Model /90
2.08
041%
128%
216%
38%
44%
52%
6+1%
Mateus Mané
MID · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
64
Proj.
1.07
O 1.5
29%
Model /90
1.50
042%
129%
216%
38%
43%
51%
6+1%
André Trindade da Costa Neto
MID · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
77
Proj.
1.00
O 1.5
26%
Model /90
1.16
040%
133%
217%
37%
42%
51%
6+0%
Milan Smit
FWD · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
40
Proj.
0.98
O 1.5
25%
Model /90
2.22
048%
127%
213%
37%
43%
51%
6+1%
Lewis Baker
MID · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
0.97
O 1.5
26%
Model /90
1.15
042%
132%
216%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Sam Gallagher
FWD · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
41
Proj.
0.96
O 1.5
25%
Model /90
2.14
044%
131%
215%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Róbert Boženík
FWD · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
40
Proj.
0.94
O 1.5
24%
Model /90
2.13
048%
128%
213%
36%
43%
51%
6+1%
Tomáš Rigo
MID · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
54
Proj.
0.90
O 1.5
23%
Model /90
1.49
048%
129%
214%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Angel Gomes
MID · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
39
Proj.
0.87
O 1.5
23%
Model /90
2.00
049%
128%
214%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Joon-Ho Bae
MID · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
71
Proj.
0.85
O 1.5
22%
Model /90
1.07
046%
132%
214%
35%
42%
50%
6+0%
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde
MID · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
48
Proj.
0.82
O 1.5
21%
Model /90
1.53
050%
129%
213%
35%
42%
51%
6+0%
Tatsuki Seko
MID · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
61
Proj.
0.72
O 1.5
18%
Model /90
1.06
054%
128%
212%
34%
41%
50%
6+0%
Rodrigo Martins Gomes
MID · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
38
Proj.
0.69
O 1.5
16%
Model /90
1.63
057%
127%
210%
34%
41%
51%
6+0%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 1.5	n	Distribution
Adam ArmstrongFWD	Wolverhampton Wanderers	2.36	82provisional	2.15	60%	14	015% 125% 224% 317% 410% 55% 6+4%
Sorba ThomasFWD	Stoke City	1.74	87provisional	1.68	48%	45	022% 130% 223% 314% 47% 53% 6+2%
Toluwalase Emmanuel ArokodareFWD	Wolverhampton Wanderers	3.25	43provisional	1.54	37%	33	037% 126% 214% 39% 46% 54% 6+5%
Million ManhoefFWD	Stoke City	1.96	68provisional	1.48	41%	79	029% 130% 220% 311% 45% 52% 6+1%
Jhon Adolfo Arias AndradeFWD	Wolverhampton Wanderers	2.52	49provisional	1.37	37%	23	037% 126% 217% 310% 45% 53% 6+2%
Marshall Nyasha MunetsiMID	Wolverhampton Wanderers	1.54	72provisional	1.24	34%	27	035% 131% 219% 39% 44% 51% 6+1%
Hee-Chan HwangFWD	Wolverhampton Wanderers	2.38	45provisional	1.18	31%	47	041% 128% 215% 38% 44% 52% 6+1%
Lamine CisseFWD	Stoke City	2.08	50provisional	1.15	31%	34	041% 128% 216% 38% 44% 52% 6+1%
Mateus ManéMID	Wolverhampton Wanderers	1.50	64provisional	1.07	29%	28	042% 129% 216% 38% 43% 51% 6+1%
André Trindade da Costa NetoMID	Wolverhampton Wanderers	1.16	77provisional	1.00	26%	68	040% 133% 217% 37% 42% 51% 6+0%
Milan SmitFWD	Stoke City	2.22	40provisional	0.98	25%	13	048% 127% 213% 37% 43% 51% 6+1%
Lewis BakerMID	Stoke City	1.15	76provisional	0.97	26%	36	042% 132% 216% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Sam GallagherFWD	Stoke City	2.14	41provisional	0.96	25%	41	044% 131% 215% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Róbert BoženíkFWD	Stoke City	2.13	40provisional	0.94	24%	22	048% 128% 213% 36% 43% 51% 6+1%
Tomáš RigoMID	Stoke City	1.49	54provisional	0.90	23%	31	048% 129% 214% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Angel GomesMID	Wolverhampton Wanderers	2.00	39provisional	0.87	23%	12	049% 128% 214% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Joon-Ho BaeMID	Stoke City	1.07	71provisional	0.85	22%	87	046% 132% 214% 35% 42% 50% 6+0%
Jean-Ricner BellegardeMID	Wolverhampton Wanderers	1.53	48provisional	0.82	21%	61	050% 129% 213% 35% 42% 51% 6+0%
Tatsuki SekoMID	Stoke City	1.06	61provisional	0.72	18%	68	054% 128% 212% 34% 41% 50% 6+0%
Rodrigo Martins GomesMID	Wolverhampton Wanderers	1.63	38provisional	0.69	16%	47	057% 127% 210% 34% 41% 51% 6+0%

20 of 43 players shown, ranked by projection.

Shots on target43 playersHighest: Adam Armstrong, 0.77 expectedshow

What drives it — Shot volume first, conversion second — literally: the projection is the shots model thinned by the player’s own on-target rate, so a high-volume low-accuracy shooter and a sniper price differently at the same shot count. See what has actually happened.

Adam Armstrong
FWD · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
82
Proj.
0.77
O 0.5
52%
Model /90
0.84
048%
133%
213%
34%
41%
5+0%
Sorba Thomas
FWD · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
87
Proj.
0.68
O 0.5
48%
Model /90
0.70
052%
132%
211%
33%
41%
5+0%
Million Manhoef
FWD · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
68
Proj.
0.56
O 0.5
41%
Model /90
0.74
059%
129%
29%
32%
40%
5+0%
Toluwalase Emmanuel Arokodare
FWD · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
43
Proj.
0.54
O 0.5
36%
Model /90
1.15
064%
124%
28%
33%
41%
5+0%
Lamine Cisse
FWD · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
50
Proj.
0.46
O 0.5
34%
Model /90
0.83
066%
124%
27%
32%
4+0%
Hee-Chan Hwang
FWD · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
45
Proj.
0.44
O 0.5
32%
Model /90
0.88
068%
123%
27%
32%
4+0%
Jhon Adolfo Arias Andrade
FWD · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
49
Proj.
0.43
O 0.5
32%
Model /90
0.79
068%
123%
27%
32%
4+0%
Marshall Nyasha Munetsi
MID · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
72
Proj.
0.41
O 0.5
32%
Model /90
0.51
068%
125%
26%
31%
4+0%
Mateus Mané
MID · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
64
Proj.
0.38
O 0.5
30%
Model /90
0.53
070%
123%
26%
31%
4+0%
Milan Smit
FWD · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
40
Proj.
0.35
O 0.5
27%
Model /90
0.80
073%
121%
25%
31%
4+0%
Sam Gallagher
FWD · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
41
Proj.
0.35
O 0.5
28%
Model /90
0.77
072%
122%
25%
31%
4+0%
Lewis Baker
MID · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
0.34
O 0.5
28%
Model /90
0.41
072%
123%
25%
31%
4+0%
Róbert Boženík
FWD · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
40
Proj.
0.33
O 0.5
26%
Model /90
0.74
074%
120%
25%
31%
4+0%
Tomáš Rigo
MID · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
54
Proj.
0.29
O 0.5
24%
Model /90
0.48
076%
119%
24%
3+1%
Angel Gomes
MID · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
39
Proj.
0.27
O 0.5
22%
Model /90
0.62
078%
118%
23%
3+1%
Joon-Ho Bae
MID · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
71
Proj.
0.27
O 0.5
23%
Model /90
0.34
077%
119%
23%
3+0%
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde
MID · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
48
Proj.
0.25
O 0.5
21%
Model /90
0.46
079%
118%
23%
3+0%
Emre Tezgel
FWD · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
25
Proj.
0.23
O 0.5
20%
Model /90
0.84
080%
117%
23%
3+1%
Ladislav Krejčí
DEF · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
84
Proj.
0.23
O 0.5
20%
Model /90
0.25
080%
118%
22%
3+0%
André Trindade da Costa Neto
MID · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
77
Proj.
0.22
O 0.5
19%
Model /90
0.26
081%
117%
22%
3+0%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 0.5	n	Distribution
Adam ArmstrongFWD	Wolverhampton Wanderers	0.84	82provisional	0.77	52%	14	048% 133% 213% 34% 41% 5+0%
Sorba ThomasFWD	Stoke City	0.70	87provisional	0.68	48%	45	052% 132% 211% 33% 41% 5+0%
Million ManhoefFWD	Stoke City	0.74	68provisional	0.56	41%	79	059% 129% 29% 32% 40% 5+0%
Toluwalase Emmanuel ArokodareFWD	Wolverhampton Wanderers	1.15	43provisional	0.54	36%	33	064% 124% 28% 33% 41% 5+0%
Lamine CisseFWD	Stoke City	0.83	50provisional	0.46	34%	34	066% 124% 27% 32% 4+0%
Hee-Chan HwangFWD	Wolverhampton Wanderers	0.88	45provisional	0.44	32%	47	068% 123% 27% 32% 4+0%
Jhon Adolfo Arias AndradeFWD	Wolverhampton Wanderers	0.79	49provisional	0.43	32%	23	068% 123% 27% 32% 4+0%
Marshall Nyasha MunetsiMID	Wolverhampton Wanderers	0.51	72provisional	0.41	32%	27	068% 125% 26% 31% 4+0%
Mateus ManéMID	Wolverhampton Wanderers	0.53	64provisional	0.38	30%	28	070% 123% 26% 31% 4+0%
Milan SmitFWD	Stoke City	0.80	40provisional	0.35	27%	13	073% 121% 25% 31% 4+0%
Sam GallagherFWD	Stoke City	0.77	41provisional	0.35	28%	41	072% 122% 25% 31% 4+0%
Lewis BakerMID	Stoke City	0.41	76provisional	0.34	28%	36	072% 123% 25% 31% 4+0%
Róbert BoženíkFWD	Stoke City	0.74	40provisional	0.33	26%	22	074% 120% 25% 31% 4+0%
Tomáš RigoMID	Stoke City	0.48	54provisional	0.29	24%	31	076% 119% 24% 3+1%
Angel GomesMID	Wolverhampton Wanderers	0.62	39provisional	0.27	22%	12	078% 118% 23% 3+1%
Joon-Ho BaeMID	Stoke City	0.34	71provisional	0.27	23%	87	077% 119% 23% 3+0%
Jean-Ricner BellegardeMID	Wolverhampton Wanderers	0.46	48provisional	0.25	21%	61	079% 118% 23% 3+0%
Emre TezgelFWD	Stoke City	0.84	25provisional	0.23	20%	12	080% 117% 23% 3+1%
Ladislav KrejčíDEF	Wolverhampton Wanderers	0.25	84provisional	0.23	20%	28	080% 118% 22% 3+0%
André Trindade da Costa NetoMID	Wolverhampton Wanderers	0.26	77provisional	0.22	19%	68	081% 117% 22% 3+0%

20 of 43 players shown, ranked by projection.

Fouls won43 playersHighest: Yerson Mosquera, 1.30 expectedshow

What drives it — How much a player runs at defenders. Dribble volume drives this far more than the referee does. See what has actually happened.

Yerson Mosquera
DEF · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
81
Proj.
1.30
O 1.5
36%
Model /90
1.45
032%
132%
220%
310%
44%
52%
6+1%
Sorba Thomas
FWD · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
87
Proj.
1.20
O 1.5
33%
Model /90
1.24
033%
134%
220%
39%
43%
51%
6+0%
Adam Armstrong
FWD · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
82
Proj.
1.17
O 1.5
32%
Model /90
1.29
034%
134%
219%
38%
43%
51%
6+0%
Joon-Ho Bae
MID · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
71
Proj.
1.02
O 1.5
27%
Model /90
1.29
041%
132%
217%
37%
42%
51%
6+0%
André Trindade da Costa Neto
MID · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
77
Proj.
1.02
O 1.5
27%
Model /90
1.19
040%
133%
217%
37%
42%
51%
6+0%
Tomáš Rigo
MID · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
54
Proj.
1.01
O 1.5
27%
Model /90
1.67
044%
129%
215%
37%
43%
51%
6+1%
Mateus Mané
MID · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
64
Proj.
0.98
O 1.5
26%
Model /90
1.38
045%
129%
215%
37%
43%
51%
6+0%
Million Manhoef
FWD · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
68
Proj.
0.95
O 1.5
25%
Model /90
1.26
043%
132%
216%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Toluwalase Emmanuel Arokodare
FWD · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
43
Proj.
0.93
O 1.5
24%
Model /90
1.97
050%
126%
212%
36%
43%
51%
6+1%
Lewis Baker
MID · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
0.93
O 1.5
24%
Model /90
1.10
044%
132%
216%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Marshall Nyasha Munetsi
MID · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
72
Proj.
0.91
O 1.5
23%
Model /90
1.13
045%
132%
215%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Lamine Cisse
FWD · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
50
Proj.
0.91
O 1.5
24%
Model /90
1.64
048%
128%
214%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Steven N'Kemboanza Mike Christopher Nzonzi
MID · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
46
Proj.
0.88
O 1.5
23%
Model /90
1.71
052%
124%
213%
36%
43%
51%
6+0%
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde
MID · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
48
Proj.
0.87
O 1.5
22%
Model /90
1.63
048%
129%
214%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Eric Junior Bocat
DEF · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
65
Proj.
0.81
O 1.5
21%
Model /90
1.12
050%
130%
213%
35%
42%
50%
6+0%
Ben Pearson
MID · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
56
Proj.
0.81
O 1.5
21%
Model /90
1.31
050%
129%
213%
35%
42%
51%
6+0%
Tatsuki Seko
MID · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
61
Proj.
0.79
O 1.5
20%
Model /90
1.16
052%
129%
213%
35%
42%
50%
6+0%
Mohammed Bosun Lawal
DEF · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
68
Proj.
0.77
O 1.5
19%
Model /90
1.02
050%
131%
213%
34%
41%
50%
6+0%
Jhon Adolfo Arias Andrade
FWD · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
49
Proj.
0.75
O 1.5
19%
Model /90
1.38
054%
127%
212%
35%
42%
50%
6+0%
J. Tchamadeu
DEF · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
77
Proj.
0.73
O 1.5
17%
Model /90
0.84
051%
132%
212%
34%
41%
5+0%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 1.5	n	Distribution
Yerson MosqueraDEF	Wolverhampton Wanderers	1.45	81provisional	1.30	36%	32	032% 132% 220% 310% 44% 52% 6+1%
Sorba ThomasFWD	Stoke City	1.24	87provisional	1.20	33%	45	033% 134% 220% 39% 43% 51% 6+0%
Adam ArmstrongFWD	Wolverhampton Wanderers	1.29	82provisional	1.17	32%	14	034% 134% 219% 38% 43% 51% 6+0%
Joon-Ho BaeMID	Stoke City	1.29	71provisional	1.02	27%	87	041% 132% 217% 37% 42% 51% 6+0%
André Trindade da Costa NetoMID	Wolverhampton Wanderers	1.19	77provisional	1.02	27%	68	040% 133% 217% 37% 42% 51% 6+0%
Tomáš RigoMID	Stoke City	1.67	54provisional	1.01	27%	31	044% 129% 215% 37% 43% 51% 6+1%
Mateus ManéMID	Wolverhampton Wanderers	1.38	64provisional	0.98	26%	28	045% 129% 215% 37% 43% 51% 6+0%
Million ManhoefFWD	Stoke City	1.26	68provisional	0.95	25%	79	043% 132% 216% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Toluwalase Emmanuel ArokodareFWD	Wolverhampton Wanderers	1.97	43provisional	0.93	24%	33	050% 126% 212% 36% 43% 51% 6+1%
Lewis BakerMID	Stoke City	1.10	76provisional	0.93	24%	36	044% 132% 216% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Marshall Nyasha MunetsiMID	Wolverhampton Wanderers	1.13	72provisional	0.91	23%	27	045% 132% 215% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Lamine CisseFWD	Stoke City	1.64	50provisional	0.91	24%	34	048% 128% 214% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Steven N'Kemboanza Mike Christopher NzonziMID	Stoke City	1.71	46provisional	0.88	23%	30	052% 124% 213% 36% 43% 51% 6+0%
Jean-Ricner BellegardeMID	Wolverhampton Wanderers	1.63	48provisional	0.87	22%	61	048% 129% 214% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Eric Junior BocatDEF	Stoke City	1.12	65provisional	0.81	21%	59	050% 130% 213% 35% 42% 50% 6+0%
Ben PearsonMID	Stoke City	1.31	56provisional	0.81	21%	44	050% 129% 213% 35% 42% 51% 6+0%
Tatsuki SekoMID	Stoke City	1.16	61provisional	0.79	20%	68	052% 129% 213% 35% 42% 50% 6+0%
Mohammed Bosun LawalDEF	Stoke City	1.02	68provisional	0.77	19%	34	050% 131% 213% 34% 41% 50% 6+0%
Jhon Adolfo Arias AndradeFWD	Wolverhampton Wanderers	1.38	49provisional	0.75	19%	23	054% 127% 212% 35% 42% 50% 6+0%
J. TchamadeuDEF	Stoke City	0.84	77provisional	0.73	17%	67	051% 132% 212% 34% 41% 5+0%

20 of 43 players shown, ranked by projection.

Cards43 playersHighest: José Pedro Malheiro de Sá, 0.18 expectedshow

Known defect — Prices ANY card — yellow or straight red — matching how books settle "to be shown a card" (D-048). The trends column alongside counts yellows only.

What drives it — Fouls first, then how readily the referee reaches for a card. Two officials averaging four cards a match can do it for opposite reasons. See what has actually happened.

José Pedro Malheiro de Sá
GK · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
90
Proj.
0.18
O 0.5
16%
Model /90
0.18
084%
115%
21%
3+0%
J. Tchamadeu
DEF · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
77
Proj.
0.15
O 0.5
14%
Model /90
0.18
086%
113%
2+1%
André Trindade da Costa Neto
MID · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
77
Proj.
0.15
O 0.5
14%
Model /90
0.18
086%
113%
2+1%
Ben Pearson
MID · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
56
Proj.
0.15
O 0.5
14%
Model /90
0.24
086%
112%
2+1%
Sorba Thomas
FWD · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
87
Proj.
0.14
O 0.5
13%
Model /90
0.15
087%
112%
2+1%
Lewis Baker
MID · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
0.14
O 0.5
13%
Model /90
0.17
087%
112%
2+1%
Yerson Mosquera
DEF · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
81
Proj.
0.14
O 0.5
13%
Model /90
0.16
087%
112%
2+1%
Maksym Talovierov
DEF · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
73
Proj.
0.14
O 0.5
13%
Model /90
0.17
087%
112%
2+1%
Ben Wilmot
DEF · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
85
Proj.
0.12
O 0.5
12%
Model /90
0.13
088%
111%
2+1%
Tote António Gomes
DEF · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
81
Proj.
0.12
O 0.5
11%
Model /90
0.13
089%
110%
2+1%
Emmanuel Agbadou
DEF · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
84
Proj.
0.12
O 0.5
11%
Model /90
0.13
089%
110%
2+1%
Marshall Nyasha Munetsi
MID · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
72
Proj.
0.12
O 0.5
11%
Model /90
0.15
089%
110%
2+1%
Adam Armstrong
FWD · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
82
Proj.
0.12
O 0.5
11%
Model /90
0.13
089%
110%
2+1%
Ladislav Krejčí
DEF · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
84
Proj.
0.12
O 0.5
11%
Model /90
0.12
089%
110%
2+1%
Aaron Cresswell
DEF · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
80
Proj.
0.11
O 0.5
11%
Model /90
0.13
089%
110%
2+1%
Mohammed Bosun Lawal
DEF · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
68
Proj.
0.11
O 0.5
11%
Model /90
0.15
089%
110%
2+1%
Ben Gibson
DEF · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
72
Proj.
0.11
O 0.5
10%
Model /90
0.14
090%
110%
2+1%
Tatsuki Seko
MID · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
61
Proj.
0.11
O 0.5
10%
Model /90
0.16
090%
19%
2+1%
Joon-Ho Bae
MID · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
71
Proj.
0.10
O 0.5
10%
Model /90
0.13
090%
19%
2+1%
Santiago Ignacio Bueno Sciutto
DEF · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
73
Proj.
0.10
O 0.5
10%
Model /90
0.13
090%
19%
2+1%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 0.5	n	Distribution
José Pedro Malheiro de SáGK	Wolverhampton Wanderers	0.18	90provisional	0.18	16%	52	084% 115% 21% 3+0%
J. TchamadeuDEF	Stoke City	0.18	77provisional	0.15	14%	67	086% 113% 2+1%
André Trindade da Costa NetoMID	Wolverhampton Wanderers	0.18	77provisional	0.15	14%	68	086% 113% 2+1%
Ben PearsonMID	Stoke City	0.24	56provisional	0.15	14%	44	086% 112% 2+1%
Sorba ThomasFWD	Stoke City	0.15	87provisional	0.14	13%	45	087% 112% 2+1%
Lewis BakerMID	Stoke City	0.17	76provisional	0.14	13%	36	087% 112% 2+1%
Yerson MosqueraDEF	Wolverhampton Wanderers	0.16	81provisional	0.14	13%	32	087% 112% 2+1%
Maksym TalovierovDEF	Stoke City	0.17	73provisional	0.14	13%	16	087% 112% 2+1%
Ben WilmotDEF	Stoke City	0.13	85provisional	0.12	12%	73	088% 111% 2+1%
Tote António GomesDEF	Wolverhampton Wanderers	0.13	81provisional	0.12	11%	50	089% 110% 2+1%
Emmanuel AgbadouDEF	Wolverhampton Wanderers	0.13	84provisional	0.12	11%	30	089% 110% 2+1%
Marshall Nyasha MunetsiMID	Wolverhampton Wanderers	0.15	72provisional	0.12	11%	27	089% 110% 2+1%
Adam ArmstrongFWD	Wolverhampton Wanderers	0.13	82provisional	0.12	11%	14	089% 110% 2+1%
Ladislav KrejčíDEF	Wolverhampton Wanderers	0.12	84provisional	0.12	11%	28	089% 110% 2+1%
Aaron CresswellDEF	Stoke City	0.13	80provisional	0.11	11%	25	089% 110% 2+1%
Mohammed Bosun LawalDEF	Stoke City	0.15	68provisional	0.11	11%	34	089% 110% 2+1%
Ben GibsonDEF	Stoke City	0.14	72provisional	0.11	10%	37	090% 110% 2+1%
Tatsuki SekoMID	Stoke City	0.16	61provisional	0.11	10%	68	090% 19% 2+1%
Joon-Ho BaeMID	Stoke City	0.13	71provisional	0.10	10%	87	090% 19% 2+1%
Santiago Ignacio Bueno SciuttoDEF	Wolverhampton Wanderers	0.13	73provisional	0.10	10%	58	090% 19% 2+1%

20 of 43 players shown, ranked by projection.

Saves43 playersHighest: Viktor Johansson, 3.13 expectedshow

What drives it — Opponent shot volume. A keeper’s own record carries so little that this market shrinks harder than any other on the board. See what has actually happened.

Viktor Johansson
GK · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
90
Proj.
3.13
O 2.5
58%
Model /90
3.13
06%
115%
221%
320%
416%
510%
6+12%
Tommy Simkim
GK · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
90
Proj.
2.82
O 2.5
52%
Model /90
2.82
08%
118%
222%
320%
414%
59%
6+9%
Sam Johnstone
GK · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
90
Proj.
2.47
O 2.5
44%
Model /90
2.47
010%
122%
224%
319%
412%
57%
6+6%
José Pedro Malheiro de Sá
GK · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
90
Proj.
2.33
O 2.5
40%
Model /90
2.33
012%
123%
225%
319%
411%
56%
6+4%
Sorba Thomas
FWD · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
87
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Ben Wilmot
DEF · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
85
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Aaron Cresswell
DEF · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
80
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
J. Tchamadeu
DEF · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
77
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Lewis Baker
MID · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Joon-Ho Bae
MID · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
71
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Maksym Talovierov
DEF · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
73
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Ben Gibson
DEF · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
72
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Million Manhoef
FWD · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
68
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Mohammed Bosun Lawal
DEF · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
68
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Eric Junior Bocat
DEF · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
65
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Tatsuki Seko
MID · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
61
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Ladislav Krejčí
DEF · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
84
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Ben Pearson
MID · Stoke City
provisional
Mins
56
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Emmanuel Agbadou
DEF · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
84
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Tote António Gomes
DEF · Wolverhampton Wanderers
provisional
Mins
81
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 2.5	n	Distribution
Viktor JohanssonGK	Stoke City	3.13	90provisional	3.13	58%	71	06% 115% 221% 320% 416% 510% 6+12%
Tommy SimkimGK	Stoke City	2.82	90provisional	2.82	52%	15	08% 118% 222% 320% 414% 59% 6+9%
Sam JohnstoneGK	Wolverhampton Wanderers	2.47	90provisional	2.47	44%	19	010% 122% 224% 319% 412% 57% 6+6%
José Pedro Malheiro de SáGK	Wolverhampton Wanderers	2.33	90provisional	2.33	40%	52	012% 123% 225% 319% 411% 56% 6+4%
Sorba ThomasFWD	Stoke City	0.00	87provisional	0.00	—	45	0100% 1+0%
Ben WilmotDEF	Stoke City	0.00	85provisional	0.00	—	73	0100% 1+0%
Aaron CresswellDEF	Stoke City	0.00	80provisional	0.00	—	25	0100% 1+0%
J. TchamadeuDEF	Stoke City	0.00	77provisional	0.00	—	67	0100% 1+0%
Lewis BakerMID	Stoke City	0.00	76provisional	0.00	—	36	0100% 1+0%
Joon-Ho BaeMID	Stoke City	0.00	71provisional	0.00	—	87	0100% 1+0%
Maksym TalovierovDEF	Stoke City	0.00	73provisional	0.00	—	16	0100% 1+0%
Ben GibsonDEF	Stoke City	0.00	72provisional	0.00	—	37	0100% 1+0%
Million ManhoefFWD	Stoke City	0.00	68provisional	0.00	—	79	0100% 1+0%
Mohammed Bosun LawalDEF	Stoke City	0.00	68provisional	0.00	—	34	0100% 1+0%
Eric Junior BocatDEF	Stoke City	0.00	65provisional	0.00	—	59	0100% 1+0%
Tatsuki SekoMID	Stoke City	0.00	61provisional	0.00	—	68	0100% 1+0%
Ladislav KrejčíDEF	Wolverhampton Wanderers	0.00	84provisional	0.00	—	28	0100% 1+0%
Ben PearsonMID	Stoke City	0.00	56provisional	0.00	—	44	0100% 1+0%
Emmanuel AgbadouDEF	Wolverhampton Wanderers	0.00	84provisional	0.00	—	30	0100% 1+0%
Tote António GomesDEF	Wolverhampton Wanderers	0.00	81provisional	0.00	—	50	0100% 1+0%

20 of 43 players shown, ranked by projection.