La Liga · Spain
Deportivo AlavésvGetafe
Referee
Not appointed
0 matches on record
Fouls per game
—
League average
22.6
fouls per match, both teams
Value
No edges published on this fixture. An edge is published only when a bookmaker's price beats the model's fair price by that market's full bar — most fixtures never produce one. The value board explains every gate a candidate has to clear.
What these numbers are
Not tips and not prices. Each row is the model's expected count for one player in this match — how many fouls, tackles or shots it thinks he records — plus the full spread of outcomes around it. Nothing here has been compared to a bookmaker.
Step 1
His own record
Every completed match in the dataset, as a rate per 90 minutes. The n column is how many matches that rests on.
Step 2
Pulled toward his position
A thin record gets pulled hard toward other players in his position, in his league — a goalkeeper toward goalkeepers, not toward the outfielders around him. How hard is fitted per market, not chosen: tackles pull about four times harder than shots on target.
Step 3
This fixture's conditions
How much of the stat the opponent concedes, what the referee's matches look like, and home or away. This is where a projection stops being a season average.
Step 4
Scaled to expected minutes
A rate becomes a count only once you say how long he plays. 60 minutes carries two-thirds the exposure of 90, and the distribution is built at that exposure.
How to read each columnClose
- Model /90
- The model's rate for this match with the minutes taken back out — steps 1 to 3 already applied. It moves with the opponent and the referee, so it is not his raw career rate; the builder shows career and model rates side by side.
- Exp. mins
- Minutes the model expects. Confirmed means the lineup is out; provisional means it is guessing from his start rate, and is the widest of the three.
- Projected
- The expected count in this match, at those minutes. This is the number a line is set against.
- Over 1.5, etc.
- Read straight off the distribution beside it, not off how often he has beaten that line before. It answers what the model thinks, not what has happened.
- n
- Matches behind his own rate. Under 30 it turns amber: the projection is mostly his position group speaking, and §6.3 will not publish an edge on it.
- Distribution
- The whole spread, not just the average. The dashed amber cut is the line; jade bars beat it. An expected 1.8 fouls made of 2 every week and an expected 1.8 made of a 0 and a 5 are different bets, and this is where you see which one you have.
Counts are modelled as negative binomial rather than Poisson, because fouls and tackles are overdispersed and a Poisson would systematically underprice the tails — which is exactly where over bets live. Every market on this page cleared its calibration gate before it was allowed to produce a projection: when the model says 60%, it lands within a point or so of 60% out of sample.
Fouls v20260811-1858 · Tackles v20260811-1858 · Shots v20260811-1858 · Shots on target v20260811-1905 · Fouls won v20260811-1858 · Cards v20260811-1905 · Saves v20260812-1340
Model projections
Fouls41 playersHighest: Antonio Blanco Conde, 1.35 expectedshowhide
What drives it — Who referees the match. A strict official lifts every player on the pitch, which is the part most books price off a season average. See what has actually happened.
- Antonio Blanco Condeprovisional
MID · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 82
- Proj.
- 1.35
- O 1.5
- 38%
- Model /90
- 1.47
029%133%222%311%44%51%6+1% - Allan Romeo Nyomprovisional
DEF · Getafe
- Mins
- 42
- Proj.
- 1.29
- O 1.5
- 34%
- Model /90
- 2.75
044%123%214%39%46%53%6+2% - Mauro Wilney Arambarri Rosaprovisional
MID · Getafe
- Mins
- 82
- Proj.
- 1.27
- O 1.5
- 36%
- Model /90
- 1.39
031%133%221%310%44%51%6+0% - Martín Satrianoprovisional
FWD · Getafe
- Mins
- 90
- Proj.
- 1.21
- O 1.5
- 34%
- Model /90
- 1.21
031%135%221%39%43%51%6+0% - Ramón Terrats Espacioprovisional
MID · Getafe
- Mins
- 82
- Proj.
- 1.20
- O 1.5
- 33%
- Model /90
- 1.31
032%135%221%39%43%51%6+0% - Christantus Ugonna Ucheprovisional
FWD · Getafe
- Mins
- 77
- Proj.
- 1.20
- O 1.5
- 33%
- Model /90
- 1.40
033%134%220%39%43%51%6+0% - Mario Martín Rielvesprovisional
MID · Getafe
- Mins
- 61
- Proj.
- 1.15
- O 1.5
- 32%
- Model /90
- 1.70
035%133%219%38%43%51%6+0% - Antonio Martínez Lópezprovisional
FWD · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 58
- Proj.
- 1.14
- O 1.5
- 31%
- Model /90
- 1.79
039%130%217%38%44%51%6+1% - Carlos Vicente Roblesprovisional
FWD · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 83
- Proj.
- 1.13
- O 1.5
- 31%
- Model /90
- 1.23
034%135%219%38%43%51%6+0% - Lucas Ariel Boyéprovisional
FWD · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 68
- Proj.
- 1.13
- O 1.5
- 31%
- Model /90
- 1.50
037%132%218%38%43%51%6+0% - Angel Pérez Hidalgoprovisional
FWD · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 81
- Proj.
- 1.13
- O 1.5
- 31%
- Model /90
- 1.25
036%134%219%38%43%51%6+0% - Moussa Diarraprovisional
DEF · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 72
- Proj.
- 1.06
- O 1.5
- 29%
- Model /90
- 1.32
040%131%217%38%43%51%6+0% - Adrian Liso Lahozprovisional
FWD · Getafe
- Mins
- 61
- Proj.
- 1.03
- O 1.5
- 28%
- Model /90
- 1.53
042%130%216%37%43%51%6+0% - Pablo Ibáñez Lumbrerasprovisional
MID · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 62
- Proj.
- 1.02
- O 1.5
- 27%
- Model /90
- 1.49
040%133%217%37%42%51%6+0% - Carles Aleña Castilloprovisional
MID · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 64
- Proj.
- 1.01
- O 1.5
- 27%
- Model /90
- 1.42
040%133%217%37%42%51%6+0% - Domingos Sousa Coutinho Meneses Duarteprovisional
DEF · Getafe
- Mins
- 86
- Proj.
- 1.00
- O 1.5
- 27%
- Model /90
- 1.05
039%135%218%36%42%50%6+0% - Jonathan Castro Ottoprovisional
DEF · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 88
- Proj.
- 1.00
- O 1.5
- 26%
- Model /90
- 1.02
038%135%218%36%42%50%6+0% - Zaid Abner Romeroprovisional
DEF · Getafe
- Mins
- 90
- Proj.
- 0.99
- O 1.5
- 26%
- Model /90
- 0.99
039%135%218%36%42%50%6+0% - Djené Dakonam Ortegaprovisional
DEF · Getafe
- Mins
- 79
- Proj.
- 0.97
- O 1.5
- 25%
- Model /90
- 1.10
040%135%217%36%42%50%6+0% - Nahuel Tenagliaprovisional
DEF · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 88
- Proj.
- 0.95
- O 1.5
- 25%
- Model /90
- 0.97
040%135%217%36%42%5+0%
20 of 41 players shown, ranked by projection.
Tackles41 playersHighest: Antonio Blanco Conde, 1.84 expectedshowhide
What drives it — Possession share. A tackle count depends far more on how much of the match is played at your own end than on a player’s own form. See what has actually happened.
- Antonio Blanco Condeprovisional
MID · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 82
- Proj.
- 1.84
- O 1.5
- 54%
- Model /90
- 2.00
017%128%226%316%48%53%6+1% - Nahuel Tenagliaprovisional
DEF · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 88
- Proj.
- 1.76
- O 1.5
- 52%
- Model /90
- 1.80
018%130%226%316%47%53%6+1% - Ramón Terrats Espacioprovisional
MID · Getafe
- Mins
- 82
- Proj.
- 1.70
- O 1.5
- 50%
- Model /90
- 1.86
019%131%226%315%46%52%6+1% - Zaid Abner Romeroprovisional
DEF · Getafe
- Mins
- 90
- Proj.
- 1.66
- O 1.5
- 49%
- Model /90
- 1.66
019%131%226%314%46%52%6+1% - Moussa Diarraprovisional
DEF · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 72
- Proj.
- 1.63
- O 1.5
- 47%
- Model /90
- 2.05
026%127%222%314%47%53%6+1% - Jonathan Castro Ottoprovisional
DEF · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 88
- Proj.
- 1.63
- O 1.5
- 48%
- Model /90
- 1.66
020%132%226%314%46%52%6+1% - Mauro Wilney Arambarri Rosaprovisional
MID · Getafe
- Mins
- 82
- Proj.
- 1.61
- O 1.5
- 47%
- Model /90
- 1.77
022%131%225%314%46%52%6+1% - Diego Rico Salgueroprovisional
DEF · Getafe
- Mins
- 77
- Proj.
- 1.55
- O 1.5
- 46%
- Model /90
- 1.81
026%128%223%313%46%52%6+1% - Mario Martín Rielvesprovisional
MID · Getafe
- Mins
- 61
- Proj.
- 1.50
- O 1.5
- 43%
- Model /90
- 2.21
025%132%223%312%45%52%6+1% - Pablo Ibáñez Lumbrerasprovisional
MID · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 62
- Proj.
- 1.49
- O 1.5
- 43%
- Model /90
- 2.17
026%131%223%312%45%52%6+1% - Denis Suárez Fernándezprovisional
MID · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 47
- Proj.
- 1.42
- O 1.5
- 39%
- Model /90
- 2.73
031%130%220%311%45%52%6+1% - Domingos Sousa Coutinho Meneses Duarteprovisional
DEF · Getafe
- Mins
- 86
- Proj.
- 1.39
- O 1.5
- 41%
- Model /90
- 1.46
026%134%224%311%44%51%6+0% - Francisco Femenía Farprovisional
DEF · Getafe
- Mins
- 72
- Proj.
- 1.35
- O 1.5
- 39%
- Model /90
- 1.68
027%134%223%311%44%51%6+0% - Abdelkabir Abqarprovisional
DEF · Getafe
- Mins
- 63
- Proj.
- 1.34
- O 1.5
- 38%
- Model /90
- 1.92
030%132%221%311%44%51%6+1% - Carles Aleña Castilloprovisional
MID · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 64
- Proj.
- 1.33
- O 1.5
- 38%
- Model /90
- 1.85
030%132%221%311%44%51%6+0% - Facundo Tomás Garcésprovisional
DEF · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 73
- Proj.
- 1.31
- O 1.5
- 37%
- Model /90
- 1.61
032%131%221%311%44%51%6+1% - Djené Dakonam Ortegaprovisional
DEF · Getafe
- Mins
- 79
- Proj.
- 1.21
- O 1.5
- 34%
- Model /90
- 1.38
030%136%222%39%43%51%6+0% - Martín Satrianoprovisional
FWD · Getafe
- Mins
- 90
- Proj.
- 1.15
- O 1.5
- 32%
- Model /90
- 1.15
032%136%221%38%42%51%6+0% - David Cordón Manchaprovisional
DEF · Getafe
- Mins
- 50
- Proj.
- 1.11
- O 1.5
- 30%
- Model /90
- 2.01
038%132%218%38%43%51%6+0% - Ander Guevara Lajoprovisional
MID · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 45
- Proj.
- 1.11
- O 1.5
- 29%
- Model /90
- 2.24
041%130%216%38%44%51%6+1%
20 of 41 players shown, ranked by projection.
Shots41 playersHighest: Carlos Vicente Robles, 1.82 expectedshowhide
What drives it — The player’s own shot rate, shrunk toward others in his position, then adjusted for how many shots the opponent concedes. See what has actually happened.
- Carlos Vicente Roblesprovisional
FWD · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 83
- Proj.
- 1.82
- O 1.5
- 51%
- Model /90
- 1.97
021%128%223%314%48%54%6+2% - Angel Pérez Hidalgoprovisional
FWD · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 81
- Proj.
- 1.80
- O 1.5
- 50%
- Model /90
- 2.00
022%128%222%314%48%54%6+3% - Martín Satrianoprovisional
FWD · Getafe
- Mins
- 90
- Proj.
- 1.68
- O 1.5
- 48%
- Model /90
- 1.68
022%130%223%314%47%53%6+2% - Lucas Ariel Boyéprovisional
FWD · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 68
- Proj.
- 1.64
- O 1.5
- 45%
- Model /90
- 2.19
027%128%221%313%47%53%6+2% - Antonio Martínez Lópezprovisional
FWD · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 58
- Proj.
- 1.53
- O 1.5
- 41%
- Model /90
- 2.40
032%127%218%311%46%53%6+2% - Christantus Ugonna Ucheprovisional
FWD · Getafe
- Mins
- 77
- Proj.
- 1.44
- O 1.5
- 41%
- Model /90
- 1.68
028%132%222%311%45%52%6+1% - Abderrahman Rebbachprovisional
FWD · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 50
- Proj.
- 1.25
- O 1.5
- 33%
- Model /90
- 2.26
038%129%217%39%44%52%6+1% - Adrian Liso Lahozprovisional
FWD · Getafe
- Mins
- 61
- Proj.
- 1.20
- O 1.5
- 33%
- Model /90
- 1.79
039%129%217%39%44%52%6+1% - Borja Mayoral Moyaprovisional
FWD · Getafe
- Mins
- 54
- Proj.
- 1.11
- O 1.5
- 29%
- Model /90
- 1.85
041%130%216%38%43%51%6+1% - Alex Sola López Ocañaprovisional
FWD · Getafe
- Mins
- 52
- Proj.
- 1.04
- O 1.5
- 28%
- Model /90
- 1.82
041%131%216%37%43%51%6+0% - Antonio Blanco Condeprovisional
MID · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 82
- Proj.
- 0.91
- O 1.5
- 23%
- Model /90
- 1.00
043%134%216%36%42%50%6+0% - Pablo Ibáñez Lumbrerasprovisional
MID · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 62
- Proj.
- 0.91
- O 1.5
- 23%
- Model /90
- 1.33
045%132%215%36%42%51%6+0% - Coba Gomes da Costaprovisional
FWD · Getafe
- Mins
- 42
- Proj.
- 0.90
- O 1.5
- 23%
- Model /90
- 1.93
049%128%213%36%42%51%6+0% - Juan Miguel Jiménez Lópezprovisional
FWD · Getafe
- Mins
- 41
- Proj.
- 0.90
- O 1.5
- 23%
- Model /90
- 1.95
049%129%213%36%42%51%6+1% - Mauro Wilney Arambarri Rosaprovisional
MID · Getafe
- Mins
- 82
- Proj.
- 0.88
- O 1.5
- 22%
- Model /90
- 0.96
044%133%215%35%42%50%6+0% - Alejandro San Cristóbal Sánchezprovisional
FWD · Getafe
- Mins
- 39
- Proj.
- 0.83
- O 1.5
- 20%
- Model /90
- 1.92
049%130%213%35%42%51%6+0% - Ramón Terrats Espacioprovisional
MID · Getafe
- Mins
- 82
- Proj.
- 0.83
- O 1.5
- 20%
- Model /90
- 0.91
046%134%214%35%41%5+0% - Mariano Díaz Mejíaprovisional
FWD · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 28
- Proj.
- 0.81
- O 1.5
- 20%
- Model /90
- 2.57
052%129%212%35%42%51%6+0% - Carles Aleña Castilloprovisional
MID · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 64
- Proj.
- 0.80
- O 1.5
- 20%
- Model /90
- 1.12
049%131%213%35%41%50%6+0% - Mario Martín Rielvesprovisional
MID · Getafe
- Mins
- 61
- Proj.
- 0.63
- O 1.5
- 14%
- Model /90
- 0.93
055%130%210%33%41%5+0%
20 of 41 players shown, ranked by projection.
Shots on target41 playersHighest: Carlos Vicente Robles, 0.73 expectedshowhide
What drives it — Shot volume first, conversion second — literally: the projection is the shots model thinned by the player’s own on-target rate, so a high-volume low-accuracy shooter and a sniper price differently at the same shot count. See what has actually happened.
- Carlos Vicente Roblesprovisional
FWD · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 83
- Proj.
- 0.73
- O 0.5
- 50%
- Model /90
- 0.79
050%133%212%34%41%5+0% - Martín Satrianoprovisional
FWD · Getafe
- Mins
- 90
- Proj.
- 0.72
- O 0.5
- 50%
- Model /90
- 0.72
050%133%212%33%41%5+0% - Angel Pérez Hidalgoprovisional
FWD · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 81
- Proj.
- 0.64
- O 0.5
- 45%
- Model /90
- 0.71
055%131%211%33%41%5+0% - Lucas Ariel Boyéprovisional
FWD · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 68
- Proj.
- 0.59
- O 0.5
- 42%
- Model /90
- 0.79
058%129%210%33%41%5+0% - Antonio Martínez Lópezprovisional
FWD · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 58
- Proj.
- 0.57
- O 0.5
- 40%
- Model /90
- 0.89
060%127%29%33%41%5+0% - Adrian Liso Lahozprovisional
FWD · Getafe
- Mins
- 61
- Proj.
- 0.48
- O 0.5
- 35%
- Model /90
- 0.71
065%125%28%32%4+0% - Borja Mayoral Moyaprovisional
FWD · Getafe
- Mins
- 54
- Proj.
- 0.46
- O 0.5
- 34%
- Model /90
- 0.77
066%125%27%32%4+0% - Christantus Ugonna Ucheprovisional
FWD · Getafe
- Mins
- 77
- Proj.
- 0.46
- O 0.5
- 36%
- Model /90
- 0.53
064%127%27%31%4+0% - Abderrahman Rebbachprovisional
FWD · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 50
- Proj.
- 0.44
- O 0.5
- 33%
- Model /90
- 0.80
067%124%27%32%4+0% - Juan Miguel Jiménez Lópezprovisional
FWD · Getafe
- Mins
- 41
- Proj.
- 0.38
- O 0.5
- 29%
- Model /90
- 0.82
071%122%25%31%4+0% - Coba Gomes da Costaprovisional
FWD · Getafe
- Mins
- 42
- Proj.
- 0.32
- O 0.5
- 26%
- Model /90
- 0.69
074%120%24%31%4+0% - Mariano Díaz Mejíaprovisional
FWD · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 28
- Proj.
- 0.32
- O 0.5
- 25%
- Model /90
- 1.02
075%120%24%31%4+0% - Alex Sola López Ocañaprovisional
FWD · Getafe
- Mins
- 52
- Proj.
- 0.32
- O 0.5
- 26%
- Model /90
- 0.56
074%121%24%31%4+0% - Alejandro San Cristóbal Sánchezprovisional
FWD · Getafe
- Mins
- 39
- Proj.
- 0.32
- O 0.5
- 26%
- Model /90
- 0.73
074%121%24%31%4+0% - Ramón Terrats Espacioprovisional
MID · Getafe
- Mins
- 82
- Proj.
- 0.30
- O 0.5
- 25%
- Model /90
- 0.33
075%121%23%3+0% - Mauro Wilney Arambarri Rosaprovisional
MID · Getafe
- Mins
- 82
- Proj.
- 0.29
- O 0.5
- 24%
- Model /90
- 0.31
076%121%23%3+0% - Pablo Ibáñez Lumbrerasprovisional
MID · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 62
- Proj.
- 0.26
- O 0.5
- 22%
- Model /90
- 0.39
078%119%23%3+0% - Antonio Blanco Condeprovisional
MID · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 82
- Proj.
- 0.25
- O 0.5
- 21%
- Model /90
- 0.27
079%119%23%3+0% - Carles Aleña Castilloprovisional
MID · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 64
- Proj.
- 0.20
- O 0.5
- 18%
- Model /90
- 0.28
082%116%22%3+0% - Denis Suárez Fernándezprovisional
MID · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 47
- Proj.
- 0.19
- O 0.5
- 17%
- Model /90
- 0.37
083%115%22%3+0%
20 of 41 players shown, ranked by projection.
Fouls won41 playersHighest: Carlos Vicente Robles, 1.75 expectedshowhide
What drives it — How much a player runs at defenders. Dribble volume drives this far more than the referee does. See what has actually happened.
- Carlos Vicente Roblesprovisional
FWD · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 83
- Proj.
- 1.75
- O 1.5
- 49%
- Model /90
- 1.89
022%129%223%314%47%53%6+2% - Martín Satrianoprovisional
FWD · Getafe
- Mins
- 90
- Proj.
- 1.68
- O 1.5
- 48%
- Model /90
- 1.68
022%130%223%313%47%53%6+2% - Angel Pérez Hidalgoprovisional
FWD · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 81
- Proj.
- 1.59
- O 1.5
- 45%
- Model /90
- 1.77
026%129%222%312%46%53%6+2% - Christantus Ugonna Ucheprovisional
FWD · Getafe
- Mins
- 77
- Proj.
- 1.58
- O 1.5
- 45%
- Model /90
- 1.85
025%130%222%312%46%53%6+2% - Lucas Ariel Boyéprovisional
FWD · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 68
- Proj.
- 1.46
- O 1.5
- 40%
- Model /90
- 1.94
030%130%220%311%45%52%6+1% - Abderrahman Rebbachprovisional
FWD · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 50
- Proj.
- 1.40
- O 1.5
- 37%
- Model /90
- 2.53
035%129%217%310%45%53%6+2% - Adrian Liso Lahozprovisional
FWD · Getafe
- Mins
- 61
- Proj.
- 1.36
- O 1.5
- 37%
- Model /90
- 2.02
035%128%218%310%45%52%6+2% - Mauro Wilney Arambarri Rosaprovisional
MID · Getafe
- Mins
- 82
- Proj.
- 1.30
- O 1.5
- 36%
- Model /90
- 1.43
032%132%220%310%44%51%6+1% - Ramón Terrats Espacioprovisional
MID · Getafe
- Mins
- 82
- Proj.
- 1.27
- O 1.5
- 36%
- Model /90
- 1.40
031%133%221%310%44%51%6+1% - Pablo Ibáñez Lumbrerasprovisional
MID · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 62
- Proj.
- 1.27
- O 1.5
- 35%
- Model /90
- 1.85
034%131%219%39%44%52%6+1% - Antonio Blanco Condeprovisional
MID · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 82
- Proj.
- 1.21
- O 1.5
- 33%
- Model /90
- 1.32
034%133%220%39%43%51%6+0% - Carles Aleña Castilloprovisional
MID · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 64
- Proj.
- 1.16
- O 1.5
- 31%
- Model /90
- 1.62
037%131%218%38%43%51%6+1% - Alex Sola López Ocañaprovisional
FWD · Getafe
- Mins
- 52
- Proj.
- 1.15
- O 1.5
- 31%
- Model /90
- 1.99
039%131%217%38%43%51%6+1% - Antonio Martínez Lópezprovisional
FWD · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 58
- Proj.
- 1.07
- O 1.5
- 29%
- Model /90
- 1.68
042%129%216%38%43%51%6+1% - Diego Rico Salgueroprovisional
DEF · Getafe
- Mins
- 77
- Proj.
- 0.99
- O 1.5
- 27%
- Model /90
- 1.16
042%131%216%37%42%51%6+0% - Mario Martín Rielvesprovisional
MID · Getafe
- Mins
- 61
- Proj.
- 0.99
- O 1.5
- 26%
- Model /90
- 1.46
041%133%216%37%42%51%6+0% - Borja Mayoral Moyaprovisional
FWD · Getafe
- Mins
- 54
- Proj.
- 0.98
- O 1.5
- 25%
- Model /90
- 1.63
045%130%215%36%43%51%6+1% - Nahuel Tenagliaprovisional
DEF · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 88
- Proj.
- 0.97
- O 1.5
- 25%
- Model /90
- 0.99
041%134%217%36%42%51%6+0% - Coba Gomes da Costaprovisional
FWD · Getafe
- Mins
- 42
- Proj.
- 0.91
- O 1.5
- 23%
- Model /90
- 1.95
049%128%213%36%43%51%6+1% - Denis Suárez Fernándezprovisional
MID · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 47
- Proj.
- 0.86
- O 1.5
- 22%
- Model /90
- 1.65
048%130%213%35%42%51%6+0%
20 of 41 players shown, ranked by projection.
Cards41 playersHighest: Allan Romeo Nyom, 0.23 expectedshowhide
Known defect — Prices ANY card — yellow or straight red — matching how books settle "to be shown a card" (D-048). The trends column alongside counts yellows only.
What drives it — Fouls first, then how readily the referee reaches for a card. Two officials averaging four cards a match can do it for opposite reasons. See what has actually happened.
- Allan Romeo Nyomprovisional
DEF · Getafe
- Mins
- 42
- Proj.
- 0.23
- O 0.5
- 19%
- Model /90
- 0.49
081%116%23%3+1% - Djené Dakonam Ortegaprovisional
DEF · Getafe
- Mins
- 79
- Proj.
- 0.21
- O 0.5
- 19%
- Model /90
- 0.24
081%117%22%3+0% - Antonio Blanco Condeprovisional
MID · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 82
- Proj.
- 0.20
- O 0.5
- 18%
- Model /90
- 0.21
082%116%22%3+0% - Domingos Sousa Coutinho Meneses Duarteprovisional
DEF · Getafe
- Mins
- 86
- Proj.
- 0.19
- O 0.5
- 17%
- Model /90
- 0.20
083%116%22%3+0% - Mauro Wilney Arambarri Rosaprovisional
MID · Getafe
- Mins
- 82
- Proj.
- 0.18
- O 0.5
- 17%
- Model /90
- 0.20
083%115%22%3+0% - Moussa Diarraprovisional
DEF · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 72
- Proj.
- 0.18
- O 0.5
- 16%
- Model /90
- 0.23
084%115%22%3+0% - Zaid Abner Romeroprovisional
DEF · Getafe
- Mins
- 90
- Proj.
- 0.18
- O 0.5
- 16%
- Model /90
- 0.18
084%115%21%3+0% - Jonathan Castro Ottoprovisional
DEF · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 88
- Proj.
- 0.17
- O 0.5
- 16%
- Model /90
- 0.18
084%114%2+1% - Abdelkabir Abqarprovisional
DEF · Getafe
- Mins
- 63
- Proj.
- 0.17
- O 0.5
- 15%
- Model /90
- 0.25
085%114%21%3+0% - Nahuel Tenagliaprovisional
DEF · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 88
- Proj.
- 0.17
- O 0.5
- 16%
- Model /90
- 0.17
084%114%2+1% - Mario Martín Rielvesprovisional
MID · Getafe
- Mins
- 61
- Proj.
- 0.17
- O 0.5
- 15%
- Model /90
- 0.25
085%114%21%3+0% - Diego Rico Salgueroprovisional
DEF · Getafe
- Mins
- 77
- Proj.
- 0.17
- O 0.5
- 15%
- Model /90
- 0.20
085%114%21%3+0% - Martín Satrianoprovisional
FWD · Getafe
- Mins
- 90
- Proj.
- 0.17
- O 0.5
- 15%
- Model /90
- 0.17
085%114%2+1% - Ramón Terrats Espacioprovisional
MID · Getafe
- Mins
- 82
- Proj.
- 0.17
- O 0.5
- 15%
- Model /90
- 0.18
085%114%2+1% - Facundo Tomás Garcésprovisional
DEF · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 73
- Proj.
- 0.16
- O 0.5
- 15%
- Model /90
- 0.20
085%113%21%3+0% - Angel Pérez Hidalgoprovisional
FWD · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 81
- Proj.
- 0.16
- O 0.5
- 14%
- Model /90
- 0.17
086%113%2+1% - Pablo Ibáñez Lumbrerasprovisional
MID · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 62
- Proj.
- 0.15
- O 0.5
- 14%
- Model /90
- 0.23
086%113%2+1% - Francisco Femenía Farprovisional
DEF · Getafe
- Mins
- 72
- Proj.
- 0.15
- O 0.5
- 14%
- Model /90
- 0.19
086%113%2+1% - Juan Berrocal Gonzálezprovisional
DEF · Getafe
- Mins
- 56
- Proj.
- 0.15
- O 0.5
- 14%
- Model /90
- 0.24
086%112%21%3+0% - Carlos Vicente Roblesprovisional
FWD · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 83
- Proj.
- 0.14
- O 0.5
- 13%
- Model /90
- 0.16
087%112%2+1%
20 of 41 players shown, ranked by projection.
Saves41 playersHighest: David Soria Solís, 2.94 expectedshowhide
What drives it — Opponent shot volume. A keeper’s own record carries so little that this market shrinks harder than any other on the board. See what has actually happened.
- David Soria Solísprovisional
GK · Getafe
- Mins
- 90
- Proj.
- 2.94
- O 2.5
- 54%
- Model /90
- 2.94
07%117%222%320%415%59%6+10% - Antonio Sivera Salváprovisional
GK · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 89
- Proj.
- 2.21
- O 2.5
- 38%
- Model /90
- 2.24
013%124%225%318%411%55%6+4% - Zaid Abner Romeroprovisional
DEF · Getafe
- Mins
- 90
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Martín Satrianoprovisional
FWD · Getafe
- Mins
- 90
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Domingos Sousa Coutinho Meneses Duarteprovisional
DEF · Getafe
- Mins
- 86
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Ramón Terrats Espacioprovisional
MID · Getafe
- Mins
- 82
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Mauro Wilney Arambarri Rosaprovisional
MID · Getafe
- Mins
- 82
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Djené Dakonam Ortegaprovisional
DEF · Getafe
- Mins
- 79
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Diego Rico Salgueroprovisional
DEF · Getafe
- Mins
- 77
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Christantus Ugonna Ucheprovisional
FWD · Getafe
- Mins
- 77
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Francisco Femenía Farprovisional
DEF · Getafe
- Mins
- 72
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Abdelkabir Abqarprovisional
DEF · Getafe
- Mins
- 63
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Mario Martín Rielvesprovisional
MID · Getafe
- Mins
- 61
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Adrian Liso Lahozprovisional
FWD · Getafe
- Mins
- 61
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Nahuel Tenagliaprovisional
DEF · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 88
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Juan Berrocal Gonzálezprovisional
DEF · Getafe
- Mins
- 56
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Jonathan Castro Ottoprovisional
DEF · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 88
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Carlos Vicente Roblesprovisional
FWD · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 83
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Borja Mayoral Moyaprovisional
FWD · Getafe
- Mins
- 54
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Antonio Blanco Condeprovisional
MID · Deportivo Alavés
- Mins
- 82
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0%
20 of 41 players shown, ranked by projection.