Lines
62 priced lines across 40 matches, refreshed every five minutes. Market % is the median of the UK books’ over prices, margin included; at least 3 books behind it. Players with fewer than 5 appearances are hidden.
Every player prop the books are pricing on the next seven days, with the one thing that matters next to it: how often the player has cleared that exact line lately. Last 5, last 10, last 20, the same venue, the streak, the raw strip — beside the market’s price and the best available. Form is not a forecast and the market’s number is not a probability (the over market is priced well above reality — see the decisions log); this page puts the two facts side by side and shows the sample.
| Match | Player | Line | Market | Best | bet365 | L5 | L10 | L20 | Venue | Streak | Strip | Mins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Malick YalcouyéBrighton & Hove Albion MID · home | over 0.5 fouls won | 86% | 1.20bet365 | 1.20 | 100% | 90% | 90% | 100% | 7 | 1111221032 | 35 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Boubacar KamaraAston Villa MID · away | over 0.5 fouls won | 85% | 1.44Paddy Power | 1.13 | 100% | 90% | 90% | 100% | 5 | 1222202222 | 85 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Kaoru MitomaBrighton & Hove Albion FWD · home | over 0.5 fouls won | 69% | 1.57bet365 | 1.57 | 60% | 80% | 70% | 100% | 1 | 2012011112 | 62 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Boubacar KamaraAston Villa MID · away | over 1.5 fouls won | 51% | 2.10Sky Bet | 1.61 | 80% | 80% | 65% | 80% | 0 | 1222202222 | 85 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Ollie WatkinsAston Villa FWD · away | over 0.5 fouls won | 82% | 1.57Paddy Power | 1.22 | 60% | 70% | 50% | 80% | 1 | 1001101212 | 77 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Olivier BoscagliBrighton & Hove Albion DEF · home | over 0.5 fouls won | 69% | 1.53Paddy Power | 1.36 | 80% | 60% | 50% | 80% | 3 | 2220102002 | 75 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Mats WiefferBrighton & Hove Albion DEF · home | over 0.5 fouls won | 75% | 1.44Paddy Power | 1.30 | 20% | 60% | 75% | 60% | 0 | 0004021121 | 73 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Pascal StruijkBrighton & Hove Albion DEF · home | over 0.5 fouls won | 52% | 2.20Paddy Power | 1.91 | 40% | 60% | 50% | 60% | 1 | 1010012210 | 86 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Ezri KonsaAston Villa DEF · away | over 0.5 fouls won | 79% | 1.53Paddy Power | — | 80% | 60% | 65% | 75% | 4 | 1511000310 | 90 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Ian MaatsenAston Villa DEF · away | over 0.5 fouls won | 76% | 1.53Paddy Power | 1.33 | 60% | 60% | 55% | 20% | 0 | 0101110302 | 55 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Olivier BoscagliBrighton & Hove Albion DEF · home | over 1.5 fouls won | 38% | 3.8010Bet | 2.63 | 60% | 50% | 42% | 60% | 3 | 2220102002 | 75 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Jack HinshelwoodBrighton & Hove Albion MID · home | over 0.5 fouls won | 54% | 2.38bet365 | 2.38 | 40% | 50% | 40% | 60% | 1 | 1020010210 | 81 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Michael SvobodaBrighton & Hove Albion DEF · home | over 0.5 fouls won | 43% | 2.7010Bet | 1.83 | 60% | 50% | 44% | 60% | 1 | 1001104001 | 84 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Luka VuskovicBrighton & Hove Albion DEF · home | over 0.5 fouls won | 52% | 2.38bet365 | 2.38 | 60% | 50% | 65% | 17% | 1 | 1010302001 | 82 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | John McGinnAston Villa MID · away | over 1.5 fouls won | 73% | 1.67Sky Bet | 1.22 | 40% | 50% | 50% | 67% | 0 | 0022121220 | 64 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Matty CashAston Villa DEF · away | over 0.5 fouls won | 70% | 1.67Paddy Power | 1.50 | 40% | 50% | 55% | 60% | 0 | 0012011002 | 80 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Malick YalcouyéBrighton & Hove Albion MID · home | over 1.5 fouls won | 75% | 1.91bet365 | 1.91 | 20% | 40% | 40% | 50% | 0 | 1111221032 | 35 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Maxim De CuyperBrighton & Hove Albion DEF · home | over 0.5 fouls won | 70% | 1.53Paddy Power | 1.50 | 40% | 40% | 50% | 40% | 0 | 0120000110 | 36 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Lewis DunkBrighton & Hove Albion DEF · home | over 0.5 fouls won | 45% | 2.50Paddy Power | 2.38 | 60% | 40% | 35% | 60% | 3 | 2110001000 | 81 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Yasin AyariBrighton & Hove Albion MID · home | over 0.5 fouls won | 75% | 1.53Paddy Power | 1.36 | 40% | 40% | 55% | 20% | 0 | 0003100021 | 40 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Georginio RutterBrighton & Hove Albion FWD · home | over 0.5 fouls won | 89% | 1.29Paddy Power | 1.14 | 40% | 40% | 55% | 50% | 0 | 0100100041 | 36 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Tyrone MingsAston Villa DEF · away | over 0.5 fouls won | 69% | 2.25Sky Bet | 1.50 | 80% | 40% | 50% | 40% | 0 | 0121100000 | 83 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Emiliano BuendíaAston Villa FWD · away | over 1.5 fouls won | 71% | 1.6110Bet | 1.30 | 60% | 40% | 40% | 60% | 2 | 3410310121 | 46 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Mats WiefferBrighton & Hove Albion DEF · home | over 1.5 fouls won | 45% | 3.1010Bet | 2.38 | 20% | 30% | 25% | 40% | 0 | 0004021121 | 73 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Kaoru MitomaBrighton & Hove Albion FWD · home | over 1.5 fouls won | 36% | 3.75bet365 | 3.75 | 40% | 30% | 30% | 20% | 1 | 2012011112 | 62 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Emiliano BuendíaAston Villa FWD · away | over 2.5 fouls won | 44% | 2.60William Hill | 1.83 | 60% | 30% | 25% | 40% | 2 | 3410310121 | 46 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Ross BarkleyAston Villa MID · away | over 0.5 fouls won | 71% | 1.57Paddy Power | 1.50 | 40% | 30% | 30% | 40% | 0 | 0110003000 | 63 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Yasin AyariBrighton & Hove Albion MID · home | over 1.5 fouls won | 40% | 2.63bet365 | 2.63 | 20% | 20% | 20% | 20% | 0 | 0003100021 | 40 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Jack HinshelwoodBrighton & Hove Albion MID · home | over 1.5 fouls won | 22% | 8.00bet365 | 8.00 | 20% | 20% | 15% | 40% | 0 | 1020010210 | 81 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Diego GómezBrighton & Hove Albion MID · home | over 0.5 fouls won | 67% | 1.80Paddy Power | 1.30 | 40% | 20% | 15% | 25% | 1 | 1001000000 | 69 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Luka VuskovicBrighton & Hove Albion DEF · home | over 1.5 fouls won | 22% | 8.00bet365 | 8.00 | 20% | 20% | 15% | 0% | 0 | 1010302001 | 82 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Pau TorresAston Villa DEF · away | over 0.5 fouls won | 61% | 2.30Paddy Power | 1.73 | 20% | 20% | 25% | 20% | 0 | 0001000001 | 81 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Ezri KonsaAston Villa DEF · away | over 1.5 fouls won | 40% | 3.25BetGoodwin | — | 20% | 20% | 25% | 50% | 0 | 1511000310 | 90 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Matty CashAston Villa DEF · away | over 1.5 fouls won | 32% | 3.60Paddy Power | 3.25 | 20% | 20% | 20% | 20% | 0 | 0012011002 | 80 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Ollie WatkinsAston Villa FWD · away | over 1.5 fouls won | 43% | 3.10Paddy Power | 2.00 | 0% | 20% | 15% | 0% | 0 | 1001101212 | 77 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Ian MaatsenAston Villa DEF · away | over 1.5 fouls won | 40% | 2.6010Bet | 2.50 | 0% | 20% | 15% | 0% | 0 | 0101110302 | 55 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Alejandro GarnachoAston Villa FWD · away | over 1.5 fouls won | 69% | 1.53Sky Bet | 1.33 | 20% | 20% | 25% | 20% | 0 | 0040003000 | 45 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Alejandro GarnachoAston Villa FWD · away | over 2.5 fouls won | 42% | 2.50Sky Bet | 2.00 | 20% | 20% | 10% | 20% | 0 | 0040003000 | 45 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Malick YalcouyéBrighton & Hove Albion MID · home | over 2.5 fouls won | 55% | 3.75bet365 | 3.75 | 0% | 10% | 15% | 0% | 0 | 1111221032 | 35 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Charalampos KostoulasBrighton & Hove Albion FWD · home | over 0.5 fouls won | 87% | 1.2510Bet | 1.14 | 0% | 10% | 30% | 0% | 0 | 0000000010 | 19 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Maxim De CuyperBrighton & Hove Albion DEF · home | over 1.5 fouls won | 35% | 3.40bet365 | 3.40 | 20% | 10% | 15% | 20% | 0 | 0120000110 | 36 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Georginio RutterBrighton & Hove Albion FWD · home | over 1.5 fouls won | 64% | 1.73bet365 | 1.73 | 0% | 10% | 25% | 17% | 0 | 0100100041 | 36 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Georginio RutterBrighton & Hove Albion FWD · home | over 2.5 fouls won | 35% | 3.25bet365 | 3.25 | 0% | 10% | 10% | 17% | 0 | 0100100041 | 36 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Tyrone MingsAston Villa DEF · away | over 1.5 fouls won | 24% | 6.50Sky Bet | 3.25 | 20% | 10% | 10% | 0% | 0 | 0121100000 | 83 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Lamare BogardeAston Villa MID · away | over 1.5 fouls won | 65% | 1.62BetGoodwin | 1.40 | 20% | 10% | 10% | 20% | 1 | 2010000101 | 52 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Emiliano BuendíaAston Villa FWD · away | over 3.5 fouls won | 24% | 4.75William Hill | 3.40 | 20% | 10% | 5% | 0% | 0 | 3410310121 | 46 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Victor LindelöfAston Villa DEF · away | over 0.5 fouls won | 49% | 2.30Paddy Power | 1.91 | 20% | 10% | 5% | 17% | 0 | 0010000000 | 65 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Ross BarkleyAston Villa MID · away | over 1.5 fouls won | 36% | 3.25bet365 | 3.25 | 0% | 10% | 10% | 20% | 0 | 0110003000 | 63 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Matteo RuggeriAston Villa DEF · away | over 0.5 fouls won | 45% | 2.30Paddy Power | 2.10 | 20% | 10% | 5% | 0% | 0 | 0000100000 | 77 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Eiran CashinBrighton & Hove Albion DEF · home | over 0.5 fouls won | 55% | 2.40Paddy Power | 1.83 | 0% | 0% | 10% | 0% | 0 | 0000000000 | 82 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Malick YalcouyéBrighton & Hove Albion MID · home | over 3.5 fouls won | 45% | 9.00bet365 | 9.00 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0 | 1111221032 | 35 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Malick YalcouyéBrighton & Hove Albion MID · home | over 4.5 fouls won | 27% | 21.00bet365 | 21.00 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0 | 1111221032 | 35 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Charalampos KostoulasBrighton & Hove Albion FWD · home | over 1.5 fouls won | 61% | 2.3010Bet | 1.73 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0 | 0000000010 | 19 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Charalampos KostoulasBrighton & Hove Albion FWD · home | over 2.5 fouls won | 36% | 3.30William Hill | 3.25 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0000000010 | 19 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Diego GómezBrighton & Hove Albion MID · home | over 1.5 fouls won | 27% | 4.40William Hill | 2.38 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 1001000000 | 69 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Lamare BogardeAston Villa MID · away | over 2.5 fouls won | 38% | 3.40BetGoodwin | 2.20 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0 | 2010000101 | 52 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Lamare BogardeAston Villa MID · away | over 3.5 fouls won | 22% | 8.00BetGoodwin | 4.00 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 2010000101 | 52 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Tammy AbrahamAston Villa FWD · away | over 0.5 fouls won | 75% | 1.53Paddy Power | 1.33 | 0% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0 | 0000000000 | 18 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Tammy AbrahamAston Villa FWD · away | over 1.5 fouls won | 37% | 3.10Paddy Power | 2.50 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0 | 0000000000 | 18 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | John McGinnAston Villa MID · away | over 2.5 fouls won | 38% | 2.88Sky Bet | 1.73 | 0% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0 | 0022121220 | 64 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | John McGinnAston Villa MID · away | over 3.5 fouls won | 26% | 6.00BetGoodwin | 2.75 | 0% | 0% | 10% | 0% | 0 | 0022121220 | 64 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston VillaSun 23 Aug, 14:00 | Boubacar KamaraAston Villa MID · away | over 2.5 fouls won | 24% | 4.33Sky Bet | 2.75 | 0% | 0% | 15% | 0% | 0 | 1222202222 | 85 |
Reading a row. L5 / L10 / L20 are how many of the player’s last 5 / 10 / 20 appearances (any minutes) cleared the line. Venue is the same over his last 10 at the venue he plays at this time. Streak is consecutive appearances clearing it, newest first. Strip is his last ten raw counts, newest first, with the ones over the line in green. Market % is what the books’ median price implies — it includes their margin and the over market runs hot, so treat it as the price, not the chance. Best is the longest standing price and where.