Championship · England
West Ham UnitedvCharlton Athletic
Referee
Not appointed
0 matches on record
Fouls per game
—
League average
22.6
fouls per match, both teams
Value
No edges published on this fixture. An edge is published only when a bookmaker's price beats the model's fair price by that market's full bar — most fixtures never produce one. The value board explains every gate a candidate has to clear.
What these numbers are
Not tips and not prices. Each row is the model's expected count for one player in this match — how many fouls, tackles or shots it thinks he records — plus the full spread of outcomes around it. Nothing here has been compared to a bookmaker.
Step 1
His own record
Every completed match in the dataset, as a rate per 90 minutes. The n column is how many matches that rests on.
Step 2
Pulled toward his position
A thin record gets pulled hard toward other players in his position, in his league — a goalkeeper toward goalkeepers, not toward the outfielders around him. How hard is fitted per market, not chosen: tackles pull about four times harder than shots on target.
Step 3
This fixture's conditions
How much of the stat the opponent concedes, what the referee's matches look like, and home or away. This is where a projection stops being a season average.
Step 4
Scaled to expected minutes
A rate becomes a count only once you say how long he plays. 60 minutes carries two-thirds the exposure of 90, and the distribution is built at that exposure.
How to read each columnClose
- Model /90
- The model's rate for this match with the minutes taken back out — steps 1 to 3 already applied. It moves with the opponent and the referee, so it is not his raw career rate; the builder shows career and model rates side by side.
- Exp. mins
- Minutes the model expects. Confirmed means the lineup is out; provisional means it is guessing from his start rate, and is the widest of the three.
- Projected
- The expected count in this match, at those minutes. This is the number a line is set against.
- Over 1.5, etc.
- Read straight off the distribution beside it, not off how often he has beaten that line before. It answers what the model thinks, not what has happened.
- n
- Matches behind his own rate. Under 30 it turns amber: the projection is mostly his position group speaking, and §6.3 will not publish an edge on it.
- Distribution
- The whole spread, not just the average. The dashed amber cut is the line; jade bars beat it. An expected 1.8 fouls made of 2 every week and an expected 1.8 made of a 0 and a 5 are different bets, and this is where you see which one you have.
Counts are modelled as negative binomial rather than Poisson, because fouls and tackles are overdispersed and a Poisson would systematically underprice the tails — which is exactly where over bets live. Every market on this page cleared its calibration gate before it was allowed to produce a projection: when the model says 60%, it lands within a point or so of 60% out of sample.
Fouls v20260811-1858 · Tackles v20260811-1858 · Shots v20260811-1858 · Shots on target v20260811-1905 · Fouls won v20260811-1858 · Cards v20260811-1905 · Saves v20260812-1340
Model projections
Fouls43 playersHighest: Valentín Mariano José Castellanos Giménez, 1.13 expectedshowhide
What drives it — Who referees the match. A strict official lifts every player on the pitch, which is the part most books price off a season average. See what has actually happened.
- Valentín Mariano José Castellanos Giménezprovisional
FWD · West Ham United
- Mins
- 78
- Proj.
- 1.13
- O 1.5
- 31%
- Model /90
- 1.31
034%135%220%38%43%51%6+0% - Pablo Felipe Pereira de Jesusprovisional
FWD · West Ham United
- Mins
- 59
- Proj.
- 1.00
- O 1.5
- 27%
- Model /90
- 1.52
041%132%217%37%42%51%6+0% - Greg Dochertyprovisional
MID · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 76
- Proj.
- 0.98
- O 1.5
- 26%
- Model /90
- 1.17
040%134%217%36%42%51%6+0% - Lucas Tolentino Coelho de Limaprovisional
MID · West Ham United
- Mins
- 77
- Proj.
- 0.98
- O 1.5
- 26%
- Model /90
- 1.15
040%134%217%36%42%50%6+0% - Conor Coventryprovisional
MID · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 73
- Proj.
- 0.98
- O 1.5
- 26%
- Model /90
- 1.20
041%133%217%36%42%51%6+0% - Crysencio Summervilleprovisional
FWD · West Ham United
- Mins
- 65
- Proj.
- 0.97
- O 1.5
- 26%
- Model /90
- 1.33
042%132%216%36%42%51%6+0% - Jarrod Bowenprovisional
FWD · West Ham United
- Mins
- 89
- Proj.
- 0.95
- O 1.5
- 25%
- Model /90
- 0.96
040%135%217%36%42%5+0% - Tyreece Campbellprovisional
FWD · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 66
- Proj.
- 0.94
- O 1.5
- 25%
- Model /90
- 1.29
043%132%216%36%42%51%6+0% - Miles Leaburnprovisional
FWD · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 53
- Proj.
- 0.93
- O 1.5
- 24%
- Model /90
- 1.57
044%132%215%36%42%51%6+0% - Edson Omar Álvarez Velázquezprovisional
MID · West Ham United
- Mins
- 64
- Proj.
- 0.90
- O 1.5
- 23%
- Model /90
- 1.27
044%133%215%35%42%50%6+0% - Tomáš Součekprovisional
MID · West Ham United
- Mins
- 68
- Proj.
- 0.87
- O 1.5
- 22%
- Model /90
- 1.14
046%132%215%35%42%50%6+0% - James Ward-Prowseprovisional
MID · West Ham United
- Mins
- 73
- Proj.
- 0.85
- O 1.5
- 22%
- Model /90
- 1.05
045%133%215%35%41%5+0% - Niclas Füllkrugprovisional
FWD · West Ham United
- Mins
- 46
- Proj.
- 0.85
- O 1.5
- 21%
- Model /90
- 1.67
047%131%214%35%42%51%6+0% - Sonny Careyprovisional
MID · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 74
- Proj.
- 0.84
- O 1.5
- 21%
- Model /90
- 1.02
046%133%215%35%41%5+0% - Lloyd Jonesprovisional
DEF · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 86
- Proj.
- 0.80
- O 1.5
- 19%
- Model /90
- 0.84
047%134%214%34%41%5+0% - Charlie Kelmanprovisional
FWD · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 47
- Proj.
- 0.80
- O 1.5
- 20%
- Model /90
- 1.52
050%130%213%35%42%50%6+0% - Karoy Andersonprovisional
MID · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 54
- Proj.
- 0.78
- O 1.5
- 20%
- Model /90
- 1.32
050%130%213%35%41%50%6+0% - Robert Apterprovisional
FWD · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 45
- Proj.
- 0.78
- O 1.5
- 20%
- Model /90
- 1.55
052%127%213%35%42%50%6+0% - Kayne Ramseyprovisional
DEF · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 81
- Proj.
- 0.76
- O 1.5
- 18%
- Model /90
- 0.84
049%133%213%34%41%5+0% - James Breeprovisional
DEF · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 80
- Proj.
- 0.74
- O 1.5
- 17%
- Model /90
- 0.83
049%133%213%34%41%5+0%
20 of 43 players shown, ranked by projection.
Tackles43 playersHighest: Conor Coventry, 1.90 expectedshowhide
What drives it — Possession share. A tackle count depends far more on how much of the match is played at your own end than on a player’s own form. See what has actually happened.
- Conor Coventryprovisional
MID · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 73
- Proj.
- 1.90
- O 1.5
- 55%
- Model /90
- 2.34
019%127%224%316%49%54%6+2% - Greg Dochertyprovisional
MID · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 76
- Proj.
- 1.81
- O 1.5
- 53%
- Model /90
- 2.15
020%128%224%316%48%53%6+2% - Kayne Ramseyprovisional
DEF · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 81
- Proj.
- 1.53
- O 1.5
- 45%
- Model /90
- 1.69
024%131%224%313%45%52%6+1% - Lucas Tolentino Coelho de Limaprovisional
MID · West Ham United
- Mins
- 77
- Proj.
- 1.53
- O 1.5
- 45%
- Model /90
- 1.80
024%131%224%313%45%52%6+1% - James Ward-Prowseprovisional
MID · West Ham United
- Mins
- 73
- Proj.
- 1.50
- O 1.5
- 44%
- Model /90
- 1.85
025%131%223%313%45%52%6+1% - Karoy Andersonprovisional
MID · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 54
- Proj.
- 1.49
- O 1.5
- 42%
- Model /90
- 2.50
030%128%220%312%46%53%6+1% - Sonny Careyprovisional
MID · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 74
- Proj.
- 1.47
- O 1.5
- 43%
- Model /90
- 1.79
025%132%223%312%45%52%6+1% - James Breeprovisional
DEF · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 80
- Proj.
- 1.39
- O 1.5
- 40%
- Model /90
- 1.57
026%133%223%311%44%51%6+0% - Edson Omar Álvarez Velázquezprovisional
MID · West Ham United
- Mins
- 64
- Proj.
- 1.38
- O 1.5
- 39%
- Model /90
- 1.95
028%132%222%311%44%51%6+1% - Amari'i Bellprovisional
DEF · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 79
- Proj.
- 1.30
- O 1.5
- 37%
- Model /90
- 1.48
028%134%222%310%44%51%6+0% - Lloyd Jonesprovisional
DEF · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 86
- Proj.
- 1.30
- O 1.5
- 37%
- Model /90
- 1.36
028%134%223%310%43%51%6+0% - Aaron Wan-Bissakaprovisional
DEF · West Ham United
- Mins
- 86
- Proj.
- 1.26
- O 1.5
- 36%
- Model /90
- 1.32
029%135%222%310%43%51%6+0% - El Hadji Malick Dioufprovisional
DEF · West Ham United
- Mins
- 85
- Proj.
- 1.24
- O 1.5
- 35%
- Model /90
- 1.32
030%135%222%39%43%51%6+0% - Tomáš Součekprovisional
MID · West Ham United
- Mins
- 68
- Proj.
- 1.24
- O 1.5
- 35%
- Model /90
- 1.63
033%132%220%310%44%51%6+0% - Luke Chambersprovisional
DEF · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 69
- Proj.
- 1.23
- O 1.5
- 35%
- Model /90
- 1.61
030%135%222%39%43%51%6+0% - Freddie Pottsprovisional
MID · West Ham United
- Mins
- 53
- Proj.
- 1.20
- O 1.5
- 33%
- Model /90
- 2.03
036%131%218%39%44%51%6+1% - Jean-Clair Todiboprovisional
DEF · West Ham United
- Mins
- 73
- Proj.
- 1.19
- O 1.5
- 33%
- Model /90
- 1.47
033%134%221%39%43%51%6+0% - Soungoutou Magassaprovisional
MID · West Ham United
- Mins
- 45
- Proj.
- 1.18
- O 1.5
- 32%
- Model /90
- 2.38
041%127%216%39%44%52%6+1% - Oliver Scarlesprovisional
DEF · West Ham United
- Mins
- 47
- Proj.
- 1.10
- O 1.5
- 30%
- Model /90
- 2.10
040%129%217%38%43%51%6+0% - Kyle Walker-Petersprovisional
DEF · West Ham United
- Mins
- 60
- Proj.
- 1.09
- O 1.5
- 30%
- Model /90
- 1.62
041%128%217%38%43%51%6+0%
20 of 43 players shown, ranked by projection.
Shots43 playersHighest: Jarrod Bowen, 2.50 expectedshowhide
What drives it — The player’s own shot rate, shrunk toward others in his position, then adjusted for how many shots the opponent concedes. See what has actually happened.
- Jarrod Bowenprovisional
FWD · West Ham United
- Mins
- 89
- Proj.
- 2.50
- O 1.5
- 67%
- Model /90
- 2.53
012%122%223%318%412%57%6+7% - Valentín Mariano José Castellanos Giménezprovisional
FWD · West Ham United
- Mins
- 78
- Proj.
- 2.34
- O 1.5
- 64%
- Model /90
- 2.72
013%123%223%318%411%56%6+5% - Crysencio Summervilleprovisional
FWD · West Ham United
- Mins
- 65
- Proj.
- 1.94
- O 1.5
- 51%
- Model /90
- 2.68
023%125%220%314%48%55%6+4% - Pablo Felipe Pereira de Jesusprovisional
FWD · West Ham United
- Mins
- 59
- Proj.
- 1.78
- O 1.5
- 48%
- Model /90
- 2.70
025%127%220%313%48%54%6+3% - Tyreece Campbellprovisional
FWD · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 66
- Proj.
- 1.52
- O 1.5
- 42%
- Model /90
- 2.08
029%129%220%311%46%53%6+2% - Niclas Füllkrugprovisional
FWD · West Ham United
- Mins
- 46
- Proj.
- 1.48
- O 1.5
- 39%
- Model /90
- 2.89
031%130%218%310%45%53%6+2% - Lucas Tolentino Coelho de Limaprovisional
MID · West Ham United
- Mins
- 77
- Proj.
- 1.31
- O 1.5
- 36%
- Model /90
- 1.53
032%132%220%310%44%52%6+1% - Miles Leaburnprovisional
FWD · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 53
- Proj.
- 1.30
- O 1.5
- 35%
- Model /90
- 2.20
035%130%218%39%44%52%6+1% - James Ward-Prowseprovisional
MID · West Ham United
- Mins
- 73
- Proj.
- 1.26
- O 1.5
- 35%
- Model /90
- 1.56
033%131%219%310%44%51%6+1% - Tomáš Součekprovisional
MID · West Ham United
- Mins
- 68
- Proj.
- 1.24
- O 1.5
- 34%
- Model /90
- 1.64
036%130%218%39%44%52%6+1% - Charlie Kelmanprovisional
FWD · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 47
- Proj.
- 1.14
- O 1.5
- 31%
- Model /90
- 2.18
041%129%216%38%44%52%6+1% - Robert Apterprovisional
FWD · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 45
- Proj.
- 1.13
- O 1.5
- 30%
- Model /90
- 2.24
043%126%215%38%44%52%6+1% - Sonny Careyprovisional
MID · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 74
- Proj.
- 1.11
- O 1.5
- 30%
- Model /90
- 1.36
037%133%218%38%43%51%6+0% - Edson Omar Álvarez Velázquezprovisional
MID · West Ham United
- Mins
- 64
- Proj.
- 1.05
- O 1.5
- 28%
- Model /90
- 1.49
040%132%217%37%43%51%6+0% - Greg Dochertyprovisional
MID · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 76
- Proj.
- 0.96
- O 1.5
- 25%
- Model /90
- 1.14
042%133%216%36%42%51%6+0% - Freddie Pottsprovisional
MID · West Ham United
- Mins
- 53
- Proj.
- 0.88
- O 1.5
- 22%
- Model /90
- 1.49
048%130%214%36%42%51%6+0% - Conor Coventryprovisional
MID · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 73
- Proj.
- 0.86
- O 1.5
- 22%
- Model /90
- 1.06
046%132%215%35%42%50%6+0% - Matt Goddenprovisional
FWD · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 27
- Proj.
- 0.82
- O 1.5
- 19%
- Model /90
- 2.73
052%129%211%34%42%51%6+1% - Soungoutou Magassaprovisional
MID · West Ham United
- Mins
- 45
- Proj.
- 0.77
- O 1.5
- 20%
- Model /90
- 1.56
054%126%212%35%42%51%6+0% - Karoy Andersonprovisional
MID · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 54
- Proj.
- 0.74
- O 1.5
- 18%
- Model /90
- 1.24
053%129%212%34%41%50%6+0%
20 of 43 players shown, ranked by projection.
Shots on target43 playersHighest: Jarrod Bowen, 0.97 expectedshowhide
What drives it — Shot volume first, conversion second — literally: the projection is the shots model thinned by the player’s own on-target rate, so a high-volume low-accuracy shooter and a sniper price differently at the same shot count. See what has actually happened.
- Jarrod Bowenprovisional
FWD · West Ham United
- Mins
- 89
- Proj.
- 0.97
- O 0.5
- 60%
- Model /90
- 0.98
040%134%217%36%42%50%6+0% - Valentín Mariano José Castellanos Giménezprovisional
FWD · West Ham United
- Mins
- 78
- Proj.
- 0.95
- O 0.5
- 59%
- Model /90
- 1.11
041%134%217%36%42%50%6+0% - Crysencio Summervilleprovisional
FWD · West Ham United
- Mins
- 65
- Proj.
- 0.62
- O 0.5
- 43%
- Model /90
- 0.86
057%129%210%33%41%5+0% - Pablo Felipe Pereira de Jesusprovisional
FWD · West Ham United
- Mins
- 59
- Proj.
- 0.60
- O 0.5
- 42%
- Model /90
- 0.92
058%129%210%33%41%5+0% - Charlie Kelmanprovisional
FWD · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 47
- Proj.
- 0.57
- O 0.5
- 39%
- Model /90
- 1.08
061%127%29%33%41%5+0% - Niclas Füllkrugprovisional
FWD · West Ham United
- Mins
- 46
- Proj.
- 0.56
- O 0.5
- 40%
- Model /90
- 1.10
060%127%29%32%41%5+0% - Tomáš Součekprovisional
MID · West Ham United
- Mins
- 68
- Proj.
- 0.45
- O 0.5
- 35%
- Model /90
- 0.60
065%126%27%31%4+0% - Robert Apterprovisional
FWD · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 45
- Proj.
- 0.43
- O 0.5
- 32%
- Model /90
- 0.85
068%123%27%32%4+0% - Miles Leaburnprovisional
FWD · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 53
- Proj.
- 0.42
- O 0.5
- 32%
- Model /90
- 0.71
068%125%26%31%4+0% - Tyreece Campbellprovisional
FWD · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 66
- Proj.
- 0.42
- O 0.5
- 33%
- Model /90
- 0.58
067%125%26%31%4+0% - James Ward-Prowseprovisional
MID · West Ham United
- Mins
- 73
- Proj.
- 0.40
- O 0.5
- 32%
- Model /90
- 0.49
068%125%26%31%4+0% - Lucas Tolentino Coelho de Limaprovisional
MID · West Ham United
- Mins
- 77
- Proj.
- 0.37
- O 0.5
- 30%
- Model /90
- 0.43
070%124%25%31%4+0% - Sonny Careyprovisional
MID · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 74
- Proj.
- 0.34
- O 0.5
- 28%
- Model /90
- 0.41
072%123%24%3+1% - Greg Dochertyprovisional
MID · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 76
- Proj.
- 0.31
- O 0.5
- 26%
- Model /90
- 0.36
074%121%24%3+1% - Matt Goddenprovisional
FWD · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 27
- Proj.
- 0.29
- O 0.5
- 23%
- Model /90
- 0.98
077%119%24%31%4+0% - Edson Omar Álvarez Velázquezprovisional
MID · West Ham United
- Mins
- 64
- Proj.
- 0.29
- O 0.5
- 24%
- Model /90
- 0.41
076%120%23%3+1% - Freddie Pottsprovisional
MID · West Ham United
- Mins
- 53
- Proj.
- 0.27
- O 0.5
- 23%
- Model /90
- 0.46
077%119%23%3+1% - Soungoutou Magassaprovisional
MID · West Ham United
- Mins
- 45
- Proj.
- 0.23
- O 0.5
- 20%
- Model /90
- 0.47
080%116%23%3+0% - Conor Coventryprovisional
MID · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 73
- Proj.
- 0.22
- O 0.5
- 20%
- Model /90
- 0.28
080%117%22%3+0% - Ibrahim Fullahprovisional
MID · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 32
- Proj.
- 0.22
- O 0.5
- 19%
- Model /90
- 0.62
081%117%22%3+0%
20 of 43 players shown, ranked by projection.
Fouls won43 playersHighest: Jarrod Bowen, 1.37 expectedshowhide
What drives it — How much a player runs at defenders. Dribble volume drives this far more than the referee does. See what has actually happened.
- Jarrod Bowenprovisional
FWD · West Ham United
- Mins
- 89
- Proj.
- 1.37
- O 1.5
- 38%
- Model /90
- 1.38
029%133%221%310%44%52%6+1% - Crysencio Summervilleprovisional
FWD · West Ham United
- Mins
- 65
- Proj.
- 1.33
- O 1.5
- 36%
- Model /90
- 1.83
034%130%219%310%45%52%6+1% - Lucas Tolentino Coelho de Limaprovisional
MID · West Ham United
- Mins
- 77
- Proj.
- 1.23
- O 1.5
- 34%
- Model /90
- 1.45
034%132%219%39%44%51%6+1% - Valentín Mariano José Castellanos Giménezprovisional
FWD · West Ham United
- Mins
- 78
- Proj.
- 1.21
- O 1.5
- 33%
- Model /90
- 1.40
033%134%220%39%43%51%6+0% - Pablo Felipe Pereira de Jesusprovisional
FWD · West Ham United
- Mins
- 59
- Proj.
- 1.00
- O 1.5
- 26%
- Model /90
- 1.52
043%131%216%37%43%51%6+0% - Greg Dochertyprovisional
MID · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 76
- Proj.
- 0.91
- O 1.5
- 24%
- Model /90
- 1.09
044%132%215%36%42%51%6+0% - James Ward-Prowseprovisional
MID · West Ham United
- Mins
- 73
- Proj.
- 0.91
- O 1.5
- 23%
- Model /90
- 1.12
044%132%215%36%42%51%6+0% - Sonny Careyprovisional
MID · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 74
- Proj.
- 0.90
- O 1.5
- 23%
- Model /90
- 1.10
044%133%215%36%42%50%6+0% - Tyreece Campbellprovisional
FWD · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 66
- Proj.
- 0.90
- O 1.5
- 23%
- Model /90
- 1.23
046%131%215%36%42%51%6+0% - Miles Leaburnprovisional
FWD · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 53
- Proj.
- 0.89
- O 1.5
- 23%
- Model /90
- 1.50
047%131%214%36%42%51%6+0% - Edson Omar Álvarez Velázquezprovisional
MID · West Ham United
- Mins
- 64
- Proj.
- 0.85
- O 1.5
- 21%
- Model /90
- 1.20
047%132%214%35%42%50%6+0% - Tomáš Součekprovisional
MID · West Ham United
- Mins
- 68
- Proj.
- 0.81
- O 1.5
- 20%
- Model /90
- 1.07
049%131%214%35%41%50%6+0% - Amari'i Bellprovisional
DEF · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 79
- Proj.
- 0.78
- O 1.5
- 19%
- Model /90
- 0.89
048%133%213%34%41%5+0% - Conor Coventryprovisional
MID · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 73
- Proj.
- 0.78
- O 1.5
- 19%
- Model /90
- 0.96
049%132%213%34%41%5+0% - El Hadji Malick Dioufprovisional
DEF · West Ham United
- Mins
- 85
- Proj.
- 0.77
- O 1.5
- 18%
- Model /90
- 0.81
049%133%213%34%41%5+0% - Freddie Pottsprovisional
MID · West Ham United
- Mins
- 53
- Proj.
- 0.75
- O 1.5
- 18%
- Model /90
- 1.27
053%129%212%34%41%50%6+0% - Kayne Ramseyprovisional
DEF · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 81
- Proj.
- 0.74
- O 1.5
- 18%
- Model /90
- 0.82
051%132%213%34%41%5+0% - Lloyd Jonesprovisional
DEF · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 86
- Proj.
- 0.74
- O 1.5
- 17%
- Model /90
- 0.77
050%132%213%34%41%5+0% - Charlie Kelmanprovisional
FWD · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 47
- Proj.
- 0.72
- O 1.5
- 18%
- Model /90
- 1.37
054%128%212%34%41%50%6+0% - Robert Apterprovisional
FWD · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 45
- Proj.
- 0.71
- O 1.5
- 18%
- Model /90
- 1.41
056%126%211%34%41%50%6+0%
20 of 43 players shown, ranked by projection.
Cards43 playersHighest: Lucas Tolentino Coelho de Lima, 0.15 expectedshowhide
Known defect — Prices ANY card — yellow or straight red — matching how books settle "to be shown a card" (D-048). The trends column alongside counts yellows only.
What drives it — Fouls first, then how readily the referee reaches for a card. Two officials averaging four cards a match can do it for opposite reasons. See what has actually happened.
- Lucas Tolentino Coelho de Limaprovisional
MID · West Ham United
- Mins
- 77
- Proj.
- 0.15
- O 0.5
- 14%
- Model /90
- 0.18
086%113%2+1% - Jean-Clair Todiboprovisional
DEF · West Ham United
- Mins
- 73
- Proj.
- 0.14
- O 0.5
- 13%
- Model /90
- 0.18
087%112%2+1% - Greg Dochertyprovisional
MID · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 76
- Proj.
- 0.14
- O 0.5
- 13%
- Model /90
- 0.16
087%112%2+1% - James Breeprovisional
DEF · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 80
- Proj.
- 0.14
- O 0.5
- 13%
- Model /90
- 0.15
087%112%2+1% - Edson Omar Álvarez Velázquezprovisional
MID · West Ham United
- Mins
- 64
- Proj.
- 0.13
- O 0.5
- 12%
- Model /90
- 0.19
088%111%2+1% - Lloyd Jonesprovisional
DEF · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 86
- Proj.
- 0.13
- O 0.5
- 12%
- Model /90
- 0.14
088%111%2+1% - Conor Coventryprovisional
MID · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 73
- Proj.
- 0.13
- O 0.5
- 12%
- Model /90
- 0.16
088%111%2+1% - Kayne Ramseyprovisional
DEF · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 81
- Proj.
- 0.13
- O 0.5
- 12%
- Model /90
- 0.14
088%111%2+1% - Valentín Mariano José Castellanos Giménezprovisional
FWD · West Ham United
- Mins
- 78
- Proj.
- 0.12
- O 0.5
- 11%
- Model /90
- 0.14
089%111%2+1% - Tomáš Součekprovisional
MID · West Ham United
- Mins
- 68
- Proj.
- 0.12
- O 0.5
- 11%
- Model /90
- 0.16
089%110%2+1% - Sonny Careyprovisional
MID · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 74
- Proj.
- 0.12
- O 0.5
- 11%
- Model /90
- 0.15
089%110%2+1% - Joe Rankin-Costelloprovisional
DEF · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 35
- Proj.
- 0.12
- O 0.5
- 11%
- Model /90
- 0.30
089%110%2+1% - James Ward-Prowseprovisional
MID · West Ham United
- Mins
- 73
- Proj.
- 0.12
- O 0.5
- 11%
- Model /90
- 0.15
089%110%2+1% - El Hadji Malick Dioufprovisional
DEF · West Ham United
- Mins
- 85
- Proj.
- 0.12
- O 0.5
- 11%
- Model /90
- 0.12
089%110%2+1% - Luke Chambersprovisional
DEF · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 69
- Proj.
- 0.11
- O 0.5
- 11%
- Model /90
- 0.15
089%110%2+1% - Amari'i Bellprovisional
DEF · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 79
- Proj.
- 0.11
- O 0.5
- 11%
- Model /90
- 0.13
089%110%2+1% - Max Kilmanprovisional
DEF · West Ham United
- Mins
- 83
- Proj.
- 0.11
- O 0.5
- 10%
- Model /90
- 0.12
090%110%2+1% - Karoy Andersonprovisional
MID · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 54
- Proj.
- 0.11
- O 0.5
- 10%
- Model /90
- 0.19
090%110%2+1% - Aaron Wan-Bissakaprovisional
DEF · West Ham United
- Mins
- 86
- Proj.
- 0.10
- O 0.5
- 10%
- Model /90
- 0.11
090%19%2+1% - Crysencio Summervilleprovisional
FWD · West Ham United
- Mins
- 65
- Proj.
- 0.10
- O 0.5
- 9%
- Model /90
- 0.14
091%19%2+1%
20 of 43 players shown, ranked by projection.
Saves43 playersHighest: Thomas Kaminski, 2.96 expectedshowhide
What drives it — Opponent shot volume. A keeper’s own record carries so little that this market shrinks harder than any other on the board. See what has actually happened.
- Thomas Kaminskiprovisional
GK · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 90
- Proj.
- 2.96
- O 2.5
- 55%
- Model /90
- 2.96
07%117%222%320%415%59%6+10% - Alphonse Areolaprovisional
GK · West Ham United
- Mins
- 88
- Proj.
- 2.66
- O 2.5
- 48%
- Model /90
- 2.72
09%120%223%320%413%58%6+7% - Mads Hermansenprovisional
GK · West Ham United
- Mins
- 90
- Proj.
- 2.42
- O 2.5
- 43%
- Model /90
- 2.42
011%122%224%319%412%56%6+5% - Lloyd Jonesprovisional
DEF · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 86
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Kayne Ramseyprovisional
DEF · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 81
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Amari'i Bellprovisional
DEF · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 79
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - James Breeprovisional
DEF · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 80
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Greg Dochertyprovisional
MID · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 76
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Conor Coventryprovisional
MID · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 73
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Sonny Careyprovisional
MID · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 74
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Luke Chambersprovisional
DEF · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 69
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Tyreece Campbellprovisional
FWD · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 66
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Jarrod Bowenprovisional
FWD · West Ham United
- Mins
- 89
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Macaulay Gillespheyprovisional
DEF · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 59
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - El Hadji Malick Dioufprovisional
DEF · West Ham United
- Mins
- 85
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Aaron Wan-Bissakaprovisional
DEF · West Ham United
- Mins
- 86
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Max Kilmanprovisional
DEF · West Ham United
- Mins
- 83
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Reece Burkeprovisional
DEF · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 56
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Lucas Tolentino Coelho de Limaprovisional
MID · West Ham United
- Mins
- 77
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Miles Leaburnprovisional
FWD · Charlton Athletic
- Mins
- 53
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0%
20 of 43 players shown, ranked by projection.