Shots

100 players · Players across all five leagues · their last 20 home matches · minimum 5 appearances

Volume, regardless of quality. A player who shoots often from bad positions and one who shoots rarely from good ones can price identically here and settle very differently.

Next upWolverhampton WanderersvBlackburn RoversFri 14 Aug, 20:00 · in 34h

Shots

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Adam Armstrong82′ · n=142.0056% o1.5
Yuki Ohashi69′ · n=821.5342% o1.5
Toluwalase Emmanuel Arokodare43′ · n=331.4435% o1.5
Andri Lucas Guojohnsen62′ · n=251.3537% o1.5
Jhon Adolfo Arias Andrade49′ · n=231.2834% o1.5

What this is — the highest expected counts the model produces for shots in this fixture, over each player's expected minutes. Not tips and not prices: nothing in this panel has been compared against a bookmaker. This fixture has 2 published calls on the value board. Full board for this fixture.

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Team

93 with stats on record

Position

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Per 90 Over 1.5 Total Appearances

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Per 90 — rate over 90 minutes playedLast 5 — actual counts, newest first. Hover one for the opponent, minutes and dateOver 1.5 — share of appearances beating that line

Player	Team	Apps	Mins/app	Per 90	Last 5 matches	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5
Kylian Mbappé LottinFWD	Real Madrid	20	82	6.12	54750	95%19/20	95%19/20	95%19/20
Victor Okoh BonifaceFWD	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	13	50	5.64	15511	92%12/13	62%8/13	62%8/13
Lamine Yamal Nasraoui EbanaFWD	FC Barcelona	20	76	5.23	47206	85%17/20	85%17/20	75%15/20
Deniz UndavFWD	VfB Stuttgart	20	77	5.17	74736	90%18/20	85%17/20	80%16/20
Raphael Dias BelloliFWD	FC Barcelona	20	64	5.11	52531	100%20/20	80%16/20	65%13/20
Marcus RashfordFWD	FC Barcelona	20	46	5.10	20201	80%16/20	65%13/20	30%6/20
Nikola KrstovićFWD	Atalanta	20	59	5.09	36337	85%17/20	80%16/20	60%12/20
Harry KaneFWD	FC Bayern München	20	78	4.97	502118	95%19/20	85%17/20	65%13/20
Carlos Espí EscrihuelaFWD	Levante	15	51	4.71	59454	73%11/15	53%8/15	47%7/15
Álvaro Daniel Rodríguez MuñozFWD	Elche	20	60	4.52	27202	90%18/20	80%16/20	55%11/20
Michael OliseFWD	FC Bayern München	20	75	4.51	14466	95%19/20	80%16/20	70%14/20
Paul MendyFWD	Cagliari	5	53	4.45	44212	100%5/5	80%4/5	40%2/5
Robert LewandowskiFWD	FC Barcelona	9	81	4.42	25166	100%9/9	89%8/9	67%6/9
Alexander SørlothFWD	Atlético de Madrid	20	66	4.41	15502	90%18/20	80%16/20	55%11/20
Khvicha KvaratskheliaFWD	Napoli	9	73	4.40	63310	89%8/9	78%7/9	56%5/9
Donyell MalenFWD	Roma	19	66	4.40	24433	84%16/19	74%14/19	68%13/19
Moise Bioty KeanFWD	Fiorentina	20	83	4.31	25822	100%20/20	95%19/20	65%13/20
Dušan VlahovićFWD	Juventus	20	48	4.31	43013	85%17/20	60%12/20	40%8/20
Dzenan PejcinovicFWD	VfL Wolfsburg	14	46	4.29	62230	79%11/14	64%9/14	36%5/14
Gianluca ScamaccaFWD	Atalanta	13	55	4.25	02613	85%11/13	62%8/13	54%7/13
Nicolás Paz MartínezMID	Como	20	81	4.23	26341	95%19/20	90%18/20	70%14/20
Said El MalaFWD	FC Köln	17	59	4.14	210331	100%17/17	71%12/17	47%8/17
Lautaro Javier MartínezFWD	Inter	20	71	4.04	41313	100%20/20	75%15/20	65%13/20
Daniel JamesFWD	Leeds United	20	56	4.03	21000	75%15/20	65%13/20	45%9/20
Joël PiroeFWD	Leeds United	20	46	4.02	12002	70%14/20	50%10/20	30%6/20
Ante BudimirFWD	Osasuna	20	78	4.00	59323	85%17/20	75%15/20	70%14/20
Omar MarmoushFWD	Manchester City	20	61	3.97	31502	90%18/20	70%14/20	45%9/20
Vitor Hugo Roque FerreiraFWD	Real Betis	8	77	3.97	15156	100%8/8	63%5/8	63%5/8
Jamal MusialaMID	FC Bayern München	20	62	3.94	21333	95%19/20	70%14/20	55%11/20
Erling HålandFWD	Manchester City	20	82	3.93	55242	95%19/20	75%15/20	55%11/20
Hugo EkitikeFWD	Liverpool	20	68	3.90	22366	85%17/20	80%16/20	50%10/20
Antony Matheus dos SantosFWD	Real Betis	20	78	3.87	53273	100%20/20	95%19/20	65%13/20
Vedat MuriqiFWD	Mallorca	20	84	3.85	105522	95%19/20	75%15/20	45%9/20
Ibrahim MazaMID	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	15	70	3.85	72536	87%13/15	87%13/15	53%8/15
Haji WrightFWD	Coventry City	20	66	3.79	25303	85%17/20	75%15/20	50%10/20
Riccardo OrsoliniFWD	Bologna	20	64	3.79	04463	80%16/20	70%14/20	55%11/20
Serhou GuirassyFWD	Borussia Dortmund	20	70	3.75	14352	100%20/20	80%16/20	40%8/20
Leroy SanéFWD	FC Bayern München	16	53	3.75	35150	75%12/16	56%9/16	44%7/16
Matheus Santos Carneiro Da CunhaFWD	Manchester United	20	72	3.74	43422	90%18/20	80%16/20	50%10/20
Cole PalmerMID	Chelsea	20	85	3.73	35443	95%19/20	90%18/20	70%14/20
Fermín López MarínMID	FC Barcelona	20	55	3.70	32151	80%16/20	55%11/20	40%8/20
Roger Brugué AyguadéFWD	Levante	8	46	3.67	23113	88%7/8	63%5/8	38%3/8
Juan Camilo Hernández SuárezFWD	Real Betis	20	81	3.67	45423	100%20/20	95%19/20	70%14/20
Mateo ReteguiFWD	Atalanta	19	66	3.66	32613	95%18/19	68%13/19	53%10/19
Alisson de Almeida SantosFWD	Napoli	8	55	3.66	14310	88%7/8	63%5/8	50%4/8
Josh MurphyFWD	Portsmouth	20	85	3.64	44380	95%19/20	85%17/20	55%11/20
Thelo AasgaardMID	Luton Town	8	90	3.63	73523	100%8/8	88%7/8	63%5/8
Rafael Mir VicenteFWD	Elche	20	61	3.60	22251	85%17/20	65%13/20	40%8/20
Ryan HardieFWD	Plymouth Argyle	20	54	3.58	24014	85%17/20	60%12/20	40%8/20
Victor Torp OvergaardMID	Coventry City	20	54	3.57	20103	85%17/20	55%11/20	45%9/20
Can Yılmaz UzunMID	Eintracht Frankfurt	20	51	3.56	14013	85%17/20	45%9/20	35%7/20
Patrik SchickFWD	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	20	67	3.56	49522	80%16/20	65%13/20	45%9/20
Kenan YildizFWD	Juventus	20	82	3.55	42023	95%19/20	85%17/20	55%11/20
Alexis Claude MauriceMID	FC Augsburg	20	79	3.54	02545	90%18/20	75%15/20	55%11/20
Giorgos MasourasFWD	VfL Bochum 1848	7	69	3.52	30711	71%5/7	43%3/7	43%3/7
Francisco Fernandes ConceiçãoFWD	Juventus	20	64	3.51	34423	80%16/20	65%13/20	50%10/20
Harry WilsonFWD	Fulham	20	75	3.49	21362	90%18/20	70%14/20	45%9/20
Morgan WhittakerFWD	Middlesbrough	20	72	3.48	35320	90%18/20	70%14/20	60%12/20
Benjamin ŠeškoFWD	Manchester United	20	56	3.46	31324	85%17/20	70%14/20	40%8/20
Víctor Muñoz VillanuevaFWD	Osasuna	17	83	3.44	41477	94%16/17	76%13/17	59%10/17
Josh WindassMID	Wrexham	20	60	3.44	74401	85%17/20	70%14/20	30%6/20
Rodrygo Silva de GoesFWD	Real Madrid	20	47	3.43	31311	85%17/20	45%9/20	35%7/20
Bruno Miguel Borges FernandesMID	Manchester United	20	87	3.42	52013	85%17/20	80%16/20	70%14/20
Fisnik AsllaniFWD	TSG Hoffenheim	17	70	3.41	32243	94%16/17	76%13/17	59%10/17
Saúl Ñíguez EsclapezMID	Sevilla	11	60	3.41	02302	73%8/11	73%8/11	45%5/11
Kelechi Promise IheanachoFWD	Middlesbrough	11	46	3.41	10253	82%9/11	36%4/11	27%3/11
Leandro TrossardFWD	Arsenal	11	58	3.41	21235	73%8/11	55%6/11	36%4/11
João Félix SequeiraFWD	AC Milan	8	50	3.41	53200	63%5/8	50%4/8	38%3/8
Ibrahim OsmanFWD	Birmingham City	9	62	3.41	23113	89%8/9	67%6/9	56%5/9
Oihan Sancet TirapuMID	Athletic Club	20	58	3.40	30123	75%15/20	60%12/20	35%7/20
Demarai GrayFWD	Birmingham City	19	59	3.40	23103	89%17/19	74%14/19	42%8/19
Kieffer MooreFWD	Wrexham	20	72	3.38	20203	90%18/20	70%14/20	55%11/20
Nicolas JacksonFWD	FC Bayern München	20	55	3.38	14231	90%18/20	60%12/20	20%4/20
Gorka Guruzeta RodríguezFWD	Athletic Club	20	64	3.35	44230	85%17/20	60%12/20	45%9/20
Rocco VataFWD	Watford	20	57	3.35	21571	80%16/20	55%11/20	30%6/20
Lennart KarlMID	FC Bayern München	13	54	3.34	23221	92%12/13	77%10/13	31%4/13
Giovanni Pablo SimeoneFWD	Torino	20	59	3.33	14454	80%16/20	55%11/20	45%9/20
Enrique García MartínezFWD	Espanyol	20	49	3.32	01145	75%15/20	55%11/20	35%7/20
Georges MikautadzeFWD	Villarreal	16	73	3.31	31626	94%15/16	81%13/16	38%6/16
Justin NjinmahFWD	Werder Bremen	20	55	3.30	13332	85%17/20	60%12/20	45%9/20
Sonny CareyMID	Charlton Athletic	20	75	3.30	20123	90%18/20	75%15/20	60%12/20
Valentín Mariano José Castellanos GiménezFWD	Lazio	20	75	3.28	42150	85%17/20	70%14/20	45%9/20
Eberechi EzeMID	Arsenal	20	59	3.28	33307	75%15/20	60%12/20	40%8/20
Joel Roca CasalsFWD	Girona	17	47	3.27	18200	71%12/17	35%6/17	24%4/17
Nestory IrankundaFWD	Watford	20	54	3.27	64711	70%14/20	40%8/20	25%5/20
Christoph BaumgartnerMID	RB Leipzig	20	80	3.27	45432	95%19/20	80%16/20	60%12/20
Mohamed ToureFWD	Norwich City	7	47	3.27	12100	71%5/7	43%3/7	29%2/7
Adam HložekFWD	TSG Hoffenheim	15	66	3.27	01121	87%13/15	53%8/15	33%5/15
Yousef SalechFWD	Cardiff City	10	64	3.26	44151	90%9/10	50%5/10	40%4/10
Rafael Alexandre Conceição LeãoFWD	AC Milan	20	76	3.26	03182	85%17/20	70%14/20	40%8/20
Ademola LookmanFWD	Atalanta	20	69	3.26	33143	90%18/20	85%17/20	50%10/20
Ermedin DemirovićFWD	VfB Stuttgart	20	57	3.25	62202	75%15/20	65%13/20	30%6/20
Michael JohnstonFWD	West Bromwich Albion	20	78	3.25	51131	90%18/20	70%14/20	55%11/20
Giovane Santana do NascimentoFWD	Hellas Verona	17	59	3.24	21120	82%14/17	59%10/17	29%5/17
Gift Emmanuel OrbanFWD	Hellas Verona	20	72	3.23	52224	90%18/20	65%13/20	40%8/20
Marcelino Ignacio Nuñez EspinozaMID	Ipswich Town	20	57	3.23	01215	80%16/20	55%11/20	30%6/20
Jack RudoniMID	Coventry City	20	74	3.22	24221	90%18/20	65%13/20	45%9/20
Roberto PiccoliFWD	Fiorentina	20	56	3.22	30103	80%16/20	45%9/20	35%7/20
Brandon Thomas-AsanteFWD	Coventry City	20	51	3.20	21233	80%16/20	55%11/20	25%5/20
Sam GreenwoodMID	Preston North End	20	62	3.19	22225	80%16/20	65%13/20	35%7/20

Top 100 shown. Hit rates are what happened, not what will. A 100% over a five-match window is five matches, and five matches is not evidence — the Apps column is there to be read alongside every percentage in this table.