Trends · Referee

Ben Speedie

Championship · 10 matches

Thin sample

10 matches is below the 15 §6.3 requires. The model discards this official's own foul-rate record entirely, uses the league mean instead, and raises the edge threshold by 2 percentage points. The cards-strictness multiplier below follows a different rule — shrunk toward neutral rather than discarded — which is why it can differ from ×1.00 on a thin sample. Read the figures below as indicative, not as a referee profile.

Fouls per game

20.8

-7% vs Championship

Cards per game

2.5

Cards per foul

0.120

strictness

Home / away fouls

9.5 / 11.3

4% toward away side

How the model prices his matches

The cards model currently serving multiplies its card expectation by ×0.99 when Ben Speedie is appointed — effectively neutral: his record is either close to the league's cards-per-foul ratio or too thin to move the shrunk estimate. The ratio is shrunk toward the league by roughly thirteen matches’ worth of fouls, so a handful of card-happy games cannot manufacture a strict official (decision D-084).

Next appointments

Sat 15 AugCharlton Athletic v Derby CountyChampionship

Last 10 matches

Date	Fixture	Fouls	Cards
03 Apr 26	Leicester City v Preston North End	16	4
11 Mar 26	West Bromwich Albion v Southampton	24	4
24 Jan 26	Bristol City v Sheffield Wednesday	19	0
27 Sept 25	Oxford United v Sheffield United	23	2
13 Sept 25	Wrexham v Queens Park Rangers	17	1
30 Aug 25	Blackburn Rovers v Norwich City	16	3
16 Aug 25	Bristol City v Charlton Athletic	22	1
26 Apr 25	Millwall v Swansea City	20	2
11 Mar 25	Norwich City v Sheffield Wednesday	24	4
21 Jan 25	Hull City v Queens Park Rangers	27	4

Figures cover completed matches in this dataset only, and are compared against Championship's own mean rather than a pooled average — leagues differ enough that a cross-league baseline would misrepresent every official in a high-foul competition. Cards count yellows and straight reds alike, because that is what the card markets settle on.