Shots

100 players · Forwards across all five leagues · every home starts on record · minimum 10 appearances

Volume, regardless of quality. A player who shoots often from bad positions and one who shoots rarely from good ones can price identically here and settle very differently.

Next upWolverhampton WanderersvBlackburn RoversFri 14 Aug, 20:00 · in 38h

Shots

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Adam Armstrong82′ · n=142.0056% o1.5
Yuki Ohashi69′ · n=821.5342% o1.5
Toluwalase Emmanuel Arokodare43′ · n=331.4435% o1.5
Andri Lucas Guojohnsen62′ · n=251.3537% o1.5
Jhon Adolfo Arias Andrade49′ · n=231.2834% o1.5

What this is — the highest expected counts the model produces for shots in this fixture, over each player's expected minutes. Not tips and not prices: nothing in this panel has been compared against a bookmaker. This fixture has 2 published calls on the value board. Full board for this fixture.

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Team

93 with stats on record

Position

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Per 90 Over 1.5 Total Appearances

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Per 90 — rate over 90 minutes playedLast 5 — actual counts, newest first. Hover one for the opponent, minutes and dateOver 1.5 — share of appearances beating that line

Player	Team	Apps	Mins/app	Per 90	Last 5 matches	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5
Kylian Mbappé LottinFWD	Real Madrid	31	88	5.66	57556	100%31/31	97%30/31	97%30/31
Harry KaneFWD	FC Bayern München	27	84	5.23	511875	96%26/27	93%25/27	81%22/27
Deniz UndavFWD	VfB Stuttgart	24	82	5.11	74736	96%23/24	92%22/24	83%20/24
Lamine Yamal Nasraoui EbanaFWD	FC Barcelona	29	85	4.79	47263	97%28/29	97%28/29	83%24/29
Alexander SørlothFWD	Atlético de Madrid	22	74	4.79	55274	100%22/22	95%21/22	77%17/22
Donyell MalenFWD	Roma	15	79	4.48	24433	93%14/15	93%14/15	87%13/15
Raphael Dias BelloliFWD	FC Barcelona	25	79	4.45	55315	100%25/25	84%21/25	72%18/25
Nikola KrstovićFWD	Lecce	28	82	4.27	36330	96%27/28	89%25/28	75%21/28
Dušan VlahovićFWD	Juventus	17	78	4.20	41362	94%16/17	88%15/17	71%12/17
Moise Bioty KeanFWD	Fiorentina	27	87	4.16	25827	96%26/27	93%25/27	74%20/27
Omar MarmoushFWD	Manchester City	21	81	4.15	35233	100%21/21	100%21/21	67%14/21
Erling HålandFWD	Manchester City	30	87	4.13	55242	100%30/30	83%25/30	60%18/30
Hugo EkitikeFWD	Eintracht Frankfurt	27	82	4.12	23664	93%25/27	93%25/27	70%19/27
Patrik SchickFWD	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	21	78	3.94	49524	95%20/21	81%17/21	57%12/21
Lautaro Javier MartínezFWD	Inter	28	82	3.89	43131	100%28/28	86%24/28	79%22/28
Degnand Wilfried GnontoFWD	Leeds United	15	74	3.88	23543	100%15/15	93%14/15	80%12/15
Michael OliseFWD	FC Bayern München	26	81	3.87	66125	100%26/26	88%23/26	62%16/26
Serge GnabryFWD	FC Bayern München	12	69	3.78	73722	100%12/12	83%10/12	42%5/12
Vedat MuriqiFWD	Mallorca	33	82	3.69	105522	91%30/33	73%24/33	52%17/33
Álvaro Daniel Rodríguez MuñozFWD	Elche	15	77	3.68	27244	87%13/15	80%12/15	53%8/15
Mateo ReteguiFWD	Atalanta	17	72	3.63	32613	94%16/17	76%13/17	59%10/17
Ante BudimirFWD	Osasuna	36	85	3.62	59323	94%34/36	83%30/36	72%26/36
Daniel JamesFWD	Leeds United	16	79	3.62	21243	94%15/16	88%14/16	56%9/16
Riccardo OrsoliniFWD	Bologna	26	73	3.61	44632	92%24/26	77%20/26	58%15/26
Valentín Mariano José Castellanos GiménezFWD	Lazio	28	80	3.60	42150	89%25/28	79%22/28	54%15/28
Matheus Santos Carneiro Da CunhaFWD	Wolverhampton Wanderers	29	83	3.55	43422	100%29/29	90%26/29	52%15/29
Bukayo SakaFWD	Arsenal	23	83	3.54	32413	100%23/23	78%18/23	57%13/23
Juan Camilo Hernández SuárezFWD	Real Betis	23	83	3.53	45434	100%23/23	91%21/23	74%17/23
Rocco VataFWD	Watford	12	75	3.50	15714	100%12/12	67%8/12	50%6/12
Daniel Fernando Mosquera BonillaFWD	Hellas Verona	10	67	3.48	23344	100%10/10	80%8/10	60%6/10
Ferrán Torres GarcíaFWD	FC Barcelona	16	74	3.48	21212	100%16/16	75%12/16	56%9/16
Rafael Mir VicenteFWD	Elche	14	83	3.48	22252	100%14/14	86%12/14	57%8/14
Ademola LookmanFWD	Atalanta	26	76	3.48	33432	92%24/26	88%23/26	62%16/26
Fisnik AsllaniFWD	TSG Hoffenheim	15	76	3.47	32243	100%15/15	87%13/15	67%10/15
Haji WrightFWD	Coventry City	29	81	3.46	25333	93%27/29	72%21/29	52%15/29
Marcus RashfordFWD	Manchester United	15	76	3.46	28368	73%11/15	67%10/15	40%6/15
Said El MalaFWD	FC Köln	10	84	3.45	210331	100%10/10	80%8/10	60%6/10
Víctor Muñoz VillanuevaFWD	Osasuna	17	83	3.44	41477	94%16/17	76%13/17	59%10/17
Francisco Fernandes ConceiçãoFWD	Juventus	19	77	3.44	34423	89%17/19	79%15/19	63%12/19
Josh MurphyFWD	Portsmouth	27	86	3.43	44384	96%26/27	89%24/27	52%14/27
Nestory IrankundaFWD	Watford	13	77	3.43	64711	85%11/13	62%8/13	46%6/13
Antony Matheus dos SantosFWD	Real Betis	24	84	3.42	53273	100%24/24	92%22/24	63%15/24
Gift Emmanuel OrbanFWD	Hellas Verona	17	78	3.38	52224	94%16/17	76%13/17	47%8/17
Chukwunonso MaduekeFWD	Chelsea	21	72	3.37	20212	86%18/21	71%15/21	43%9/21
Serhou GuirassyFWD	Borussia Dortmund	26	87	3.36	14338	100%26/26	81%21/26	50%13/26
Harry WilsonFWD	Fulham	23	80	3.33	13621	91%21/23	70%16/23	52%12/23
Morgan WhittakerFWD	Middlesbrough	35	81	3.32	35320	94%33/35	77%27/35	63%22/35
Alexander IsakFWD	Newcastle United	22	83	3.30	13123	95%21/22	77%17/22	59%13/22
Giovanni Pablo SimeoneFWD	Torino	14	80	3.30	14454	100%14/14	71%10/14	64%9/14
Joël PiroeFWD	Leeds United	18	82	3.29	31475	89%16/18	78%14/18	56%10/18
Vinícius José Paixão de Oliveira JúniorFWD	Real Madrid	30	84	3.28	24551	100%30/30	83%25/30	63%19/30
Ollie WatkinsFWD	Aston Villa	33	81	3.26	64523	97%32/33	79%26/33	52%17/33
Harvey Lewis BarnesFWD	Newcastle United	19	80	3.24	22133	95%18/19	84%16/19	53%10/19
Rodrigo Muniz CarvalhoFWD	Fulham	10	78	3.24	33421	100%10/10	80%8/10	50%5/10
Sergio Camello PérezFWD	Rayo Vallecano	13	64	3.23	53311	77%10/13	62%8/13	46%6/13
Abdessamad EzzalzouliFWD	Real Betis	23	83	3.22	13221	91%21/23	83%19/23	65%15/23
Antoine SemenyoFWD	AFC Bournemouth	37	88	3.20	11213	100%37/37	78%29/37	59%22/37
Adam HložekFWD	TSG Hoffenheim	12	80	3.19	12462	92%11/12	67%8/12	42%5/12
Giovane Santana do NascimentoFWD	Hellas Verona	11	80	3.18	22132	91%10/11	82%9/11	45%5/11
Kai HavertzFWD	Arsenal	16	80	3.17	30203	88%14/16	75%12/16	50%8/16
Kieffer MooreFWD	Wrexham	26	85	3.17	23531	100%26/26	85%22/26	62%16/26
Michael JohnstonFWD	West Bromwich Albion	30	79	3.16	53121	90%27/30	73%22/30	50%15/30
Michael GregoritschFWD	FC Augsburg	10	74	3.15	43215	90%9/10	80%8/10	40%4/10
Georges MikautadzeFWD	Villarreal	14	80	3.15	31626	93%13/14	79%11/14	43%6/14
Ermedin DemirovićFWD	VfB Stuttgart	19	80	3.13	62254	95%18/19	84%16/19	47%9/19
Gorka Guruzeta RodríguezFWD	Athletic Club	25	75	3.11	44230	96%24/25	64%16/25	52%13/25
Nicolas JacksonFWD	Chelsea	21	79	3.09	42320	95%20/21	71%15/21	38%8/21
Marvin DuckschFWD	Birmingham City	30	75	3.08	27333	90%27/30	70%21/30	53%16/30
Demarai GrayFWD	Birmingham City	13	74	3.08	21253	100%13/13	85%11/13	46%6/13
Jay StansfieldFWD	Birmingham City	23	82	3.07	25222	96%22/23	87%20/23	48%11/23
Mohamed El Amine AmouraFWD	VfL Wolfsburg	25	83	3.06	34208	96%24/25	76%19/25	52%13/25
Thomas Christopher CannonFWD	Stoke City	23	83	3.06	61222	91%21/23	74%17/23	52%12/23
Zian FlemmingFWD	Burnley	24	78	3.04	25254	88%21/24	75%18/24	46%11/24
Ellis SimmsFWD	Coventry City	17	77	3.03	26115	88%15/17	65%11/17	41%7/17
Mbala N'ZolaFWD	Pisa	10	83	3.03	23235	100%10/10	90%9/10	60%6/10
Jaden Philogene-BidaceFWD	Ipswich Town	18	76	3.03	41043	89%16/18	72%13/18	56%10/18
Ryan HardieFWD	Plymouth Argyle	14	74	3.02	41445	93%13/14	71%10/14	50%7/14
Alejandro Garnacho FerreyraFWD	Manchester United	20	74	3.02	30101	85%17/20	60%12/20	45%9/20
Nicolò ZanioloFWD	Udinese	16	80	3.02	64113	100%16/16	63%10/16	50%8/16
Kenan YildizFWD	Juventus	32	82	3.02	42234	94%30/32	78%25/32	44%14/32
Ilyas ChairaFWD	Real Oviedo	16	77	3.01	47422	81%13/16	81%13/16	38%6/16
Borja Sainz EguskizaFWD	Norwich City	21	89	3.00	42222	100%21/21	90%19/21	57%12/21
Rafael Alexandre Conceição LeãoFWD	AC Milan	25	83	2.99	31824	92%23/25	72%18/25	36%9/25
Igor Jesus Maciel da CruzFWD	Nottingham Forest	13	77	2.98	34211	92%12/13	77%10/13	46%6/13
Roberto PiccoliFWD	Cagliari	26	85	2.98	31314	88%23/26	69%18/26	58%15/26
Brandon Thomas-AsanteFWD	Coventry City	17	77	2.97	22325	94%16/17	71%12/17	47%8/17
Antonio Martínez LópezFWD	Deportivo Alavés	21	80	2.95	32236	95%20/21	90%19/21	52%11/21
Sindre Walle EgeliFWD	Ipswich Town	11	75	2.94	14411	100%11/11	64%7/11	45%5/11
Norberto Bercique Gomes BetuncalFWD	Everton	15	78	2.94	12432	93%14/15	73%11/15	53%8/15
Marcus ThuramFWD	Inter	27	78	2.94	32251	96%26/27	78%21/27	52%14/27
Julián ÁlvarezFWD	Atlético de Madrid	25	76	2.92	12415	96%24/25	60%15/25	44%11/25
Conor ChaplinFWD	Portsmouth	17	75	2.91	20262	82%14/17	76%13/17	47%8/17
Callum RobinsonFWD	Cardiff City	12	72	2.90	13453	92%11/12	58%7/12	50%6/12
Lucas Ariel BoyéFWD	Deportivo Alavés	13	81	2.89	40244	85%11/13	62%8/13	46%6/13
Jonathan DavidFWD	Juventus	10	75	2.88	22121	90%9/10	70%7/10	40%4/10
Andrej KramarićFWD	TSG Hoffenheim	29	84	2.87	14432	93%27/29	72%21/29	48%14/29
Abdul Fatawu IssahakuFWD	Leicester City	26	87	2.87	21661	96%25/26	73%19/26	50%13/26
Thijs DallingaFWD	Bologna	12	71	2.86	23312	92%11/12	67%8/12	50%6/12
Adam ArmstrongFWD	Southampton	31	79	2.86	13300	84%26/31	61%19/31	45%14/31
Ransford KönigsdörfferFWD	Hamburger SV	14	77	2.85	22311	100%14/14	64%9/14	36%5/14

Top 100 shown. Hit rates are what happened, not what will. A 100% over a five-match window is five matches, and five matches is not evidence — the Apps column is there to be read alongside every percentage in this table.