Lines
69 priced lines across 34 matches, refreshed every five minutes. Market % is the median of the UK books’ over prices, margin included; at least 3 books behind it. Players with fewer than 5 appearances are hidden.
Every player prop the books are pricing on the next seven days, with the one thing that matters next to it: how often the player has cleared that exact line lately. Last 5, last 10, last 20, the same venue, the streak, the raw strip — beside the market’s price and the best available. Form is not a forecast and the market’s number is not a probability (the over market is priced well above reality — see the decisions log); this page puts the two facts side by side and shows the sample.
| Match | Player | Line | Market | Best | bet365 | L5 | L10 | L20 | Venue | Streak | Strip | Mins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Nicolas PépéVillarreal FWD · away | over 0.5 shots on target | 60% | 1.95LiveScoreBet | 1.53 | 60% | 70% | 65% | 60% | 2 | 2100211102 | 70 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Nicolas PépéVillarreal FWD · away | over 1.5 shots | 68% | 1.47PricedUP | 1.33 | 60% | 60% | 50% | 40% | 2 | 2400322103 | 70 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Georges MikautadzeVillarreal FWD · away | over 1.5 shots | 78% | 1.29PricedUP | 1.13 | 60% | 60% | 65% | 40% | 2 | 4310621126 | 67 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Georges MikautadzeVillarreal FWD · away | over 0.5 shots on target | 68% | 1.72Virgin Bet | 1.40 | 80% | 60% | 60% | 20% | 3 | 2310210003 | 67 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Julián AlvarezAtlético de Madrid FWD · home | over 0.5 shots on target | 77% | 1.30bet365 | 1.30 | 60% | 60% | 50% | 50% | 2 | 1101001201 | 52 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Ayoze PérezVillarreal FWD · away | over 1.5 shots | 78% | 1.29PricedUP | 1.29 | 60% | 50% | 35% | 60% | 2 | 2410320121 | 50 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Gerard MorenoVillarreal FWD · away | over 1.5 shots | 77% | 1.33bet365 | 1.33 | 40% | 50% | 55% | 17% | 0 | 0021231350 | 63 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Ademola LookmanAtlético de Madrid FWD · home | over 0.5 shots on target | 73% | 1.66LiveScoreBet | 1.36 | 60% | 50% | 50% | 60% | 1 | 2011001010 | 56 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Georges MikautadzeVillarreal FWD · away | over 2.5 shots | 52% | 1.91PricedUP | 1.40 | 60% | 40% | 25% | 20% | 2 | 4310621126 | 67 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Pape GueyeVillarreal MID · away | over 1.5 shots | 55% | 2.63bet365 | 2.63 | 40% | 40% | 40% | 17% | 0 | 1201312150 | 79 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Carlos RomeroVillarreal DEF · away | over 1.5 shots | 33% | 3.50bet365 | 3.50 | 40% | 40% | 40% | 17% | 0 | 1312140200 | 89 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Pablo BarriosAtlético de Madrid MID · home | over 1.5 shots | 44% | 2.63bet365 | 2.63 | 40% | 40% | 30% | 40% | 0 | 0020220200 | 69 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Ayoze PérezVillarreal FWD · away | over 0.5 shots on target | 65% | 2.05Virgin Bet | 1.50 | 60% | 40% | 40% | 40% | 2 | 1200220000 | 50 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Georges MikautadzeVillarreal FWD · away | over 1.5 shots on target | 30% | 4.10Virgin Bet | 3.00 | 60% | 40% | 30% | 20% | 2 | 2310210003 | 67 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Pape GueyeVillarreal MID · away | over 0.5 shots on target | 36% | 3.45LiveScoreBet | 2.75 | 40% | 40% | 35% | 50% | 2 | 1100011000 | 79 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Gerard MorenoVillarreal FWD · away | over 0.5 shots on target | 64% | 1.78LiveScoreBet | 1.53 | 20% | 40% | 45% | 17% | 0 | 0010011030 | 63 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Carlos RomeroVillarreal DEF · away | over 0.5 shots on target | 31% | 4.40LiveScoreBet | 3.25 | 60% | 40% | 35% | 17% | 0 | 0111010000 | 89 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Giuliano SimeoneAtlético de Madrid FWD · home | over 0.5 shots on target | 50% | 2.90LiveScoreBet | 2.00 | 20% | 40% | 45% | 33% | 0 | 0100011010 | 46 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Carlos MartínAtlético de Madrid FWD · home | over 0.5 shots on target | 35% | 2.85LiveScoreBet | 1.33 | 60% | 40% | 25% | 33% | 0 | 0101101000 | 36 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Nicolas PépéVillarreal FWD · away | over 2.5 shots | 41% | 2.45PricedUP | 1.91 | 40% | 30% | 30% | 0% | 0 | 2400322103 | 70 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Georges MikautadzeVillarreal FWD · away | over 3.5 shots | 31% | 3.25PricedUP | 2.00 | 40% | 30% | 15% | 20% | 1 | 4310621126 | 67 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Gerard MorenoVillarreal FWD · away | over 2.5 shots | 51% | 1.95PricedUP | 1.91 | 0% | 30% | 30% | 17% | 0 | 0021231350 | 63 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Dávid HanckoAtlético de Madrid DEF · home | over 1.5 shots | 40% | 2.75bet365 | 2.75 | 20% | 30% | 20% | 50% | 1 | 3010102201 | 81 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Ademola LookmanAtlético de Madrid FWD · home | over 2.5 shots | 74% | 1.61bet365 | 1.61 | 40% | 30% | 35% | 60% | 0 | 2031312141 | 56 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Ayoze PérezVillarreal FWD · away | over 1.5 shots on target | 29% | 5.80LiveScoreBet | 3.40 | 40% | 30% | 15% | 20% | 0 | 1200220000 | 50 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Nicolas PépéVillarreal FWD · away | over 1.5 shots on target | 23% | 5.40Virgin Bet | 3.50 | 40% | 30% | 20% | 20% | 1 | 2100211102 | 70 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Santiago MouriñoVillarreal DEF · away | over 0.5 shots on target | 26% | 6.50Virgin Bet | 3.75 | 20% | 30% | 20% | 14% | 1 | 1000000101 | 86 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Álex BaenaAtlético de Madrid FWD · home | over 0.5 shots on target | 49% | 2.23LiveScoreBet | 1.61 | 40% | 30% | 20% | 33% | 1 | 1010000010 | 62 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Marc PubillAtlético de Madrid DEF · home | over 0.5 shots on target | 25% | 5.10Virgin Bet | 3.40 | 40% | 30% | 21% | 20% | 1 | 1010000100 | 73 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Rodrigo MendozaAtlético de Madrid MID · home | over 0.5 shots on target | 33% | 3.05LiveScoreBet | 1.83 | 60% | 30% | 20% | 25% | 3 | 2110000000 | 59 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Ayoze PérezVillarreal FWD · away | over 2.5 shots | 52% | 1.91PricedUP | 1.83 | 40% | 20% | 15% | 20% | 0 | 2410320121 | 50 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Pape GueyeVillarreal MID · away | over 2.5 shots | 29% | 6.00bet365 | 6.00 | 20% | 20% | 15% | 0% | 0 | 1201312150 | 79 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Álex BaenaAtlético de Madrid FWD · home | over 1.5 shots | 67% | 1.53bet365 | 1.53 | 40% | 20% | 20% | 17% | 0 | 1231001111 | 62 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Marc PubillAtlético de Madrid DEF · home | over 1.5 shots | 21% | 4.75PricedUP | 3.75 | 0% | 20% | 16% | 20% | 0 | 1110002200 | 73 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Tajon BuchananVillarreal FWD · away | over 0.5 shots on target | 44% | 3.10LiveScoreBet | 2.25 | 20% | 20% | 25% | 14% | 0 | 0000101000 | 41 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Alberto MoleiroVillarreal FWD · away | over 0.5 shots on target | 55% | 2.45Virgin Bet | 1.53 | 20% | 20% | 25% | 0% | 0 | 0001010000 | 64 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Dávid HanckoAtlético de Madrid DEF · home | over 0.5 shots on target | 31% | 5.00LiveScoreBet | 3.25 | 0% | 20% | 10% | 33% | 0 | 0000001100 | 81 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Ayoze PérezVillarreal FWD · away | over 3.5 shots | 31% | 3.25Star Sports | 3.00 | 20% | 10% | 5% | 0% | 0 | 2410320121 | 50 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Nicolas PépéVillarreal FWD · away | over 3.5 shots | 22% | 4.50PricedUP | 3.25 | 20% | 10% | 10% | 0% | 0 | 2400322103 | 70 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Tajon BuchananVillarreal FWD · away | over 1.5 shots | 64% | 2.38bet365 | 2.38 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 14% | 0 | 1001102100 | 41 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Gerard MorenoVillarreal FWD · away | over 3.5 shots | 29% | 3.40Star Sports | 3.40 | 0% | 10% | 5% | 0% | 0 | 0021231350 | 63 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Alberto MoleiroVillarreal FWD · away | over 1.5 shots | 67% | 1.50PricedUP | 1.25 | 20% | 10% | 30% | 17% | 0 | 0021110010 | 64 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Marcos LlorenteAtlético de Madrid DEF · home | over 1.5 shots | 42% | 3.50bet365 | 3.50 | 20% | 10% | 15% | 17% | 0 | 0002010110 | 61 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Álex BaenaAtlético de Madrid FWD · home | over 2.5 shots | 38% | 2.60PricedUP | 2.50 | 20% | 10% | 10% | 17% | 0 | 1231001111 | 62 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Ademola LookmanAtlético de Madrid FWD · home | over 3.5 shots | 52% | 2.50bet365 | 2.50 | 0% | 10% | 10% | 20% | 0 | 2031312141 | 56 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Giuliano SimeoneAtlético de Madrid FWD · home | over 1.5 shots | 64% | 1.80bet365 | 1.80 | 20% | 10% | 15% | 0% | 0 | 0200011010 | 46 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Gerard MorenoVillarreal FWD · away | over 1.5 shots on target | 27% | 4.50Virgin Bet | 3.50 | 0% | 10% | 10% | 0% | 0 | 0010011030 | 63 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Marcos LlorenteAtlético de Madrid DEF · home | over 0.5 shots on target | 29% | 4.70LiveScoreBet | 3.50 | 0% | 10% | 10% | 0% | 0 | 0000010000 | 61 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Pablo BarriosAtlético de Madrid MID · home | over 0.5 shots on target | 38% | 3.80Virgin Bet | 2.63 | 20% | 10% | 25% | 20% | 0 | 0000100000 | 69 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Ademola LookmanAtlético de Madrid FWD · home | over 1.5 shots on target | 36% | 3.90LiveScoreBet | 2.75 | 20% | 10% | 15% | 20% | 1 | 2011001010 | 56 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Julián AlvarezAtlético de Madrid FWD · home | over 1.5 shots on target | 38% | 2.60LiveScoreBet | 2.38 | 0% | 10% | 10% | 0% | 0 | 1101001201 | 52 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Thomas LemarAtlético de Madrid MID · home | over 0.5 shots on target | 41% | 2.45LiveScoreBet | 2.20 | 0% | 10% | 25% | 0% | 0 | 0000001000 | 35 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Tajon BuchananVillarreal FWD · away | over 2.5 shots | 36% | 5.50bet365 | 5.50 | 0% | 0% | 15% | 0% | 0 | 1001102100 | 41 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Santiago MouriñoVillarreal DEF · away | over 1.5 shots | 23% | 5.00bet365 | 5.00 | 0% | 0% | 10% | 0% | 0 | 1010100101 | 86 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Renato VeigaVillarreal DEF · away | over 1.5 shots | 20% | 6.50bet365 | 6.50 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0001000000 | 83 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Juan FoythVillarreal DEF · away | over 1.5 shots | 20% | 10.00bet365 | 10.00 | 0% | 0% | 15% | 0% | 0 | 0000001000 | 73 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Alberto MoleiroVillarreal FWD · away | over 2.5 shots | 38% | 2.60PricedUP | 1.80 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0021110010 | 64 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Alberto MoleiroVillarreal FWD · away | over 3.5 shots | 20% | 5.00PricedUP | 2.75 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0021110010 | 64 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Álex BaenaAtlético de Madrid FWD · home | over 3.5 shots | 20% | 5.00PricedUP | 4.50 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 1231001111 | 62 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Pablo BarriosAtlético de Madrid MID · home | over 2.5 shots | 21% | 6.50bet365 | 6.50 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0 | 0020220200 | 69 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Johnny CardosoAtlético de Madrid MID · home | over 1.5 shots | 36% | 4.00bet365 | 4.00 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0 | 0000000100 | 66 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Giuliano SimeoneAtlético de Madrid FWD · home | over 2.5 shots | 36% | 3.40bet365 | 3.40 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0 | 0200011010 | 46 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Tajon BuchananVillarreal FWD · away | over 1.5 shots on target | 20% | 9.00bet365 | 9.00 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0000101000 | 41 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Tani OluwaseyiVillarreal FWD · away | over 0.5 shots on target | 44% | 2.28Virgin Bet | 1.57 | 0% | 0% | 10% | 0% | 0 | 0000000000 | 38 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Alex FreemanVillarreal DEF · away | over 0.5 shots on target | 25% | 4.00LiveScoreBet | 3.25 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0000000000 | 34 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Alberto MoleiroVillarreal FWD · away | over 1.5 shots on target | 20% | 8.50Virgin Bet | 3.75 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0001010000 | 64 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Johnny CardosoAtlético de Madrid MID · home | over 0.5 shots on target | 29% | 5.00LiveScoreBet | 3.50 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0 | 0000000000 | 66 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Obed VargasAtlético de Madrid MID · home | over 0.5 shots on target | 21% | 4.70Virgin Bet | 2.63 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0000000000 | 69 |
| Atlético de Madrid v VillarrealSun 23 Aug, 16:00 | Giuliano SimeoneAtlético de Madrid FWD · home | over 1.5 shots on target | 20% | 6.50bet365 | 6.50 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0100011010 | 46 |
Reading a row. L5 / L10 / L20 are how many of the player’s last 5 / 10 / 20 appearances (any minutes) cleared the line. Venue is the same over his last 10 at the venue he plays at this time. Streak is consecutive appearances clearing it, newest first. Strip is his last ten raw counts, newest first, with the ones over the line in green. Market % is what the books’ median price implies — it includes their margin and the over market runs hot, so treat it as the price, not the chance. Best is the longest standing price and where.