Shots on target

100 players · Defenders across all five leagues · every home starts on record · minimum 10 appearances

Shot volume filtered through accuracy. The widest spread of any market on this board — roughly thirty-six times between the highest and lowest rates.

Next upWolverhampton WanderersvBlackburn RoversFri 14 Aug, 20:00 · in 20h

What this is — the highest expected counts the model produces for shots on target in this fixture, over each player's expected minutes. Not tips and not prices: nothing in this panel has been compared against a bookmaker. This fixture has 2 published calls on the value board. Full board for this fixture.

League

All leagues Bundesliga Championship La Liga Premier League Serie A

Team

93 with stats on record

Position

All Goalkeepers Defenders Midfielders Forwards

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Per 90 Over 1.5 Total Appearances

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Venue

All Home Away

Role

Any Started only

Min. apps

3 5 10 20

Mins / app

45+60+Any

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Per 90 — rate over 90 minutes playedLast 5 — actual counts, newest first. Hover one for the opponent, minutes and dateOver 1.5 — share of appearances beating that line

Player	Team	Apps	Mins/app	Per 90	Last 5 matches	Over 0.5	Over 1.5
Ozan Muhammed KabakDEF	TSG Hoffenheim	10	90	0.80	00101	50%5/10	20%2/10
Alejandro Grimaldo GarcíaDEF	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	31	85	0.78	10040	45%14/31	19%6/31
Federico DimarcoDEF	Inter	32	81	0.77	01001	63%20/32	6%2/32
Lukas KüblerDEF	SC Freiburg	20	80	0.73	00011	55%11/20	10%2/20
Kevin DiksDEF	Borussia Mönchengladbach	14	89	0.73	11102	64%9/14	7%1/14
Theo Bernard François HernándezDEF	AC Milan	14	83	0.70	10110	57%8/14	7%1/14
Florian LejeuneDEF	Rayo Vallecano	37	90	0.68	12100	57%21/37	11%4/37
Josha Mamadou Karaboue VagnomannDEF	VfB Stuttgart	17	87	0.67	12100	53%9/17	12%2/17
Raphaël Adelino José GuerreiroDEF	FC Bayern München	15	80	0.67	11001	53%8/15	7%1/15
Denzel DumfriesDEF	Inter	21	84	0.67	00000	43%9/21	19%4/21
Jeremie FrimpongDEF	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	19	80	0.65	10000	42%8/19	16%3/19
Daniel Muñoz MejíaDEF	Crystal Palace	32	85	0.63	10020	44%14/32	16%5/32
Brad PottsDEF	Preston North End	16	80	0.63	01110	50%8/16	6%1/16
Patrick Chinazaekpere DorguDEF	Lecce	21	83	0.62	20300	33%7/21	19%4/21
Riccardo CalafioriDEF	Arsenal	15	78	0.62	01102	33%5/15	13%2/15
Daniel BallardDEF	Sunderland	19	88	0.59	00000	47%9/19	11%2/19
Fabiano ParisiDEF	Fiorentina	14	79	0.57	11002	36%5/14	14%2/14
Conor ShaughnessyDEF	Portsmouth	10	79	0.57	01000	40%4/10	10%1/10
Thierr SmallDEF	Preston North End	12	79	0.57	00202	33%4/12	17%2/12
Martin FreseDEF	Hellas Verona	16	82	0.55	01020	44%7/16	6%1/16
Yann Aurel BisseckDEF	Inter	14	84	0.54	00111	50%7/14	0%0/14
Mats WiefferDEF	Brighton & Hove Albion	15	80	0.53	00011	40%6/15	7%1/15
Cristian Gabriel RomeroDEF	Tottenham Hotspur	20	79	0.52	00100	35%7/20	10%2/20
Tom RotheDEF	FC Union Berlin	15	81	0.52	01001	40%6/15	7%1/15
Harrison BurrowsDEF	Sheffield United	36	87	0.52	11100	44%16/36	6%2/36
Nico O'ReillyDEF	Manchester City	18	88	0.51	00210	33%6/18	17%3/18
Ridle Bote BakuDEF	RB Leipzig	28	83	0.50	01200	39%11/28	7%2/28
Caleb TaylorDEF	Millwall	12	90	0.50	00001	50%6/12	0%0/12
Wesley Vinicius França LimaDEF	Roma	15	85	0.49	11100	40%6/15	7%1/15
Denis VavroDEF	VfL Wolfsburg	19	88	0.48	10110	42%8/19	5%1/19
Ross McCrorieDEF	Bristol City	27	77	0.48	00110	33%9/27	7%2/27
Luka VuškovićDEF	Hamburger SV	15	90	0.47	20010	40%6/15	7%1/15
Anthony CaciDEF	FSV Mainz 05	19	82	0.46	00000	42%8/19	0%0/19
Curtis NelsonDEF	Derby County	13	90	0.46	01010	46%6/13	0%0/13
Alberto Moreno PérezDEF	Como	18	77	0.46	10000	33%6/18	6%1/18
Sam McCallumDEF	Sheffield United	13	77	0.45	00101	38%5/13	0%0/13
Miguel Gutiérrez OrtegaDEF	Girona	23	87	0.45	10002	35%8/23	9%2/23
Sven BotmanDEF	Newcastle United	13	77	0.45	00001	31%4/13	8%1/13
Elliott Jordan MooreDEF	Oxford United	14	86	0.45	21000	36%5/14	7%1/14
Óscar Mingueza GarcíaDEF	Celta de Vigo	27	82	0.45	00110	41%11/27	0%0/27
Marc BolaDEF	Watford	16	89	0.44	01011	44%7/16	0%0/16
Giorgos KiriakopoulosDEF	Monza	17	85	0.44	02000	35%6/17	6%1/17
Jimmy DunneDEF	Queens Park Rangers	42	90	0.43	10001	38%16/42	5%2/42
Arthur TheateDEF	Eintracht Frankfurt	26	89	0.43	02000	38%10/26	4%1/26
Christian KabaseleDEF	Udinese	23	83	0.43	00010	35%8/23	4%1/23
Luca PellegriniDEF	Lazio	16	80	0.42	10100	38%6/16	0%0/16
Stefan BellDEF	FSV Mainz 05	11	81	0.41	12100	27%3/11	9%1/11
Joe Rankin-CostelloDEF	Blackburn Rovers	14	78	0.41	01010	36%5/14	0%0/14
Mario Hermoso CansecoDEF	Roma	15	88	0.41	01200	33%5/15	7%1/15
Noahkai Kai Daniel BanksDEF	FC Augsburg	13	85	0.41	01010	38%5/13	0%0/13
Pervis Josué Estupiñán TenorioDEF	AC Milan	11	80	0.41	10000	27%3/11	9%1/11
Kouassi Ryan SessegnonDEF	Fulham	13	85	0.41	10000	38%5/13	0%0/13
Mitchell WeiserDEF	Werder Bremen	15	90	0.40	00102	33%5/15	7%1/15
Michael IhiekweDEF	Sheffield Wednesday	10	90	0.40	00011	40%4/10	0%0/10
Macaulay GillespheyDEF	Charlton Athletic	10	90	0.40	10100	40%4/10	0%0/10
Adam MarušićDEF	Lazio	29	86	0.40	00001	31%9/29	7%2/29
Dennis CirkinDEF	Sunderland	15	91	0.40	00000	40%6/15	0%0/15
Miro MuheimDEF	Hamburger SV	13	88	0.39	10010	38%5/13	0%0/13
Matt TargettDEF	Middlesbrough	20	81	0.39	10010	30%6/20	5%1/20
Mark McGuinnessDEF	Luton Town	30	85	0.39	10002	30%9/30	7%2/30
Emerson Palmieri dos SantosDEF	West Ham United	15	78	0.39	00100	27%4/15	7%1/15
David RaumDEF	RB Leipzig	27	86	0.39	02010	33%9/27	4%1/27
Jake CooperDEF	Millwall	42	89	0.39	02000	29%12/42	10%4/42
Manolis SaliakasDEF	St. Pauli	20	83	0.38	00101	35%7/20	0%0/20
Liberato Gianpaolo CacaceDEF	Empoli	17	84	0.38	00010	29%5/17	6%1/17
Adrián De la Fuente BarquillaDEF	Levante	16	89	0.38	00021	31%5/16	6%1/16
Leonardo SpinazzolaDEF	Napoli	18	80	0.37	00002	28%5/18	6%1/18
Federico GattiDEF	Juventus	22	78	0.37	10120	27%6/22	5%1/22
Willi OrbanDEF	RB Leipzig	30	89	0.37	10002	30%9/30	7%2/30
Fabian Lukas SchärDEF	Newcastle United	23	86	0.37	01110	30%7/23	4%1/23
Harry MaguireDEF	Manchester United	17	86	0.37	00200	18%3/17	12%2/17
Gleison Bremer Silva NascimentoDEF	Juventus	17	86	0.37	10110	35%6/17	0%0/17
Jarell QuansahDEF	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	14	88	0.37	10001	36%5/14	0%0/14
Neco WilliamsDEF	Nottingham Forest	34	88	0.36	10030	24%8/34	9%3/34
Andrei Florin RatiuDEF	Rayo Vallecano	34	88	0.36	00100	29%10/34	6%2/34
Enrique Jesús Salas ValienteDEF	Sevilla	26	87	0.36	10000	27%7/26	8%2/26
Jayden BogleDEF	Leeds United	38	87	0.36	00010	26%10/38	8%3/38
James JustinDEF	Leicester City	28	81	0.36	01100	29%8/28	4%1/28
Yukinari SugawaraDEF	Werder Bremen	22	81	0.35	00011	32%7/22	0%0/22
Patrick MainkaDEF	Heidenheim	34	90	0.35	10000	32%11/34	3%1/34
Dael FryDEF	Middlesbrough	18	86	0.35	00121	33%6/18	6%1/18
Konrad LaimerDEF	FC Bayern München	19	81	0.35	00010	32%6/19	0%0/19
Jurriën TimberDEF	Arsenal	27	85	0.35	02000	26%7/27	7%2/27
Mohammed Bosun LawalDEF	Stoke City	12	86	0.35	00001	25%3/12	8%1/12
Nahuel TenagliaDEF	Deportivo Alavés	38	88	0.35	11110	32%12/38	3%1/38
Omar Federico Alderete FernándezDEF	Getafe	32	89	0.35	01020	31%10/32	3%1/32
Bobby ThomasDEF	Coventry City	35	89	0.35	00000	34%12/35	0%0/35
Tim SierslebenDEF	Heidenheim	12	87	0.35	01001	33%4/12	0%0/12
Alessandro VogliaccoDEF	Parma	11	72	0.35	00100	27%3/11	0%0/11
Maximilian MittelstädtDEF	VfB Stuttgart	27	87	0.34	11300	26%7/27	4%1/27
Keven SchlotterbeckDEF	FC Augsburg	18	88	0.34	00001	33%6/18	0%0/18
Ryan AndrewsDEF	Watford	13	82	0.34	00010	23%3/13	8%1/13
Malick ThiawDEF	Newcastle United	27	88	0.34	01111	33%9/27	0%0/27
Luke McNallyDEF	Bristol City	12	89	0.34	10110	33%4/12	0%0/12
Jeremy NgakiaDEF	Watford	26	82	0.34	01000	27%7/26	4%1/26
Terry DevlinDEF	Portsmouth	19	85	0.34	00000	32%6/19	0%0/19
George CampbellDEF	West Bromwich Albion	15	90	0.33	00000	27%4/15	7%1/15
Jan Paul van HeckeDEF	Brighton & Hove Albion	33	90	0.33	00110	27%9/33	3%1/33
Danilho DoekhiDEF	FC Union Berlin	33	90	0.33	00310	21%7/33	9%3/33
Gregory LeighDEF	Oxford United	16	85	0.33	10000	31%5/16	0%0/16

Top 100 shown. Hit rates are what happened, not what will. A 100% over a five-match window is five matches, and five matches is not evidence — the Apps column is there to be read alongside every percentage in this table.