Premier League · England

LiverpoolvNottingham Forest

Saturday 29 August at 12:30Anfieldlineups not announced

Referee

Not appointed

0 matches on record

Fouls per game

—

League average

22.6

fouls per match, both teams

Value

No edges published on this fixture. An edge is published only when a bookmaker's price beats the model's fair price by that market's full bar — most fixtures never produce one. The value board explains every gate a candidate has to clear.

What these numbers are

Not tips and not prices. Each row is the model's expected count for one player in this match — how many fouls, tackles or shots it thinks he records — plus the full spread of outcomes around it. Nothing here has been compared to a bookmaker.

Step 1
His own record
Every completed match in the dataset, as a rate per 90 minutes. The n column is how many matches that rests on.
Step 2
Pulled toward his position
A thin record gets pulled hard toward other players in his position, in his league — a goalkeeper toward goalkeepers, not toward the outfielders around him. How hard is fitted per market, not chosen: tackles pull about four times harder than shots on target.
Step 3
This fixture's conditions
How much of the stat the opponent concedes, what the referee's matches look like, and home or away. This is where a projection stops being a season average.
Step 4
Scaled to expected minutes
A rate becomes a count only once you say how long he plays. 60 minutes carries two-thirds the exposure of 90, and the distribution is built at that exposure.

How to read each column

Model /90: The model's rate for this match with the minutes taken back out — steps 1 to 3 already applied. It moves with the opponent and the referee, so it is not his raw career rate; the builder shows career and model rates side by side.
Exp. mins: Minutes the model expects. Confirmed means the lineup is out; provisional means it is guessing from his start rate, and is the widest of the three.
Projected: The expected count in this match, at those minutes. This is the number a line is set against.
Over 1.5, etc.: Read straight off the distribution beside it, not off how often he has beaten that line before. It answers what the model thinks, not what has happened.
n: Matches behind his own rate. Under 30 it turns amber: the projection is mostly his position group speaking, and §6.3 will not publish an edge on it.
Distribution: The whole spread, not just the average. The dashed amber cut is the line; jade bars beat it. An expected 1.8 fouls made of 2 every week and an expected 1.8 made of a 0 and a 5 are different bets, and this is where you see which one you have.

Counts are modelled as negative binomial rather than Poisson, because fouls and tackles are overdispersed and a Poisson would systematically underprice the tails — which is exactly where over bets live. Every market on this page cleared its calibration gate before it was allowed to produce a projection: when the model says 60%, it lands within a point or so of 60% out of sample.

Fouls v20260813-1451 · Tackles v20260813-1451 · Shots v20260813-1451 · Shots on target v20260813-1536-sot · Fouls won v20260813-1451 · Cards v20260813-1451 · Saves v20260813-1451

Model projections

Fouls40 playersHighest: Ibrahim Sangaré, 1.28 expectedshow

What drives it — Who referees the match. A strict official lifts every player on the pitch, which is the part most books price off a season average. See what has actually happened.

Ibrahim Sangaré
MID · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
65
Proj.
1.28
O 1.5
37%
Model /90
1.77
034%
129%
220%
310%
44%
51%
6+1%
Alexis Mac Allister
MID · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
73
Proj.
1.24
O 1.5
35%
Model /90
1.53
032%
133%
221%
310%
43%
51%
6+0%
Hugo Ekitike
FWD · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
65
Proj.
1.15
O 1.5
32%
Model /90
1.59
035%
133%
219%
38%
43%
51%
6+0%
Ryan Yates
MID · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
45
Proj.
1.11
O 1.5
29%
Model /90
2.25
040%
130%
216%
38%
44%
51%
6+1%
Ryan Gravenberch
MID · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
84
Proj.
1.08
O 1.5
30%
Model /90
1.16
035%
136%
220%
37%
42%
50%
6+0%
Igor Jesus Maciel da Cruz
FWD · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
63
Proj.
1.07
O 1.5
29%
Model /90
1.54
038%
133%
218%
38%
42%
51%
6+0%
Dominik Szoboszlai
MID · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
80
Proj.
1.07
O 1.5
29%
Model /90
1.21
036%
135%
219%
37%
42%
51%
6+0%
Conor Bradley
DEF · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
50
Proj.
0.91
O 1.5
24%
Model /90
1.65
044%
132%
215%
36%
42%
50%
6+0%
Mohamed Salah Ghaly
FWD · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
89
Proj.
0.90
O 1.5
23%
Model /90
0.91
041%
136%
216%
35%
41%
5+0%
Morgan Gibbs-White
MID · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
84
Proj.
0.85
O 1.5
21%
Model /90
0.92
043%
136%
215%
35%
41%
5+0%
Cody Mathès Gakpo
FWD · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
66
Proj.
0.85
O 1.5
22%
Model /90
1.15
046%
133%
215%
35%
41%
5+0%
Nicolò Savona
DEF · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
73
Proj.
0.84
O 1.5
21%
Model /90
1.03
045%
134%
215%
35%
41%
5+0%
Nicolás Martín Domínguez
MID · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
52
Proj.
0.82
O 1.5
21%
Model /90
1.42
048%
132%
214%
35%
41%
5+0%
Murillo Santiago Costa dos Santos
DEF · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
87
Proj.
0.77
O 1.5
18%
Model /90
0.79
047%
135%
214%
34%
41%
5+0%
Omari Giraud-Hutchinson
FWD · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
54
Proj.
0.74
O 1.5
18%
Model /90
1.23
051%
131%
213%
34%
41%
5+0%
Neco Williams
DEF · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
80
Proj.
0.74
O 1.5
18%
Model /90
0.83
049%
133%
213%
34%
41%
5+0%
Milos Kerkez
DEF · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
67
Proj.
0.70
O 1.5
17%
Model /90
0.95
052%
131%
212%
33%
41%
5+0%
Temitayo Olufisayo Olaoluwa Aina
DEF · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
87
Proj.
0.68
O 1.5
15%
Model /90
0.71
051%
134%
212%
33%
4+1%
Chris Wood
FWD · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
0.67
O 1.5
15%
Model /90
0.79
052%
133%
212%
33%
4+1%
Florian Wirtz
MID · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
72
Proj.
0.66
O 1.5
15%
Model /90
0.82
053%
132%
211%
33%
41%
5+0%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 1.5	n	Distribution
Ibrahim SangaréMID	Nottingham Forest	1.77	65provisional	1.28	37%	32	034% 129% 220% 310% 44% 51% 6+1%
Alexis Mac AllisterMID	Liverpool	1.53	73provisional	1.24	35%	62	032% 133% 221% 310% 43% 51% 6+0%
Hugo EkitikeFWD	Liverpool	1.59	65provisional	1.15	32%	22	035% 133% 219% 38% 43% 51% 6+0%
Ryan YatesMID	Nottingham Forest	2.25	45provisional	1.11	29%	29	040% 130% 216% 38% 44% 51% 6+1%
Ryan GravenberchMID	Liverpool	1.16	84provisional	1.08	30%	72	035% 136% 220% 37% 42% 50% 6+0%
Igor Jesus Maciel da CruzFWD	Nottingham Forest	1.54	63provisional	1.07	29%	31	038% 133% 218% 38% 42% 51% 6+0%
Dominik SzoboszlaiMID	Liverpool	1.21	80provisional	1.07	29%	66	036% 135% 219% 37% 42% 51% 6+0%
Conor BradleyDEF	Liverpool	1.65	50provisional	0.91	24%	22	044% 132% 215% 36% 42% 50% 6+0%
Mohamed Salah GhalyFWD	Liverpool	0.91	89provisional	0.90	23%	13	041% 136% 216% 35% 41% 5+0%
Morgan Gibbs-WhiteMID	Nottingham Forest	0.92	84provisional	0.85	21%	70	043% 136% 215% 35% 41% 5+0%
Cody Mathès GakpoFWD	Liverpool	1.15	66provisional	0.85	22%	58	046% 133% 215% 35% 41% 5+0%
Nicolò SavonaDEF	Nottingham Forest	1.03	73provisional	0.84	21%	12	045% 134% 215% 35% 41% 5+0%
Nicolás Martín DomínguezMID	Nottingham Forest	1.42	52provisional	0.82	21%	44	048% 132% 214% 35% 41% 5+0%
Murillo Santiago Costa dos SantosDEF	Nottingham Forest	0.79	87provisional	0.77	18%	61	047% 135% 214% 34% 41% 5+0%
Omari Giraud-HutchinsonFWD	Nottingham Forest	1.23	54provisional	0.74	18%	22	051% 131% 213% 34% 41% 5+0%
Neco WilliamsDEF	Nottingham Forest	0.83	80provisional	0.74	18%	66	049% 133% 213% 34% 41% 5+0%
Milos KerkezDEF	Liverpool	0.95	67provisional	0.70	17%	29	052% 131% 212% 33% 41% 5+0%
Temitayo Olufisayo Olaoluwa AinaDEF	Nottingham Forest	0.71	87provisional	0.68	15%	53	051% 134% 212% 33% 4+1%
Chris WoodFWD	Nottingham Forest	0.79	76provisional	0.67	15%	46	052% 133% 212% 33% 4+1%
Florian WirtzMID	Liverpool	0.82	72provisional	0.66	15%	28	053% 132% 211% 33% 41% 5+0%

20 of 40 players shown, ranked by projection.

Tackles40 playersHighest: Neco Williams, 2.48 expectedshow

What drives it — Possession share. A tackle count depends far more on how much of the match is played at your own end than on a player’s own form. See what has actually happened.

Neco Williams
DEF · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
80
Proj.
2.48
O 1.5
65%
Model /90
2.77
015%
121%
221%
317%
412%
57%
6+7%
Nicolás Martín Domínguez
MID · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
52
Proj.
2.20
O 1.5
56%
Model /90
3.83
021%
123%
219%
314%
410%
56%
6+7%
Ibrahim Sangaré
MID · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
65
Proj.
2.13
O 1.5
56%
Model /90
2.95
023%
122%
219%
315%
410%
56%
6+6%
Alexis Mac Allister
MID · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
73
Proj.
1.94
O 1.5
53%
Model /90
2.38
021%
126%
222%
315%
49%
54%
6+3%
Ryan Gravenberch
MID · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
84
Proj.
1.72
O 1.5
49%
Model /90
1.83
021%
130%
224%
314%
47%
53%
6+2%
Temitayo Olufisayo Olaoluwa Aina
DEF · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
87
Proj.
1.68
O 1.5
48%
Model /90
1.75
022%
130%
224%
314%
47%
53%
6+1%
Nicolò Savona
DEF · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
73
Proj.
1.62
O 1.5
45%
Model /90
1.99
026%
129%
221%
313%
46%
53%
6+2%
Konstantinos Tsimikas
DEF · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
46
Proj.
1.56
O 1.5
40%
Model /90
3.03
035%
125%
216%
310%
46%
54%
6+4%
Murillo Santiago Costa dos Santos
DEF · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
87
Proj.
1.44
O 1.5
41%
Model /90
1.49
026%
133%
222%
311%
45%
52%
6+1%
Milos Kerkez
DEF · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
67
Proj.
1.34
O 1.5
38%
Model /90
1.82
033%
129%
219%
310%
45%
52%
6+1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
MID · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
80
Proj.
1.33
O 1.5
37%
Model /90
1.50
031%
132%
221%
310%
44%
51%
6+1%
Curtis Jones
MID · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
54
Proj.
1.25
O 1.5
34%
Model /90
2.08
037%
129%
217%
39%
44%
52%
6+1%
Felipe Rodrigues
DEF · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
48
Proj.
1.15
O 1.5
30%
Model /90
2.17
044%
127%
214%
38%
44%
52%
6+1%
Nikola Milenković
DEF · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
89
Proj.
1.15
O 1.5
31%
Model /90
1.16
034%
134%
219%
38%
43%
51%
6+0%
Conor Bradley
DEF · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
50
Proj.
1.10
O 1.5
29%
Model /90
1.99
040%
131%
217%
38%
43%
51%
6+1%
Ryan Yates
MID · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
45
Proj.
1.09
O 1.5
28%
Model /90
2.20
042%
130%
215%
37%
43%
52%
6+1%
Florian Wirtz
MID · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
72
Proj.
1.02
O 1.5
27%
Model /90
1.27
040%
133%
217%
37%
42%
51%
6+0%
Morgan Gibbs-White
MID · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
84
Proj.
0.98
O 1.5
26%
Model /90
1.06
040%
135%
217%
36%
42%
50%
6+0%
Dan Ndoye
FWD · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
49
Proj.
0.92
O 1.5
24%
Model /90
1.68
047%
129%
214%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Mohamed Salah Ghaly
FWD · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
89
Proj.
0.90
O 1.5
23%
Model /90
0.91
042%
135%
216%
35%
41%
5+0%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 1.5	n	Distribution
Neco WilliamsDEF	Nottingham Forest	2.77	80provisional	2.48	65%	66	015% 121% 221% 317% 412% 57% 6+7%
Nicolás Martín DomínguezMID	Nottingham Forest	3.83	52provisional	2.20	56%	44	021% 123% 219% 314% 410% 56% 6+7%
Ibrahim SangaréMID	Nottingham Forest	2.95	65provisional	2.13	56%	32	023% 122% 219% 315% 410% 56% 6+6%
Alexis Mac AllisterMID	Liverpool	2.38	73provisional	1.94	53%	62	021% 126% 222% 315% 49% 54% 6+3%
Ryan GravenberchMID	Liverpool	1.83	84provisional	1.72	49%	72	021% 130% 224% 314% 47% 53% 6+2%
Temitayo Olufisayo Olaoluwa AinaDEF	Nottingham Forest	1.75	87provisional	1.68	48%	53	022% 130% 224% 314% 47% 53% 6+1%
Nicolò SavonaDEF	Nottingham Forest	1.99	73provisional	1.62	45%	12	026% 129% 221% 313% 46% 53% 6+2%
Konstantinos TsimikasDEF	Liverpool	3.03	46provisional	1.56	40%	9	035% 125% 216% 310% 46% 54% 6+4%
Murillo Santiago Costa dos SantosDEF	Nottingham Forest	1.49	87provisional	1.44	41%	61	026% 133% 222% 311% 45% 52% 6+1%
Milos KerkezDEF	Liverpool	1.82	67provisional	1.34	38%	29	033% 129% 219% 310% 45% 52% 6+1%
Dominik SzoboszlaiMID	Liverpool	1.50	80provisional	1.33	37%	66	031% 132% 221% 310% 44% 51% 6+1%
Curtis JonesMID	Liverpool	2.08	54provisional	1.25	34%	41	037% 129% 217% 39% 44% 52% 6+1%
Felipe RodriguesDEF	Nottingham Forest	2.17	48provisional	1.15	30%	26	044% 127% 214% 38% 44% 52% 6+1%
Nikola MilenkovićDEF	Nottingham Forest	1.16	89provisional	1.15	31%	75	034% 134% 219% 38% 43% 51% 6+0%
Conor BradleyDEF	Liverpool	1.99	50provisional	1.10	29%	22	040% 131% 217% 38% 43% 51% 6+1%
Ryan YatesMID	Nottingham Forest	2.20	45provisional	1.09	28%	29	042% 130% 215% 37% 43% 52% 6+1%
Florian WirtzMID	Liverpool	1.27	72provisional	1.02	27%	28	040% 133% 217% 37% 42% 51% 6+0%
Morgan Gibbs-WhiteMID	Nottingham Forest	1.06	84provisional	0.98	26%	70	040% 135% 217% 36% 42% 50% 6+0%
Dan NdoyeFWD	Nottingham Forest	1.68	49provisional	0.92	24%	15	047% 129% 214% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Mohamed Salah GhalyFWD	Liverpool	0.91	89provisional	0.90	23%	13	042% 135% 216% 35% 41% 5+0%

20 of 40 players shown, ranked by projection.

Shots40 playersHighest: Mohamed Salah Ghaly, 3.07 expectedshow

What drives it — The player’s own shot rate, shrunk toward others in his position, then adjusted for how many shots the opponent concedes. See what has actually happened.

Mohamed Salah Ghaly
FWD · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
89
Proj.
3.07
O 1.5
79%
Model /90
3.10
06%
115%
221%
321%
416%
510%
6+11%
Hugo Ekitike
FWD · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
65
Proj.
2.37
O 1.5
62%
Model /90
3.29
016%
122%
221%
317%
411%
57%
6+6%
Cody Mathès Gakpo
FWD · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
66
Proj.
2.18
O 1.5
59%
Model /90
2.98
018%
123%
221%
316%
411%
56%
6+5%
Dominik Szoboszlai
MID · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
80
Proj.
2.14
O 1.5
60%
Model /90
2.42
016%
124%
224%
317%
410%
55%
6+4%
Florian Wirtz
MID · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
72
Proj.
1.74
O 1.5
49%
Model /90
2.16
022%
128%
223%
314%
47%
53%
6+2%
Morgan Gibbs-White
MID · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
84
Proj.
1.60
O 1.5
47%
Model /90
1.73
022%
131%
224%
313%
46%
52%
6+1%
Alexander Isak
FWD · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
50
Proj.
1.58
O 1.5
42%
Model /90
2.84
032%
126%
218%
312%
47%
54%
6+3%
Igor Jesus Maciel da Cruz
FWD · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
63
Proj.
1.55
O 1.5
44%
Model /90
2.23
027%
129%
222%
313%
46%
52%
6+1%
Chris Wood
FWD · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
1.52
O 1.5
44%
Model /90
1.80
025%
131%
223%
313%
45%
52%
6+1%
Alexis Mac Allister
MID · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
73
Proj.
1.29
O 1.5
37%
Model /90
1.59
031%
132%
221%
310%
44%
51%
6+1%
Callum Hudson-Odoi
FWD · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
66
Proj.
0.97
O 1.5
25%
Model /90
1.31
041%
133%
217%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Rio Ngumoha
FWD · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
29
Proj.
0.93
O 1.5
23%
Model /90
2.84
051%
127%
211%
36%
43%
51%
6+1%
Ryan Gravenberch
MID · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
84
Proj.
0.85
O 1.5
21%
Model /90
0.91
044%
135%
215%
35%
41%
5+0%
Curtis Jones
MID · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
54
Proj.
0.85
O 1.5
22%
Model /90
1.40
048%
130%
214%
35%
42%
51%
6+0%
Neco Williams
DEF · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
80
Proj.
0.84
O 1.5
21%
Model /90
0.94
045%
134%
215%
35%
41%
5+0%
Harvey Elliot
MID · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
20
Proj.
0.84
O 1.5
18%
Model /90
3.70
053%
129%
210%
34%
42%
51%
6+1%
Virgil van Dijk
DEF · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
90
Proj.
0.78
O 1.5
18%
Model /90
0.78
047%
135%
214%
34%
41%
5+0%
Omari Giraud-Hutchinson
FWD · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
54
Proj.
0.71
O 1.5
17%
Model /90
1.17
053%
130%
212%
34%
41%
5+0%
Dilane Bakwa
FWD · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
40
Proj.
0.68
O 1.5
16%
Model /90
1.55
055%
129%
211%
34%
41%
5+0%
Dan Ndoye
FWD · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
49
Proj.
0.64
O 1.5
15%
Model /90
1.17
057%
128%
211%
33%
41%
5+0%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 1.5	n	Distribution
Mohamed Salah GhalyFWD	Liverpool	3.10	89provisional	3.07	79%	13	06% 115% 221% 321% 416% 510% 6+11%
Hugo EkitikeFWD	Liverpool	3.29	65provisional	2.37	62%	22	016% 122% 221% 317% 411% 57% 6+6%
Cody Mathès GakpoFWD	Liverpool	2.98	66provisional	2.18	59%	58	018% 123% 221% 316% 411% 56% 6+5%
Dominik SzoboszlaiMID	Liverpool	2.42	80provisional	2.14	60%	66	016% 124% 224% 317% 410% 55% 6+4%
Florian WirtzMID	Liverpool	2.16	72provisional	1.74	49%	28	022% 128% 223% 314% 47% 53% 6+2%
Morgan Gibbs-WhiteMID	Nottingham Forest	1.73	84provisional	1.60	47%	70	022% 131% 224% 313% 46% 52% 6+1%
Alexander IsakFWD	Liverpool	2.84	50provisional	1.58	42%	8	032% 126% 218% 312% 47% 54% 6+3%
Igor Jesus Maciel da CruzFWD	Nottingham Forest	2.23	63provisional	1.55	44%	31	027% 129% 222% 313% 46% 52% 6+1%
Chris WoodFWD	Nottingham Forest	1.80	76provisional	1.52	44%	46	025% 131% 223% 313% 45% 52% 6+1%
Alexis Mac AllisterMID	Liverpool	1.59	73provisional	1.29	37%	62	031% 132% 221% 310% 44% 51% 6+1%
Callum Hudson-OdoiFWD	Nottingham Forest	1.31	66provisional	0.97	25%	55	041% 133% 217% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Rio NgumohaFWD	Liverpool	2.84	29provisional	0.93	23%	5	051% 127% 211% 36% 43% 51% 6+1%
Ryan GravenberchMID	Liverpool	0.91	84provisional	0.85	21%	72	044% 135% 215% 35% 41% 5+0%
Curtis JonesMID	Liverpool	1.40	54provisional	0.85	22%	41	048% 130% 214% 35% 42% 51% 6+0%
Neco WilliamsDEF	Nottingham Forest	0.94	80provisional	0.84	21%	66	045% 134% 215% 35% 41% 5+0%
Harvey ElliotMID	Liverpool	3.70	20provisional	0.84	18%	4	053% 129% 210% 34% 42% 51% 6+1%
Virgil van DijkDEF	Liverpool	0.78	90provisional	0.78	18%	75	047% 135% 214% 34% 41% 5+0%
Omari Giraud-HutchinsonFWD	Nottingham Forest	1.17	54provisional	0.71	17%	22	053% 130% 212% 34% 41% 5+0%
Dilane BakwaFWD	Nottingham Forest	1.55	40provisional	0.68	16%	8	055% 129% 211% 34% 41% 5+0%
Dan NdoyeFWD	Nottingham Forest	1.17	49provisional	0.64	15%	15	057% 128% 211% 33% 41% 5+0%

20 of 40 players shown, ranked by projection.

Shots on target37 playersHighest: Mohamed Salah Ghaly, 1.29 expectedshow

What drives it — Shot volume first, conversion second — literally: the projection is the shots model thinned by the player’s own on-target rate, so a high-volume low-accuracy shooter and a sniper price differently at the same shot count. See what has actually happened.

Mohamed Salah Ghaly
FWD · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
89
Proj.
1.29
O 0.5
71%
Model /90
1.30
029%
135%
222%
310%
43%
51%
6+0%
Hugo Ekitike
FWD · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
65
Proj.
0.77
O 0.5
51%
Model /90
1.07
049%
132%
213%
34%
41%
5+0%
Chris Wood
FWD · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
0.73
O 0.5
50%
Model /90
0.87
050%
133%
213%
34%
41%
5+0%
Dominik Szoboszlai
MID · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
80
Proj.
0.71
O 0.5
50%
Model /90
0.81
050%
133%
212%
33%
41%
5+0%
Cody Mathès Gakpo
FWD · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
66
Proj.
0.69
O 0.5
47%
Model /90
0.94
053%
131%
212%
33%
41%
5+0%
Alexander Isak
FWD · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
50
Proj.
0.63
O 0.5
42%
Model /90
1.12
058%
128%
210%
33%
41%
5+0%
Florian Wirtz
MID · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
72
Proj.
0.61
O 0.5
44%
Model /90
0.75
056%
131%
210%
32%
4+1%
Morgan Gibbs-White
MID · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
84
Proj.
0.59
O 0.5
44%
Model /90
0.64
056%
132%
210%
32%
4+0%
Igor Jesus Maciel da Cruz
FWD · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
63
Proj.
0.53
O 0.5
39%
Model /90
0.76
061%
129%
28%
32%
4+0%
Callum Hudson-Odoi
FWD · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
66
Proj.
0.38
O 0.5
31%
Model /90
0.52
069%
125%
25%
31%
4+0%
Alexis Mac Allister
MID · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
73
Proj.
0.38
O 0.5
31%
Model /90
0.46
069%
125%
25%
31%
4+0%
Rio Ngumoha
FWD · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
29
Proj.
0.35
O 0.5
26%
Model /90
1.07
074%
120%
25%
31%
4+0%
Omari Giraud-Hutchinson
FWD · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
54
Proj.
0.31
O 0.5
26%
Model /90
0.51
074%
121%
24%
3+1%
Virgil van Dijk
DEF · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
90
Proj.
0.29
O 0.5
25%
Model /90
0.29
075%
122%
23%
3+0%
Curtis Jones
MID · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
54
Proj.
0.29
O 0.5
24%
Model /90
0.47
076%
120%
24%
3+1%
Ryan Gravenberch
MID · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
84
Proj.
0.27
O 0.5
23%
Model /90
0.29
077%
120%
23%
3+0%
Neco Williams
DEF · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
80
Proj.
0.26
O 0.5
22%
Model /90
0.29
078%
119%
23%
3+0%
Dilane Bakwa
FWD · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
40
Proj.
0.25
O 0.5
21%
Model /90
0.57
079%
118%
23%
3+0%
Harvey Elliot
MID · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
20
Proj.
0.24
O 0.5
20%
Model /90
1.08
080%
116%
23%
31%
4+0%
Taiwo Michael Awoniyi
FWD · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
21
Proj.
0.23
O 0.5
19%
Model /90
0.97
081%
116%
23%
30%
4+0%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 0.5	n	Distribution
Mohamed Salah GhalyFWD	Liverpool	1.30	89provisional	1.29	71%	13	029% 135% 222% 310% 43% 51% 6+0%
Hugo EkitikeFWD	Liverpool	1.07	65provisional	0.77	51%	22	049% 132% 213% 34% 41% 5+0%
Chris WoodFWD	Nottingham Forest	0.87	76provisional	0.73	50%	46	050% 133% 213% 34% 41% 5+0%
Dominik SzoboszlaiMID	Liverpool	0.81	80provisional	0.71	50%	66	050% 133% 212% 33% 41% 5+0%
Cody Mathès GakpoFWD	Liverpool	0.94	66provisional	0.69	47%	58	053% 131% 212% 33% 41% 5+0%
Alexander IsakFWD	Liverpool	1.12	50provisional	0.63	42%	8	058% 128% 210% 33% 41% 5+0%
Florian WirtzMID	Liverpool	0.75	72provisional	0.61	44%	28	056% 131% 210% 32% 4+1%
Morgan Gibbs-WhiteMID	Nottingham Forest	0.64	84provisional	0.59	44%	70	056% 132% 210% 32% 4+0%
Igor Jesus Maciel da CruzFWD	Nottingham Forest	0.76	63provisional	0.53	39%	31	061% 129% 28% 32% 4+0%
Callum Hudson-OdoiFWD	Nottingham Forest	0.52	66provisional	0.38	31%	55	069% 125% 25% 31% 4+0%
Alexis Mac AllisterMID	Liverpool	0.46	73provisional	0.38	31%	62	069% 125% 25% 31% 4+0%
Rio NgumohaFWD	Liverpool	1.07	29provisional	0.35	26%	5	074% 120% 25% 31% 4+0%
Omari Giraud-HutchinsonFWD	Nottingham Forest	0.51	54provisional	0.31	26%	22	074% 121% 24% 3+1%
Virgil van DijkDEF	Liverpool	0.29	90provisional	0.29	25%	75	075% 122% 23% 3+0%
Curtis JonesMID	Liverpool	0.47	54provisional	0.29	24%	41	076% 120% 24% 3+1%
Ryan GravenberchMID	Liverpool	0.29	84provisional	0.27	23%	72	077% 120% 23% 3+0%
Neco WilliamsDEF	Nottingham Forest	0.29	80provisional	0.26	22%	66	078% 119% 23% 3+0%
Dilane BakwaFWD	Nottingham Forest	0.57	40provisional	0.25	21%	8	079% 118% 23% 3+0%
Harvey ElliotMID	Liverpool	1.08	20provisional	0.24	20%	4	080% 116% 23% 31% 4+0%
Taiwo Michael AwoniyiFWD	Nottingham Forest	0.97	21provisional	0.23	19%	8	081% 116% 23% 30% 4+0%

20 of 37 players shown, ranked by projection.

Fouls won40 playersHighest: Ryan Gravenberch, 1.22 expectedshow

What drives it — How much a player runs at defenders. Dribble volume drives this far more than the referee does. See what has actually happened.

Ryan Gravenberch
MID · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
84
Proj.
1.22
O 1.5
34%
Model /90
1.30
031%
135%
221%
39%
43%
51%
6+0%
Neco Williams
DEF · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
80
Proj.
1.19
O 1.5
33%
Model /90
1.33
034%
133%
220%
39%
43%
51%
6+0%
Morgan Gibbs-White
MID · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
84
Proj.
1.07
O 1.5
29%
Model /90
1.15
036%
135%
219%
37%
42%
51%
6+0%
Cody Mathès Gakpo
FWD · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
66
Proj.
1.06
O 1.5
29%
Model /90
1.45
039%
132%
218%
38%
43%
51%
6+0%
Alexis Mac Allister
MID · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
73
Proj.
1.02
O 1.5
27%
Model /90
1.25
039%
133%
218%
37%
42%
51%
6+0%
Ryan Yates
MID · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
45
Proj.
1.00
O 1.5
26%
Model /90
2.02
044%
130%
215%
37%
43%
51%
6+1%
Igor Jesus Maciel da Cruz
FWD · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
63
Proj.
0.99
O 1.5
26%
Model /90
1.43
041%
133%
217%
37%
42%
51%
6+0%
Conor Bradley
DEF · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
50
Proj.
0.89
O 1.5
23%
Model /90
1.61
045%
132%
215%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Jeremie Frimpong
DEF · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
50
Proj.
0.87
O 1.5
23%
Model /90
1.59
049%
128%
214%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Milos Kerkez
DEF · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
67
Proj.
0.86
O 1.5
22%
Model /90
1.17
046%
132%
215%
35%
42%
5+0%
Temitayo Olufisayo Olaoluwa Aina
DEF · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
87
Proj.
0.86
O 1.5
21%
Model /90
0.89
043%
135%
215%
35%
41%
5+0%
Mohamed Salah Ghaly
FWD · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
89
Proj.
0.85
O 1.5
21%
Model /90
0.86
043%
135%
215%
35%
41%
5+0%
Dilane Bakwa
FWD · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
40
Proj.
0.83
O 1.5
21%
Model /90
1.88
049%
130%
213%
35%
42%
51%
6+0%
Omari Giraud-Hutchinson
FWD · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
54
Proj.
0.79
O 1.5
20%
Model /90
1.32
050%
131%
213%
35%
41%
50%
6+0%
Dominik Szoboszlai
MID · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
80
Proj.
0.77
O 1.5
18%
Model /90
0.87
048%
134%
213%
34%
41%
5+0%
Curtis Jones
MID · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
54
Proj.
0.73
O 1.5
18%
Model /90
1.20
053%
130%
212%
34%
41%
5+0%
Florian Wirtz
MID · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
72
Proj.
0.69
O 1.5
16%
Model /90
0.85
052%
132%
212%
33%
41%
5+0%
Ibrahim Sangaré
MID · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
65
Proj.
0.64
O 1.5
15%
Model /90
0.88
056%
130%
211%
33%
41%
5+0%
Dan Ndoye
FWD · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
49
Proj.
0.64
O 1.5
15%
Model /90
1.17
057%
128%
211%
33%
41%
5+0%
Chris Wood
FWD · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
0.62
O 1.5
13%
Model /90
0.73
055%
132%
210%
32%
4+1%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 1.5	n	Distribution
Ryan GravenberchMID	Liverpool	1.30	84provisional	1.22	34%	72	031% 135% 221% 39% 43% 51% 6+0%
Neco WilliamsDEF	Nottingham Forest	1.33	80provisional	1.19	33%	66	034% 133% 220% 39% 43% 51% 6+0%
Morgan Gibbs-WhiteMID	Nottingham Forest	1.15	84provisional	1.07	29%	70	036% 135% 219% 37% 42% 51% 6+0%
Cody Mathès GakpoFWD	Liverpool	1.45	66provisional	1.06	29%	58	039% 132% 218% 38% 43% 51% 6+0%
Alexis Mac AllisterMID	Liverpool	1.25	73provisional	1.02	27%	62	039% 133% 218% 37% 42% 51% 6+0%
Ryan YatesMID	Nottingham Forest	2.02	45provisional	1.00	26%	29	044% 130% 215% 37% 43% 51% 6+1%
Igor Jesus Maciel da CruzFWD	Nottingham Forest	1.43	63provisional	0.99	26%	31	041% 133% 217% 37% 42% 51% 6+0%
Conor BradleyDEF	Liverpool	1.61	50provisional	0.89	23%	22	045% 132% 215% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Jeremie FrimpongDEF	Liverpool	1.59	50provisional	0.87	23%	14	049% 128% 214% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Milos KerkezDEF	Liverpool	1.17	67provisional	0.86	22%	29	046% 132% 215% 35% 42% 5+0%
Temitayo Olufisayo Olaoluwa AinaDEF	Nottingham Forest	0.89	87provisional	0.86	21%	53	043% 135% 215% 35% 41% 5+0%
Mohamed Salah GhalyFWD	Liverpool	0.86	89provisional	0.85	21%	13	043% 135% 215% 35% 41% 5+0%
Dilane BakwaFWD	Nottingham Forest	1.88	40provisional	0.83	21%	8	049% 130% 213% 35% 42% 51% 6+0%
Omari Giraud-HutchinsonFWD	Nottingham Forest	1.32	54provisional	0.79	20%	22	050% 131% 213% 35% 41% 50% 6+0%
Dominik SzoboszlaiMID	Liverpool	0.87	80provisional	0.77	18%	66	048% 134% 213% 34% 41% 5+0%
Curtis JonesMID	Liverpool	1.20	54provisional	0.73	18%	41	053% 130% 212% 34% 41% 5+0%
Florian WirtzMID	Liverpool	0.85	72provisional	0.69	16%	28	052% 132% 212% 33% 41% 5+0%
Ibrahim SangaréMID	Nottingham Forest	0.88	65provisional	0.64	15%	32	056% 130% 211% 33% 41% 5+0%
Dan NdoyeFWD	Nottingham Forest	1.17	49provisional	0.64	15%	15	057% 128% 211% 33% 41% 5+0%
Chris WoodFWD	Nottingham Forest	0.73	76provisional	0.62	13%	46	055% 132% 210% 32% 4+1%

20 of 40 players shown, ranked by projection.

Cards40 playersHighest: Ibrahim Sangaré, 0.22 expectedshow

Known defect — Prices ANY card — yellow, second yellow or straight red — matching how books settle "to be shown a card". The trends column counts the same thing.

What drives it — Fouls first, then how readily the referee reaches for a card. Two officials averaging four cards a match can do it for opposite reasons. See what has actually happened.

Ibrahim Sangaré
MID · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
65
Proj.
0.22
O 0.5
19%
Model /90
0.31
081%
117%
22%
3+0%
Conor Bradley
DEF · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
50
Proj.
0.21
O 0.5
19%
Model /90
0.38
081%
116%
22%
3+0%
Giorgi Mamardashvili
GK · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
87
Proj.
0.21
O 0.5
19%
Model /90
0.22
081%
117%
22%
3+0%
Ryan Yates
MID · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
45
Proj.
0.20
O 0.5
18%
Model /90
0.41
082%
115%
22%
3+0%
Dominik Szoboszlai
MID · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
80
Proj.
0.19
O 0.5
18%
Model /90
0.22
082%
116%
22%
3+0%
Alexis Mac Allister
MID · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
73
Proj.
0.19
O 0.5
17%
Model /90
0.24
083%
116%
22%
3+0%
Murillo Santiago Costa dos Santos
DEF · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
87
Proj.
0.19
O 0.5
17%
Model /90
0.19
083%
115%
2+2%
Ryan Gravenberch
MID · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
84
Proj.
0.18
O 0.5
17%
Model /90
0.19
083%
115%
2+2%
Felipe Rodrigues
DEF · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
48
Proj.
0.17
O 0.5
15%
Model /90
0.32
085%
113%
22%
3+0%
Nicolò Savona
DEF · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
73
Proj.
0.17
O 0.5
15%
Model /90
0.21
085%
114%
2+1%
Neco Williams
DEF · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
80
Proj.
0.17
O 0.5
15%
Model /90
0.19
085%
114%
2+1%
Nicolás Martín Domínguez
MID · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
52
Proj.
0.16
O 0.5
15%
Model /90
0.28
085%
113%
2+1%
Morgan Gibbs-White
MID · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
84
Proj.
0.15
O 0.5
14%
Model /90
0.17
086%
113%
2+1%
Mohamed Salah Ghaly
FWD · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
89
Proj.
0.15
O 0.5
14%
Model /90
0.15
086%
113%
2+1%
Temitayo Olufisayo Olaoluwa Aina
DEF · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
87
Proj.
0.14
O 0.5
13%
Model /90
0.15
087%
112%
2+1%
Nikola Milenković
DEF · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
89
Proj.
0.14
O 0.5
13%
Model /90
0.14
087%
112%
2+1%
Milos Kerkez
DEF · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
67
Proj.
0.14
O 0.5
13%
Model /90
0.18
087%
112%
2+1%
Virgil van Dijk
DEF · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
90
Proj.
0.12
O 0.5
12%
Model /90
0.12
088%
111%
2+1%
Joe Gomez
DEF · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
37
Proj.
0.11
O 0.5
10%
Model /90
0.27
090%
19%
2+1%
Omari Giraud-Hutchinson
FWD · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
54
Proj.
0.11
O 0.5
10%
Model /90
0.18
090%
19%
2+1%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 0.5	n	Distribution
Ibrahim SangaréMID	Nottingham Forest	0.31	65provisional	0.22	19%	32	081% 117% 22% 3+0%
Conor BradleyDEF	Liverpool	0.38	50provisional	0.21	19%	22	081% 116% 22% 3+0%
Giorgi MamardashviliGK	Liverpool	0.22	87provisional	0.21	19%	10	081% 117% 22% 3+0%
Ryan YatesMID	Nottingham Forest	0.41	45provisional	0.20	18%	29	082% 115% 22% 3+0%
Dominik SzoboszlaiMID	Liverpool	0.22	80provisional	0.19	18%	66	082% 116% 22% 3+0%
Alexis Mac AllisterMID	Liverpool	0.24	73provisional	0.19	17%	62	083% 116% 22% 3+0%
Murillo Santiago Costa dos SantosDEF	Nottingham Forest	0.19	87provisional	0.19	17%	61	083% 115% 2+2%
Ryan GravenberchMID	Liverpool	0.19	84provisional	0.18	17%	72	083% 115% 2+2%
Felipe RodriguesDEF	Nottingham Forest	0.32	48provisional	0.17	15%	26	085% 113% 22% 3+0%
Nicolò SavonaDEF	Nottingham Forest	0.21	73provisional	0.17	15%	12	085% 114% 2+1%
Neco WilliamsDEF	Nottingham Forest	0.19	80provisional	0.17	15%	66	085% 114% 2+1%
Nicolás Martín DomínguezMID	Nottingham Forest	0.28	52provisional	0.16	15%	44	085% 113% 2+1%
Morgan Gibbs-WhiteMID	Nottingham Forest	0.17	84provisional	0.15	14%	70	086% 113% 2+1%
Mohamed Salah GhalyFWD	Liverpool	0.15	89provisional	0.15	14%	13	086% 113% 2+1%
Temitayo Olufisayo Olaoluwa AinaDEF	Nottingham Forest	0.15	87provisional	0.14	13%	53	087% 112% 2+1%
Nikola MilenkovićDEF	Nottingham Forest	0.14	89provisional	0.14	13%	75	087% 112% 2+1%
Milos KerkezDEF	Liverpool	0.18	67provisional	0.14	13%	29	087% 112% 2+1%
Virgil van DijkDEF	Liverpool	0.12	90provisional	0.12	12%	75	088% 111% 2+1%
Joe GomezDEF	Liverpool	0.27	37provisional	0.11	10%	13	090% 19% 2+1%
Omari Giraud-HutchinsonFWD	Nottingham Forest	0.18	54provisional	0.11	10%	22	090% 19% 2+1%

20 of 40 players shown, ranked by projection.

Saves40 playersHighest: Matz Sels, 3.39 expectedshow

What drives it — Opponent shot volume. A keeper’s own record carries so little that this market shrinks harder than any other on the board. See what has actually happened.

Matz Sels
GK · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
88
Proj.
3.39
O 2.5
63%
Model /90
3.46
06%
113%
219%
319%
416%
512%
6+15%
Giorgi Mamardashvili
GK · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
87
Proj.
2.64
O 2.5
48%
Model /90
2.74
09%
120%
223%
320%
413%
58%
6+7%
Alisson Ramsés Becker
GK · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
90
Proj.
2.37
O 2.5
41%
Model /90
2.38
011%
123%
225%
319%
412%
56%
6+5%
Nikola Milenković
DEF · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
89
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Temitayo Olufisayo Olaoluwa Aina
DEF · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
87
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Murillo Santiago Costa dos Santos
DEF · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
87
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Morgan Gibbs-White
MID · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
84
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Neco Williams
DEF · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
80
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Chris Wood
FWD · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Nicolò Savona
DEF · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
73
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Ibrahim Sangaré
MID · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
65
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Callum Hudson-Odoi
FWD · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
66
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Igor Jesus Maciel da Cruz
FWD · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
63
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Mohamed Salah Ghaly
FWD · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
89
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Virgil van Dijk
DEF · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
90
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Omari Giraud-Hutchinson
FWD · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
54
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Ryan Gravenberch
MID · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
84
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Nicolás Martín Domínguez
MID · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
52
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Dominik Szoboszlai
MID · Liverpool
provisional
Mins
80
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Dan Ndoye
FWD · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
49
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 2.5	n	Distribution
Matz SelsGK	Nottingham Forest	3.46	88provisional	3.39	63%	68	06% 113% 219% 319% 416% 512% 6+15%
Giorgi MamardashviliGK	Liverpool	2.74	87provisional	2.64	48%	10	09% 120% 223% 320% 413% 58% 6+7%
Alisson Ramsés BeckerGK	Liverpool	2.38	90provisional	2.37	41%	54	011% 123% 225% 319% 412% 56% 6+5%
Nikola MilenkovićDEF	Nottingham Forest	0.00	89provisional	0.00	—	75	0100% 1+0%
Temitayo Olufisayo Olaoluwa AinaDEF	Nottingham Forest	0.00	87provisional	0.00	—	53	0100% 1+0%
Murillo Santiago Costa dos SantosDEF	Nottingham Forest	0.00	87provisional	0.00	—	61	0100% 1+0%
Morgan Gibbs-WhiteMID	Nottingham Forest	0.00	84provisional	0.00	—	70	0100% 1+0%
Neco WilliamsDEF	Nottingham Forest	0.00	80provisional	0.00	—	66	0100% 1+0%
Chris WoodFWD	Nottingham Forest	0.00	76provisional	0.00	—	46	0100% 1+0%
Nicolò SavonaDEF	Nottingham Forest	0.00	73provisional	0.00	—	12	0100% 1+0%
Ibrahim SangaréMID	Nottingham Forest	0.00	65provisional	0.00	—	32	0100% 1+0%
Callum Hudson-OdoiFWD	Nottingham Forest	0.00	66provisional	0.00	—	55	0100% 1+0%
Igor Jesus Maciel da CruzFWD	Nottingham Forest	0.00	63provisional	0.00	—	31	0100% 1+0%
Mohamed Salah GhalyFWD	Liverpool	0.00	89provisional	0.00	—	13	0100% 1+0%
Virgil van DijkDEF	Liverpool	0.00	90provisional	0.00	—	75	0100% 1+0%
Omari Giraud-HutchinsonFWD	Nottingham Forest	0.00	54provisional	0.00	—	22	0100% 1+0%
Ryan GravenberchMID	Liverpool	0.00	84provisional	0.00	—	72	0100% 1+0%
Nicolás Martín DomínguezMID	Nottingham Forest	0.00	52provisional	0.00	—	44	0100% 1+0%
Dominik SzoboszlaiMID	Liverpool	0.00	80provisional	0.00	—	66	0100% 1+0%
Dan NdoyeFWD	Nottingham Forest	0.00	49provisional	0.00	—	15	0100% 1+0%

20 of 40 players shown, ranked by projection.