Trends · Referee
Maria Sole Ferrieri Caputi
Serie A · 4 matches
Thin sample
4 matches is below the 15 §6.3 requires. The model discards this official's own foul-rate record entirely, uses the league mean instead, and raises the edge threshold by 2 percentage points. The cards-strictness multiplier below follows a different rule — shrunk toward neutral rather than discarded — which is why it can differ from ×1.00 on a thin sample. Read the figures below as indicative, not as a referee profile.
Fouls per game
27.3
+8% vs Serie A
Cards per game
3.0
Cards per foul
0.110
strictness
Home / away fouls
13.8 / 13.5
no meaningful split
How the model prices his matches
The cards model currently serving multiplies its card expectation by ×0.97 when Maria Sole Ferrieri Caputi is appointed — his cards-per-foul ratio sits below his league's, surviving shrinkage toward the league mean. The ratio is shrunk toward the league by roughly thirteen matches’ worth of fouls, so a handful of card-happy games cannot manufacture a strict official (decision D-084).
Last 10 matches
| Date | Fixture | Fouls | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May 26 | Lazio v Pisa | 17 | 3 |
| 15 Feb 26 | Udinese v Sassuolo | 28 | 6 |
| 03 Nov 24 | Inter v Venezia | 30 | 3 |
| 18 Aug 24 | Bologna v Udinese | 34 | 0 |
Figures cover completed matches in this dataset only, and are compared against Serie A's own mean rather than a pooled average — leagues differ enough that a cross-league baseline would misrepresent every official in a high-foul competition. Cards count yellows and straight reds alike, because that is what the card markets settle on.