Reading it
A model can be accurate on average and badly over-confident where it is most confident, which produces its biggest fake edges exactly where it would recommend the biggest stakes. Every market here had to pass a calibration gate before it was allowed to produce a projection.
Definitions describe what Per90’s licensed data feed records, which is not always what a given bookmaker settles on. When the two differ, the bookmaker’s rules decide a bet.
Where it appears on Per90
- Player props research guide — the method this term belongs to, start to finish.
- Methodology — how the model is built and how well each market is priced.