Per90
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Per90
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0 fixtures with a shaped teamsheet, 0 confirmed · 0 priced duels
Where two players are likely to spend the match in each other’s way, and one of them is priced to foul. Pairings come from the teamsheet’s own shape — which line a player is in and where across it — never from a name or a registered position, and every card says why those two. Formations change and substitutes arrive: this is a likely matchup, not a marking assignment.
The pairing is the two roles that meet: a defender takes the forward on his flank, a midfielder takes the midfielder opposite him.
The rates are per 90 over each player’s last 20 appearances of 20 minutes or more — one for committing, one for drawing.
The evidence score ranks the matchups against each other and is not a probability. Every card shows the five parts it is made of.
No teamsheets published yet
A duel needs a teamsheet with a formation, and those are captured from about three hours before kick-off. Until one lands there is nobody to pair — this is the clock rather than a missing feature, and the board fills on its own as the matches approach.
Every starter is placed on one pitch from the shape his teamsheet gives — which line he is in, and where across that line. The away side is mirrored, so the two sets of flanks face each other.
A player is then matched to the opposite role across the line — a forward to a defender, a midfielder to a midfielder — and among those, to the one nearest him across the pitch. That is why a winger is paired with a full-back and never with the goalkeeper, who by straight-line distance is often closer.
Where a second opponent is nearly as plausible, the pairing says so and its confidence falls. Tackle duels need the volume of take-ons a defender faces; that data is being ingested now and those duels are not published until it is complete.
An upcoming matchup where two players are likely to spend the match in each other’s way and one of them is priced to commit a foul. It combines both players’ records with a current price.
From the teamsheet’s own shape. Each starter is placed on one pitch, the away side mirrored, and then matched to the opposite role across the line — a forward to a defender, a midfielder to a midfielder — and among those to the one nearest him across the pitch. Names and registered positions are never used.
It is not a probability and does not estimate one. It ranks matchups against each other from five weighted parts, all of which are shown on the card: the committer’s rate, the opponent’s rate of drawing fouls, the hit rate at the priced line, how confident the pairing is, and the sample and lineup state.
An expected XI is the feed’s best guess and changes until the teamsheet is handed in; a confirmed XI is the real one, usually about an hour before kick-off. Every card says which it is, and an expected one scores lower.
A duel needs a teamsheet with a formation and a standing price. Teamsheets are captured from about three hours before kick-off and bookmakers take player props down at kick-off, so the board fills in the hours before matches and is empty between them.
A tackle duel needs the volume of take-ons the defender faces. That field is being ingested now, and until it is complete a tackle duel would have to substitute something else for it, which would make the card unfounded.