Premier League · England

Nottingham ForestvLeeds United

Saturday 22 August at 15:00The City Groundlineups not announced

Referee

Not appointed

0 matches on record

Fouls per game

—

League average

22.6

fouls per match, both teams

Value

No edges published on this fixture. An edge is published only when a bookmaker's price beats the model's fair price by that market's full bar — most fixtures never produce one. The value board explains every gate a candidate has to clear.

What these numbers are

Not tips and not prices. Each row is the model's expected count for one player in this match — how many fouls, tackles or shots it thinks he records — plus the full spread of outcomes around it. Nothing here has been compared to a bookmaker.

Step 1
His own record
Every completed match in the dataset, as a rate per 90 minutes. The n column is how many matches that rests on.
Step 2
Pulled toward his position
A thin record gets pulled hard toward other players in his position, in his league — a goalkeeper toward goalkeepers, not toward the outfielders around him. How hard is fitted per market, not chosen: tackles pull about four times harder than shots on target.
Step 3
This fixture's conditions
How much of the stat the opponent concedes, what the referee's matches look like, and home or away. This is where a projection stops being a season average.
Step 4
Scaled to expected minutes
A rate becomes a count only once you say how long he plays. 60 minutes carries two-thirds the exposure of 90, and the distribution is built at that exposure.

How to read each column

Model /90: The model's rate for this match with the minutes taken back out — steps 1 to 3 already applied. It moves with the opponent and the referee, so it is not his raw career rate; the builder shows career and model rates side by side.
Exp. mins: Minutes the model expects. Confirmed means the lineup is out; provisional means it is guessing from his start rate, and is the widest of the three.
Projected: The expected count in this match, at those minutes. This is the number a line is set against.
Over 1.5, etc.: Read straight off the distribution beside it, not off how often he has beaten that line before. It answers what the model thinks, not what has happened.
n: Matches behind his own rate. Under 30 it turns amber: the projection is mostly his position group speaking, and §6.3 will not publish an edge on it.
Distribution: The whole spread, not just the average. The dashed amber cut is the line; jade bars beat it. An expected 1.8 fouls made of 2 every week and an expected 1.8 made of a 0 and a 5 are different bets, and this is where you see which one you have.

Counts are modelled as negative binomial rather than Poisson, because fouls and tackles are overdispersed and a Poisson would systematically underprice the tails — which is exactly where over bets live. Every market on this page cleared its calibration gate before it was allowed to produce a projection: when the model says 60%, it lands within a point or so of 60% out of sample.

Fouls v20260811-1858 · Tackles v20260811-1858 · Shots v20260811-1858 · Shots on target v20260811-1905 · Fouls won v20260811-1858 · Cards v20260811-1905 · Saves v20260812-1340

Model projections

Fouls41 playersHighest: Ethan Ampadu, 1.15 expectedshow

What drives it — Who referees the match. A strict official lifts every player on the pitch, which is the part most books price off a season average. See what has actually happened.

Ethan Ampadu
MID · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
85
Proj.
1.15
O 1.5
32%
Model /90
1.22
034%
134%
220%
38%
43%
51%
6+0%
Anton Stach
MID · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
82
Proj.
1.15
O 1.5
32%
Model /90
1.26
034%
135%
220%
38%
43%
51%
6+0%
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
FWD · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
78
Proj.
1.14
O 1.5
32%
Model /90
1.32
035%
133%
219%
38%
43%
51%
6+0%
Ibrahim Sangaré
MID · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
65
Proj.
1.05
O 1.5
29%
Model /90
1.45
041%
130%
217%
38%
43%
51%
6+0%
Nicolás Martín Domínguez
MID · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
52
Proj.
1.04
O 1.5
28%
Model /90
1.80
041%
131%
217%
37%
43%
51%
6+0%
Morgan Gibbs-White
MID · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
84
Proj.
1.03
O 1.5
27%
Model /90
1.11
037%
135%
218%
37%
42%
51%
6+0%
Sean Longstaff
MID · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
44
Proj.
1.01
O 1.5
26%
Model /90
2.06
049%
124%
213%
37%
44%
52%
6+1%
Igor Jesus Maciel da Cruz
FWD · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
63
Proj.
0.96
O 1.5
25%
Model /90
1.38
042%
132%
216%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Ao Tanaka
MID · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
66
Proj.
0.95
O 1.5
25%
Model /90
1.31
044%
131%
216%
37%
42%
51%
6+0%
Brenden Aaronson
MID · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
73
Proj.
0.95
O 1.5
25%
Model /90
1.18
041%
134%
217%
36%
42%
50%
6+0%
Ilia Gruev
MID · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
66
Proj.
0.94
O 1.5
25%
Model /90
1.29
044%
131%
216%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Chris Wood
FWD · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
0.94
O 1.5
25%
Model /90
1.11
041%
134%
216%
36%
42%
50%
6+0%
Joël Piroe
FWD · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
54
Proj.
0.88
O 1.5
23%
Model /90
1.46
050%
127%
214%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Jayden Bogle
DEF · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
85
Proj.
0.84
O 1.5
21%
Model /90
0.89
044%
135%
215%
35%
41%
5+0%
Ryan Yates
MID · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
45
Proj.
0.84
O 1.5
21%
Model /90
1.69
050%
129%
213%
35%
42%
51%
6+0%
Noah Okafor
FWD · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
56
Proj.
0.83
O 1.5
21%
Model /90
1.33
048%
131%
214%
35%
42%
50%
6+0%
Omari Giraud-Hutchinson
FWD · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
54
Proj.
0.81
O 1.5
20%
Model /90
1.34
049%
130%
213%
35%
42%
50%
6+0%
Dan Ndoye
FWD · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
49
Proj.
0.80
O 1.5
21%
Model /90
1.48
050%
129%
213%
35%
42%
50%
6+0%
Callum Hudson-Odoi
FWD · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
66
Proj.
0.80
O 1.5
20%
Model /90
1.08
048%
133%
214%
34%
41%
5+0%
Gabriel Gudmundsson
DEF · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
83
Proj.
0.78
O 1.5
19%
Model /90
0.85
047%
134%
214%
34%
41%
5+0%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 1.5	n	Distribution
Ethan AmpaduMID	Leeds United	1.22	85provisional	1.15	32%	64	034% 134% 220% 38% 43% 51% 6+0%
Anton StachMID	Leeds United	1.26	82provisional	1.15	32%	29	034% 135% 220% 38% 43% 51% 6+0%
Dominic Calvert-LewinFWD	Leeds United	1.32	78provisional	1.14	32%	35	035% 133% 219% 38% 43% 51% 6+0%
Ibrahim SangaréMID	Nottingham Forest	1.45	65provisional	1.05	29%	41	041% 130% 217% 38% 43% 51% 6+0%
Nicolás Martín DomínguezMID	Nottingham Forest	1.80	52provisional	1.04	28%	61	041% 131% 217% 37% 43% 51% 6+0%
Morgan Gibbs-WhiteMID	Nottingham Forest	1.11	84provisional	1.03	27%	71	037% 135% 218% 37% 42% 51% 6+0%
Sean LongstaffMID	Leeds United	2.06	44provisional	1.01	26%	23	049% 124% 213% 37% 44% 52% 6+1%
Igor Jesus Maciel da CruzFWD	Nottingham Forest	1.38	63provisional	0.96	25%	37	042% 132% 216% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Ao TanakaMID	Leeds United	1.31	66provisional	0.95	25%	71	044% 131% 216% 37% 42% 51% 6+0%
Brenden AaronsonMID	Leeds United	1.18	73provisional	0.95	25%	83	041% 134% 217% 36% 42% 50% 6+0%
Ilia GruevMID	Leeds United	1.29	66provisional	0.94	25%	46	044% 131% 216% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Chris WoodFWD	Nottingham Forest	1.11	76provisional	0.94	25%	51	041% 134% 216% 36% 42% 50% 6+0%
Joël PiroeFWD	Leeds United	1.46	54provisional	0.88	23%	62	050% 127% 214% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Jayden BogleDEF	Leeds United	0.89	85provisional	0.84	21%	78	044% 135% 215% 35% 41% 5+0%
Ryan YatesMID	Nottingham Forest	1.69	45provisional	0.84	21%	57	050% 129% 213% 35% 42% 51% 6+0%
Noah OkaforFWD	Leeds United	1.33	56provisional	0.83	21%	28	048% 131% 214% 35% 42% 50% 6+0%
Omari Giraud-HutchinsonFWD	Nottingham Forest	1.34	54provisional	0.81	20%	31	049% 130% 213% 35% 42% 50% 6+0%
Dan NdoyeFWD	Nottingham Forest	1.48	49provisional	0.80	21%	24	050% 129% 213% 35% 42% 50% 6+0%
Callum Hudson-OdoiFWD	Nottingham Forest	1.08	66provisional	0.80	20%	61	048% 133% 214% 34% 41% 5+0%
Gabriel GudmundssonDEF	Leeds United	0.85	83provisional	0.78	19%	32	047% 134% 214% 34% 41% 5+0%

20 of 41 players shown, ranked by projection.

Tackles41 playersHighest: Nicolás Martín Domínguez, 2.95 expectedshow

What drives it — Possession share. A tackle count depends far more on how much of the match is played at your own end than on a player’s own form. See what has actually happened.

Nicolás Martín Domínguez
MID · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
52
Proj.
2.95
O 1.5
69%
Model /90
5.13
013%
118%
217%
316%
413%
510%
6+13%
Anton Stach
MID · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
82
Proj.
2.04
O 1.5
60%
Model /90
2.23
014%
126%
226%
318%
49%
54%
6+2%
Ethan Ampadu
MID · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
85
Proj.
1.96
O 1.5
58%
Model /90
2.08
016%
127%
226%
317%
49%
54%
6+2%
Ibrahim Sangaré
MID · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
65
Proj.
1.85
O 1.5
53%
Model /90
2.56
024%
124%
222%
316%
49%
54%
6+2%
Neco Williams
DEF · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
80
Proj.
1.85
O 1.5
54%
Model /90
2.07
019%
127%
225%
316%
48%
53%
6+2%
Ao Tanaka
MID · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
66
Proj.
1.77
O 1.5
50%
Model /90
2.43
025%
125%
221%
315%
48%
54%
6+2%
Brenden Aaronson
MID · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
73
Proj.
1.71
O 1.5
50%
Model /90
2.11
021%
129%
224%
315%
47%
53%
6+1%
Jayden Bogle
DEF · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
85
Proj.
1.67
O 1.5
49%
Model /90
1.76
020%
131%
226%
314%
46%
52%
6+1%
Gabriel Gudmundsson
DEF · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
83
Proj.
1.60
O 1.5
47%
Model /90
1.75
021%
132%
225%
314%
46%
52%
6+1%
Morgan Gibbs-White
MID · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
84
Proj.
1.59
O 1.5
47%
Model /90
1.71
021%
132%
225%
314%
46%
52%
6+1%
Ilia Gruev
MID · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
66
Proj.
1.57
O 1.5
45%
Model /90
2.14
027%
128%
222%
313%
46%
53%
6+1%
Temitayo Olufisayo Olaoluwa Aina
DEF · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
87
Proj.
1.55
O 1.5
46%
Model /90
1.61
022%
133%
225%
313%
45%
52%
6+1%
Murillo Santiago Costa dos Santos
DEF · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
87
Proj.
1.49
O 1.5
44%
Model /90
1.54
023%
133%
225%
312%
45%
51%
6+0%
Nicolò Savona
DEF · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
73
Proj.
1.45
O 1.5
42%
Model /90
1.78
027%
131%
223%
312%
45%
52%
6+1%
Nikola Milenković
DEF · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
89
Proj.
1.34
O 1.5
39%
Model /90
1.35
026%
135%
223%
311%
44%
51%
6+0%
Jaka Bijol
DEF · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
1.33
O 1.5
38%
Model /90
1.58
029%
132%
222%
311%
44%
51%
6+0%
James Justin
DEF · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
65
Proj.
1.29
O 1.5
37%
Model /90
1.77
036%
127%
219%
311%
45%
52%
6+1%
Joe Rodon
DEF · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
88
Proj.
1.24
O 1.5
35%
Model /90
1.28
029%
135%
222%
39%
43%
51%
6+0%
Felipe Rodrigues
DEF · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
48
Proj.
1.24
O 1.5
33%
Model /90
2.34
040%
127%
215%
39%
45%
52%
6+1%
Sean Longstaff
MID · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
44
Proj.
1.23
O 1.5
33%
Model /90
2.51
043%
124%
214%
39%
45%
53%
6+2%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 1.5	n	Distribution
Nicolás Martín DomínguezMID	Nottingham Forest	5.13	52provisional	2.95	69%	61	013% 118% 217% 316% 413% 510% 6+13%
Anton StachMID	Leeds United	2.23	82provisional	2.04	60%	29	014% 126% 226% 318% 49% 54% 6+2%
Ethan AmpaduMID	Leeds United	2.08	85provisional	1.96	58%	64	016% 127% 226% 317% 49% 54% 6+2%
Ibrahim SangaréMID	Nottingham Forest	2.56	65provisional	1.85	53%	41	024% 124% 222% 316% 49% 54% 6+2%
Neco WilliamsDEF	Nottingham Forest	2.07	80provisional	1.85	54%	72	019% 127% 225% 316% 48% 53% 6+2%
Ao TanakaMID	Leeds United	2.43	66provisional	1.77	50%	71	025% 125% 221% 315% 48% 54% 6+2%
Brenden AaronsonMID	Leeds United	2.11	73provisional	1.71	50%	83	021% 129% 224% 315% 47% 53% 6+1%
Jayden BogleDEF	Leeds United	1.76	85provisional	1.67	49%	78	020% 131% 226% 314% 46% 52% 6+1%
Gabriel GudmundssonDEF	Leeds United	1.75	83provisional	1.60	47%	32	021% 132% 225% 314% 46% 52% 6+1%
Morgan Gibbs-WhiteMID	Nottingham Forest	1.71	84provisional	1.59	47%	71	021% 132% 225% 314% 46% 52% 6+1%
Ilia GruevMID	Leeds United	2.14	66provisional	1.57	45%	46	027% 128% 222% 313% 46% 53% 6+1%
Temitayo Olufisayo Olaoluwa AinaDEF	Nottingham Forest	1.61	87provisional	1.55	46%	53	022% 133% 225% 313% 45% 52% 6+1%
Murillo Santiago Costa dos SantosDEF	Nottingham Forest	1.54	87provisional	1.49	44%	61	023% 133% 225% 312% 45% 51% 6+0%
Nicolò SavonaDEF	Nottingham Forest	1.78	73provisional	1.45	42%	14	027% 131% 223% 312% 45% 52% 6+1%
Nikola MilenkovićDEF	Nottingham Forest	1.35	89provisional	1.34	39%	75	026% 135% 223% 311% 44% 51% 6+0%
Jaka BijolDEF	Leeds United	1.58	76provisional	1.33	38%	25	029% 132% 222% 311% 44% 51% 6+0%
James JustinDEF	Leeds United	1.77	65provisional	1.29	37%	29	036% 127% 219% 311% 45% 52% 6+1%
Joe RodonDEF	Leeds United	1.28	88provisional	1.24	35%	81	029% 135% 222% 39% 43% 51% 6+0%
Felipe RodriguesDEF	Nottingham Forest	2.34	48provisional	1.24	33%	47	040% 127% 215% 39% 45% 52% 6+1%
Sean LongstaffMID	Leeds United	2.51	44provisional	1.23	33%	23	043% 124% 214% 39% 45% 53% 6+2%

20 of 41 players shown, ranked by projection.

Shots41 playersHighest: Dominic Calvert-Lewin, 1.83 expectedshow

What drives it — The player’s own shot rate, shrunk toward others in his position, then adjusted for how many shots the opponent concedes. See what has actually happened.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin
FWD · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
78
Proj.
1.83
O 1.5
51%
Model /90
2.11
023%
127%
222%
314%
48%
54%
6+3%
Chris Wood
FWD · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
1.76
O 1.5
49%
Model /90
2.09
023%
128%
222%
314%
47%
53%
6+2%
Igor Jesus Maciel da Cruz
FWD · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
63
Proj.
1.68
O 1.5
46%
Model /90
2.42
026%
128%
221%
313%
47%
53%
6+2%
Daniel James
FWD · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
58
Proj.
1.61
O 1.5
43%
Model /90
2.52
032%
125%
218%
312%
47%
54%
6+3%
Joël Piroe
FWD · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
54
Proj.
1.54
O 1.5
40%
Model /90
2.56
036%
124%
216%
311%
47%
54%
6+3%
Callum Hudson-Odoi
FWD · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
66
Proj.
1.48
O 1.5
41%
Model /90
2.01
029%
130%
220%
311%
45%
52%
6+1%
Omari Giraud-Hutchinson
FWD · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
54
Proj.
1.38
O 1.5
37%
Model /90
2.28
034%
129%
218%
310%
45%
52%
6+2%
Noah Okafor
FWD · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
56
Proj.
1.34
O 1.5
37%
Model /90
2.16
034%
129%
218%
310%
45%
52%
6+1%
Dan Ndoye
FWD · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
49
Proj.
1.24
O 1.5
33%
Model /90
2.28
039%
128%
216%
39%
44%
52%
6+1%
Morgan Gibbs-White
MID · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
84
Proj.
1.22
O 1.5
34%
Model /90
1.31
033%
134%
220%
39%
43%
51%
6+0%
Lukas Nmecha
FWD · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
35
Proj.
1.16
O 1.5
29%
Model /90
3.02
043%
128%
214%
37%
44%
52%
6+2%
Degnand Wilfried Gnonto
FWD · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
43
Proj.
1.14
O 1.5
29%
Model /90
2.41
044%
126%
214%
38%
44%
52%
6+1%
Anton Stach
MID · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
82
Proj.
1.09
O 1.5
29%
Model /90
1.19
037%
134%
218%
37%
43%
51%
6+0%
Dilane Bakwa
FWD · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
40
Proj.
1.07
O 1.5
28%
Model /90
2.44
042%
130%
215%
37%
43%
51%
6+1%
Brenden Aaronson
MID · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
73
Proj.
1.01
O 1.5
27%
Model /90
1.25
040%
133%
217%
37%
42%
51%
6+0%
Ethan Ampadu
MID · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
85
Proj.
0.91
O 1.5
23%
Model /90
0.97
043%
134%
216%
36%
42%
50%
6+0%
Mateo Joseph Fernández Regatillo
FWD · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
33
Proj.
0.91
O 1.5
22%
Model /90
2.49
053%
125%
211%
35%
43%
52%
6+1%
Largie Ramazani
FWD · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
28
Proj.
0.86
O 1.5
20%
Model /90
2.79
053%
127%
211%
35%
42%
51%
6+1%
Ilia Gruev
MID · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
66
Proj.
0.79
O 1.5
20%
Model /90
1.09
050%
130%
213%
35%
41%
50%
6+0%
Ibrahim Sangaré
MID · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
65
Proj.
0.79
O 1.5
20%
Model /90
1.10
050%
130%
213%
35%
41%
50%
6+0%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 1.5	n	Distribution
Dominic Calvert-LewinFWD	Leeds United	2.11	78provisional	1.83	51%	35	023% 127% 222% 314% 48% 54% 6+3%
Chris WoodFWD	Nottingham Forest	2.09	76provisional	1.76	49%	51	023% 128% 222% 314% 47% 53% 6+2%
Igor Jesus Maciel da CruzFWD	Nottingham Forest	2.42	63provisional	1.68	46%	37	026% 128% 221% 313% 47% 53% 6+2%
Daniel JamesFWD	Leeds United	2.52	58provisional	1.61	43%	55	032% 125% 218% 312% 47% 54% 6+3%
Joël PiroeFWD	Leeds United	2.56	54provisional	1.54	40%	62	036% 124% 216% 311% 47% 54% 6+3%
Callum Hudson-OdoiFWD	Nottingham Forest	2.01	66provisional	1.48	41%	61	029% 130% 220% 311% 45% 52% 6+1%
Omari Giraud-HutchinsonFWD	Nottingham Forest	2.28	54provisional	1.38	37%	31	034% 129% 218% 310% 45% 52% 6+2%
Noah OkaforFWD	Leeds United	2.16	56provisional	1.34	37%	28	034% 129% 218% 310% 45% 52% 6+1%
Dan NdoyeFWD	Nottingham Forest	2.28	49provisional	1.24	33%	24	039% 128% 216% 39% 44% 52% 6+1%
Morgan Gibbs-WhiteMID	Nottingham Forest	1.31	84provisional	1.22	34%	71	033% 134% 220% 39% 43% 51% 6+0%
Lukas NmechaFWD	Leeds United	3.02	35provisional	1.16	29%	31	043% 128% 214% 37% 44% 52% 6+2%
Degnand Wilfried GnontoFWD	Leeds United	2.41	43provisional	1.14	29%	66	044% 126% 214% 38% 44% 52% 6+1%
Anton StachMID	Leeds United	1.19	82provisional	1.09	29%	29	037% 134% 218% 37% 43% 51% 6+0%
Dilane BakwaFWD	Nottingham Forest	2.44	40provisional	1.07	28%	14	042% 130% 215% 37% 43% 51% 6+1%
Brenden AaronsonMID	Leeds United	1.25	73provisional	1.01	27%	83	040% 133% 217% 37% 42% 51% 6+0%
Ethan AmpaduMID	Leeds United	0.97	85provisional	0.91	23%	64	043% 134% 216% 36% 42% 50% 6+0%
Mateo Joseph Fernández RegatilloFWD	Leeds United	2.49	33provisional	0.91	22%	39	053% 125% 211% 35% 43% 52% 6+1%
Largie RamazaniFWD	Leeds United	2.79	28provisional	0.86	20%	29	053% 127% 211% 35% 42% 51% 6+1%
Ilia GruevMID	Leeds United	1.09	66provisional	0.79	20%	46	050% 130% 213% 35% 41% 50% 6+0%
Ibrahim SangaréMID	Nottingham Forest	1.10	65provisional	0.79	20%	41	050% 130% 213% 35% 41% 50% 6+0%

20 of 41 players shown, ranked by projection.

Shots on target39 playersHighest: Chris Wood, 0.82 expectedshow

What drives it — Shot volume first, conversion second — literally: the projection is the shots model thinned by the player’s own on-target rate, so a high-volume low-accuracy shooter and a sniper price differently at the same shot count. See what has actually happened.

Chris Wood
FWD · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
0.82
O 0.5
53%
Model /90
0.97
047%
133%
214%
35%
41%
5+0%
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
FWD · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
78
Proj.
0.80
O 0.5
52%
Model /90
0.93
048%
132%
214%
35%
41%
5+0%
Callum Hudson-Odoi
FWD · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
66
Proj.
0.60
O 0.5
42%
Model /90
0.81
058%
129%
210%
33%
41%
5+0%
Omari Giraud-Hutchinson
FWD · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
54
Proj.
0.59
O 0.5
41%
Model /90
0.98
059%
128%
210%
33%
41%
5+0%
Joël Piroe
FWD · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
54
Proj.
0.59
O 0.5
39%
Model /90
0.99
061%
125%
210%
33%
41%
5+0%
Igor Jesus Maciel da Cruz
FWD · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
63
Proj.
0.58
O 0.5
42%
Model /90
0.84
058%
129%
29%
32%
41%
5+0%
Daniel James
FWD · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
58
Proj.
0.58
O 0.5
40%
Model /90
0.90
060%
127%
29%
33%
41%
5+0%
Noah Okafor
FWD · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
56
Proj.
0.56
O 0.5
40%
Model /90
0.89
060%
128%
29%
32%
41%
5+0%
Lukas Nmecha
FWD · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
35
Proj.
0.53
O 0.5
36%
Model /90
1.38
064%
124%
28%
33%
41%
5+0%
Dan Ndoye
FWD · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
49
Proj.
0.45
O 0.5
33%
Model /90
0.83
067%
124%
27%
32%
4+0%
Morgan Gibbs-White
MID · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
84
Proj.
0.44
O 0.5
35%
Model /90
0.47
065%
127%
26%
31%
4+0%
Dilane Bakwa
FWD · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
40
Proj.
0.42
O 0.5
31%
Model /90
0.95
069%
124%
26%
31%
4+0%
Degnand Wilfried Gnonto
FWD · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
43
Proj.
0.39
O 0.5
29%
Model /90
0.82
071%
121%
26%
31%
4+0%
Mateo Joseph Fernández Regatillo
FWD · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
33
Proj.
0.37
O 0.5
27%
Model /90
1.01
073%
119%
25%
32%
40%
5+0%
Largie Ramazani
FWD · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
28
Proj.
0.36
O 0.5
27%
Model /90
1.18
073%
120%
25%
31%
40%
5+0%
Brenden Aaronson
MID · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
73
Proj.
0.34
O 0.5
28%
Model /90
0.42
072%
123%
24%
3+1%
Taiwo Michael Awoniyi
FWD · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
21
Proj.
0.31
O 0.5
24%
Model /90
1.33
076%
119%
24%
31%
4+0%
Anton Stach
MID · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
82
Proj.
0.31
O 0.5
26%
Model /90
0.34
074%
122%
24%
3+1%
Ibrahim Sangaré
MID · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
65
Proj.
0.26
O 0.5
22%
Model /90
0.36
078%
119%
23%
3+0%
Ethan Ampadu
MID · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
85
Proj.
0.24
O 0.5
21%
Model /90
0.26
079%
118%
23%
3+0%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 0.5	n	Distribution
Chris WoodFWD	Nottingham Forest	0.97	76provisional	0.82	53%	51	047% 133% 214% 35% 41% 5+0%
Dominic Calvert-LewinFWD	Leeds United	0.93	78provisional	0.80	52%	35	048% 132% 214% 35% 41% 5+0%
Callum Hudson-OdoiFWD	Nottingham Forest	0.81	66provisional	0.60	42%	61	058% 129% 210% 33% 41% 5+0%
Omari Giraud-HutchinsonFWD	Nottingham Forest	0.98	54provisional	0.59	41%	31	059% 128% 210% 33% 41% 5+0%
Joël PiroeFWD	Leeds United	0.99	54provisional	0.59	39%	62	061% 125% 210% 33% 41% 5+0%
Igor Jesus Maciel da CruzFWD	Nottingham Forest	0.84	63provisional	0.58	42%	37	058% 129% 29% 32% 41% 5+0%
Daniel JamesFWD	Leeds United	0.90	58provisional	0.58	40%	55	060% 127% 29% 33% 41% 5+0%
Noah OkaforFWD	Leeds United	0.89	56provisional	0.56	40%	28	060% 128% 29% 32% 41% 5+0%
Lukas NmechaFWD	Leeds United	1.38	35provisional	0.53	36%	31	064% 124% 28% 33% 41% 5+0%
Dan NdoyeFWD	Nottingham Forest	0.83	49provisional	0.45	33%	24	067% 124% 27% 32% 4+0%
Morgan Gibbs-WhiteMID	Nottingham Forest	0.47	84provisional	0.44	35%	71	065% 127% 26% 31% 4+0%
Dilane BakwaFWD	Nottingham Forest	0.95	40provisional	0.42	31%	14	069% 124% 26% 31% 4+0%
Degnand Wilfried GnontoFWD	Leeds United	0.82	43provisional	0.39	29%	66	071% 121% 26% 31% 4+0%
Mateo Joseph Fernández RegatilloFWD	Leeds United	1.01	33provisional	0.37	27%	39	073% 119% 25% 32% 40% 5+0%
Largie RamazaniFWD	Leeds United	1.18	28provisional	0.36	27%	29	073% 120% 25% 31% 40% 5+0%
Brenden AaronsonMID	Leeds United	0.42	73provisional	0.34	28%	83	072% 123% 24% 3+1%
Taiwo Michael AwoniyiFWD	Nottingham Forest	1.33	21provisional	0.31	24%	43	076% 119% 24% 31% 4+0%
Anton StachMID	Leeds United	0.34	82provisional	0.31	26%	29	074% 122% 24% 3+1%
Ibrahim SangaréMID	Nottingham Forest	0.36	65provisional	0.26	22%	41	078% 119% 23% 3+0%
Ethan AmpaduMID	Leeds United	0.26	85provisional	0.24	21%	64	079% 118% 23% 3+0%

20 of 39 players shown, ranked by projection.

Fouls won41 playersHighest: Brenden Aaronson, 1.06 expectedshow

What drives it — How much a player runs at defenders. Dribble volume drives this far more than the referee does. See what has actually happened.

Brenden Aaronson
MID · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
73
Proj.
1.06
O 1.5
28%
Model /90
1.31
039%
132%
217%
37%
43%
51%
6+0%
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
FWD · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
78
Proj.
1.05
O 1.5
28%
Model /90
1.21
040%
132%
217%
37%
43%
51%
6+0%
Morgan Gibbs-White
MID · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
84
Proj.
1.04
O 1.5
28%
Model /90
1.12
038%
134%
218%
37%
42%
51%
6+0%
Callum Hudson-Odoi
FWD · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
66
Proj.
1.04
O 1.5
28%
Model /90
1.40
040%
132%
217%
37%
43%
51%
6+0%
Ethan Ampadu
MID · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
85
Proj.
0.98
O 1.5
26%
Model /90
1.05
041%
133%
217%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Anton Stach
MID · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
82
Proj.
0.96
O 1.5
25%
Model /90
1.06
041%
134%
216%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Dan Ndoye
FWD · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
49
Proj.
0.95
O 1.5
25%
Model /90
1.74
047%
128%
214%
37%
43%
51%
6+0%
Igor Jesus Maciel da Cruz
FWD · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
63
Proj.
0.94
O 1.5
25%
Model /90
1.36
044%
131%
215%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Chris Wood
FWD · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
0.93
O 1.5
24%
Model /90
1.10
043%
133%
216%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Ilia Gruev
MID · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
66
Proj.
0.83
O 1.5
21%
Model /90
1.14
049%
130%
214%
35%
42%
50%
6+0%
Daniel James
FWD · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
58
Proj.
0.82
O 1.5
21%
Model /90
1.29
051%
128%
213%
35%
42%
51%
6+0%
Neco Williams
DEF · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
80
Proj.
0.81
O 1.5
20%
Model /90
0.91
048%
132%
214%
35%
41%
5+0%
Omari Giraud-Hutchinson
FWD · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
54
Proj.
0.81
O 1.5
20%
Model /90
1.34
050%
130%
213%
35%
42%
51%
6+0%
Degnand Wilfried Gnonto
FWD · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
43
Proj.
0.80
O 1.5
20%
Model /90
1.69
054%
126%
212%
35%
42%
51%
6+0%
Ibrahim Sangaré
MID · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
65
Proj.
0.80
O 1.5
20%
Model /90
1.10
050%
130%
213%
35%
41%
50%
6+0%
Gabriel Gudmundsson
DEF · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
83
Proj.
0.78
O 1.5
19%
Model /90
0.85
048%
133%
213%
34%
41%
5+0%
Jayden Bogle
DEF · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
85
Proj.
0.76
O 1.5
18%
Model /90
0.80
049%
133%
213%
34%
41%
5+0%
Ryan Yates
MID · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
45
Proj.
0.74
O 1.5
18%
Model /90
1.50
054%
128%
211%
34%
42%
51%
6+0%
Noah Okafor
FWD · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
56
Proj.
0.74
O 1.5
18%
Model /90
1.18
052%
130%
212%
34%
41%
50%
6+0%
Ao Tanaka
MID · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
66
Proj.
0.74
O 1.5
18%
Model /90
1.01
053%
129%
212%
34%
41%
50%
6+0%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 1.5	n	Distribution
Brenden AaronsonMID	Leeds United	1.31	73provisional	1.06	28%	83	039% 132% 217% 37% 43% 51% 6+0%
Dominic Calvert-LewinFWD	Leeds United	1.21	78provisional	1.05	28%	35	040% 132% 217% 37% 43% 51% 6+0%
Morgan Gibbs-WhiteMID	Nottingham Forest	1.12	84provisional	1.04	28%	71	038% 134% 218% 37% 42% 51% 6+0%
Callum Hudson-OdoiFWD	Nottingham Forest	1.40	66provisional	1.04	28%	61	040% 132% 217% 37% 43% 51% 6+0%
Ethan AmpaduMID	Leeds United	1.05	85provisional	0.98	26%	64	041% 133% 217% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Anton StachMID	Leeds United	1.06	82provisional	0.96	25%	29	041% 134% 216% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Dan NdoyeFWD	Nottingham Forest	1.74	49provisional	0.95	25%	24	047% 128% 214% 37% 43% 51% 6+0%
Igor Jesus Maciel da CruzFWD	Nottingham Forest	1.36	63provisional	0.94	25%	37	044% 131% 215% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Chris WoodFWD	Nottingham Forest	1.10	76provisional	0.93	24%	51	043% 133% 216% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Ilia GruevMID	Leeds United	1.14	66provisional	0.83	21%	46	049% 130% 214% 35% 42% 50% 6+0%
Daniel JamesFWD	Leeds United	1.29	58provisional	0.82	21%	55	051% 128% 213% 35% 42% 51% 6+0%
Neco WilliamsDEF	Nottingham Forest	0.91	80provisional	0.81	20%	72	048% 132% 214% 35% 41% 5+0%
Omari Giraud-HutchinsonFWD	Nottingham Forest	1.34	54provisional	0.81	20%	31	050% 130% 213% 35% 42% 51% 6+0%
Degnand Wilfried GnontoFWD	Leeds United	1.69	43provisional	0.80	20%	66	054% 126% 212% 35% 42% 51% 6+0%
Ibrahim SangaréMID	Nottingham Forest	1.10	65provisional	0.80	20%	41	050% 130% 213% 35% 41% 50% 6+0%
Gabriel GudmundssonDEF	Leeds United	0.85	83provisional	0.78	19%	32	048% 133% 213% 34% 41% 5+0%
Jayden BogleDEF	Leeds United	0.80	85provisional	0.76	18%	78	049% 133% 213% 34% 41% 5+0%
Ryan YatesMID	Nottingham Forest	1.50	45provisional	0.74	18%	57	054% 128% 211% 34% 42% 51% 6+0%
Noah OkaforFWD	Leeds United	1.18	56provisional	0.74	18%	28	052% 130% 212% 34% 41% 50% 6+0%
Ao TanakaMID	Leeds United	1.01	66provisional	0.74	18%	71	053% 129% 212% 34% 41% 50% 6+0%

20 of 41 players shown, ranked by projection.

Cards41 playersHighest: Ethan Ampadu, 0.21 expectedshow

Known defect — Prices ANY card — yellow or straight red — matching how books settle "to be shown a card" (D-048). The trends column alongside counts yellows only.

What drives it — Fouls first, then how readily the referee reaches for a card. Two officials averaging four cards a match can do it for opposite reasons. See what has actually happened.

Ethan Ampadu
MID · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
85
Proj.
0.21
O 0.5
18%
Model /90
0.22
082%
116%
22%
3+0%
Nicolás Martín Domínguez
MID · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
52
Proj.
0.21
O 0.5
18%
Model /90
0.36
082%
116%
22%
3+0%
Anton Stach
MID · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
82
Proj.
0.19
O 0.5
17%
Model /90
0.21
083%
115%
22%
3+0%
Morgan Gibbs-White
MID · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
84
Proj.
0.19
O 0.5
17%
Model /90
0.20
083%
115%
22%
3+0%
Sean Longstaff
MID · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
44
Proj.
0.18
O 0.5
16%
Model /90
0.38
084%
113%
22%
3+0%
Ibrahim Sangaré
MID · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
65
Proj.
0.18
O 0.5
16%
Model /90
0.25
084%
114%
22%
3+0%
Felipe Rodrigues
DEF · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
48
Proj.
0.18
O 0.5
16%
Model /90
0.34
084%
113%
22%
3+0%
Jayden Bogle
DEF · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
85
Proj.
0.17
O 0.5
16%
Model /90
0.18
084%
114%
2+1%
Murillo Santiago Costa dos Santos
DEF · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
87
Proj.
0.17
O 0.5
16%
Model /90
0.18
084%
114%
2+1%
Gabriel Gudmundsson
DEF · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
83
Proj.
0.17
O 0.5
15%
Model /90
0.19
085%
114%
2+1%
Temitayo Olufisayo Olaoluwa Aina
DEF · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
87
Proj.
0.17
O 0.5
15%
Model /90
0.17
085%
114%
2+1%
Neco Williams
DEF · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
80
Proj.
0.16
O 0.5
15%
Model /90
0.18
085%
114%
2+1%
Jaka Bijol
DEF · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
0.16
O 0.5
15%
Model /90
0.19
085%
114%
2+1%
Ao Tanaka
MID · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
66
Proj.
0.16
O 0.5
15%
Model /90
0.22
085%
113%
21%
3+0%
Nicolò Savona
DEF · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
73
Proj.
0.16
O 0.5
15%
Model /90
0.20
085%
113%
2+1%
Nikola Milenković
DEF · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
89
Proj.
0.16
O 0.5
15%
Model /90
0.16
085%
113%
2+1%
Ilia Gruev
MID · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
66
Proj.
0.16
O 0.5
14%
Model /90
0.22
086%
113%
2+1%
Ryan Yates
MID · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
45
Proj.
0.16
O 0.5
14%
Model /90
0.32
086%
113%
21%
3+0%
Brenden Aaronson
MID · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
73
Proj.
0.14
O 0.5
13%
Model /90
0.18
087%
112%
2+1%
James Justin
DEF · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
65
Proj.
0.14
O 0.5
13%
Model /90
0.20
087%
112%
2+1%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 0.5	n	Distribution
Ethan AmpaduMID	Leeds United	0.22	85provisional	0.21	18%	64	082% 116% 22% 3+0%
Nicolás Martín DomínguezMID	Nottingham Forest	0.36	52provisional	0.21	18%	61	082% 116% 22% 3+0%
Anton StachMID	Leeds United	0.21	82provisional	0.19	17%	29	083% 115% 22% 3+0%
Morgan Gibbs-WhiteMID	Nottingham Forest	0.20	84provisional	0.19	17%	71	083% 115% 22% 3+0%
Sean LongstaffMID	Leeds United	0.38	44provisional	0.18	16%	23	084% 113% 22% 3+0%
Ibrahim SangaréMID	Nottingham Forest	0.25	65provisional	0.18	16%	41	084% 114% 22% 3+0%
Felipe RodriguesDEF	Nottingham Forest	0.34	48provisional	0.18	16%	47	084% 113% 22% 3+0%
Jayden BogleDEF	Leeds United	0.18	85provisional	0.17	16%	78	084% 114% 2+1%
Murillo Santiago Costa dos SantosDEF	Nottingham Forest	0.18	87provisional	0.17	16%	61	084% 114% 2+1%
Gabriel GudmundssonDEF	Leeds United	0.19	83provisional	0.17	15%	32	085% 114% 2+1%
Temitayo Olufisayo Olaoluwa AinaDEF	Nottingham Forest	0.17	87provisional	0.17	15%	53	085% 114% 2+1%
Neco WilliamsDEF	Nottingham Forest	0.18	80provisional	0.16	15%	72	085% 114% 2+1%
Jaka BijolDEF	Leeds United	0.19	76provisional	0.16	15%	25	085% 114% 2+1%
Ao TanakaMID	Leeds United	0.22	66provisional	0.16	15%	71	085% 113% 21% 3+0%
Nicolò SavonaDEF	Nottingham Forest	0.20	73provisional	0.16	15%	14	085% 113% 2+1%
Nikola MilenkovićDEF	Nottingham Forest	0.16	89provisional	0.16	15%	75	085% 113% 2+1%
Ilia GruevMID	Leeds United	0.22	66provisional	0.16	14%	46	086% 113% 2+1%
Ryan YatesMID	Nottingham Forest	0.32	45provisional	0.16	14%	57	086% 113% 21% 3+0%
Brenden AaronsonMID	Leeds United	0.18	73provisional	0.14	13%	83	087% 112% 2+1%
James JustinDEF	Leeds United	0.20	65provisional	0.14	13%	29	087% 112% 2+1%

20 of 41 players shown, ranked by projection.

Saves41 playersHighest: Lucas Estella Perri, 3.05 expectedshow

What drives it — Opponent shot volume. A keeper’s own record carries so little that this market shrinks harder than any other on the board. See what has actually happened.

Lucas Estella Perri
GK · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
90
Proj.
3.05
O 2.5
56%
Model /90
3.05
07%
116%
221%
320%
415%
510%
6+11%
Matz Sels
GK · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
88
Proj.
2.73
O 2.5
50%
Model /90
2.79
09%
119%
222%
320%
414%
58%
6+8%
Jaka Bijol
DEF · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Sebastiaan Bornauw
DEF · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
37
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.01
0100%
1+0%
Joe Rodon
DEF · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
88
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Murillo Santiago Costa dos Santos
DEF · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
87
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Nikola Milenković
DEF · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
89
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Felipe Rodrigues
DEF · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
48
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Jayden Bogle
DEF · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
85
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Ethan Ampadu
MID · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
85
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Anton Stach
MID · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
82
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Gabriel Gudmundsson
DEF · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
83
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
FWD · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
78
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Brenden Aaronson
MID · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
73
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
James Justin
DEF · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
65
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Ao Tanaka
MID · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
66
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Ilia Gruev
MID · Leeds United
provisional
Mins
66
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Temitayo Olufisayo Olaoluwa Aina
DEF · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
87
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Morgan Gibbs-White
MID · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
84
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Neco Williams
DEF · Nottingham Forest
provisional
Mins
80
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 2.5	n	Distribution
Lucas Estella PerriGK	Leeds United	3.05	90provisional	3.05	56%	16	07% 116% 221% 320% 415% 510% 6+11%
Matz SelsGK	Nottingham Forest	2.79	88provisional	2.73	50%	69	09% 119% 222% 320% 414% 58% 6+8%
Jaka BijolDEF	Leeds United	0.00	76provisional	0.00	—	25	0100% 1+0%
Sebastiaan BornauwDEF	Leeds United	0.01	37provisional	0.00	—	12	0100% 1+0%
Joe RodonDEF	Leeds United	0.00	88provisional	0.00	—	81	0100% 1+0%
Murillo Santiago Costa dos SantosDEF	Nottingham Forest	0.00	87provisional	0.00	—	61	0100% 1+0%
Nikola MilenkovićDEF	Nottingham Forest	0.00	89provisional	0.00	—	75	0100% 1+0%
Felipe RodriguesDEF	Nottingham Forest	0.00	48provisional	0.00	—	47	0100% 1+0%
Jayden BogleDEF	Leeds United	0.00	85provisional	0.00	—	78	0100% 1+0%
Ethan AmpaduMID	Leeds United	0.00	85provisional	0.00	—	64	0100% 1+0%
Anton StachMID	Leeds United	0.00	82provisional	0.00	—	29	0100% 1+0%
Gabriel GudmundssonDEF	Leeds United	0.00	83provisional	0.00	—	32	0100% 1+0%
Dominic Calvert-LewinFWD	Leeds United	0.00	78provisional	0.00	—	35	0100% 1+0%
Brenden AaronsonMID	Leeds United	0.00	73provisional	0.00	—	83	0100% 1+0%
James JustinDEF	Leeds United	0.00	65provisional	0.00	—	29	0100% 1+0%
Ao TanakaMID	Leeds United	0.00	66provisional	0.00	—	71	0100% 1+0%
Ilia GruevMID	Leeds United	0.00	66provisional	0.00	—	46	0100% 1+0%
Temitayo Olufisayo Olaoluwa AinaDEF	Nottingham Forest	0.00	87provisional	0.00	—	53	0100% 1+0%
Morgan Gibbs-WhiteMID	Nottingham Forest	0.00	84provisional	0.00	—	71	0100% 1+0%
Neco WilliamsDEF	Nottingham Forest	0.00	80provisional	0.00	—	72	0100% 1+0%

20 of 41 players shown, ranked by projection.