La Liga · Spain

Rayo VallecanovDeportivo Alavés

Thursday 20 August at 20:00Estadio de Vallecaslineups not announced

Referee

Not appointed

0 matches on record

Fouls per game

—

League average

22.6

fouls per match, both teams

Value

No edges published on this fixture. An edge is published only when a bookmaker's price beats the model's fair price by that market's full bar — most fixtures never produce one. The value board explains every gate a candidate has to clear.

What these numbers are

Not tips and not prices. Each row is the model's expected count for one player in this match — how many fouls, tackles or shots it thinks he records — plus the full spread of outcomes around it. Nothing here has been compared to a bookmaker.

Step 1
His own record
Every completed match in the dataset, as a rate per 90 minutes. The n column is how many matches that rests on.
Step 2
Pulled toward his position
A thin record gets pulled hard toward other players in his position, in his league — a goalkeeper toward goalkeepers, not toward the outfielders around him. How hard is fitted per market, not chosen: tackles pull about four times harder than shots on target.
Step 3
This fixture's conditions
How much of the stat the opponent concedes, what the referee's matches look like, and home or away. This is where a projection stops being a season average.
Step 4
Scaled to expected minutes
A rate becomes a count only once you say how long he plays. 60 minutes carries two-thirds the exposure of 90, and the distribution is built at that exposure.

How to read each column

Model /90: The model's rate for this match with the minutes taken back out — steps 1 to 3 already applied. It moves with the opponent and the referee, so it is not his raw career rate; the builder shows career and model rates side by side.
Exp. mins: Minutes the model expects. Confirmed means the lineup is out; provisional means it is guessing from his start rate, and is the widest of the three.
Projected: The expected count in this match, at those minutes. This is the number a line is set against.
Over 1.5, etc.: Read straight off the distribution beside it, not off how often he has beaten that line before. It answers what the model thinks, not what has happened.
n: Matches behind his own rate. Under 30 it turns amber: the projection is mostly his position group speaking, and §6.3 will not publish an edge on it.
Distribution: The whole spread, not just the average. The dashed amber cut is the line; jade bars beat it. An expected 1.8 fouls made of 2 every week and an expected 1.8 made of a 0 and a 5 are different bets, and this is where you see which one you have.

Counts are modelled as negative binomial rather than Poisson, because fouls and tackles are overdispersed and a Poisson would systematically underprice the tails — which is exactly where over bets live. Every market on this page cleared its calibration gate before it was allowed to produce a projection: when the model says 60%, it lands within a point or so of 60% out of sample.

Fouls v20260811-1858 · Tackles v20260811-1858 · Shots v20260811-1858 · Shots on target v20260811-1905 · Fouls won v20260811-1858 · Cards v20260811-1905 · Saves v20260812-1340

Model projections

Fouls39 playersHighest: Antonio Blanco Conde, 1.26 expectedshow

What drives it — Who referees the match. A strict official lifts every player on the pitch, which is the part most books price off a season average. See what has actually happened.

Antonio Blanco Conde
MID · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
82
Proj.
1.26
O 1.5
35%
Model /90
1.37
031%
134%
221%
39%
43%
51%
6+0%
Antonio Martínez López
FWD · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
58
Proj.
1.06
O 1.5
29%
Model /90
1.66
041%
130%
217%
38%
43%
51%
6+0%
Carlos Vicente Robles
FWD · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
83
Proj.
1.05
O 1.5
28%
Model /90
1.14
037%
135%
218%
37%
42%
51%
6+0%
Pathé Ciss
MID · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
67
Proj.
1.05
O 1.5
28%
Model /90
1.41
040%
132%
217%
37%
43%
51%
6+0%
Lucas Ariel Boyé
FWD · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
68
Proj.
1.05
O 1.5
28%
Model /90
1.39
039%
133%
217%
37%
43%
51%
6+0%
Angel Pérez Hidalgo
FWD · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
81
Proj.
1.05
O 1.5
28%
Model /90
1.16
038%
134%
218%
37%
42%
51%
6+0%
Óscar Valentín Martín Luengo
MID · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
59
Proj.
0.99
O 1.5
26%
Model /90
1.51
043%
131%
216%
37%
42%
51%
6+0%
Florian Lejeune
DEF · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
90
Proj.
0.99
O 1.5
26%
Model /90
0.99
039%
135%
217%
36%
42%
50%
6+0%
Moussa Diarra
DEF · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
72
Proj.
0.98
O 1.5
26%
Model /90
1.23
042%
131%
217%
37%
42%
51%
6+0%
Pablo Ibáñez Lumbreras
MID · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
62
Proj.
0.95
O 1.5
25%
Model /90
1.38
042%
133%
216%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Carles Aleña Castillo
MID · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
64
Proj.
0.94
O 1.5
25%
Model /90
1.32
043%
133%
216%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Jorge De Frutos Sebastián
FWD · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
69
Proj.
0.93
O 1.5
24%
Model /90
1.21
042%
134%
216%
36%
42%
50%
6+0%
Isaac Palazón Camacho
FWD · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
67
Proj.
0.93
O 1.5
24%
Model /90
1.24
043%
133%
216%
36%
42%
50%
6+0%
Jonathan Castro Otto
DEF · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
88
Proj.
0.93
O 1.5
24%
Model /90
0.95
041%
135%
216%
35%
41%
5+0%
Randy Ntekja
MID · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
41
Proj.
0.91
O 1.5
24%
Model /90
1.99
047%
129%
214%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Nobel Mendy
DEF · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
75
Proj.
0.90
O 1.5
23%
Model /90
1.08
043%
134%
216%
35%
41%
5+0%
Nahuel Tenaglia
DEF · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
88
Proj.
0.88
O 1.5
22%
Model /90
0.90
043%
135%
216%
35%
41%
5+0%
Unai López Cabrera
MID · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
56
Proj.
0.87
O 1.5
22%
Model /90
1.41
046%
132%
215%
35%
42%
50%
6+0%
Josep María Chavarría Pérez
DEF · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
79
Proj.
0.85
O 1.5
22%
Model /90
0.98
045%
133%
215%
35%
41%
5+0%
Álvaro García Rivera
FWD · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
69
Proj.
0.84
O 1.5
21%
Model /90
1.10
046%
133%
214%
35%
41%
5+0%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 1.5	n	Distribution
Antonio Blanco CondeMID	Deportivo Alavés	1.37	82provisional	1.26	35%	71	031% 134% 221% 39% 43% 51% 6+0%
Antonio Martínez LópezFWD	Deportivo Alavés	1.66	58provisional	1.06	29%	65	041% 130% 217% 38% 43% 51% 6+0%
Carlos Vicente RoblesFWD	Deportivo Alavés	1.14	83provisional	1.05	28%	20	037% 135% 218% 37% 42% 51% 6+0%
Pathé CissMID	Rayo Vallecano	1.41	67provisional	1.05	28%	62	040% 132% 217% 37% 43% 51% 6+0%
Lucas Ariel BoyéFWD	Deportivo Alavés	1.39	68provisional	1.05	28%	29	039% 133% 217% 37% 43% 51% 6+0%
Angel Pérez HidalgoFWD	Deportivo Alavés	1.16	81provisional	1.05	28%	16	038% 134% 218% 37% 42% 51% 6+0%
Óscar Valentín Martín LuengoMID	Rayo Vallecano	1.51	59provisional	0.99	26%	67	043% 131% 216% 37% 42% 51% 6+0%
Florian LejeuneDEF	Rayo Vallecano	0.99	90provisional	0.99	26%	73	039% 135% 217% 36% 42% 50% 6+0%
Moussa DiarraDEF	Deportivo Alavés	1.23	72provisional	0.98	26%	29	042% 131% 217% 37% 42% 51% 6+0%
Pablo Ibáñez LumbrerasMID	Deportivo Alavés	1.38	62provisional	0.95	25%	37	042% 133% 216% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Carles Aleña CastilloMID	Deportivo Alavés	1.32	64provisional	0.94	25%	48	043% 133% 216% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Jorge De Frutos SebastiánFWD	Rayo Vallecano	1.21	69provisional	0.93	24%	72	042% 134% 216% 36% 42% 50% 6+0%
Isaac Palazón CamachoFWD	Rayo Vallecano	1.24	67provisional	0.93	24%	66	043% 133% 216% 36% 42% 50% 6+0%
Jonathan Castro OttoDEF	Deportivo Alavés	0.95	88provisional	0.93	24%	34	041% 135% 216% 35% 41% 5+0%
Randy NtekjaMID	Rayo Vallecano	1.99	41provisional	0.91	24%	37	047% 129% 214% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Nobel MendyDEF	Rayo Vallecano	1.08	75provisional	0.90	23%	24	043% 134% 216% 35% 41% 5+0%
Nahuel TenagliaDEF	Deportivo Alavés	0.90	88provisional	0.88	22%	70	043% 135% 216% 35% 41% 5+0%
Unai López CabreraMID	Rayo Vallecano	1.41	56provisional	0.87	22%	60	046% 132% 215% 35% 42% 50% 6+0%
Josep María Chavarría PérezDEF	Rayo Vallecano	0.98	79provisional	0.85	22%	67	045% 133% 215% 35% 41% 5+0%
Álvaro García RiveraFWD	Rayo Vallecano	1.10	69provisional	0.84	21%	68	046% 133% 214% 35% 41% 5+0%

20 of 39 players shown, ranked by projection.

Tackles39 playersHighest: Antonio Blanco Conde, 1.82 expectedshow

What drives it — Possession share. A tackle count depends far more on how much of the match is played at your own end than on a player’s own form. See what has actually happened.

Antonio Blanco Conde
MID · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
82
Proj.
1.82
O 1.5
54%
Model /90
1.98
018%
129%
226%
316%
48%
53%
6+1%
Nahuel Tenaglia
DEF · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
88
Proj.
1.74
O 1.5
52%
Model /90
1.78
018%
130%
226%
315%
47%
52%
6+1%
Moussa Diarra
DEF · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
72
Proj.
1.61
O 1.5
47%
Model /90
2.02
026%
127%
222%
314%
47%
53%
6+1%
Jonathan Castro Otto
DEF · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
88
Proj.
1.61
O 1.5
48%
Model /90
1.65
020%
132%
226%
314%
46%
52%
6+1%
Andrei Florin Ratiu
DEF · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
84
Proj.
1.52
O 1.5
45%
Model /90
1.63
024%
132%
224%
313%
45%
52%
6+1%
Óscar Valentín Martín Luengo
MID · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
59
Proj.
1.52
O 1.5
43%
Model /90
2.32
028%
129%
221%
312%
46%
52%
6+1%
Pablo Ibáñez Lumbreras
MID · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
62
Proj.
1.47
O 1.5
42%
Model /90
2.15
027%
131%
222%
312%
45%
52%
6+1%
Pathé Ciss
MID · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
67
Proj.
1.45
O 1.5
41%
Model /90
1.95
028%
130%
222%
312%
45%
52%
6+1%
Florian Lejeune
DEF · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
90
Proj.
1.44
O 1.5
42%
Model /90
1.44
024%
134%
224%
312%
44%
51%
6+0%
Denis Suárez Fernández
MID · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
47
Proj.
1.40
O 1.5
39%
Model /90
2.70
031%
130%
219%
311%
45%
52%
6+1%
Josep María Chavarría Pérez
DEF · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
79
Proj.
1.35
O 1.5
39%
Model /90
1.54
029%
132%
222%
311%
44%
51%
6+0%
Carles Aleña Castillo
MID · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
64
Proj.
1.31
O 1.5
37%
Model /90
1.83
031%
132%
221%
310%
44%
51%
6+0%
Nobel Mendy
DEF · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
75
Proj.
1.30
O 1.5
37%
Model /90
1.56
029%
134%
222%
310%
44%
51%
6+0%
Facundo Tomás Garcés
DEF · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
73
Proj.
1.30
O 1.5
37%
Model /90
1.59
032%
131%
221%
310%
44%
51%
6+0%
Unai López Cabrera
MID · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
56
Proj.
1.26
O 1.5
36%
Model /90
2.04
033%
131%
220%
310%
44%
51%
6+0%
Pedro Díaz Fanjul
MID · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
52
Proj.
1.15
O 1.5
32%
Model /90
2.01
038%
131%
218%
39%
44%
51%
6+0%
Ander Guevara Lajo
MID · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
45
Proj.
1.10
O 1.5
29%
Model /90
2.22
041%
130%
216%
38%
44%
51%
6+1%
Carlos Vicente Robles
FWD · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
83
Proj.
1.08
O 1.5
29%
Model /90
1.17
035%
136%
219%
37%
42%
50%
6+0%
Angel Pérez Hidalgo
FWD · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
81
Proj.
1.03
O 1.5
28%
Model /90
1.14
037%
135%
218%
37%
42%
50%
6+0%
Youssef Enríquez Lekhedim
DEF · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
54
Proj.
1.02
O 1.5
27%
Model /90
1.71
043%
130%
216%
37%
43%
51%
6+0%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 1.5	n	Distribution
Antonio Blanco CondeMID	Deportivo Alavés	1.98	82provisional	1.82	54%	71	018% 129% 226% 316% 48% 53% 6+1%
Nahuel TenagliaDEF	Deportivo Alavés	1.78	88provisional	1.74	52%	70	018% 130% 226% 315% 47% 52% 6+1%
Moussa DiarraDEF	Deportivo Alavés	2.02	72provisional	1.61	47%	29	026% 127% 222% 314% 47% 53% 6+1%
Jonathan Castro OttoDEF	Deportivo Alavés	1.65	88provisional	1.61	48%	34	020% 132% 226% 314% 46% 52% 6+1%
Andrei Florin RatiuDEF	Rayo Vallecano	1.63	84provisional	1.52	45%	70	024% 132% 224% 313% 45% 52% 6+1%
Óscar Valentín Martín LuengoMID	Rayo Vallecano	2.32	59provisional	1.52	43%	67	028% 129% 221% 312% 46% 52% 6+1%
Pablo Ibáñez LumbrerasMID	Deportivo Alavés	2.15	62provisional	1.47	42%	37	027% 131% 222% 312% 45% 52% 6+1%
Pathé CissMID	Rayo Vallecano	1.95	67provisional	1.45	41%	62	028% 130% 222% 312% 45% 52% 6+1%
Florian LejeuneDEF	Rayo Vallecano	1.44	90provisional	1.44	42%	73	024% 134% 224% 312% 44% 51% 6+0%
Denis Suárez FernándezMID	Deportivo Alavés	2.70	47provisional	1.40	39%	30	031% 130% 219% 311% 45% 52% 6+1%
Josep María Chavarría PérezDEF	Rayo Vallecano	1.54	79provisional	1.35	39%	67	029% 132% 222% 311% 44% 51% 6+0%
Carles Aleña CastilloMID	Deportivo Alavés	1.83	64provisional	1.31	37%	48	031% 132% 221% 310% 44% 51% 6+0%
Nobel MendyDEF	Rayo Vallecano	1.56	75provisional	1.30	37%	24	029% 134% 222% 310% 44% 51% 6+0%
Facundo Tomás GarcésDEF	Deportivo Alavés	1.59	73provisional	1.30	37%	20	032% 131% 221% 310% 44% 51% 6+0%
Unai López CabreraMID	Rayo Vallecano	2.04	56provisional	1.26	36%	60	033% 131% 220% 310% 44% 51% 6+0%
Pedro Díaz FanjulMID	Rayo Vallecano	2.01	52provisional	1.15	32%	60	038% 131% 218% 39% 44% 51% 6+0%
Ander Guevara LajoMID	Deportivo Alavés	2.22	45provisional	1.10	29%	58	041% 130% 216% 38% 44% 51% 6+1%
Carlos Vicente RoblesFWD	Deportivo Alavés	1.17	83provisional	1.08	29%	20	035% 136% 219% 37% 42% 50% 6+0%
Angel Pérez HidalgoFWD	Deportivo Alavés	1.14	81provisional	1.03	28%	16	037% 135% 218% 37% 42% 50% 6+0%
Youssef Enríquez LekhedimDEF	Deportivo Alavés	1.71	54provisional	1.02	27%	25	043% 130% 216% 37% 43% 51% 6+0%

20 of 39 players shown, ranked by projection.

Shots39 playersHighest: Isaac Palazón Camacho, 1.65 expectedshow

What drives it — The player’s own shot rate, shrunk toward others in his position, then adjusted for how many shots the opponent concedes. See what has actually happened.

Isaac Palazón Camacho
FWD · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
67
Proj.
1.65
O 1.5
46%
Model /90
2.21
026%
128%
221%
313%
47%
53%
6+2%
Jorge De Frutos Sebastián
FWD · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
69
Proj.
1.62
O 1.5
46%
Model /90
2.10
024%
130%
222%
313%
46%
53%
6+2%
Álvaro García Rivera
FWD · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
69
Proj.
1.62
O 1.5
45%
Model /90
2.12
027%
129%
221%
312%
46%
53%
6+2%
Carlos Vicente Robles
FWD · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
83
Proj.
1.59
O 1.5
45%
Model /90
1.72
025%
131%
222%
313%
46%
52%
6+1%
Angel Pérez Hidalgo
FWD · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
81
Proj.
1.58
O 1.5
44%
Model /90
1.75
026%
130%
222%
312%
46%
53%
6+2%
Lucas Ariel Boyé
FWD · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
68
Proj.
1.43
O 1.5
40%
Model /90
1.91
031%
130%
220%
311%
45%
52%
6+1%
Antonio Martínez López
FWD · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
58
Proj.
1.34
O 1.5
36%
Model /90
2.10
035%
128%
218%
310%
45%
52%
6+1%
Sergio Camello Pérez
FWD · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
43
Proj.
1.20
O 1.5
32%
Model /90
2.49
038%
130%
217%
38%
44%
52%
6+1%
Alexandre Zurawski
FWD · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
44
Proj.
1.18
O 1.5
30%
Model /90
2.43
041%
129%
215%
38%
44%
52%
6+1%
Abderrahman Rebbach
FWD · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
50
Proj.
1.09
O 1.5
29%
Model /90
1.97
042%
130%
216%
38%
43%
51%
6+1%
Francisco Perez Martinez
FWD · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
43
Proj.
1.08
O 1.5
28%
Model /90
2.26
040%
131%
216%
37%
43%
51%
6+1%
Unai López Cabrera
MID · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
56
Proj.
0.95
O 1.5
25%
Model /90
1.54
044%
131%
215%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Pedro Díaz Fanjul
MID · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
52
Proj.
0.85
O 1.5
22%
Model /90
1.48
049%
130%
213%
35%
42%
51%
6+0%
Antonio Blanco Conde
MID · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
82
Proj.
0.80
O 1.5
19%
Model /90
0.87
047%
133%
214%
34%
41%
5+0%
Pathé Ciss
MID · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
67
Proj.
0.79
O 1.5
20%
Model /90
1.07
049%
131%
213%
35%
41%
50%
6+0%
Pablo Ibáñez Lumbreras
MID · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
62
Proj.
0.79
O 1.5
20%
Model /90
1.16
049%
132%
213%
35%
41%
5+0%
Mariano Díaz Mejía
FWD · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
28
Proj.
0.71
O 1.5
17%
Model /90
2.25
055%
128%
211%
34%
41%
51%
6+0%
Carles Aleña Castillo
MID · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
64
Proj.
0.70
O 1.5
17%
Model /90
0.98
053%
131%
212%
34%
41%
5+0%
Óscar Valentín Martín Luengo
MID · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
59
Proj.
0.68
O 1.5
16%
Model /90
1.03
055%
129%
211%
34%
41%
5+0%
Randy Ntekja
MID · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
41
Proj.
0.67
O 1.5
16%
Model /90
1.47
057%
127%
211%
34%
41%
50%
6+0%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 1.5	n	Distribution
Isaac Palazón CamachoFWD	Rayo Vallecano	2.21	67provisional	1.65	46%	66	026% 128% 221% 313% 47% 53% 6+2%
Jorge De Frutos SebastiánFWD	Rayo Vallecano	2.10	69provisional	1.62	46%	72	024% 130% 222% 313% 46% 53% 6+2%
Álvaro García RiveraFWD	Rayo Vallecano	2.12	69provisional	1.62	45%	68	027% 129% 221% 312% 46% 53% 6+2%
Carlos Vicente RoblesFWD	Deportivo Alavés	1.72	83provisional	1.59	45%	20	025% 131% 222% 313% 46% 52% 6+1%
Angel Pérez HidalgoFWD	Deportivo Alavés	1.75	81provisional	1.58	44%	16	026% 130% 222% 312% 46% 53% 6+2%
Lucas Ariel BoyéFWD	Deportivo Alavés	1.91	68provisional	1.43	40%	29	031% 130% 220% 311% 45% 52% 6+1%
Antonio Martínez LópezFWD	Deportivo Alavés	2.10	58provisional	1.34	36%	65	035% 128% 218% 310% 45% 52% 6+1%
Sergio Camello PérezFWD	Rayo Vallecano	2.49	43provisional	1.20	32%	45	038% 130% 217% 38% 44% 52% 6+1%
Alexandre ZurawskiFWD	Rayo Vallecano	2.43	44provisional	1.18	30%	26	041% 129% 215% 38% 44% 52% 6+1%
Abderrahman RebbachFWD	Deportivo Alavés	1.97	50provisional	1.09	29%	38	042% 130% 216% 38% 43% 51% 6+1%
Francisco Perez MartinezFWD	Rayo Vallecano	2.26	43provisional	1.08	28%	29	040% 131% 216% 37% 43% 51% 6+1%
Unai López CabreraMID	Rayo Vallecano	1.54	56provisional	0.95	25%	60	044% 131% 215% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Pedro Díaz FanjulMID	Rayo Vallecano	1.48	52provisional	0.85	22%	60	049% 130% 213% 35% 42% 51% 6+0%
Antonio Blanco CondeMID	Deportivo Alavés	0.87	82provisional	0.80	19%	71	047% 133% 214% 34% 41% 5+0%
Pathé CissMID	Rayo Vallecano	1.07	67provisional	0.79	20%	62	049% 131% 213% 35% 41% 50% 6+0%
Pablo Ibáñez LumbrerasMID	Deportivo Alavés	1.16	62provisional	0.79	20%	37	049% 132% 213% 35% 41% 5+0%
Mariano Díaz MejíaFWD	Deportivo Alavés	2.25	28provisional	0.71	17%	10	055% 128% 211% 34% 41% 51% 6+0%
Carles Aleña CastilloMID	Deportivo Alavés	0.98	64provisional	0.70	17%	48	053% 131% 212% 34% 41% 5+0%
Óscar Valentín Martín LuengoMID	Rayo Vallecano	1.03	59provisional	0.68	16%	67	055% 129% 211% 34% 41% 5+0%
Randy NtekjaMID	Rayo Vallecano	1.47	41provisional	0.67	16%	37	057% 127% 211% 34% 41% 50% 6+0%

20 of 39 players shown, ranked by projection.

Shots on target39 playersHighest: Jorge De Frutos Sebastián, 0.65 expectedshow

What drives it — Shot volume first, conversion second — literally: the projection is the shots model thinned by the player’s own on-target rate, so a high-volume low-accuracy shooter and a sniper price differently at the same shot count. See what has actually happened.

Jorge De Frutos Sebastián
FWD · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
69
Proj.
0.65
O 0.5
46%
Model /90
0.84
054%
131%
211%
33%
41%
5+0%
Carlos Vicente Robles
FWD · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
83
Proj.
0.64
O 0.5
45%
Model /90
0.69
055%
131%
211%
33%
41%
5+0%
Álvaro García Rivera
FWD · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
69
Proj.
0.62
O 0.5
43%
Model /90
0.81
057%
130%
210%
33%
41%
5+0%
Angel Pérez Hidalgo
FWD · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
81
Proj.
0.56
O 0.5
41%
Model /90
0.62
059%
129%
29%
32%
4+1%
Isaac Palazón Camacho
FWD · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
67
Proj.
0.54
O 0.5
39%
Model /90
0.72
061%
128%
29%
32%
4+1%
Lucas Ariel Boyé
FWD · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
68
Proj.
0.52
O 0.5
38%
Model /90
0.69
062%
128%
28%
32%
4+0%
Antonio Martínez López
FWD · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
58
Proj.
0.50
O 0.5
36%
Model /90
0.78
064%
126%
28%
32%
4+1%
Alexandre Zurawski
FWD · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
44
Proj.
0.49
O 0.5
35%
Model /90
1.00
065%
125%
27%
32%
41%
5+0%
Sergio Camello Pérez
FWD · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
43
Proj.
0.47
O 0.5
34%
Model /90
0.96
066%
125%
27%
32%
4+0%
Francisco Perez Martinez
FWD · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
43
Proj.
0.44
O 0.5
33%
Model /90
0.92
067%
125%
26%
31%
4+0%
Abderrahman Rebbach
FWD · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
50
Proj.
0.38
O 0.5
30%
Model /90
0.69
070%
123%
26%
31%
4+0%
Unai López Cabrera
MID · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
56
Proj.
0.30
O 0.5
25%
Model /90
0.48
075%
120%
24%
3+1%
Mariano Díaz Mejía
FWD · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
28
Proj.
0.28
O 0.5
23%
Model /90
0.89
077%
118%
24%
31%
4+0%
Pathé Ciss
MID · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
67
Proj.
0.26
O 0.5
22%
Model /90
0.35
078%
119%
23%
3+0%
Randy Ntekja
MID · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
41
Proj.
0.26
O 0.5
21%
Model /90
0.56
079%
118%
23%
3+1%
Pablo Ibáñez Lumbreras
MID · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
62
Proj.
0.23
O 0.5
20%
Model /90
0.34
080%
117%
22%
3+0%
Antonio Blanco Conde
MID · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
82
Proj.
0.21
O 0.5
19%
Model /90
0.23
081%
117%
22%
3+0%
Florian Lejeune
DEF · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
90
Proj.
0.21
O 0.5
19%
Model /90
0.21
081%
116%
22%
3+0%
Óscar Valentín Martín Luengo
MID · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
59
Proj.
0.20
O 0.5
18%
Model /90
0.31
082%
115%
22%
3+0%
Pedro Díaz Fanjul
MID · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
52
Proj.
0.19
O 0.5
17%
Model /90
0.33
083%
115%
22%
3+0%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 0.5	n	Distribution
Jorge De Frutos SebastiánFWD	Rayo Vallecano	0.84	69provisional	0.65	46%	72	054% 131% 211% 33% 41% 5+0%
Carlos Vicente RoblesFWD	Deportivo Alavés	0.69	83provisional	0.64	45%	20	055% 131% 211% 33% 41% 5+0%
Álvaro García RiveraFWD	Rayo Vallecano	0.81	69provisional	0.62	43%	68	057% 130% 210% 33% 41% 5+0%
Angel Pérez HidalgoFWD	Deportivo Alavés	0.62	81provisional	0.56	41%	16	059% 129% 29% 32% 4+1%
Isaac Palazón CamachoFWD	Rayo Vallecano	0.72	67provisional	0.54	39%	66	061% 128% 29% 32% 4+1%
Lucas Ariel BoyéFWD	Deportivo Alavés	0.69	68provisional	0.52	38%	29	062% 128% 28% 32% 4+0%
Antonio Martínez LópezFWD	Deportivo Alavés	0.78	58provisional	0.50	36%	65	064% 126% 28% 32% 4+1%
Alexandre ZurawskiFWD	Rayo Vallecano	1.00	44provisional	0.49	35%	26	065% 125% 27% 32% 41% 5+0%
Sergio Camello PérezFWD	Rayo Vallecano	0.96	43provisional	0.47	34%	45	066% 125% 27% 32% 4+0%
Francisco Perez MartinezFWD	Rayo Vallecano	0.92	43provisional	0.44	33%	29	067% 125% 26% 31% 4+0%
Abderrahman RebbachFWD	Deportivo Alavés	0.69	50provisional	0.38	30%	38	070% 123% 26% 31% 4+0%
Unai López CabreraMID	Rayo Vallecano	0.48	56provisional	0.30	25%	60	075% 120% 24% 3+1%
Mariano Díaz MejíaFWD	Deportivo Alavés	0.89	28provisional	0.28	23%	10	077% 118% 24% 31% 4+0%
Pathé CissMID	Rayo Vallecano	0.35	67provisional	0.26	22%	62	078% 119% 23% 3+0%
Randy NtekjaMID	Rayo Vallecano	0.56	41provisional	0.26	21%	37	079% 118% 23% 3+1%
Pablo Ibáñez LumbrerasMID	Deportivo Alavés	0.34	62provisional	0.23	20%	37	080% 117% 22% 3+0%
Antonio Blanco CondeMID	Deportivo Alavés	0.23	82provisional	0.21	19%	71	081% 117% 22% 3+0%
Florian LejeuneDEF	Rayo Vallecano	0.21	90provisional	0.21	19%	73	081% 116% 22% 3+0%
Óscar Valentín Martín LuengoMID	Rayo Vallecano	0.31	59provisional	0.20	18%	67	082% 115% 22% 3+0%
Pedro Díaz FanjulMID	Rayo Vallecano	0.33	52provisional	0.19	17%	60	083% 115% 22% 3+0%

20 of 39 players shown, ranked by projection.

Fouls won39 playersHighest: Isaac Palazón Camacho, 1.55 expectedshow

What drives it — How much a player runs at defenders. Dribble volume drives this far more than the referee does. See what has actually happened.

Isaac Palazón Camacho
FWD · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
67
Proj.
1.55
O 1.5
43%
Model /90
2.08
028%
129%
220%
312%
46%
53%
6+2%
Carlos Vicente Robles
FWD · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
83
Proj.
1.54
O 1.5
44%
Model /90
1.67
026%
131%
222%
312%
46%
52%
6+1%
Angel Pérez Hidalgo
FWD · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
81
Proj.
1.41
O 1.5
39%
Model /90
1.56
030%
131%
221%
311%
45%
52%
6+1%
Lucas Ariel Boyé
FWD · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
68
Proj.
1.29
O 1.5
35%
Model /90
1.71
034%
131%
219%
310%
44%
52%
6+1%
Jorge De Frutos Sebastián
FWD · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
69
Proj.
1.26
O 1.5
35%
Model /90
1.64
033%
133%
220%
39%
44%
51%
6+1%
Abderrahman Rebbach
FWD · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
50
Proj.
1.23
O 1.5
33%
Model /90
2.23
038%
129%
217%
39%
44%
52%
6+1%
Pablo Ibáñez Lumbreras
MID · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
62
Proj.
1.12
O 1.5
30%
Model /90
1.64
038%
132%
218%
38%
43%
51%
6+0%
Antonio Blanco Conde
MID · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
82
Proj.
1.07
O 1.5
29%
Model /90
1.16
038%
133%
218%
37%
42%
51%
6+0%
Alexandre Zurawski
FWD · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
44
Proj.
1.06
O 1.5
27%
Model /90
2.20
044%
129%
215%
37%
43%
51%
6+1%
Álvaro García Rivera
FWD · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
69
Proj.
1.06
O 1.5
28%
Model /90
1.39
040%
132%
217%
37%
43%
51%
6+0%
Carles Aleña Castillo
MID · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
64
Proj.
1.02
O 1.5
27%
Model /90
1.43
041%
132%
216%
37%
43%
51%
6+0%
Antonio Martínez López
FWD · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
58
Proj.
0.95
O 1.5
25%
Model /90
1.48
046%
129%
215%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Pathé Ciss
MID · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
67
Proj.
0.95
O 1.5
25%
Model /90
1.27
044%
131%
215%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Óscar Valentín Martín Luengo
MID · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
59
Proj.
0.93
O 1.5
24%
Model /90
1.43
045%
130%
215%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Francisco Perez Martinez
FWD · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
43
Proj.
0.90
O 1.5
23%
Model /90
1.89
046%
131%
214%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Unai López Cabrera
MID · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
56
Proj.
0.87
O 1.5
22%
Model /90
1.41
047%
131%
214%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Sergio Camello Pérez
FWD · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
43
Proj.
0.87
O 1.5
22%
Model /90
1.79
048%
130%
213%
35%
42%
51%
6+0%
Nahuel Tenaglia
DEF · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
88
Proj.
0.86
O 1.5
21%
Model /90
0.87
045%
134%
215%
35%
41%
5+0%
Josep María Chavarría Pérez
DEF · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
79
Proj.
0.85
O 1.5
22%
Model /90
0.97
046%
132%
214%
35%
42%
50%
6+0%
Denis Suárez Fernández
MID · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
47
Proj.
0.76
O 1.5
19%
Model /90
1.46
052%
129%
212%
34%
41%
50%
6+0%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 1.5	n	Distribution
Isaac Palazón CamachoFWD	Rayo Vallecano	2.08	67provisional	1.55	43%	66	028% 129% 220% 312% 46% 53% 6+2%
Carlos Vicente RoblesFWD	Deportivo Alavés	1.67	83provisional	1.54	44%	20	026% 131% 222% 312% 46% 52% 6+1%
Angel Pérez HidalgoFWD	Deportivo Alavés	1.56	81provisional	1.41	39%	16	030% 131% 221% 311% 45% 52% 6+1%
Lucas Ariel BoyéFWD	Deportivo Alavés	1.71	68provisional	1.29	35%	29	034% 131% 219% 310% 44% 52% 6+1%
Jorge De Frutos SebastiánFWD	Rayo Vallecano	1.64	69provisional	1.26	35%	72	033% 133% 220% 39% 44% 51% 6+1%
Abderrahman RebbachFWD	Deportivo Alavés	2.23	50provisional	1.23	33%	38	038% 129% 217% 39% 44% 52% 6+1%
Pablo Ibáñez LumbrerasMID	Deportivo Alavés	1.64	62provisional	1.12	30%	37	038% 132% 218% 38% 43% 51% 6+0%
Antonio Blanco CondeMID	Deportivo Alavés	1.16	82provisional	1.07	29%	71	038% 133% 218% 37% 42% 51% 6+0%
Alexandre ZurawskiFWD	Rayo Vallecano	2.20	44provisional	1.06	27%	26	044% 129% 215% 37% 43% 51% 6+1%
Álvaro García RiveraFWD	Rayo Vallecano	1.39	69provisional	1.06	28%	68	040% 132% 217% 37% 43% 51% 6+0%
Carles Aleña CastilloMID	Deportivo Alavés	1.43	64provisional	1.02	27%	48	041% 132% 216% 37% 43% 51% 6+0%
Antonio Martínez LópezFWD	Deportivo Alavés	1.48	58provisional	0.95	25%	65	046% 129% 215% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Pathé CissMID	Rayo Vallecano	1.27	67provisional	0.95	25%	62	044% 131% 215% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Óscar Valentín Martín LuengoMID	Rayo Vallecano	1.43	59provisional	0.93	24%	67	045% 130% 215% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Francisco Perez MartinezFWD	Rayo Vallecano	1.89	43provisional	0.90	23%	29	046% 131% 214% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Unai López CabreraMID	Rayo Vallecano	1.41	56provisional	0.87	22%	60	047% 131% 214% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Sergio Camello PérezFWD	Rayo Vallecano	1.79	43provisional	0.87	22%	45	048% 130% 213% 35% 42% 51% 6+0%
Nahuel TenagliaDEF	Deportivo Alavés	0.87	88provisional	0.86	21%	70	045% 134% 215% 35% 41% 5+0%
Josep María Chavarría PérezDEF	Rayo Vallecano	0.97	79provisional	0.85	22%	67	046% 132% 214% 35% 42% 50% 6+0%
Denis Suárez FernándezMID	Deportivo Alavés	1.46	47provisional	0.76	19%	30	052% 129% 212% 34% 41% 50% 6+0%

20 of 39 players shown, ranked by projection.

Cards39 playersHighest: Pathé Ciss, 0.20 expectedshow

Known defect — Prices ANY card — yellow or straight red — matching how books settle "to be shown a card" (D-048). The trends column alongside counts yellows only.

What drives it — Fouls first, then how readily the referee reaches for a card. Two officials averaging four cards a match can do it for opposite reasons. See what has actually happened.

Pathé Ciss
MID · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
67
Proj.
0.20
O 0.5
17%
Model /90
0.26
083%
115%
22%
3+0%
Antonio Blanco Conde
MID · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
82
Proj.
0.18
O 0.5
16%
Model /90
0.20
084%
115%
21%
3+0%
Moussa Diarra
DEF · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
72
Proj.
0.17
O 0.5
15%
Model /90
0.21
085%
114%
21%
3+0%
Nobel Mendy
DEF · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
75
Proj.
0.17
O 0.5
15%
Model /90
0.20
085%
114%
2+1%
Jonathan Castro Otto
DEF · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
88
Proj.
0.16
O 0.5
15%
Model /90
0.16
085%
114%
2+1%
Nahuel Tenaglia
DEF · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
88
Proj.
0.16
O 0.5
15%
Model /90
0.16
085%
113%
2+1%
Florian Lejeune
DEF · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
90
Proj.
0.16
O 0.5
15%
Model /90
0.16
085%
113%
2+1%
Andrei Florin Ratiu
DEF · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
84
Proj.
0.15
O 0.5
14%
Model /90
0.17
086%
113%
2+1%
Facundo Tomás Garcés
DEF · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
73
Proj.
0.15
O 0.5
14%
Model /90
0.18
086%
112%
2+1%
Angel Pérez Hidalgo
FWD · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
81
Proj.
0.15
O 0.5
13%
Model /90
0.16
087%
112%
2+1%
Unai López Cabrera
MID · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
56
Proj.
0.15
O 0.5
13%
Model /90
0.24
087%
112%
2+1%
Pablo Ibáñez Lumbreras
MID · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
62
Proj.
0.14
O 0.5
13%
Model /90
0.21
087%
112%
2+1%
Isaac Palazón Camacho
FWD · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
67
Proj.
0.14
O 0.5
13%
Model /90
0.18
087%
112%
2+1%
Randy Ntekja
MID · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
41
Proj.
0.13
O 0.5
12%
Model /90
0.29
088%
111%
2+1%
Carlos Vicente Robles
FWD · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
83
Proj.
0.13
O 0.5
12%
Model /90
0.15
088%
112%
2+1%
Carles Aleña Castillo
MID · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
64
Proj.
0.13
O 0.5
12%
Model /90
0.18
088%
111%
2+1%
Josep María Chavarría Pérez
DEF · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
79
Proj.
0.13
O 0.5
12%
Model /90
0.15
088%
111%
2+1%
Youssef Enríquez Lekhedim
DEF · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
54
Proj.
0.12
O 0.5
11%
Model /90
0.21
089%
110%
2+1%
Denis Suárez Fernández
MID · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
47
Proj.
0.12
O 0.5
11%
Model /90
0.24
089%
111%
2+1%
Óscar Valentín Martín Luengo
MID · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
59
Proj.
0.12
O 0.5
11%
Model /90
0.19
089%
111%
2+1%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 0.5	n	Distribution
Pathé CissMID	Rayo Vallecano	0.26	67provisional	0.20	17%	62	083% 115% 22% 3+0%
Antonio Blanco CondeMID	Deportivo Alavés	0.20	82provisional	0.18	16%	71	084% 115% 21% 3+0%
Moussa DiarraDEF	Deportivo Alavés	0.21	72provisional	0.17	15%	29	085% 114% 21% 3+0%
Nobel MendyDEF	Rayo Vallecano	0.20	75provisional	0.17	15%	24	085% 114% 2+1%
Jonathan Castro OttoDEF	Deportivo Alavés	0.16	88provisional	0.16	15%	34	085% 114% 2+1%
Nahuel TenagliaDEF	Deportivo Alavés	0.16	88provisional	0.16	15%	70	085% 113% 2+1%
Florian LejeuneDEF	Rayo Vallecano	0.16	90provisional	0.16	15%	73	085% 113% 2+1%
Andrei Florin RatiuDEF	Rayo Vallecano	0.17	84provisional	0.15	14%	70	086% 113% 2+1%
Facundo Tomás GarcésDEF	Deportivo Alavés	0.18	73provisional	0.15	14%	20	086% 112% 2+1%
Angel Pérez HidalgoFWD	Deportivo Alavés	0.16	81provisional	0.15	13%	16	087% 112% 2+1%
Unai López CabreraMID	Rayo Vallecano	0.24	56provisional	0.15	13%	60	087% 112% 2+1%
Pablo Ibáñez LumbrerasMID	Deportivo Alavés	0.21	62provisional	0.14	13%	37	087% 112% 2+1%
Isaac Palazón CamachoFWD	Rayo Vallecano	0.18	67provisional	0.14	13%	66	087% 112% 2+1%
Randy NtekjaMID	Rayo Vallecano	0.29	41provisional	0.13	12%	37	088% 111% 2+1%
Carlos Vicente RoblesFWD	Deportivo Alavés	0.15	83provisional	0.13	12%	20	088% 112% 2+1%
Carles Aleña CastilloMID	Deportivo Alavés	0.18	64provisional	0.13	12%	48	088% 111% 2+1%
Josep María Chavarría PérezDEF	Rayo Vallecano	0.15	79provisional	0.13	12%	67	088% 111% 2+1%
Youssef Enríquez LekhedimDEF	Deportivo Alavés	0.21	54provisional	0.12	11%	25	089% 110% 2+1%
Denis Suárez FernándezMID	Deportivo Alavés	0.24	47provisional	0.12	11%	30	089% 111% 2+1%
Óscar Valentín Martín LuengoMID	Rayo Vallecano	0.19	59provisional	0.12	11%	67	089% 111% 2+1%

20 of 39 players shown, ranked by projection.

Saves39 playersHighest: Antonio Sivera Salvá, 2.90 expectedshow

What drives it — Opponent shot volume. A keeper’s own record carries so little that this market shrinks harder than any other on the board. See what has actually happened.

Antonio Sivera Salvá
GK · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
89
Proj.
2.90
O 2.5
53%
Model /90
2.93
07%
117%
222%
320%
415%
59%
6+9%
Daniel Cárdenas Lindez
GK · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
90
Proj.
2.58
O 2.5
46%
Model /90
2.58
010%
120%
224%
320%
413%
57%
6+6%
Augusto Martín Batalla Barga
GK · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
90
Proj.
2.50
O 2.5
44%
Model /90
2.50
010%
121%
224%
319%
412%
57%
6+6%
Jonathan Castro Otto
DEF · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
88
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Nahuel Tenaglia
DEF · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
88
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Carlos Vicente Robles
FWD · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
83
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Antonio Blanco Conde
MID · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
82
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Angel Pérez Hidalgo
FWD · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
81
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Facundo Tomás Garcés
DEF · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
73
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Moussa Diarra
DEF · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
72
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Lucas Ariel Boyé
FWD · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
68
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Carles Aleña Castillo
MID · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
64
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Pablo Ibáñez Lumbreras
MID · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
62
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Florian Lejeune
DEF · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
90
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Antonio Martínez López
FWD · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
58
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Andrei Florin Ratiu
DEF · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
84
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Youssef Enríquez Lekhedim
DEF · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
54
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Josep María Chavarría Pérez
DEF · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
79
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Nobel Mendy
DEF · Rayo Vallecano
provisional
Mins
75
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Abderrahman Rebbach
FWD · Deportivo Alavés
provisional
Mins
50
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 2.5	n	Distribution
Antonio Sivera SalváGK	Deportivo Alavés	2.93	89provisional	2.90	53%	70	07% 117% 222% 320% 415% 59% 6+9%
Daniel Cárdenas LindezGK	Rayo Vallecano	2.58	90provisional	2.58	46%	10	010% 120% 224% 320% 413% 57% 6+6%
Augusto Martín Batalla BargaGK	Rayo Vallecano	2.50	90provisional	2.50	44%	66	010% 121% 224% 319% 412% 57% 6+6%
Jonathan Castro OttoDEF	Deportivo Alavés	0.00	88provisional	0.00	—	34	0100% 1+0%
Nahuel TenagliaDEF	Deportivo Alavés	0.00	88provisional	0.00	—	70	0100% 1+0%
Carlos Vicente RoblesFWD	Deportivo Alavés	0.00	83provisional	0.00	—	20	0100% 1+0%
Antonio Blanco CondeMID	Deportivo Alavés	0.00	82provisional	0.00	—	71	0100% 1+0%
Angel Pérez HidalgoFWD	Deportivo Alavés	0.00	81provisional	0.00	—	16	0100% 1+0%
Facundo Tomás GarcésDEF	Deportivo Alavés	0.00	73provisional	0.00	—	20	0100% 1+0%
Moussa DiarraDEF	Deportivo Alavés	0.00	72provisional	0.00	—	29	0100% 1+0%
Lucas Ariel BoyéFWD	Deportivo Alavés	0.00	68provisional	0.00	—	29	0100% 1+0%
Carles Aleña CastilloMID	Deportivo Alavés	0.00	64provisional	0.00	—	48	0100% 1+0%
Pablo Ibáñez LumbrerasMID	Deportivo Alavés	0.00	62provisional	0.00	—	37	0100% 1+0%
Florian LejeuneDEF	Rayo Vallecano	0.00	90provisional	0.00	—	73	0100% 1+0%
Antonio Martínez LópezFWD	Deportivo Alavés	0.00	58provisional	0.00	—	65	0100% 1+0%
Andrei Florin RatiuDEF	Rayo Vallecano	0.00	84provisional	0.00	—	70	0100% 1+0%
Youssef Enríquez LekhedimDEF	Deportivo Alavés	0.00	54provisional	0.00	—	25	0100% 1+0%
Josep María Chavarría PérezDEF	Rayo Vallecano	0.00	79provisional	0.00	—	67	0100% 1+0%
Nobel MendyDEF	Rayo Vallecano	0.00	75provisional	0.00	—	24	0100% 1+0%
Abderrahman RebbachFWD	Deportivo Alavés	0.00	50provisional	0.00	—	38	0100% 1+0%

20 of 39 players shown, ranked by projection.