La Liga · Spain
EspanyolvLevante
Referee
Not appointed
0 matches on record
Fouls per game
—
League average
22.6
fouls per match, both teams
Value — 2 published calls
- Urko González de Zarate Quirósover 2.50 Shots15.00 at Bet365 · fair 9.83+52.5%
- Urko González de Zarate Quirósover 1.50 Shots5.00 at Bet365 · fair 4.01+24.5%
Published at the price shown and scored against the closing line whatever happens next — the same rows, with staking context, are on the value board and in the track record.
What these numbers are
Not tips and not prices. Each row is the model's expected count for one player in this match — how many fouls, tackles or shots it thinks he records — plus the full spread of outcomes around it. Nothing here has been compared to a bookmaker.
Step 1
His own record
Every completed match in the dataset, as a rate per 90 minutes. The n column is how many matches that rests on.
Step 2
Pulled toward his position
A thin record gets pulled hard toward other players in his position, in his league — a goalkeeper toward goalkeepers, not toward the outfielders around him. How hard is fitted per market, not chosen: tackles pull about four times harder than shots on target.
Step 3
This fixture's conditions
How much of the stat the opponent concedes, what the referee's matches look like, and home or away. This is where a projection stops being a season average.
Step 4
Scaled to expected minutes
A rate becomes a count only once you say how long he plays. 60 minutes carries two-thirds the exposure of 90, and the distribution is built at that exposure.
How to read each columnClose
- Model /90
- The model's rate for this match with the minutes taken back out — steps 1 to 3 already applied. It moves with the opponent and the referee, so it is not his raw career rate; the builder shows career and model rates side by side.
- Exp. mins
- Minutes the model expects. Confirmed means the lineup is out; provisional means it is guessing from his start rate, and is the widest of the three.
- Projected
- The expected count in this match, at those minutes. This is the number a line is set against.
- Over 1.5, etc.
- Read straight off the distribution beside it, not off how often he has beaten that line before. It answers what the model thinks, not what has happened.
- n
- Matches behind his own rate. Under 30 it turns amber: the projection is mostly his position group speaking, and §6.3 will not publish an edge on it.
- Distribution
- The whole spread, not just the average. The dashed amber cut is the line; jade bars beat it. An expected 1.8 fouls made of 2 every week and an expected 1.8 made of a 0 and a 5 are different bets, and this is where you see which one you have.
Counts are modelled as negative binomial rather than Poisson, because fouls and tackles are overdispersed and a Poisson would systematically underprice the tails — which is exactly where over bets live. Every market on this page cleared its calibration gate before it was allowed to produce a projection: when the model says 60%, it lands within a point or so of 60% out of sample.
Fouls v20260811-1858 · Tackles v20260811-1858 · Shots v20260811-1858 · Shots on target v20260811-1905 · Fouls won v20260811-1858 · Cards v20260811-1905 · Saves v20260812-1340
Model projections
Fouls31 playersHighest: Pol Lozano Vizuete, 1.38 expectedshowhide
What drives it — Who referees the match. A strict official lifts every player on the pitch, which is the part most books price off a season average. See what has actually happened.
- Pol Lozano Vizueteprovisional
MID · Espanyol
- Mins
- 66
- Proj.
- 1.38
- O 1.5
- 39%
- Model /90
- 1.89
030%131%221%311%45%52%6+1% - Iván Romero de Ávila Araqueprovisional
FWD · Levante
- Mins
- 71
- Proj.
- 1.12
- O 1.5
- 31%
- Model /90
- 1.41
036%133%219%38%43%51%6+0% - Javier Puado Díazprovisional
FWD · Espanyol
- Mins
- 81
- Proj.
- 1.07
- O 1.5
- 29%
- Model /90
- 1.18
037%134%219%37%42%51%6+0% - Urko González de Zarate Quirósprovisional
MID · Espanyol
- Mins
- 77
- Proj.
- 1.05
- O 1.5
- 28%
- Model /90
- 1.23
039%133%218%37%42%51%6+0% - Eduardo Expósito Jaénprovisional
MID · Espanyol
- Mins
- 65
- Proj.
- 1.03
- O 1.5
- 28%
- Model /90
- 1.43
040%133%217%37%42%51%6+0% - Oriol Rey Erenasprovisional
MID · Levante
- Mins
- 66
- Proj.
- 1.03
- O 1.5
- 28%
- Model /90
- 1.40
041%131%217%37%43%51%6+0% - Roberto Fernández Jaénprovisional
FWD · Espanyol
- Mins
- 68
- Proj.
- 0.97
- O 1.5
- 26%
- Model /90
- 1.28
041%133%216%36%42%51%6+0% - Omar El Hilaliprovisional
DEF · Espanyol
- Mins
- 83
- Proj.
- 0.96
- O 1.5
- 25%
- Model /90
- 1.04
041%134%217%36%42%50%6+0% - Carlos Álvarez Riveraprovisional
MID · Levante
- Mins
- 63
- Proj.
- 0.95
- O 1.5
- 25%
- Model /90
- 1.35
043%132%216%36%42%51%6+0% - Manuel Sánchez De La Peñaprovisional
DEF · Levante
- Mins
- 85
- Proj.
- 0.94
- O 1.5
- 24%
- Model /90
- 0.99
041%135%217%36%42%5+0% - José Gragera Amadoprovisional
MID · Espanyol
- Mins
- 57
- Proj.
- 0.94
- O 1.5
- 24%
- Model /90
- 1.48
043%132%216%36%42%51%6+0% - Jeremy Toljanprovisional
DEF · Levante
- Mins
- 86
- Proj.
- 0.93
- O 1.5
- 24%
- Model /90
- 0.98
041%135%217%36%41%5+0% - Adrián De la Fuente Barquillaprovisional
DEF · Levante
- Mins
- 82
- Proj.
- 0.93
- O 1.5
- 24%
- Model /90
- 1.02
042%134%216%36%42%50%6+0% - Tyrhys Dolanprovisional
FWD · Espanyol
- Mins
- 68
- Proj.
- 0.92
- O 1.5
- 24%
- Model /90
- 1.22
043%134%216%36%42%50%6+0% - Unai Elgezabal Udondoprovisional
DEF · Levante
- Mins
- 80
- Proj.
- 0.91
- O 1.5
- 23%
- Model /90
- 1.02
042%134%216%35%42%5+0% - Kevin Arriagaprovisional
MID · Levante
- Mins
- 57
- Proj.
- 0.90
- O 1.5
- 24%
- Model /90
- 1.44
046%130%215%36%42%51%6+0% - Karl Edouard Blaise Etta Eyongprovisional
FWD · Levante
- Mins
- 47
- Proj.
- 0.87
- O 1.5
- 23%
- Model /90
- 1.66
051%127%213%36%42%51%6+0% - Leandro Daniel Cabrera Sasíaprovisional
DEF · Espanyol
- Mins
- 89
- Proj.
- 0.86
- O 1.5
- 21%
- Model /90
- 0.87
044%135%215%35%41%5+0% - Clemens Riedelprovisional
DEF · Espanyol
- Mins
- 70
- Proj.
- 0.86
- O 1.5
- 22%
- Model /90
- 1.10
046%132%215%35%41%5+0% - Jon Ander Olasagasti Imizcozprovisional
MID · Levante
- Mins
- 52
- Proj.
- 0.83
- O 1.5
- 21%
- Model /90
- 1.42
051%128%213%35%42%51%6+0%
20 of 31 players shown, ranked by projection.
Tackles31 playersHighest: Omar El Hilali, 1.73 expectedshowhide
What drives it — Possession share. A tackle count depends far more on how much of the match is played at your own end than on a player’s own form. See what has actually happened.
- Omar El Hilaliprovisional
DEF · Espanyol
- Mins
- 83
- Proj.
- 1.73
- O 1.5
- 51%
- Model /90
- 1.87
020%129%225%315%47%53%6+1% - Urko González de Zarate Quirósprovisional
MID · Espanyol
- Mins
- 77
- Proj.
- 1.64
- O 1.5
- 48%
- Model /90
- 1.92
023%129%224%314%47%52%6+1% - Manuel Sánchez De La Peñaprovisional
DEF · Levante
- Mins
- 85
- Proj.
- 1.56
- O 1.5
- 46%
- Model /90
- 1.65
022%132%225%313%45%52%6+1% - Jeremy Toljanprovisional
DEF · Levante
- Mins
- 86
- Proj.
- 1.45
- O 1.5
- 43%
- Model /90
- 1.53
024%134%224%312%44%51%6+0% - Eduardo Expósito Jaénprovisional
MID · Espanyol
- Mins
- 65
- Proj.
- 1.36
- O 1.5
- 39%
- Model /90
- 1.87
029%132%222%311%44%51%6+1% - Pol Lozano Vizueteprovisional
MID · Espanyol
- Mins
- 66
- Proj.
- 1.33
- O 1.5
- 39%
- Model /90
- 1.83
030%132%222%311%44%51%6+0% - José Gragera Amadoprovisional
MID · Espanyol
- Mins
- 57
- Proj.
- 1.31
- O 1.5
- 37%
- Model /90
- 2.07
031%132%221%310%44%51%6+1% - Unai Elgezabal Udondoprovisional
DEF · Levante
- Mins
- 80
- Proj.
- 1.30
- O 1.5
- 37%
- Model /90
- 1.47
029%134%222%310%44%51%6+0% - Oriol Rey Erenasprovisional
MID · Levante
- Mins
- 66
- Proj.
- 1.28
- O 1.5
- 36%
- Model /90
- 1.75
033%131%220%310%44%51%6+1% - Adrián De la Fuente Barquillaprovisional
DEF · Levante
- Mins
- 82
- Proj.
- 1.26
- O 1.5
- 36%
- Model /90
- 1.38
031%133%222%310%43%51%6+0% - Leandro Daniel Cabrera Sasíaprovisional
DEF · Espanyol
- Mins
- 89
- Proj.
- 1.26
- O 1.5
- 36%
- Model /90
- 1.28
029%135%222%39%43%51%6+0% - Jon Ander Olasagasti Imizcozprovisional
MID · Levante
- Mins
- 52
- Proj.
- 1.25
- O 1.5
- 35%
- Model /90
- 2.15
038%127%217%310%45%52%6+1% - Clemens Riedelprovisional
DEF · Espanyol
- Mins
- 70
- Proj.
- 1.25
- O 1.5
- 36%
- Model /90
- 1.61
033%132%221%310%44%51%6+0% - Kevin Arriagaprovisional
MID · Levante
- Mins
- 57
- Proj.
- 1.24
- O 1.5
- 35%
- Model /90
- 1.97
036%130%218%310%44%52%6+1% - Carlos Álvarez Riveraprovisional
MID · Levante
- Mins
- 63
- Proj.
- 1.18
- O 1.5
- 33%
- Model /90
- 1.67
035%132%220%39%43%51%6+0% - Tyrhys Dolanprovisional
FWD · Espanyol
- Mins
- 68
- Proj.
- 0.97
- O 1.5
- 26%
- Model /90
- 1.30
039%135%217%36%42%5+0% - Iván Romero de Ávila Araqueprovisional
FWD · Levante
- Mins
- 71
- Proj.
- 0.90
- O 1.5
- 23%
- Model /90
- 1.14
042%135%216%35%41%5+0% - Karl Edouard Blaise Etta Eyongprovisional
FWD · Levante
- Mins
- 47
- Proj.
- 0.89
- O 1.5
- 24%
- Model /90
- 1.69
049%127%214%36%42%51%6+0% - Javier Puado Díazprovisional
FWD · Espanyol
- Mins
- 81
- Proj.
- 0.84
- O 1.5
- 21%
- Model /90
- 0.93
044%135%215%34%41%5+0% - Rubén Sánchez Sáezprovisional
DEF · Espanyol
- Mins
- 38
- Proj.
- 0.79
- O 1.5
- 20%
- Model /90
- 1.85
053%127%212%35%42%51%6+0%
20 of 31 players shown, ranked by projection.
Shots31 playersHighest: Javier Puado Díaz, 2.22 expectedshowhide
What drives it — The player’s own shot rate, shrunk toward others in his position, then adjusted for how many shots the opponent concedes. See what has actually happened.
- Javier Puado Díazprovisional
FWD · Espanyol
- Mins
- 81
- Proj.
- 2.22
- O 1.5
- 60%
- Model /90
- 2.45
017%123%222%317%410%56%6+5% - Roberto Fernández Jaénprovisional
FWD · Espanyol
- Mins
- 68
- Proj.
- 1.93
- O 1.5
- 52%
- Model /90
- 2.54
022%126%221%314%48%54%6+4% - Tyrhys Dolanprovisional
FWD · Espanyol
- Mins
- 68
- Proj.
- 1.84
- O 1.5
- 51%
- Model /90
- 2.45
022%128%222%314%48%54%6+3% - Pere Milla Peñaprovisional
FWD · Espanyol
- Mins
- 46
- Proj.
- 1.66
- O 1.5
- 43%
- Model /90
- 3.25
030%127%218%311%46%54%6+4% - Iván Romero de Ávila Araqueprovisional
FWD · Levante
- Mins
- 71
- Proj.
- 1.59
- O 1.5
- 45%
- Model /90
- 2.01
026%129%222%313%46%53%6+2% - Enrique García Martínezprovisional
FWD · Espanyol
- Mins
- 47
- Proj.
- 1.51
- O 1.5
- 39%
- Model /90
- 2.91
033%128%217%310%46%53%6+3% - Kareem Tunde Ruizprovisional
FWD · Levante
- Mins
- 55
- Proj.
- 1.48
- O 1.5
- 41%
- Model /90
- 2.43
031%128%220%312%46%53%6+2% - Jofre Carreras Pagèsprovisional
FWD · Espanyol
- Mins
- 49
- Proj.
- 1.44
- O 1.5
- 38%
- Model /90
- 2.62
033%128%218%310%45%53%6+2% - Roger Brugué Ayguadéprovisional
FWD · Levante
- Mins
- 53
- Proj.
- 1.29
- O 1.5
- 35%
- Model /90
- 2.20
035%130%218%39%44%52%6+1% - Karl Edouard Blaise Etta Eyongprovisional
FWD · Levante
- Mins
- 47
- Proj.
- 1.22
- O 1.5
- 32%
- Model /90
- 2.32
043%126%215%39%45%52%6+2% - Víctor García Rajaprovisional
FWD · Levante
- Mins
- 50
- Proj.
- 1.14
- O 1.5
- 30%
- Model /90
- 2.06
039%131%217%38%43%51%6+1% - Antoniu Roca Vivesprovisional
FWD · Espanyol
- Mins
- 34
- Proj.
- 1.08
- O 1.5
- 28%
- Model /90
- 2.84
044%128%214%37%44%52%6+1% - Eduardo Expósito Jaénprovisional
MID · Espanyol
- Mins
- 65
- Proj.
- 1.05
- O 1.5
- 28%
- Model /90
- 1.45
040%132%217%37%43%51%6+0% - Urko González de Zarate Quirósprovisional
MID · Espanyol
- Mins
- 77
- Proj.
- 1.01
- O 1.5
- 27%
- Model /90
- 1.18
041%132%217%37%42%51%6+0% - Francisco Cortés Graciaprovisional
FWD · Levante
- Mins
- 39
- Proj.
- 0.97
- O 1.5
- 25%
- Model /90
- 2.24
046%129%214%36%43%51%6+1% - José Gragera Amadoprovisional
MID · Espanyol
- Mins
- 57
- Proj.
- 0.88
- O 1.5
- 22%
- Model /90
- 1.39
046%131%214%35%42%51%6+0% - Pol Lozano Vizueteprovisional
MID · Espanyol
- Mins
- 66
- Proj.
- 0.86
- O 1.5
- 22%
- Model /90
- 1.17
046%132%215%35%42%50%6+0% - Carlos Álvarez Riveraprovisional
MID · Levante
- Mins
- 63
- Proj.
- 0.79
- O 1.5
- 20%
- Model /90
- 1.12
050%131%213%35%41%50%6+0% - Oriol Rey Erenasprovisional
MID · Levante
- Mins
- 66
- Proj.
- 0.74
- O 1.5
- 18%
- Model /90
- 1.02
052%130%212%34%41%5+0% - Jon Ander Olasagasti Imizcozprovisional
MID · Levante
- Mins
- 52
- Proj.
- 0.73
- O 1.5
- 18%
- Model /90
- 1.26
055%127%212%34%42%50%6+0%
20 of 31 players shown, ranked by projection.
Shots on target31 playersHighest: Javier Puado Díaz, 0.85 expectedshowhide
What drives it — Shot volume first, conversion second — literally: the projection is the shots model thinned by the player’s own on-target rate, so a high-volume low-accuracy shooter and a sniper price differently at the same shot count. See what has actually happened.
- Javier Puado Díazprovisional
FWD · Espanyol
- Mins
- 81
- Proj.
- 0.85
- O 0.5
- 54%
- Model /90
- 0.94
046%133%215%35%41%5+0% - Roberto Fernández Jaénprovisional
FWD · Espanyol
- Mins
- 68
- Proj.
- 0.76
- O 0.5
- 50%
- Model /90
- 1.00
050%131%213%34%41%5+0% - Tyrhys Dolanprovisional
FWD · Espanyol
- Mins
- 68
- Proj.
- 0.68
- O 0.5
- 47%
- Model /90
- 0.90
053%131%211%33%41%5+0% - Enrique García Martínezprovisional
FWD · Espanyol
- Mins
- 47
- Proj.
- 0.64
- O 0.5
- 42%
- Model /90
- 1.23
058%127%210%33%41%5+0% - Pere Milla Peñaprovisional
FWD · Espanyol
- Mins
- 46
- Proj.
- 0.62
- O 0.5
- 42%
- Model /90
- 1.22
058%128%210%33%41%5+0% - Iván Romero de Ávila Araqueprovisional
FWD · Levante
- Mins
- 71
- Proj.
- 0.53
- O 0.5
- 40%
- Model /90
- 0.68
060%129%29%32%4+0% - Karl Edouard Blaise Etta Eyongprovisional
FWD · Levante
- Mins
- 47
- Proj.
- 0.53
- O 0.5
- 36%
- Model /90
- 1.01
064%124%28%33%41%5+0% - Jofre Carreras Pagèsprovisional
FWD · Espanyol
- Mins
- 49
- Proj.
- 0.46
- O 0.5
- 34%
- Model /90
- 0.85
066%125%27%32%4+0% - Roger Brugué Ayguadéprovisional
FWD · Levante
- Mins
- 53
- Proj.
- 0.46
- O 0.5
- 35%
- Model /90
- 0.78
065%126%27%32%4+0% - Víctor García Rajaprovisional
FWD · Levante
- Mins
- 50
- Proj.
- 0.45
- O 0.5
- 34%
- Model /90
- 0.81
066%125%27%32%4+0% - Kareem Tunde Ruizprovisional
FWD · Levante
- Mins
- 55
- Proj.
- 0.44
- O 0.5
- 34%
- Model /90
- 0.72
066%125%27%31%4+0% - Antoniu Roca Vivesprovisional
FWD · Espanyol
- Mins
- 34
- Proj.
- 0.40
- O 0.5
- 30%
- Model /90
- 1.05
070%122%26%31%4+0% - Francisco Cortés Graciaprovisional
FWD · Levante
- Mins
- 39
- Proj.
- 0.36
- O 0.5
- 28%
- Model /90
- 0.83
072%121%25%31%4+0% - Eduardo Expósito Jaénprovisional
MID · Espanyol
- Mins
- 65
- Proj.
- 0.32
- O 0.5
- 27%
- Model /90
- 0.44
073%122%24%3+1% - Urko González de Zarate Quirósprovisional
MID · Espanyol
- Mins
- 77
- Proj.
- 0.26
- O 0.5
- 23%
- Model /90
- 0.31
077%119%23%3+0% - Carlos Álvarez Riveraprovisional
MID · Levante
- Mins
- 63
- Proj.
- 0.26
- O 0.5
- 22%
- Model /90
- 0.37
078%119%23%3+0% - José Gragera Amadoprovisional
MID · Espanyol
- Mins
- 57
- Proj.
- 0.26
- O 0.5
- 22%
- Model /90
- 0.41
078%119%23%3+0% - Pol Lozano Vizueteprovisional
MID · Espanyol
- Mins
- 66
- Proj.
- 0.25
- O 0.5
- 22%
- Model /90
- 0.35
078%119%23%3+0% - Jon Ander Olasagasti Imizcozprovisional
MID · Levante
- Mins
- 52
- Proj.
- 0.23
- O 0.5
- 19%
- Model /90
- 0.39
081%116%23%3+0% - Kevin Arriagaprovisional
MID · Levante
- Mins
- 57
- Proj.
- 0.22
- O 0.5
- 19%
- Model /90
- 0.35
081%116%22%3+0%
20 of 31 players shown, ranked by projection.
Fouls won31 playersHighest: Iván Romero de Ávila Araque, 1.48 expectedshowhide
What drives it — How much a player runs at defenders. Dribble volume drives this far more than the referee does. See what has actually happened.
- Iván Romero de Ávila Araqueprovisional
FWD · Levante
- Mins
- 71
- Proj.
- 1.48
- O 1.5
- 41%
- Model /90
- 1.86
028%130%221%311%45%52%6+1% - Tyrhys Dolanprovisional
FWD · Espanyol
- Mins
- 68
- Proj.
- 1.25
- O 1.5
- 34%
- Model /90
- 1.67
033%132%219%39%44%51%6+1% - Javier Puado Díazprovisional
FWD · Espanyol
- Mins
- 81
- Proj.
- 1.24
- O 1.5
- 35%
- Model /90
- 1.37
033%132%220%39%44%51%6+1% - Roberto Fernández Jaénprovisional
FWD · Espanyol
- Mins
- 68
- Proj.
- 1.23
- O 1.5
- 34%
- Model /90
- 1.62
035%131%219%39%44%51%6+1% - Jofre Carreras Pagèsprovisional
FWD · Espanyol
- Mins
- 49
- Proj.
- 1.15
- O 1.5
- 31%
- Model /90
- 2.10
040%130%216%38%44%52%6+1% - Urko González de Zarate Quirósprovisional
MID · Espanyol
- Mins
- 77
- Proj.
- 1.12
- O 1.5
- 31%
- Model /90
- 1.31
038%132%218%38%43%51%6+0% - Carlos Álvarez Riveraprovisional
MID · Levante
- Mins
- 63
- Proj.
- 1.06
- O 1.5
- 29%
- Model /90
- 1.51
041%131%217%37%43%51%6+0% - Kareem Tunde Ruizprovisional
FWD · Levante
- Mins
- 55
- Proj.
- 1.04
- O 1.5
- 28%
- Model /90
- 1.71
041%130%217%37%43%51%6+0% - Enrique García Martínezprovisional
FWD · Espanyol
- Mins
- 47
- Proj.
- 1.03
- O 1.5
- 27%
- Model /90
- 1.99
044%129%215%37%43%51%6+1% - Eduardo Expósito Jaénprovisional
MID · Espanyol
- Mins
- 65
- Proj.
- 1.01
- O 1.5
- 27%
- Model /90
- 1.40
041%132%216%37%42%51%6+0% - Pere Milla Peñaprovisional
FWD · Espanyol
- Mins
- 46
- Proj.
- 0.96
- O 1.5
- 25%
- Model /90
- 1.88
046%129%214%36%43%51%6+1% - Víctor García Rajaprovisional
FWD · Levante
- Mins
- 50
- Proj.
- 0.92
- O 1.5
- 24%
- Model /90
- 1.66
046%131%214%36%42%51%6+0% - Oriol Rey Erenasprovisional
MID · Levante
- Mins
- 66
- Proj.
- 0.91
- O 1.5
- 24%
- Model /90
- 1.24
046%131%215%36%42%51%6+0% - Roger Brugué Ayguadéprovisional
FWD · Levante
- Mins
- 53
- Proj.
- 0.91
- O 1.5
- 23%
- Model /90
- 1.54
046%131%214%36%42%51%6+0% - José Gragera Amadoprovisional
MID · Espanyol
- Mins
- 57
- Proj.
- 0.89
- O 1.5
- 23%
- Model /90
- 1.41
046%131%215%36%42%51%6+0% - Karl Edouard Blaise Etta Eyongprovisional
FWD · Levante
- Mins
- 47
- Proj.
- 0.87
- O 1.5
- 22%
- Model /90
- 1.65
052%126%213%36%42%51%6+0% - Pol Lozano Vizueteprovisional
MID · Espanyol
- Mins
- 66
- Proj.
- 0.85
- O 1.5
- 21%
- Model /90
- 1.16
047%132%214%35%42%50%6+0% - Kevin Arriagaprovisional
MID · Levante
- Mins
- 57
- Proj.
- 0.83
- O 1.5
- 21%
- Model /90
- 1.32
050%129%213%35%42%51%6+0% - Jon Ander Olasagasti Imizcozprovisional
MID · Levante
- Mins
- 52
- Proj.
- 0.79
- O 1.5
- 20%
- Model /90
- 1.35
053%127%212%35%42%51%6+0% - Francisco Cortés Graciaprovisional
FWD · Levante
- Mins
- 39
- Proj.
- 0.74
- O 1.5
- 18%
- Model /90
- 1.71
054%128%211%34%42%51%6+0%
20 of 31 players shown, ranked by projection.
Cards31 playersHighest: Pol Lozano Vizuete, 0.22 expectedshowhide
Known defect — Prices ANY card — yellow or straight red — matching how books settle "to be shown a card" (D-048). The trends column alongside counts yellows only.
What drives it — Fouls first, then how readily the referee reaches for a card. Two officials averaging four cards a match can do it for opposite reasons. See what has actually happened.
- Pol Lozano Vizueteprovisional
MID · Espanyol
- Mins
- 66
- Proj.
- 0.22
- O 0.5
- 20%
- Model /90
- 0.30
080%117%22%3+0% - Eduardo Expósito Jaénprovisional
MID · Espanyol
- Mins
- 65
- Proj.
- 0.18
- O 0.5
- 17%
- Model /90
- 0.25
083%115%22%3+0% - Manuel Sánchez De La Peñaprovisional
DEF · Levante
- Mins
- 85
- Proj.
- 0.17
- O 0.5
- 16%
- Model /90
- 0.18
084%114%2+1% - Jeremy Toljanprovisional
DEF · Levante
- Mins
- 86
- Proj.
- 0.17
- O 0.5
- 16%
- Model /90
- 0.18
084%114%2+1% - Omar El Hilaliprovisional
DEF · Espanyol
- Mins
- 83
- Proj.
- 0.17
- O 0.5
- 15%
- Model /90
- 0.18
085%114%2+1% - Javier Puado Díazprovisional
FWD · Espanyol
- Mins
- 81
- Proj.
- 0.16
- O 0.5
- 15%
- Model /90
- 0.18
085%113%2+1% - Urko González de Zarate Quirósprovisional
MID · Espanyol
- Mins
- 77
- Proj.
- 0.16
- O 0.5
- 14%
- Model /90
- 0.18
086%113%2+1% - Unai Elgezabal Udondoprovisional
DEF · Levante
- Mins
- 80
- Proj.
- 0.15
- O 0.5
- 14%
- Model /90
- 0.17
086%113%2+1% - Adrián De la Fuente Barquillaprovisional
DEF · Levante
- Mins
- 82
- Proj.
- 0.15
- O 0.5
- 14%
- Model /90
- 0.17
086%113%2+1% - Clemens Riedelprovisional
DEF · Espanyol
- Mins
- 70
- Proj.
- 0.15
- O 0.5
- 14%
- Model /90
- 0.19
086%113%2+1% - Kevin Arriagaprovisional
MID · Levante
- Mins
- 57
- Proj.
- 0.15
- O 0.5
- 14%
- Model /90
- 0.24
086%112%21%3+0% - Oriol Rey Erenasprovisional
MID · Levante
- Mins
- 66
- Proj.
- 0.15
- O 0.5
- 13%
- Model /90
- 0.20
087%112%2+1% - Iván Romero de Ávila Araqueprovisional
FWD · Levante
- Mins
- 71
- Proj.
- 0.14
- O 0.5
- 13%
- Model /90
- 0.18
087%112%2+1% - Leandro Daniel Cabrera Sasíaprovisional
DEF · Espanyol
- Mins
- 89
- Proj.
- 0.14
- O 0.5
- 13%
- Model /90
- 0.14
087%112%2+1% - Carlos Álvarez Riveraprovisional
MID · Levante
- Mins
- 63
- Proj.
- 0.14
- O 0.5
- 13%
- Model /90
- 0.19
087%112%2+1% - Tyrhys Dolanprovisional
FWD · Espanyol
- Mins
- 68
- Proj.
- 0.12
- O 0.5
- 12%
- Model /90
- 0.16
088%111%2+1% - José Gragera Amadoprovisional
MID · Espanyol
- Mins
- 57
- Proj.
- 0.12
- O 0.5
- 11%
- Model /90
- 0.19
089%110%2+1% - Jon Ander Olasagasti Imizcozprovisional
MID · Levante
- Mins
- 52
- Proj.
- 0.12
- O 0.5
- 11%
- Model /90
- 0.21
089%110%2+1% - Kareem Tunde Ruizprovisional
FWD · Levante
- Mins
- 55
- Proj.
- 0.11
- O 0.5
- 10%
- Model /90
- 0.18
090%110%2+1% - Karl Edouard Blaise Etta Eyongprovisional
FWD · Levante
- Mins
- 47
- Proj.
- 0.11
- O 0.5
- 10%
- Model /90
- 0.21
090%19%2+1%
20 of 31 players shown, ranked by projection.
Saves31 playersHighest: Marko Dmitrović, 2.75 expectedshowhide
What drives it — Opponent shot volume. A keeper’s own record carries so little that this market shrinks harder than any other on the board. See what has actually happened.
- Marko Dmitrovićprovisional
GK · Espanyol
- Mins
- 90
- Proj.
- 2.75
- O 2.5
- 50%
- Model /90
- 2.75
08%119%223%320%414%58%6+8% - Manuel Sánchez De La Peñaprovisional
DEF · Levante
- Mins
- 85
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Jeremy Toljanprovisional
DEF · Levante
- Mins
- 86
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Adrián De la Fuente Barquillaprovisional
DEF · Levante
- Mins
- 82
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Unai Elgezabal Udondoprovisional
DEF · Levante
- Mins
- 80
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Iván Romero de Ávila Araqueprovisional
FWD · Levante
- Mins
- 71
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Leandro Daniel Cabrera Sasíaprovisional
DEF · Espanyol
- Mins
- 89
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Oriol Rey Erenasprovisional
MID · Levante
- Mins
- 66
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Carlos Álvarez Riveraprovisional
MID · Levante
- Mins
- 63
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Omar El Hilaliprovisional
DEF · Espanyol
- Mins
- 83
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Javier Puado Díazprovisional
FWD · Espanyol
- Mins
- 81
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Kevin Arriagaprovisional
MID · Levante
- Mins
- 57
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Kareem Tunde Ruizprovisional
FWD · Levante
- Mins
- 55
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Urko González de Zarate Quirósprovisional
MID · Espanyol
- Mins
- 77
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Jon Ander Olasagasti Imizcozprovisional
MID · Levante
- Mins
- 52
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Roger Brugué Ayguadéprovisional
FWD · Levante
- Mins
- 53
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Tyrhys Dolanprovisional
FWD · Espanyol
- Mins
- 68
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Víctor García Rajaprovisional
FWD · Levante
- Mins
- 50
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Roberto Fernández Jaénprovisional
FWD · Espanyol
- Mins
- 68
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Clemens Riedelprovisional
DEF · Espanyol
- Mins
- 70
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0%
20 of 31 players shown, ranked by projection.