Shots

100 players · Players in the Premier League · every home matches on record · minimum 10 appearances

Volume, regardless of quality. A player who shoots often from bad positions and one who shoots rarely from good ones can price identically here and settle very differently.

Next upWolverhampton WanderersvBlackburn RoversFri 14 Aug, 20:00 · in 38h

Shots

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Adam Armstrong82′ · n=142.0056% o1.5
Yuki Ohashi69′ · n=821.5342% o1.5
Toluwalase Emmanuel Arokodare43′ · n=331.4435% o1.5
Andri Lucas Guojohnsen62′ · n=251.3537% o1.5
Jhon Adolfo Arias Andrade49′ · n=231.2834% o1.5

What this is — the highest expected counts the model produces for shots in this fixture, over each player's expected minutes. Not tips and not prices: nothing in this panel has been compared against a bookmaker. This fixture has 2 published calls on the value board. Full board for this fixture.

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Team

20 with stats on record

Position

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Per 90 Over 1.5 Total Appearances

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Per 90 — rate over 90 minutes playedLast 5 — actual counts, newest first. Hover one for the opponent, minutes and dateOver 1.5 — share of appearances beating that line

Player	Team	Apps	Mins/app	Per 90	Last 5 matches	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5
Erling HålandFWD	Manchester City	31	85	4.10	55242	97%30/31	81%25/31	58%18/31
Cole PalmerMID	Chelsea	32	86	3.91	35443	97%31/32	91%29/32	72%23/32
Hugo EkitikeFWD	Liverpool	15	66	3.89	22366	80%12/15	73%11/15	47%7/15
Omar MarmoushFWD	Manchester City	19	60	3.81	31502	89%17/19	68%13/19	42%8/19
Benjamin ŠeškoFWD	Manchester United	15	52	3.71	31324	87%13/15	67%10/15	33%5/15
Bukayo SakaFWD	Arsenal	29	71	3.61	32141	100%29/29	69%20/29	45%13/29
Matheus Santos Carneiro Da CunhaFWD	Manchester United	33	76	3.60	43422	94%31/33	85%28/33	48%16/33
Eberechi EzeMID	Crystal Palace	33	68	3.59	33307	82%27/33	73%24/33	52%17/33
Harvey Lewis BarnesFWD	Newcastle United	34	54	3.42	21213	79%27/34	56%19/34	35%12/34
Leandro TrossardFWD	Arsenal	11	58	3.41	21235	73%8/11	55%6/11	36%4/11
Zian FlemmingFWD	Burnley	15	60	3.39	25254	80%12/15	53%8/15	33%5/15
Harry WilsonFWD	Fulham	31	64	3.34	21362	77%24/31	58%18/31	42%13/31
Ollie WatkinsFWD	Aston Villa	37	75	3.32	61452	95%35/37	73%27/37	49%18/37
Nicolas JacksonFWD	Chelsea	16	80	3.25	21522	100%16/16	69%11/16	38%6/16
Bruno Miguel Borges FernandesMID	Manchester United	35	86	3.24	52013	86%30/35	74%26/35	60%21/35
Tijjani ReijndersMID	Manchester City	14	64	3.24	44013	93%13/14	64%9/14	50%7/14
Antoine SemenyoFWD	AFC Bournemouth	37	88	3.20	11213	100%37/37	78%29/37	59%22/37
Mathys TelFWD	Tottenham Hotspur	22	50	3.17	22023	64%14/22	50%11/22	23%5/22
Alexander IsakFWD	Newcastle United	26	73	3.17	01003	81%21/26	65%17/26	50%13/26
Chukwunonso MaduekeFWD	Chelsea	28	59	3.16	02021	68%19/28	54%15/28	32%9/28
Kai HavertzFWD	Arsenal	18	73	3.10	30200	78%14/18	67%12/18	44%8/18
Alejandro Garnacho FerreyraFWD	Manchester United	31	59	3.04	03030	77%24/31	52%16/31	32%10/31
Igor Jesus Maciel da CruzFWD	Nottingham Forest	19	61	3.02	34221	84%16/19	63%12/19	32%6/19
Liam DelapFWD	Ipswich Town	33	59	3.00	12204	82%27/33	52%17/33	36%12/33
Eli Junior KroupiFWD	AFC Bournemouth	15	53	2.97	24121	80%12/15	47%7/15	27%4/15
Yoane WissaFWD	Brentford	27	67	2.90	01011	85%23/27	63%17/27	37%10/27
Cody Mathès GakpoFWD	Liverpool	35	65	2.89	20043	83%29/35	60%21/35	40%14/35
Dango Aboubacar Faissal OuattaraFWD	Brentford	31	72	2.88	53321	84%26/31	55%17/31	42%13/31
Toluwalase Emmanuel ArokodareFWD	Wolverhampton Wanderers	17	45	2.81	15000	65%11/17	29%5/17	24%4/17
Ebere Paul OnuachuFWD	Southampton	12	51	2.77	01420	58%7/12	33%4/12	17%2/12
Georginio RutterFWD	Brighton & Hove Albion	31	62	2.77	10202	81%25/31	48%15/31	23%7/31
Sávio Moreira de OliveiraFWD	Manchester City	26	52	2.75	32002	65%17/26	54%14/26	15%4/26
João Pedro Junqueira de JesusFWD	Chelsea	30	73	2.72	23437	93%28/30	67%20/30	40%12/30
Daniel Nii Tackie Mensah WelbeckFWD	Brighton & Hove Albion	34	63	2.71	02130	74%25/34	56%19/34	35%12/34
Bryan MbeumoFWD	Brentford	36	85	2.71	64012	92%33/36	75%27/36	53%19/36
Richarlison de AndradeFWD	Tottenham Hotspur	21	55	2.67	24102	57%12/21	43%9/21	29%6/21
Samuel Chimerenka ChukwuezeFWD	Fulham	11	49	2.67	01311	82%9/11	36%4/11	18%2/11
Yeremi Jesús Pino SantosFWD	Crystal Palace	17	62	2.66	30213	88%15/17	53%9/17	35%6/17
Mathis Ryan CherkiMID	Manchester City	17	50	2.65	10332	65%11/17	53%9/17	24%4/17
Jean-Philippe MatetaFWD	Crystal Palace	35	73	2.58	12021	89%31/35	54%19/35	23%8/35
Dominic SolankeFWD	Tottenham Hotspur	21	75	2.57	22203	86%18/21	67%14/21	38%8/21
Morgan Gibbs-WhiteMID	Nottingham Forest	35	84	2.56	35312	89%31/35	71%25/35	51%18/35
Facundo Valentín BuonanotteMID	Leicester City	16	46	2.55	02213	69%11/16	38%6/16	19%3/16
Igor Thiago Nascimento RodriguesFWD	Brentford	23	77	2.53	13233	74%17/23	65%15/23	43%10/23
Dominic Calvert-LewinFWD	Leeds United	31	76	2.51	12411	87%27/31	68%21/31	32%10/31
Philip FodenMID	Manchester City	31	67	2.50	01202	77%24/31	61%19/31	26%8/31
Francisco Evanilson de Lima BarbosaFWD	AFC Bournemouth	34	79	2.49	32210	85%29/34	71%24/34	38%13/34
Viktor GyökeresFWD	Arsenal	18	62	2.49	04141	78%14/18	44%8/18	33%6/18
Amad Diallo TraoréFWD	Manchester United	31	73	2.45	20323	81%25/31	61%19/31	32%10/31
Jamie VardyFWD	Leicester City	19	84	2.43	32033	74%14/19	68%13/19	47%9/19
Jarrod BowenFWD	West Ham United	36	88	2.43	22230	92%33/36	86%31/36	42%15/36
Jacob MurphyFWD	Newcastle United	34	58	2.42	20110	74%25/34	47%16/34	21%7/34
Simon AdingraFWD	Brighton & Hove Albion	20	47	2.40	22001	60%12/20	30%6/20	15%3/20
Marcus EdwardsFWD	Burnley	12	50	2.38	10114	75%9/12	25%3/12	17%2/12
Xavi SimonsMID	Tottenham Hotspur	14	67	2.38	40113	64%9/14	43%6/14	36%5/14
Morgan RogersMID	Aston Villa	37	87	2.37	12243	84%31/37	62%23/37	43%16/37
Marcus TavernierMID	AFC Bournemouth	32	75	2.36	01125	84%27/32	56%18/32	31%10/32
Gabriel Teodoro Martinelli SilvaFWD	Arsenal	31	53	2.35	02010	74%23/31	39%12/31	16%5/31
Chris WoodFWD	Nottingham Forest	26	77	2.34	20110	77%20/26	54%14/26	31%8/26
Anthony GordonFWD	Newcastle United	31	69	2.34	33212	77%24/31	55%17/31	32%10/31
Ryan ChristieMID	AFC Bournemouth	27	54	2.27	03212	74%20/27	33%9/27	15%4/27
Florian WirtzMID	Liverpool	16	67	2.18	22201	75%12/16	50%8/16	19%3/16
Mateo KovačićMID	Manchester City	18	55	2.16	10013	56%10/18	39%7/18	28%5/18
Kevin SchadeFWD	Brentford	36	68	2.16	20240	72%26/36	42%15/36	25%9/36
Jaidon AnthonyFWD	Burnley	18	72	2.16	22115	78%14/18	56%10/18	17%3/18
Anton StachMID	Leeds United	15	81	2.14	15231	87%13/15	47%7/15	40%6/15
Nick WoltemadeFWD	Newcastle United	16	62	2.09	10101	75%12/16	38%6/16	25%4/16
Noah OkaforFWD	Leeds United	14	62	2.09	22130	79%11/14	57%8/14	7%1/14
Marcus RashfordFWD	Manchester United	13	60	2.06	02214	62%8/13	46%6/13	15%2/13
Alex IwobiFWD	Fulham	33	84	2.04	61220	85%28/33	55%18/33	27%9/33
Mikel Merino ZazónMID	Arsenal	24	53	2.04	30213	71%17/24	38%9/24	13%3/24
Enzo Jeremías FernándezMID	Chelsea	36	85	2.03	25321	83%30/36	58%21/36	31%11/36
Jørgen Strand LarsenFWD	Wolverhampton Wanderers	36	69	2.03	11210	81%29/36	42%15/36	19%7/36
Ismaïla SarrFWD	Crystal Palace	34	75	2.02	06010	74%25/34	53%18/34	24%8/34
Leon Bailey ButlerFWD	Aston Villa	18	50	2.01	00010	61%11/18	22%4/18	6%1/18
Loum TchaounaFWD	Burnley	13	52	2.01	13100	62%8/13	31%4/13	15%2/13
Crysencio SummervilleFWD	West Ham United	26	64	2.00	11234	77%20/26	38%10/26	23%6/26
Jack HarrisonFWD	Everton	12	53	2.00	20210	58%7/12	42%5/12	17%2/12
Justin KluivertMID	AFC Bournemouth	27	60	1.98	02100	81%22/27	33%9/27	19%5/27
Kaoru MitomaFWD	Brighton & Hove Albion	30	74	1.98	33123	77%23/30	57%17/30	27%8/30
Marshall Nyasha MunetsiMID	Wolverhampton Wanderers	14	75	1.97	11212	93%13/14	50%7/14	14%2/14
Dominik SzoboszlaiMID	Liverpool	36	79	1.96	23213	81%29/36	50%18/36	28%10/36
Mohammed KudusFWD	West Ham United	25	82	1.94	01113	80%20/25	56%14/25	32%8/25
Brenden AaronsonMID	Leeds United	18	65	1.93	00012	67%12/18	39%7/18	22%4/18
Brennan JohnsonFWD	Tottenham Hotspur	32	63	1.93	02011	69%22/32	28%9/32	19%6/32
Martin ØdegaardMID	Arsenal	27	75	1.91	11105	85%23/27	48%13/27	15%4/27
Dejan KulusevskiMID	Tottenham Hotspur	16	74	1.91	12041	69%11/16	38%6/16	31%5/16
Thiemo BarryFWD	Everton	19	50	1.88	02000	58%11/19	42%8/19	5%1/19
Kamal Deen SulemanaFWD	Southampton	13	59	1.87	21320	62%8/13	31%4/13	15%2/13
Brian BrobbeyFWD	Sunderland	15	66	1.82	43021	73%11/15	40%6/15	13%2/15
Omari Giraud-HutchinsonFWD	Ipswich Town	32	71	1.82	01000	78%25/32	38%12/32	22%7/32
Callum Hudson-OdoiFWD	Nottingham Forest	31	71	1.81	20140	74%23/31	42%13/31	16%5/31
Diego Alexander Gómez AmarillaMID	Brighton & Hove Albion	23	52	1.80	33020	52%12/23	26%6/23	22%5/23
Alexis Mac AllisterMID	Liverpool	36	73	1.77	41110	78%28/36	33%12/36	19%7/36
Yasin Abbas AyariMID	Brighton & Hove Albion	30	61	1.77	00100	67%20/30	23%7/30	13%4/30
A. ScottMID	AFC Bournemouth	29	64	1.75	01222	69%20/29	34%10/29	17%5/29
Trent Alexander-ArnoldDEF	Liverpool	17	73	1.74	11350	65%11/17	41%7/17	24%4/17
Mateus ManéMID	Wolverhampton Wanderers	14	67	1.74	22202	57%8/14	50%7/14	14%2/14
James MaddisonMID	Tottenham Hotspur	17	46	1.72	00010	59%10/17	18%3/17	12%2/17
Ryan YatesMID	Nottingham Forest	28	49	1.72	13001	54%15/28	25%7/28	11%3/28

Top 100 shown. Hit rates are what happened, not what will. A 100% over a five-match window is five matches, and five matches is not evidence — the Apps column is there to be read alongside every percentage in this table.