La Liga · Spain

Atlético de MadridvMálaga

Wednesday 19 August at 20:00Riyadh Air Metropolitanolineups not announced

Referee

Not appointed

0 matches on record

Fouls per game

—

League average

22.6

fouls per match, both teams

Value

No edges published on this fixture. An edge is published only when a bookmaker's price beats the model's fair price by that market's full bar — most fixtures never produce one. The value board explains every gate a candidate has to clear.

What these numbers are

Not tips and not prices. Each row is the model's expected count for one player in this match — how many fouls, tackles or shots it thinks he records — plus the full spread of outcomes around it. Nothing here has been compared to a bookmaker.

Step 1
His own record
Every completed match in the dataset, as a rate per 90 minutes. The n column is how many matches that rests on.
Step 2
Pulled toward his position
A thin record gets pulled hard toward other players in his position, in his league — a goalkeeper toward goalkeepers, not toward the outfielders around him. How hard is fitted per market, not chosen: tackles pull about four times harder than shots on target.
Step 3
This fixture's conditions
How much of the stat the opponent concedes, what the referee's matches look like, and home or away. This is where a projection stops being a season average.
Step 4
Scaled to expected minutes
A rate becomes a count only once you say how long he plays. 60 minutes carries two-thirds the exposure of 90, and the distribution is built at that exposure.

How to read each column

Model /90: The model's rate for this match with the minutes taken back out — steps 1 to 3 already applied. It moves with the opponent and the referee, so it is not his raw career rate; the builder shows career and model rates side by side.
Exp. mins: Minutes the model expects. Confirmed means the lineup is out; provisional means it is guessing from his start rate, and is the widest of the three.
Projected: The expected count in this match, at those minutes. This is the number a line is set against.
Over 1.5, etc.: Read straight off the distribution beside it, not off how often he has beaten that line before. It answers what the model thinks, not what has happened.
n: Matches behind his own rate. Under 30 it turns amber: the projection is mostly his position group speaking, and §6.3 will not publish an edge on it.
Distribution: The whole spread, not just the average. The dashed amber cut is the line; jade bars beat it. An expected 1.8 fouls made of 2 every week and an expected 1.8 made of a 0 and a 5 are different bets, and this is where you see which one you have.

Counts are modelled as negative binomial rather than Poisson, because fouls and tackles are overdispersed and a Poisson would systematically underprice the tails — which is exactly where over bets live. Every market on this page cleared its calibration gate before it was allowed to produce a projection: when the model says 60%, it lands within a point or so of 60% out of sample.

Fouls v20260811-1858 · Tackles v20260811-1858 · Shots v20260811-1858 · Shots on target v20260811-1905 · Fouls won v20260811-1858 · Cards v20260811-1905 · Saves v20260812-1340

Model projections

Fouls21 playersHighest: Pablo Barrios Rivas, 1.29 expectedshow

What drives it — Who referees the match. A strict official lifts every player on the pitch, which is the part most books price off a season average. See what has actually happened.

Pablo Barrios Rivas
MID · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
74
Proj.
1.29
O 1.5
36%
Model /90
1.57
030%
133%
221%
310%
44%
51%
6+0%
Jorge Resurrección Merodio
MID · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
63
Proj.
1.25
O 1.5
34%
Model /90
1.78
033%
132%
219%
39%
44%
51%
6+1%
João Lucas de Souza Cardoso
MID · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
60
Proj.
1.24
O 1.5
35%
Model /90
1.88
032%
133%
220%
39%
44%
51%
6+0%
Obed Vargas
MID · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
62
Proj.
1.19
O 1.5
33%
Model /90
1.73
037%
131%
218%
39%
44%
51%
6+1%
Clément Lenglet
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
81
Proj.
1.17
O 1.5
32%
Model /90
1.30
033%
134%
220%
38%
43%
51%
6+0%
Alejandro Baena Rodríguez
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
58
Proj.
1.12
O 1.5
31%
Model /90
1.73
037%
133%
218%
38%
43%
51%
6+0%
Julián Álvarez
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
67
Proj.
1.09
O 1.5
30%
Model /90
1.46
037%
134%
218%
38%
43%
51%
6+0%
Robin Aime Robert Le Normand
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
72
Proj.
1.07
O 1.5
29%
Model /90
1.35
038%
133%
218%
38%
43%
51%
6+0%
Marcos Llorente Moreno
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
1.04
O 1.5
28%
Model /90
1.24
038%
134%
218%
37%
42%
51%
6+0%
Matteo Ruggeri
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
68
Proj.
1.04
O 1.5
28%
Model /90
1.38
039%
133%
217%
37%
42%
51%
6+0%
Dávid Hancko
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
81
Proj.
1.04
O 1.5
28%
Model /90
1.16
038%
134%
218%
37%
42%
51%
6+0%
M. Pubill Pagès
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
73
Proj.
1.04
O 1.5
28%
Model /90
1.29
039%
133%
217%
37%
42%
51%
6+0%
José María Giménez de Vargas
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
74
Proj.
1.03
O 1.5
28%
Model /90
1.26
039%
133%
217%
37%
42%
51%
6+0%
Giuliano Simeone
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
64
Proj.
1.03
O 1.5
28%
Model /90
1.45
039%
134%
218%
37%
42%
51%
6+0%
Antoine Griezmann
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
59
Proj.
1.01
O 1.5
27%
Model /90
1.55
041%
132%
217%
37%
42%
51%
6+0%
Alexander Sørloth
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
51
Proj.
1.01
O 1.5
26%
Model /90
1.79
042%
132%
216%
37%
43%
51%
6+0%
Ademola Lookman
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
52
Proj.
0.98
O 1.5
26%
Model /90
1.71
041%
133%
217%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Thiago Ezequiel Almada
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
49
Proj.
0.91
O 1.5
24%
Model /90
1.68
045%
132%
215%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Nahuel Molina Lucero
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
52
Proj.
0.90
O 1.5
23%
Model /90
1.55
047%
130%
214%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Juan Agustín Musso
GK · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
90
Proj.
0.04
O 1.5
—
Model /90
0.04
096%
1+4%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 1.5	n	Distribution
Pablo Barrios RivasMID	Atlético de Madrid	1.57	74provisional	1.29	36%	54	030% 133% 221% 310% 44% 51% 6+0%
Jorge Resurrección MerodioMID	Atlético de Madrid	1.78	63provisional	1.25	34%	66	033% 132% 219% 39% 44% 51% 6+1%
João Lucas de Souza CardosoMID	Atlético de Madrid	1.88	60provisional	1.24	35%	15	032% 133% 220% 39% 44% 51% 6+0%
Obed VargasMID	Atlético de Madrid	1.73	62provisional	1.19	33%	12	037% 131% 218% 39% 44% 51% 6+1%
Clément LengletDEF	Atlético de Madrid	1.30	81provisional	1.17	32%	18	033% 134% 220% 38% 43% 51% 6+0%
Alejandro Baena RodríguezFWD	Atlético de Madrid	1.73	58provisional	1.12	31%	27	037% 133% 218% 38% 43% 51% 6+0%
Julián ÁlvarezFWD	Atlético de Madrid	1.46	67provisional	1.09	30%	66	037% 134% 218% 38% 43% 51% 6+0%
Robin Aime Robert Le NormandDEF	Atlético de Madrid	1.35	72provisional	1.07	29%	55	038% 133% 218% 38% 43% 51% 6+0%
Marcos Llorente MorenoDEF	Atlético de Madrid	1.24	76provisional	1.04	28%	62	038% 134% 218% 37% 42% 51% 6+0%
Matteo RuggeriDEF	Atlético de Madrid	1.38	68provisional	1.04	28%	26	039% 133% 217% 37% 42% 51% 6+0%
Dávid HanckoDEF	Atlético de Madrid	1.16	81provisional	1.04	28%	30	038% 134% 218% 37% 42% 51% 6+0%
M. Pubill PagèsDEF	Atlético de Madrid	1.29	73provisional	1.04	28%	19	039% 133% 217% 37% 42% 51% 6+0%
José María Giménez de VargasDEF	Atlético de Madrid	1.26	74provisional	1.03	28%	43	039% 133% 217% 37% 42% 51% 6+0%
Giuliano SimeoneFWD	Atlético de Madrid	1.45	64provisional	1.03	28%	64	039% 134% 218% 37% 42% 51% 6+0%
Antoine GriezmannFWD	Atlético de Madrid	1.55	59provisional	1.01	27%	24	041% 132% 217% 37% 42% 51% 6+0%
Alexander SørlothFWD	Atlético de Madrid	1.79	51provisional	1.01	26%	70	042% 132% 216% 37% 43% 51% 6+0%
Ademola LookmanFWD	Atlético de Madrid	1.71	52provisional	0.98	26%	12	041% 133% 217% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Thiago Ezequiel AlmadaFWD	Atlético de Madrid	1.68	49provisional	0.91	24%	27	045% 132% 215% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Nahuel Molina LuceroDEF	Atlético de Madrid	1.55	52provisional	0.90	23%	56	047% 130% 214% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Juan Agustín MussoGK	Atlético de Madrid	0.04	90provisional	0.04	—	10	096% 1+4%

20 of 21 players shown, ranked by projection.

Tackles21 playersHighest: Marcos Llorente Moreno, 2.14 expectedshow

What drives it — Possession share. A tackle count depends far more on how much of the match is played at your own end than on a player’s own form. See what has actually happened.

Marcos Llorente Moreno
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
2.14
O 1.5
61%
Model /90
2.54
015%
124%
224%
318%
411%
55%
6+3%
Obed Vargas
MID · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
62
Proj.
2.01
O 1.5
55%
Model /90
2.93
021%
125%
221%
316%
410%
55%
6+4%
Dávid Hancko
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
81
Proj.
2.01
O 1.5
58%
Model /90
2.23
016%
126%
225%
317%
49%
54%
6+2%
Jorge Resurrección Merodio
MID · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
63
Proj.
2.01
O 1.5
56%
Model /90
2.87
018%
126%
223%
316%
49%
55%
6+3%
Pablo Barrios Rivas
MID · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
74
Proj.
1.99
O 1.5
58%
Model /90
2.42
015%
127%
226%
317%
49%
54%
6+2%
João Lucas de Souza Cardoso
MID · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
60
Proj.
1.96
O 1.5
57%
Model /90
2.96
016%
127%
225%
317%
49%
54%
6+2%
Clément Lenglet
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
81
Proj.
1.90
O 1.5
56%
Model /90
2.10
016%
128%
226%
317%
48%
53%
6+2%
Nahuel Molina Lucero
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
52
Proj.
1.84
O 1.5
49%
Model /90
3.19
026%
126%
219%
313%
48%
55%
6+4%
M. Pubill Pagès
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
73
Proj.
1.84
O 1.5
53%
Model /90
2.27
021%
127%
223%
316%
48%
54%
6+2%
José María Giménez de Vargas
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
74
Proj.
1.74
O 1.5
50%
Model /90
2.13
021%
128%
224%
315%
47%
53%
6+2%
Matteo Ruggeri
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
68
Proj.
1.70
O 1.5
49%
Model /90
2.24
023%
129%
223%
314%
47%
53%
6+1%
Robin Aime Robert Le Normand
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
72
Proj.
1.62
O 1.5
47%
Model /90
2.04
024%
129%
223%
314%
47%
53%
6+1%
Giuliano Simeone
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
64
Proj.
1.25
O 1.5
35%
Model /90
1.77
031%
134%
221%
310%
43%
51%
6+0%
Alejandro Baena Rodríguez
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
58
Proj.
1.06
O 1.5
29%
Model /90
1.64
037%
134%
219%
37%
42%
51%
6+0%
Julián Álvarez
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
67
Proj.
1.03
O 1.5
28%
Model /90
1.39
037%
135%
218%
37%
42%
50%
6+0%
Antoine Griezmann
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
59
Proj.
1.02
O 1.5
28%
Model /90
1.56
040%
133%
218%
37%
42%
51%
6+0%
Thiago Ezequiel Almada
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
49
Proj.
0.98
O 1.5
26%
Model /90
1.81
041%
133%
217%
37%
42%
51%
6+0%
Ademola Lookman
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
52
Proj.
0.96
O 1.5
25%
Model /90
1.67
040%
134%
217%
36%
42%
5+1%
Alexander Sørloth
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
51
Proj.
0.71
O 1.5
17%
Model /90
1.27
052%
131%
212%
34%
41%
5+0%
Juan Agustín Musso
GK · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
90
Proj.
0.02
O 1.5
—
Model /90
0.02
098%
1+2%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 1.5	n	Distribution
Marcos Llorente MorenoDEF	Atlético de Madrid	2.54	76provisional	2.14	61%	62	015% 124% 224% 318% 411% 55% 6+3%
Obed VargasMID	Atlético de Madrid	2.93	62provisional	2.01	55%	12	021% 125% 221% 316% 410% 55% 6+4%
Dávid HanckoDEF	Atlético de Madrid	2.23	81provisional	2.01	58%	30	016% 126% 225% 317% 49% 54% 6+2%
Jorge Resurrección MerodioMID	Atlético de Madrid	2.87	63provisional	2.01	56%	66	018% 126% 223% 316% 49% 55% 6+3%
Pablo Barrios RivasMID	Atlético de Madrid	2.42	74provisional	1.99	58%	54	015% 127% 226% 317% 49% 54% 6+2%
João Lucas de Souza CardosoMID	Atlético de Madrid	2.96	60provisional	1.96	57%	15	016% 127% 225% 317% 49% 54% 6+2%
Clément LengletDEF	Atlético de Madrid	2.10	81provisional	1.90	56%	18	016% 128% 226% 317% 48% 53% 6+2%
Nahuel Molina LuceroDEF	Atlético de Madrid	3.19	52provisional	1.84	49%	56	026% 126% 219% 313% 48% 55% 6+4%
M. Pubill PagèsDEF	Atlético de Madrid	2.27	73provisional	1.84	53%	19	021% 127% 223% 316% 48% 54% 6+2%
José María Giménez de VargasDEF	Atlético de Madrid	2.13	74provisional	1.74	50%	43	021% 128% 224% 315% 47% 53% 6+2%
Matteo RuggeriDEF	Atlético de Madrid	2.24	68provisional	1.70	49%	26	023% 129% 223% 314% 47% 53% 6+1%
Robin Aime Robert Le NormandDEF	Atlético de Madrid	2.04	72provisional	1.62	47%	55	024% 129% 223% 314% 47% 53% 6+1%
Giuliano SimeoneFWD	Atlético de Madrid	1.77	64provisional	1.25	35%	64	031% 134% 221% 310% 43% 51% 6+0%
Alejandro Baena RodríguezFWD	Atlético de Madrid	1.64	58provisional	1.06	29%	27	037% 134% 219% 37% 42% 51% 6+0%
Julián ÁlvarezFWD	Atlético de Madrid	1.39	67provisional	1.03	28%	66	037% 135% 218% 37% 42% 50% 6+0%
Antoine GriezmannFWD	Atlético de Madrid	1.56	59provisional	1.02	28%	24	040% 133% 218% 37% 42% 51% 6+0%
Thiago Ezequiel AlmadaFWD	Atlético de Madrid	1.81	49provisional	0.98	26%	27	041% 133% 217% 37% 42% 51% 6+0%
Ademola LookmanFWD	Atlético de Madrid	1.67	52provisional	0.96	25%	12	040% 134% 217% 36% 42% 5+1%
Alexander SørlothFWD	Atlético de Madrid	1.27	51provisional	0.71	17%	70	052% 131% 212% 34% 41% 5+0%
Juan Agustín MussoGK	Atlético de Madrid	0.02	90provisional	0.02	—	10	098% 1+2%

20 of 21 players shown, ranked by projection.

Shots21 playersHighest: Julián Álvarez, 2.64 expectedshow

What drives it — The player’s own shot rate, shrunk toward others in his position, then adjusted for how many shots the opponent concedes. See what has actually happened.

Julián Álvarez
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
67
Proj.
2.64
O 1.5
66%
Model /90
3.54
013%
121%
221%
317%
412%
58%
6+9%
Antoine Griezmann
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
59
Proj.
2.39
O 1.5
60%
Model /90
3.65
018%
122%
219%
315%
410%
57%
6+8%
Alexander Sørloth
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
51
Proj.
2.38
O 1.5
58%
Model /90
4.24
018%
124%
220%
314%
410%
56%
6+9%
Alejandro Baena Rodríguez
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
58
Proj.
2.26
O 1.5
59%
Model /90
3.50
018%
123%
221%
316%
410%
56%
6+6%
Giuliano Simeone
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
64
Proj.
2.24
O 1.5
59%
Model /90
3.16
017%
124%
222%
316%
410%
56%
6+6%
Ademola Lookman
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
52
Proj.
2.17
O 1.5
57%
Model /90
3.77
018%
124%
221%
315%
410%
56%
6+6%
Thiago Ezequiel Almada
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
49
Proj.
1.96
O 1.5
51%
Model /90
3.64
023%
126%
220%
313%
48%
55%
6+5%
Pablo Barrios Rivas
MID · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
74
Proj.
1.47
O 1.5
41%
Model /90
1.78
027%
131%
222%
311%
45%
52%
6+1%
Obed Vargas
MID · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
62
Proj.
1.24
O 1.5
34%
Model /90
1.81
037%
130%
218%
39%
44%
52%
6+1%
João Lucas de Souza Cardoso
MID · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
60
Proj.
1.17
O 1.5
32%
Model /90
1.78
035%
133%
219%
38%
43%
51%
6+0%
Jorge Resurrección Merodio
MID · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
63
Proj.
1.13
O 1.5
31%
Model /90
1.62
038%
132%
218%
38%
43%
51%
6+1%
Dávid Hancko
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
81
Proj.
0.72
O 1.5
17%
Model /90
0.80
051%
132%
212%
34%
41%
5+0%
Marcos Llorente Moreno
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
0.71
O 1.5
17%
Model /90
0.84
052%
132%
212%
34%
41%
5+0%
Clément Lenglet
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
81
Proj.
0.70
O 1.5
16%
Model /90
0.78
052%
132%
212%
33%
41%
5+0%
M. Pubill Pagès
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
73
Proj.
0.68
O 1.5
16%
Model /90
0.84
054%
130%
211%
33%
41%
5+0%
José María Giménez de Vargas
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
74
Proj.
0.61
O 1.5
14%
Model /90
0.75
057%
130%
210%
33%
41%
5+0%
Robin Aime Robert Le Normand
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
72
Proj.
0.57
O 1.5
12%
Model /90
0.71
059%
129%
29%
32%
41%
5+0%
Matteo Ruggeri
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
68
Proj.
0.56
O 1.5
12%
Model /90
0.74
059%
129%
29%
32%
40%
5+0%
Nahuel Molina Lucero
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
52
Proj.
0.49
O 1.5
10%
Model /90
0.85
065%
125%
28%
32%
40%
5+0%
Juan Agustín Musso
GK · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
90
Proj.
0.00
O 1.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 1.5	n	Distribution
Julián ÁlvarezFWD	Atlético de Madrid	3.54	67provisional	2.64	66%	66	013% 121% 221% 317% 412% 58% 6+9%
Antoine GriezmannFWD	Atlético de Madrid	3.65	59provisional	2.39	60%	24	018% 122% 219% 315% 410% 57% 6+8%
Alexander SørlothFWD	Atlético de Madrid	4.24	51provisional	2.38	58%	70	018% 124% 220% 314% 410% 56% 6+9%
Alejandro Baena RodríguezFWD	Atlético de Madrid	3.50	58provisional	2.26	59%	27	018% 123% 221% 316% 410% 56% 6+6%
Giuliano SimeoneFWD	Atlético de Madrid	3.16	64provisional	2.24	59%	64	017% 124% 222% 316% 410% 56% 6+6%
Ademola LookmanFWD	Atlético de Madrid	3.77	52provisional	2.17	57%	12	018% 124% 221% 315% 410% 56% 6+6%
Thiago Ezequiel AlmadaFWD	Atlético de Madrid	3.64	49provisional	1.96	51%	27	023% 126% 220% 313% 48% 55% 6+5%
Pablo Barrios RivasMID	Atlético de Madrid	1.78	74provisional	1.47	41%	54	027% 131% 222% 311% 45% 52% 6+1%
Obed VargasMID	Atlético de Madrid	1.81	62provisional	1.24	34%	12	037% 130% 218% 39% 44% 52% 6+1%
João Lucas de Souza CardosoMID	Atlético de Madrid	1.78	60provisional	1.17	32%	15	035% 133% 219% 38% 43% 51% 6+0%
Jorge Resurrección MerodioMID	Atlético de Madrid	1.62	63provisional	1.13	31%	66	038% 132% 218% 38% 43% 51% 6+1%
Dávid HanckoDEF	Atlético de Madrid	0.80	81provisional	0.72	17%	30	051% 132% 212% 34% 41% 5+0%
Marcos Llorente MorenoDEF	Atlético de Madrid	0.84	76provisional	0.71	17%	62	052% 132% 212% 34% 41% 5+0%
Clément LengletDEF	Atlético de Madrid	0.78	81provisional	0.70	16%	18	052% 132% 212% 33% 41% 5+0%
M. Pubill PagèsDEF	Atlético de Madrid	0.84	73provisional	0.68	16%	19	054% 130% 211% 33% 41% 5+0%
José María Giménez de VargasDEF	Atlético de Madrid	0.75	74provisional	0.61	14%	43	057% 130% 210% 33% 41% 5+0%
Robin Aime Robert Le NormandDEF	Atlético de Madrid	0.71	72provisional	0.57	12%	55	059% 129% 29% 32% 41% 5+0%
Matteo RuggeriDEF	Atlético de Madrid	0.74	68provisional	0.56	12%	26	059% 129% 29% 32% 40% 5+0%
Nahuel Molina LuceroDEF	Atlético de Madrid	0.85	52provisional	0.49	10%	56	065% 125% 28% 32% 40% 5+0%
Juan Agustín MussoGK	Atlético de Madrid	0.00	90provisional	0.00	—	10	0100% 1+0%

20 of 21 players shown, ranked by projection.

Shots on target21 playersHighest: Julián Álvarez, 1.31 expectedshow

What drives it — Shot volume first, conversion second — literally: the projection is the shots model thinned by the player’s own on-target rate, so a high-volume low-accuracy shooter and a sniper price differently at the same shot count. See what has actually happened.

Julián Álvarez
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
67
Proj.
1.31
O 0.5
68%
Model /90
1.75
032%
132%
220%
310%
44%
52%
6+1%
Alexander Sørloth
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
51
Proj.
1.17
O 0.5
62%
Model /90
2.09
038%
131%
217%
38%
44%
51%
6+1%
Antoine Griezmann
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
59
Proj.
1.00
O 0.5
58%
Model /90
1.53
042%
131%
216%
37%
43%
51%
6+0%
Giuliano Simeone
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
64
Proj.
0.83
O 0.5
53%
Model /90
1.17
047%
132%
214%
35%
41%
50%
6+0%
Thiago Ezequiel Almada
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
49
Proj.
0.81
O 0.5
51%
Model /90
1.50
049%
131%
213%
35%
42%
50%
6+0%
Alejandro Baena Rodríguez
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
58
Proj.
0.73
O 0.5
49%
Model /90
1.13
051%
131%
212%
34%
41%
5+0%
Ademola Lookman
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
52
Proj.
0.72
O 0.5
48%
Model /90
1.25
052%
131%
212%
34%
41%
5+0%
Pablo Barrios Rivas
MID · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
74
Proj.
0.42
O 0.5
33%
Model /90
0.51
067%
126%
26%
31%
4+0%
Jorge Resurrección Merodio
MID · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
63
Proj.
0.35
O 0.5
29%
Model /90
0.51
071%
123%
25%
31%
4+0%
João Lucas de Souza Cardoso
MID · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
60
Proj.
0.34
O 0.5
28%
Model /90
0.52
072%
123%
24%
3+1%
Obed Vargas
MID · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
62
Proj.
0.34
O 0.5
27%
Model /90
0.49
073%
122%
25%
31%
4+0%
Marcos Llorente Moreno
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
0.21
O 0.5
19%
Model /90
0.25
081%
116%
22%
3+0%
M. Pubill Pagès
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
73
Proj.
0.19
O 0.5
17%
Model /90
0.24
083%
115%
22%
3+0%
Dávid Hancko
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
81
Proj.
0.19
O 0.5
17%
Model /90
0.21
083%
115%
22%
3+0%
Clément Lenglet
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
81
Proj.
0.18
O 0.5
17%
Model /90
0.20
083%
115%
22%
3+0%
Matteo Ruggeri
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
68
Proj.
0.16
O 0.5
15%
Model /90
0.21
085%
113%
21%
3+0%
José María Giménez de Vargas
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
74
Proj.
0.16
O 0.5
14%
Model /90
0.19
086%
113%
2+1%
Robin Aime Robert Le Normand
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
72
Proj.
0.15
O 0.5
14%
Model /90
0.19
086%
112%
2+1%
Nahuel Molina Lucero
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
52
Proj.
0.12
O 0.5
11%
Model /90
0.21
089%
110%
2+1%
Juan Agustín Musso
GK · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
90
Proj.
0.00
O 0.5
0%
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 0.5	n	Distribution
Julián ÁlvarezFWD	Atlético de Madrid	1.75	67provisional	1.31	68%	66	032% 132% 220% 310% 44% 52% 6+1%
Alexander SørlothFWD	Atlético de Madrid	2.09	51provisional	1.17	62%	70	038% 131% 217% 38% 44% 51% 6+1%
Antoine GriezmannFWD	Atlético de Madrid	1.53	59provisional	1.00	58%	24	042% 131% 216% 37% 43% 51% 6+0%
Giuliano SimeoneFWD	Atlético de Madrid	1.17	64provisional	0.83	53%	64	047% 132% 214% 35% 41% 50% 6+0%
Thiago Ezequiel AlmadaFWD	Atlético de Madrid	1.50	49provisional	0.81	51%	27	049% 131% 213% 35% 42% 50% 6+0%
Alejandro Baena RodríguezFWD	Atlético de Madrid	1.13	58provisional	0.73	49%	27	051% 131% 212% 34% 41% 5+0%
Ademola LookmanFWD	Atlético de Madrid	1.25	52provisional	0.72	48%	12	052% 131% 212% 34% 41% 5+0%
Pablo Barrios RivasMID	Atlético de Madrid	0.51	74provisional	0.42	33%	54	067% 126% 26% 31% 4+0%
Jorge Resurrección MerodioMID	Atlético de Madrid	0.51	63provisional	0.35	29%	66	071% 123% 25% 31% 4+0%
João Lucas de Souza CardosoMID	Atlético de Madrid	0.52	60provisional	0.34	28%	15	072% 123% 24% 3+1%
Obed VargasMID	Atlético de Madrid	0.49	62provisional	0.34	27%	12	073% 122% 25% 31% 4+0%
Marcos Llorente MorenoDEF	Atlético de Madrid	0.25	76provisional	0.21	19%	62	081% 116% 22% 3+0%
M. Pubill PagèsDEF	Atlético de Madrid	0.24	73provisional	0.19	17%	19	083% 115% 22% 3+0%
Dávid HanckoDEF	Atlético de Madrid	0.21	81provisional	0.19	17%	30	083% 115% 22% 3+0%
Clément LengletDEF	Atlético de Madrid	0.20	81provisional	0.18	17%	18	083% 115% 22% 3+0%
Matteo RuggeriDEF	Atlético de Madrid	0.21	68provisional	0.16	15%	26	085% 113% 21% 3+0%
José María Giménez de VargasDEF	Atlético de Madrid	0.19	74provisional	0.16	14%	43	086% 113% 2+1%
Robin Aime Robert Le NormandDEF	Atlético de Madrid	0.19	72provisional	0.15	14%	55	086% 112% 2+1%
Nahuel Molina LuceroDEF	Atlético de Madrid	0.21	52provisional	0.12	11%	56	089% 110% 2+1%
Juan Agustín MussoGK	Atlético de Madrid	0.00	90provisional	0.00	0%	10	0100% 1+0%

20 of 21 players shown, ranked by projection.

Fouls won21 playersHighest: Giuliano Simeone, 1.61 expectedshow

What drives it — How much a player runs at defenders. Dribble volume drives this far more than the referee does. See what has actually happened.

Giuliano Simeone
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
64
Proj.
1.61
O 1.5
45%
Model /90
2.27
026%
129%
221%
312%
46%
53%
6+2%
Alejandro Baena Rodríguez
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
58
Proj.
1.51
O 1.5
42%
Model /90
2.33
029%
130%
220%
312%
46%
53%
6+2%
Antoine Griezmann
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
59
Proj.
1.38
O 1.5
38%
Model /90
2.11
033%
129%
219%
310%
45%
52%
6+1%
Pablo Barrios Rivas
MID · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
74
Proj.
1.36
O 1.5
38%
Model /90
1.65
030%
132%
221%
310%
44%
52%
6+1%
Ademola Lookman
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
52
Proj.
1.32
O 1.5
36%
Model /90
2.29
033%
131%
219%
310%
44%
52%
6+1%
Julián Álvarez
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
67
Proj.
1.29
O 1.5
36%
Model /90
1.73
033%
132%
220%
310%
44%
52%
6+1%
Jorge Resurrección Merodio
MID · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
63
Proj.
1.28
O 1.5
35%
Model /90
1.84
034%
131%
219%
39%
44%
52%
6+1%
João Lucas de Souza Cardoso
MID · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
60
Proj.
1.24
O 1.5
34%
Model /90
1.87
034%
132%
219%
39%
44%
51%
6+1%
Obed Vargas
MID · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
62
Proj.
1.23
O 1.5
33%
Model /90
1.80
037%
130%
218%
39%
44%
52%
6+1%
Thiago Ezequiel Almada
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
49
Proj.
1.19
O 1.5
32%
Model /90
2.20
037%
131%
217%
38%
44%
51%
6+1%
Alexander Sørloth
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
51
Proj.
1.03
O 1.5
27%
Model /90
1.84
042%
131%
216%
37%
43%
51%
6+1%
Clément Lenglet
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
81
Proj.
0.88
O 1.5
22%
Model /90
0.98
044%
133%
215%
35%
42%
50%
6+0%
M. Pubill Pagès
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
73
Proj.
0.84
O 1.5
21%
Model /90
1.04
047%
131%
214%
35%
42%
50%
6+0%
Robin Aime Robert Le Normand
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
72
Proj.
0.82
O 1.5
20%
Model /90
1.03
048%
131%
214%
35%
41%
50%
6+0%
Marcos Llorente Moreno
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
0.81
O 1.5
20%
Model /90
0.97
048%
132%
214%
35%
41%
5+0%
José María Giménez de Vargas
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
74
Proj.
0.81
O 1.5
20%
Model /90
0.99
048%
132%
214%
35%
41%
50%
6+0%
Dávid Hancko
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
81
Proj.
0.78
O 1.5
19%
Model /90
0.86
049%
132%
213%
34%
41%
5+0%
Matteo Ruggeri
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
68
Proj.
0.68
O 1.5
16%
Model /90
0.89
054%
130%
211%
33%
41%
5+0%
Nahuel Molina Lucero
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
52
Proj.
0.57
O 1.5
13%
Model /90
0.98
061%
126%
29%
33%
41%
5+0%
Juan Agustín Musso
GK · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
90
Proj.
0.16
O 1.5
1%
Model /90
0.16
085%
114%
2+1%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 1.5	n	Distribution
Giuliano SimeoneFWD	Atlético de Madrid	2.27	64provisional	1.61	45%	64	026% 129% 221% 312% 46% 53% 6+2%
Alejandro Baena RodríguezFWD	Atlético de Madrid	2.33	58provisional	1.51	42%	27	029% 130% 220% 312% 46% 53% 6+2%
Antoine GriezmannFWD	Atlético de Madrid	2.11	59provisional	1.38	38%	24	033% 129% 219% 310% 45% 52% 6+1%
Pablo Barrios RivasMID	Atlético de Madrid	1.65	74provisional	1.36	38%	54	030% 132% 221% 310% 44% 52% 6+1%
Ademola LookmanFWD	Atlético de Madrid	2.29	52provisional	1.32	36%	12	033% 131% 219% 310% 44% 52% 6+1%
Julián ÁlvarezFWD	Atlético de Madrid	1.73	67provisional	1.29	36%	66	033% 132% 220% 310% 44% 52% 6+1%
Jorge Resurrección MerodioMID	Atlético de Madrid	1.84	63provisional	1.28	35%	66	034% 131% 219% 39% 44% 52% 6+1%
João Lucas de Souza CardosoMID	Atlético de Madrid	1.87	60provisional	1.24	34%	15	034% 132% 219% 39% 44% 51% 6+1%
Obed VargasMID	Atlético de Madrid	1.80	62provisional	1.23	33%	12	037% 130% 218% 39% 44% 52% 6+1%
Thiago Ezequiel AlmadaFWD	Atlético de Madrid	2.20	49provisional	1.19	32%	27	037% 131% 217% 38% 44% 51% 6+1%
Alexander SørlothFWD	Atlético de Madrid	1.84	51provisional	1.03	27%	70	042% 131% 216% 37% 43% 51% 6+1%
Clément LengletDEF	Atlético de Madrid	0.98	81provisional	0.88	22%	18	044% 133% 215% 35% 42% 50% 6+0%
M. Pubill PagèsDEF	Atlético de Madrid	1.04	73provisional	0.84	21%	19	047% 131% 214% 35% 42% 50% 6+0%
Robin Aime Robert Le NormandDEF	Atlético de Madrid	1.03	72provisional	0.82	20%	55	048% 131% 214% 35% 41% 50% 6+0%
Marcos Llorente MorenoDEF	Atlético de Madrid	0.97	76provisional	0.81	20%	62	048% 132% 214% 35% 41% 5+0%
José María Giménez de VargasDEF	Atlético de Madrid	0.99	74provisional	0.81	20%	43	048% 132% 214% 35% 41% 50% 6+0%
Dávid HanckoDEF	Atlético de Madrid	0.86	81provisional	0.78	19%	30	049% 132% 213% 34% 41% 5+0%
Matteo RuggeriDEF	Atlético de Madrid	0.89	68provisional	0.68	16%	26	054% 130% 211% 33% 41% 5+0%
Nahuel Molina LuceroDEF	Atlético de Madrid	0.98	52provisional	0.57	13%	56	061% 126% 29% 33% 41% 5+0%
Juan Agustín MussoGK	Atlético de Madrid	0.16	90provisional	0.16	1%	10	085% 114% 2+1%

20 of 21 players shown, ranked by projection.

Cards21 playersHighest: Clément Lenglet, 0.22 expectedshow

Known defect — Prices ANY card — yellow or straight red — matching how books settle "to be shown a card" (D-048). The trends column alongside counts yellows only.

What drives it — Fouls first, then how readily the referee reaches for a card. Two officials averaging four cards a match can do it for opposite reasons. See what has actually happened.

Clément Lenglet
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
81
Proj.
0.22
O 0.5
19%
Model /90
0.24
081%
117%
22%
3+0%
Jorge Resurrección Merodio
MID · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
63
Proj.
0.20
O 0.5
17%
Model /90
0.28
083%
116%
22%
3+0%
Robin Aime Robert Le Normand
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
72
Proj.
0.19
O 0.5
17%
Model /90
0.24
083%
115%
22%
3+0%
João Lucas de Souza Cardoso
MID · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
60
Proj.
0.19
O 0.5
17%
Model /90
0.29
083%
115%
22%
3+0%
Obed Vargas
MID · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
62
Proj.
0.18
O 0.5
16%
Model /90
0.27
084%
114%
22%
3+0%
Pablo Barrios Rivas
MID · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
74
Proj.
0.17
O 0.5
16%
Model /90
0.21
084%
114%
21%
3+0%
Dávid Hancko
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
81
Proj.
0.17
O 0.5
16%
Model /90
0.19
084%
114%
21%
3+0%
Matteo Ruggeri
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
68
Proj.
0.17
O 0.5
16%
Model /90
0.23
084%
114%
21%
3+0%
M. Pubill Pagès
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
73
Proj.
0.17
O 0.5
16%
Model /90
0.21
084%
114%
21%
3+0%
José María Giménez de Vargas
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
74
Proj.
0.17
O 0.5
16%
Model /90
0.21
084%
114%
21%
3+0%
Marcos Llorente Moreno
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
0.17
O 0.5
15%
Model /90
0.20
085%
114%
2+1%
Nahuel Molina Lucero
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
52
Proj.
0.15
O 0.5
14%
Model /90
0.27
086%
112%
21%
3+0%
Alejandro Baena Rodríguez
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
58
Proj.
0.15
O 0.5
14%
Model /90
0.24
086%
113%
2+1%
Julián Álvarez
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
67
Proj.
0.15
O 0.5
13%
Model /90
0.19
087%
112%
2+1%
Alexander Sørloth
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
51
Proj.
0.14
O 0.5
13%
Model /90
0.25
087%
112%
2+1%
Antoine Griezmann
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
59
Proj.
0.14
O 0.5
13%
Model /90
0.21
087%
111%
2+1%
Giuliano Simeone
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
64
Proj.
0.13
O 0.5
12%
Model /90
0.19
088%
111%
2+1%
Ademola Lookman
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
52
Proj.
0.13
O 0.5
12%
Model /90
0.22
088%
111%
2+1%
Thiago Ezequiel Almada
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
49
Proj.
0.12
O 0.5
12%
Model /90
0.23
088%
111%
2+1%
Juan Agustín Musso
GK · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
90
Proj.
0.10
O 0.5
9%
Model /90
0.10
091%
19%
2+0%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 0.5	n	Distribution
Clément LengletDEF	Atlético de Madrid	0.24	81provisional	0.22	19%	18	081% 117% 22% 3+0%
Jorge Resurrección MerodioMID	Atlético de Madrid	0.28	63provisional	0.20	17%	66	083% 116% 22% 3+0%
Robin Aime Robert Le NormandDEF	Atlético de Madrid	0.24	72provisional	0.19	17%	55	083% 115% 22% 3+0%
João Lucas de Souza CardosoMID	Atlético de Madrid	0.29	60provisional	0.19	17%	15	083% 115% 22% 3+0%
Obed VargasMID	Atlético de Madrid	0.27	62provisional	0.18	16%	12	084% 114% 22% 3+0%
Pablo Barrios RivasMID	Atlético de Madrid	0.21	74provisional	0.17	16%	54	084% 114% 21% 3+0%
Dávid HanckoDEF	Atlético de Madrid	0.19	81provisional	0.17	16%	30	084% 114% 21% 3+0%
Matteo RuggeriDEF	Atlético de Madrid	0.23	68provisional	0.17	16%	26	084% 114% 21% 3+0%
M. Pubill PagèsDEF	Atlético de Madrid	0.21	73provisional	0.17	16%	19	084% 114% 21% 3+0%
José María Giménez de VargasDEF	Atlético de Madrid	0.21	74provisional	0.17	16%	43	084% 114% 21% 3+0%
Marcos Llorente MorenoDEF	Atlético de Madrid	0.20	76provisional	0.17	15%	62	085% 114% 2+1%
Nahuel Molina LuceroDEF	Atlético de Madrid	0.27	52provisional	0.15	14%	56	086% 112% 21% 3+0%
Alejandro Baena RodríguezFWD	Atlético de Madrid	0.24	58provisional	0.15	14%	27	086% 113% 2+1%
Julián ÁlvarezFWD	Atlético de Madrid	0.19	67provisional	0.15	13%	66	087% 112% 2+1%
Alexander SørlothFWD	Atlético de Madrid	0.25	51provisional	0.14	13%	70	087% 112% 2+1%
Antoine GriezmannFWD	Atlético de Madrid	0.21	59provisional	0.14	13%	24	087% 111% 2+1%
Giuliano SimeoneFWD	Atlético de Madrid	0.19	64provisional	0.13	12%	64	088% 111% 2+1%
Ademola LookmanFWD	Atlético de Madrid	0.22	52provisional	0.13	12%	12	088% 111% 2+1%
Thiago Ezequiel AlmadaFWD	Atlético de Madrid	0.23	49provisional	0.12	12%	27	088% 111% 2+1%
Juan Agustín MussoGK	Atlético de Madrid	0.10	90provisional	0.10	9%	10	091% 19% 2+0%

20 of 21 players shown, ranked by projection.

Saves21 playersHighest: Juan Agustín Musso, 2.72 expectedshow

What drives it — Opponent shot volume. A keeper’s own record carries so little that this market shrinks harder than any other on the board. See what has actually happened.

Juan Agustín Musso
GK · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
90
Proj.
2.72
O 2.5
49%
Model /90
2.72
09%
119%
223%
320%
414%
58%
6+8%
Jan Oblak
GK · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
90
Proj.
2.55
O 2.5
46%
Model /90
2.55
010%
121%
224%
319%
413%
57%
6+6%
Clément Lenglet
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
81
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Dávid Hancko
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
81
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Marcos Llorente Moreno
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Pablo Barrios Rivas
MID · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
74
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
José María Giménez de Vargas
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
74
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
M. Pubill Pagès
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
73
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Robin Aime Robert Le Normand
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
72
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Matteo Ruggeri
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
68
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Julián Álvarez
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
67
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Giuliano Simeone
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
64
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Jorge Resurrección Merodio
MID · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
63
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Obed Vargas
MID · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
62
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
João Lucas de Souza Cardoso
MID · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
60
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Alejandro Baena Rodríguez
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
58
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Antoine Griezmann
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
59
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Ademola Lookman
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
52
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Nahuel Molina Lucero
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
52
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Alexander Sørloth
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
51
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 2.5	n	Distribution
Juan Agustín MussoGK	Atlético de Madrid	2.72	90provisional	2.72	49%	10	09% 119% 223% 320% 414% 58% 6+8%
Jan OblakGK	Atlético de Madrid	2.55	90provisional	2.55	46%	66	010% 121% 224% 319% 413% 57% 6+6%
Clément LengletDEF	Atlético de Madrid	0.00	81provisional	0.00	—	18	0100% 1+0%
Dávid HanckoDEF	Atlético de Madrid	0.00	81provisional	0.00	—	30	0100% 1+0%
Marcos Llorente MorenoDEF	Atlético de Madrid	0.00	76provisional	0.00	—	62	0100% 1+0%
Pablo Barrios RivasMID	Atlético de Madrid	0.00	74provisional	0.00	—	54	0100% 1+0%
José María Giménez de VargasDEF	Atlético de Madrid	0.00	74provisional	0.00	—	43	0100% 1+0%
M. Pubill PagèsDEF	Atlético de Madrid	0.00	73provisional	0.00	—	19	0100% 1+0%
Robin Aime Robert Le NormandDEF	Atlético de Madrid	0.00	72provisional	0.00	—	55	0100% 1+0%
Matteo RuggeriDEF	Atlético de Madrid	0.00	68provisional	0.00	—	26	0100% 1+0%
Julián ÁlvarezFWD	Atlético de Madrid	0.00	67provisional	0.00	—	66	0100% 1+0%
Giuliano SimeoneFWD	Atlético de Madrid	0.00	64provisional	0.00	—	64	0100% 1+0%
Jorge Resurrección MerodioMID	Atlético de Madrid	0.00	63provisional	0.00	—	66	0100% 1+0%
Obed VargasMID	Atlético de Madrid	0.00	62provisional	0.00	—	12	0100% 1+0%
João Lucas de Souza CardosoMID	Atlético de Madrid	0.00	60provisional	0.00	—	15	0100% 1+0%
Alejandro Baena RodríguezFWD	Atlético de Madrid	0.00	58provisional	0.00	—	27	0100% 1+0%
Antoine GriezmannFWD	Atlético de Madrid	0.00	59provisional	0.00	—	24	0100% 1+0%
Ademola LookmanFWD	Atlético de Madrid	0.00	52provisional	0.00	—	12	0100% 1+0%
Nahuel Molina LuceroDEF	Atlético de Madrid	0.00	52provisional	0.00	—	56	0100% 1+0%
Alexander SørlothFWD	Atlético de Madrid	0.00	51provisional	0.00	—	70	0100% 1+0%

20 of 21 players shown, ranked by projection.