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Shots on target

100 players · Defenders across all five leagues · every home matches on record · minimum 10 appearances

Shot volume filtered through accuracy. The widest spread of any market on this board — roughly thirty-six times between the highest and lowest rates.

Next upWolverhampton WanderersvBlackburn RoversFri 14 Aug, 20:00 · in 35h

Shots on target

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What this is — the highest expected counts the model produces for shots on target in this fixture, over each player's expected minutes. Not tips and not prices: nothing in this panel has been compared against a bookmaker. This fixture has 2 published calls on the value board. Full board for this fixture.

League

Team

93 with stats on record

Position

Sort by

Per 90 — rate over 90 minutes playedLast 5 — actual counts, newest first. Hover one for the opponent, minutes and dateOver 1.5 — share of appearances beating that line
PlayerTeamAppsMins/appPer 90Last 5 matchesOver 0.5Over 1.5
Federico DimarcoDEFInter35770.870010060%21/359%3/35
Alejandro Grimaldo GarcíaDEFBayer 04 Leverkusen32840.771004044%14/3219%6/32
Ozan Muhammed KabakDEFTSG Hoffenheim13720.770010138%5/1315%2/13
Raphaël Adelino José GuerreiroDEFFC Bayern München23610.770100143%10/239%2/23
Kevin DiksDEFBorussia Mönchengladbach16800.711011056%9/166%1/16
Denzel DumfriesDEFInter24760.690000042%10/2417%4/24
Theo Bernard François HernándezDEFAC Milan15790.681011053%8/157%1/15
Florian LejeuneDEFRayo Vallecano37900.681210057%21/3711%4/37
Lukas KüblerDEFSC Freiburg26670.670000042%11/268%2/26
Brad PottsDEFPreston North End21650.660110143%9/215%1/21
Daniel Muñoz MejíaDEFCrystal Palace32850.631002044%14/3216%5/32
Jeremie FrimpongDEFBayer 04 Leverkusen28610.630100032%9/2811%3/28
Patrick Chinazaekpere DorguDEFManchester United28670.631020329%8/2814%4/28
Josha Mamadou Karaboue VagnomannDEFVfB Stuttgart25650.610001236%9/258%2/25
Daniel BallardDEFSunderland26690.600000038%10/268%2/26
Riccardo CalafioriDEFArsenal18690.580110228%5/1811%2/18
Stefan BellDEFFSV Mainz 0517680.551210035%6/176%1/17
Curtis NelsonDEFDerby County14840.541010150%7/140%0/14
Tom RotheDEFFC Union Berlin22620.530101032%7/225%1/22
Ross McCrorieDEFBristol City32700.530011031%10/329%3/32
Yann Aurel BisseckDEFInter20700.520001140%8/200%0/20
Nico O'ReillyDEFManchester City20800.510021030%6/2015%3/20
Cristian Gabriel RomeroDEFTottenham Hotspur21760.510010033%7/2110%2/21
Samuele BirindelliDEFMonza11660.501000127%3/119%1/11
Martin FreseDEFHellas Verona21690.490102033%7/215%1/21
Harrison BurrowsDEFSheffield United45730.490111036%16/454%2/45
Caleb TaylorDEFMillwall14790.490000143%6/140%0/14
Wesley Vinicius França LimaDEFRoma16820.481110038%6/166%1/16
Ridle Bote BakuDEFRB Leipzig34720.480120032%11/346%2/34
Luka VuškovićDEFHamburger SV15900.472001040%6/157%1/15
Denis VavroDEFVfL Wolfsburg21840.461011038%8/215%1/21
Anthony CaciDEFFSV Mainz 0521750.460000038%8/210%0/21
Macaulay GillespheyDEFCharlton Athletic16620.461000131%5/160%0/16
Elliott Jordan MooreDEFOxford United15800.452010033%5/157%1/15
Kouassi Ryan SessegnonDEFFulham20610.451000030%6/200%0/20
Giorgos KiriakopoulosDEFMonza17850.440200035%6/176%1/17
Jimmy DunneDEFQueens Park Rangers42900.431000138%16/425%2/42
Arthur TheateDEFEintracht Frankfurt26890.430200038%10/264%1/26
Marc BolaDEFWatford19780.430001037%7/190%0/19
Miguel Gutiérrez OrtegaDEFGirona29730.431000028%8/297%2/29
Alberto Moreno PérezDEFComo23640.431000026%6/234%1/23
Luca PellegriniDEFLazio24620.431010029%7/240%0/24
Óscar Mingueza GarcíaDEFCelta de Vigo34690.420000032%11/340%0/34
Adam MarušićDEFLazio34770.410000129%10/346%2/34
Joe EdwardsDEFPlymouth Argyle11600.410000027%3/110%0/11
Christian KabaseleDEFUdinese26770.400001031%8/264%1/26
Mitchell WeiserDEFWerder Bremen15900.400010233%5/157%1/15
Michael IhiekweDEFSheffield Wednesday10900.400001140%4/100%0/10
Andrés López GalloDEFSevilla10680.391100030%3/100%0/10
Fabian Lukas SchärDEFNewcastle United26790.390111031%8/264%1/26
Harry MaguireDEFManchester United24670.390020017%4/248%2/24
David RaumDEFRB Leipzig27860.390201033%9/274%1/27
Jake CooperDEFMillwall42890.390200029%12/4210%4/42
Miro MuheimDEFHamburger SV14840.381001036%5/140%0/14
Pervis Josué Estupiñán TenorioDEFAC Milan14670.380010021%3/147%1/14
Mario Hermoso CansecoDEFRoma21670.380120024%5/215%1/21
Noahkai Kai Daniel BanksDEFFC Augsburg16740.380101031%5/160%0/16
Mark McGuinnessDEFLuton Town33800.381000227%9/336%2/33
Liberato Gianpaolo CacaceDEFEmpoli20720.380001025%5/205%1/20
Keven SchlotterbeckDEFFC Augsburg21800.370000133%7/210%0/21
Pascal StruijkDEFLeeds United34850.370000029%10/346%2/34
Adrián De la Fuente BarquillaDEFLevante18810.370002128%5/186%1/18
Willi OrbanDEFRB Leipzig30890.371000230%9/307%2/30
Harrison AshbyDEFQueens Park Rangers11660.371020018%2/119%1/11
Gleison Bremer Silva NascimentoDEFJuventus17860.371011035%6/170%0/17
Dael FryDEFMiddlesbrough27640.370001222%6/274%1/27
Dennis CirkinDEFSunderland19780.370000032%6/190%0/19
Emerson Palmieri dos SantosDEFWest Ham United17720.370000124%4/176%1/17
Joakim MæhleDEFVfL Wolfsburg22790.360001027%6/225%1/22
Jacobo Ramón NaverosDEFComo18820.362010022%4/1811%2/18
Gregory LeighDEFOxford United23650.361000026%6/230%0/23
Manolis SaliakasDEFSt. Pauli25700.360001028%7/250%0/25
Matt TargettDEFMiddlesbrough24730.361000125%6/244%1/24
Neco WilliamsDEFNottingham Forest36840.361003022%8/368%3/36
Robin GosensDEFFiorentina28810.360010029%8/284%1/28
Kossonou OdilonDEFAtalanta16630.360001025%4/160%0/16
Andrei Florin RatiuDEFRayo Vallecano35870.360010029%10/356%2/35
Jayden BogleDEFLeeds United38870.360001026%10/388%3/38
Djed SpenceDEFTottenham Hotspur26680.361000027%7/260%0/26
Federico GattiDEFJuventus26690.350010023%6/264%1/26
Patrick MainkaDEFHeidenheim34900.351000032%11/343%1/34
Emre CanDEFBorussia Dortmund19670.350100126%5/190%0/19
Yukinari SugawaraDEFSouthampton34610.350000124%8/340%0/34
Nahuel TenagliaDEFDeportivo Alavés38880.351111032%12/383%1/38
Enrique Jesús Salas ValienteDEFSevilla30780.351000023%7/307%2/30
Bobby ThomasDEFCoventry City35890.350000034%12/350%0/35
Nobel MendyDEFRayo Vallecano12650.350000125%3/120%0/12
Ramy BensebainiDEFBorussia Dortmund25730.341020124%6/254%1/25
James JustinDEFLeicester City34690.340110024%8/343%1/34
Omar Federico Alderete FernándezDEFGetafe33870.340102030%10/333%1/33
Jarell QuansahDEFBayer 04 Leverkusen19690.341000126%5/190%0/19
Jurriën TimberDEFArsenal30790.340200023%7/307%2/30
Teden MengiDEFLuton Town10800.340011030%3/100%0/10
Luke McNallyDEFBristol City12890.341011033%4/120%0/12
Alexander CochraneDEFBirmingham City10800.340100130%3/100%0/10
Alessandro VogliaccoDEFParma12670.340010025%3/120%0/12
Jan Paul van HeckeDEFBrighton & Hove Albion33900.330011027%9/333%1/33
Danilho DoekhiDEFFC Union Berlin33900.330031021%7/339%3/33
Maximilian MittelstädtDEFVfB Stuttgart30810.331130023%7/303%1/30
Andreas Hanche-OlsenDEFFSV Mainz 0518610.330000017%3/186%1/18

Top 100 shown. Hit rates are what happened, not what will. A 100% over a five-match window is five matches, and five matches is not evidence — the Apps column is there to be read alongside every percentage in this table.