Bundesliga · Germany
FC AugsburgvSchalke 04
Referee
Not appointed
0 matches on record
Fouls per game
—
League average
22.6
fouls per match, both teams
Value
No edges published on this fixture. An edge is published only when a bookmaker's price beats the model's fair price by that market's full bar — most fixtures never produce one. The value board explains every gate a candidate has to clear.
What these numbers are
Not tips and not prices. Each row is the model's expected count for one player in this match — how many fouls, tackles or shots it thinks he records — plus the full spread of outcomes around it. Nothing here has been compared to a bookmaker.
Step 1
His own record
Every completed match in the dataset, as a rate per 90 minutes. The n column is how many matches that rests on.
Step 2
Pulled toward his position
A thin record gets pulled hard toward other players in his position, in his league — a goalkeeper toward goalkeepers, not toward the outfielders around him. How hard is fitted per market, not chosen: tackles pull about four times harder than shots on target.
Step 3
This fixture's conditions
How much of the stat the opponent concedes, what the referee's matches look like, and home or away. This is where a projection stops being a season average.
Step 4
Scaled to expected minutes
A rate becomes a count only once you say how long he plays. 60 minutes carries two-thirds the exposure of 90, and the distribution is built at that exposure.
How to read each columnClose
- Model /90
- The model's rate for this match with the minutes taken back out — steps 1 to 3 already applied. It moves with the opponent and the referee, so it is not his raw career rate; the builder shows career and model rates side by side.
- Exp. mins
- Minutes the model expects. Confirmed means the lineup is out; provisional means it is guessing from his start rate, and is the widest of the three.
- Projected
- The expected count in this match, at those minutes. This is the number a line is set against.
- Over 1.5, etc.
- Read straight off the distribution beside it, not off how often he has beaten that line before. It answers what the model thinks, not what has happened.
- n
- Matches behind his own rate. Under 30 it turns amber: the projection is mostly his position group speaking, and §6.3 will not publish an edge on it.
- Distribution
- The whole spread, not just the average. The dashed amber cut is the line; jade bars beat it. An expected 1.8 fouls made of 2 every week and an expected 1.8 made of a 0 and a 5 are different bets, and this is where you see which one you have.
Counts are modelled as negative binomial rather than Poisson, because fouls and tackles are overdispersed and a Poisson would systematically underprice the tails — which is exactly where over bets live. Every market on this page cleared its calibration gate before it was allowed to produce a projection: when the model says 60%, it lands within a point or so of 60% out of sample.
Fouls v20260811-1858 · Tackles v20260811-1858 · Shots v20260811-1858 · Shots on target v20260811-1905 · Fouls won v20260811-1858 · Cards v20260811-1905 · Saves v20260812-1340
Model projections
Fouls24 playersHighest: Samuel Essende, 1.75 expectedshowhide
What drives it — Who referees the match. A strict official lifts every player on the pitch, which is the part most books price off a season average. See what has actually happened.
- Samuel Essendeprovisional
FWD · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 47
- Proj.
- 1.75
- O 1.5
- 46%
- Model /90
- 3.38
027%127%219%312%47%54%6+4% - Fabian Riederprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 74
- Proj.
- 1.63
- O 1.5
- 47%
- Model /90
- 1.99
026%128%222%313%47%53%6+2% - Robin Fellhauerprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 83
- Proj.
- 1.19
- O 1.5
- 33%
- Model /90
- 1.30
032%135%220%39%43%51%6+0% - Han-Noah Massengoprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 74
- Proj.
- 1.13
- O 1.5
- 31%
- Model /90
- 1.38
035%134%219%38%43%51%6+0% - Michael Gregoritschprovisional
FWD · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 54
- Proj.
- 1.13
- O 1.5
- 31%
- Model /90
- 1.89
039%130%217%38%44%51%6+1% - Alexis Claude Mauriceprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 74
- Proj.
- 1.12
- O 1.5
- 31%
- Model /90
- 1.35
036%134%219%38%43%51%6+0% - Anton Kadeprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 62
- Proj.
- 1.08
- O 1.5
- 29%
- Model /90
- 1.56
039%132%217%38%43%51%6+0% - Kristijan Jakićprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 70
- Proj.
- 1.04
- O 1.5
- 28%
- Model /90
- 1.35
039%133%218%37%42%51%6+0% - Phillip Tietzprovisional
FWD · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 43
- Proj.
- 1.02
- O 1.5
- 27%
- Model /90
- 2.16
044%130%215%37%43%51%6+1% - Elias Saadprovisional
FWD · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 50
- Proj.
- 1.01
- O 1.5
- 27%
- Model /90
- 1.82
041%132%217%37%42%51%6+0% - Keven Schlotterbeckprovisional
DEF · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 79
- Proj.
- 1.00
- O 1.5
- 27%
- Model /90
- 1.14
039%134%217%37%42%51%6+0% - Jeffrey Gouweleeuwprovisional
DEF · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 86
- Proj.
- 0.97
- O 1.5
- 25%
- Model /90
- 1.01
039%135%217%36%42%50%6+0% - Rodrigo Duarte Ribeiroprovisional
FWD · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 45
- Proj.
- 0.96
- O 1.5
- 25%
- Model /90
- 1.91
044%131%215%36%42%51%6+0% - Arthur Largura Chavesprovisional
DEF · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 75
- Proj.
- 0.95
- O 1.5
- 25%
- Model /90
- 1.13
041%134%216%36%42%50%6+0% - Chrislain Matsimaprovisional
DEF · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 84
- Proj.
- 0.91
- O 1.5
- 24%
- Model /90
- 0.98
042%134%216%36%42%5+0% - Cédric Zesigerprovisional
DEF · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 72
- Proj.
- 0.90
- O 1.5
- 24%
- Model /90
- 1.12
044%132%216%36%42%50%6+0% - Dimitris Giannoulisprovisional
DEF · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 79
- Proj.
- 0.89
- O 1.5
- 23%
- Model /90
- 1.02
043%135%216%35%41%5+0% - Elvis Rexhbecajprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 55
- Proj.
- 0.89
- O 1.5
- 23%
- Model /90
- 1.46
046%131%215%36%42%51%6+0% - Noahkai Kai Daniel Banksprovisional
DEF · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 65
- Proj.
- 0.87
- O 1.5
- 22%
- Model /90
- 1.20
046%131%215%35%42%50%6+0% - Mert Kömürprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 44
- Proj.
- 0.78
- O 1.5
- 19%
- Model /90
- 1.59
052%129%212%35%42%50%6+0%
20 of 24 players shown, ranked by projection.
Tackles24 playersHighest: Robin Fellhauer, 2.21 expectedshowhide
What drives it — Possession share. A tackle count depends far more on how much of the match is played at your own end than on a player’s own form. See what has actually happened.
- Robin Fellhauerprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 83
- Proj.
- 2.21
- O 1.5
- 64%
- Model /90
- 2.40
012%124%226%319%411%55%6+3% - Jeffrey Gouweleeuwprovisional
DEF · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 86
- Proj.
- 2.04
- O 1.5
- 60%
- Model /90
- 2.13
014%126%226%318%49%54%6+2% - Alexis Claude Mauriceprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 74
- Proj.
- 1.96
- O 1.5
- 57%
- Model /90
- 2.37
017%127%225%317%49%54%6+2% - Arthur Largura Chavesprovisional
DEF · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 75
- Proj.
- 1.95
- O 1.5
- 56%
- Model /90
- 2.33
017%127%225%317%49%54%6+2% - Han-Noah Massengoprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 74
- Proj.
- 1.93
- O 1.5
- 56%
- Model /90
- 2.36
017%127%225%317%49%54%6+2% - Keven Schlotterbeckprovisional
DEF · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 79
- Proj.
- 1.93
- O 1.5
- 56%
- Model /90
- 2.19
017%127%225%317%49%54%6+2% - Noahkai Kai Daniel Banksprovisional
DEF · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 65
- Proj.
- 1.92
- O 1.5
- 54%
- Model /90
- 2.66
022%125%221%316%49%55%6+3% - Kristijan Jakićprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 70
- Proj.
- 1.88
- O 1.5
- 54%
- Model /90
- 2.44
019%127%224%316%48%54%6+2% - Fabian Riederprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 74
- Proj.
- 1.88
- O 1.5
- 55%
- Model /90
- 2.30
020%125%224%316%49%54%6+2% - Cédric Zesigerprovisional
DEF · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 72
- Proj.
- 1.84
- O 1.5
- 53%
- Model /90
- 2.29
021%125%223%316%49%54%6+2% - Chrislain Matsimaprovisional
DEF · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 84
- Proj.
- 1.80
- O 1.5
- 53%
- Model /90
- 1.92
019%128%225%316%48%53%6+1% - Dimitris Giannoulisprovisional
DEF · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 79
- Proj.
- 1.78
- O 1.5
- 53%
- Model /90
- 2.04
018%129%226%316%47%53%6+1% - Anton Kadeprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 62
- Proj.
- 1.73
- O 1.5
- 49%
- Model /90
- 2.49
024%128%222%314%48%53%6+2% - Mads Pedersenprovisional
DEF · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 31
- Proj.
- 1.72
- O 1.5
- 45%
- Model /90
- 4.96
025%130%221%311%46%53%6+4% - Elvis Rexhbecajprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 55
- Proj.
- 1.46
- O 1.5
- 41%
- Model /90
- 2.40
030%129%220%312%46%52%6+1% - Marius Wolfprovisional
DEF · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 52
- Proj.
- 1.34
- O 1.5
- 38%
- Model /90
- 2.32
034%128%219%311%45%52%6+1% - Mert Kömürprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 44
- Proj.
- 1.18
- O 1.5
- 32%
- Model /90
- 2.42
038%130%217%39%44%52%6+1% - Arne Maierprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 32
- Proj.
- 1.17
- O 1.5
- 31%
- Model /90
- 3.27
036%133%217%38%43%51%6+1% - Elias Saadprovisional
FWD · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 50
- Proj.
- 0.90
- O 1.5
- 23%
- Model /90
- 1.62
043%133%216%36%42%5+0% - Michael Gregoritschprovisional
FWD · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 54
- Proj.
- 0.89
- O 1.5
- 23%
- Model /90
- 1.48
046%131%215%36%42%50%6+0%
20 of 24 players shown, ranked by projection.
Shots24 playersHighest: Michael Gregoritsch, 2.61 expectedshowhide
What drives it — The player’s own shot rate, shrunk toward others in his position, then adjusted for how many shots the opponent concedes. See what has actually happened.
- Michael Gregoritschprovisional
FWD · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 54
- Proj.
- 2.61
- O 1.5
- 60%
- Model /90
- 4.35
019%121%217%314%410%57%6+12% - Phillip Tietzprovisional
FWD · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 43
- Proj.
- 2.45
- O 1.5
- 55%
- Model /90
- 5.17
021%124%218%312%48%56%6+11% - Elias Saadprovisional
FWD · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 50
- Proj.
- 2.44
- O 1.5
- 61%
- Model /90
- 4.38
017%122%220%315%411%57%6+9% - Samuel Essendeprovisional
FWD · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 47
- Proj.
- 2.36
- O 1.5
- 56%
- Model /90
- 4.57
021%123%218%313%49%56%6+10% - Rodrigo Duarte Ribeiroprovisional
FWD · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 45
- Proj.
- 2.31
- O 1.5
- 56%
- Model /90
- 4.60
020%124%219%313%49%56%6+9% - Alexis Claude Mauriceprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 74
- Proj.
- 2.07
- O 1.5
- 56%
- Model /90
- 2.51
018%125%222%316%49%55%6+4% - Robin Fellhauerprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 83
- Proj.
- 1.84
- O 1.5
- 52%
- Model /90
- 2.01
020%128%224%315%48%54%6+2% - Fabian Riederprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 74
- Proj.
- 1.78
- O 1.5
- 49%
- Model /90
- 2.18
024%126%221%314%48%54%6+3% - Anton Kadeprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 62
- Proj.
- 1.64
- O 1.5
- 44%
- Model /90
- 2.38
028%128%220%312%47%53%6+3% - Han-Noah Massengoprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 74
- Proj.
- 1.63
- O 1.5
- 46%
- Model /90
- 1.99
025%129%222%313%46%53%6+2% - Kristijan Jakićprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 70
- Proj.
- 1.56
- O 1.5
- 43%
- Model /90
- 2.01
027%130%221%312%46%53%6+2% - Elvis Rexhbecajprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 55
- Proj.
- 1.37
- O 1.5
- 37%
- Model /90
- 2.25
034%129%218%310%45%52%6+2% - Mert Kömürprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 44
- Proj.
- 1.33
- O 1.5
- 35%
- Model /90
- 2.71
037%128%216%39%45%52%6+2% - Jeffrey Gouweleeuwprovisional
DEF · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 86
- Proj.
- 0.93
- O 1.5
- 24%
- Model /90
- 0.97
042%134%216%36%42%50%6+0% - Arne Maierprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 32
- Proj.
- 0.92
- O 1.5
- 23%
- Model /90
- 2.59
046%131%214%36%42%51%6+1% - Keven Schlotterbeckprovisional
DEF · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 79
- Proj.
- 0.91
- O 1.5
- 23%
- Model /90
- 1.03
044%133%215%36%42%50%6+0% - Chrislain Matsimaprovisional
DEF · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 84
- Proj.
- 0.87
- O 1.5
- 22%
- Model /90
- 0.93
045%133%215%35%41%50%6+0% - Arthur Largura Chavesprovisional
DEF · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 75
- Proj.
- 0.84
- O 1.5
- 21%
- Model /90
- 1.00
046%133%214%35%41%50%6+0% - Cédric Zesigerprovisional
DEF · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 72
- Proj.
- 0.82
- O 1.5
- 21%
- Model /90
- 1.02
048%131%214%35%41%50%6+0% - Dimitris Giannoulisprovisional
DEF · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 79
- Proj.
- 0.81
- O 1.5
- 20%
- Model /90
- 0.93
047%133%214%34%41%5+0%
20 of 24 players shown, ranked by projection.
Shots on target23 playersHighest: Elias Saad, 0.98 expectedshowhide
What drives it — Shot volume first, conversion second — literally: the projection is the shots model thinned by the player’s own on-target rate, so a high-volume low-accuracy shooter and a sniper price differently at the same shot count. See what has actually happened.
- Elias Saadprovisional
FWD · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 50
- Proj.
- 0.98
- O 0.5
- 57%
- Model /90
- 1.77
043%131%216%37%42%51%6+0% - Michael Gregoritschprovisional
FWD · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 54
- Proj.
- 0.98
- O 0.5
- 55%
- Model /90
- 1.64
045%129%215%37%43%51%6+0% - Phillip Tietzprovisional
FWD · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 43
- Proj.
- 0.97
- O 0.5
- 54%
- Model /90
- 2.06
046%129%214%36%43%51%6+1% - Rodrigo Duarte Ribeiroprovisional
FWD · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 45
- Proj.
- 0.81
- O 0.5
- 50%
- Model /90
- 1.60
050%130%213%35%42%51%6+0% - Samuel Essendeprovisional
FWD · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 47
- Proj.
- 0.77
- O 0.5
- 48%
- Model /90
- 1.49
052%129%212%35%42%50%6+0% - Alexis Claude Mauriceprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 74
- Proj.
- 0.75
- O 0.5
- 50%
- Model /90
- 0.91
050%132%213%34%41%5+0% - Anton Kadeprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 62
- Proj.
- 0.65
- O 0.5
- 44%
- Model /90
- 0.93
056%129%211%33%41%5+0% - Fabian Riederprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 74
- Proj.
- 0.61
- O 0.5
- 43%
- Model /90
- 0.74
057%130%210%33%41%5+0% - Robin Fellhauerprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 83
- Proj.
- 0.59
- O 0.5
- 43%
- Model /90
- 0.65
057%131%210%32%4+1% - Han-Noah Massengoprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 74
- Proj.
- 0.53
- O 0.5
- 40%
- Model /90
- 0.65
060%129%28%32%4+0% - Kristijan Jakićprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 70
- Proj.
- 0.52
- O 0.5
- 38%
- Model /90
- 0.67
062%128%28%32%4+0% - Mert Kömürprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 44
- Proj.
- 0.50
- O 0.5
- 36%
- Model /90
- 1.03
064%125%28%32%41%5+0% - Elvis Rexhbecajprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 55
- Proj.
- 0.40
- O 0.5
- 31%
- Model /90
- 0.66
069%124%26%31%4+0% - Arne Maierprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 32
- Proj.
- 0.31
- O 0.5
- 25%
- Model /90
- 0.87
075%120%24%31%4+0% - Jeffrey Gouweleeuwprovisional
DEF · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 86
- Proj.
- 0.28
- O 0.5
- 24%
- Model /90
- 0.29
076%121%23%3+0% - Dimitris Giannoulisprovisional
DEF · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 79
- Proj.
- 0.27
- O 0.5
- 23%
- Model /90
- 0.31
077%120%23%3+0% - Keven Schlotterbeckprovisional
DEF · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 79
- Proj.
- 0.27
- O 0.5
- 23%
- Model /90
- 0.31
077%120%23%3+0% - Arthur Largura Chavesprovisional
DEF · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 75
- Proj.
- 0.25
- O 0.5
- 22%
- Model /90
- 0.30
078%119%23%3+0% - Noahkai Kai Daniel Banksprovisional
DEF · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 65
- Proj.
- 0.25
- O 0.5
- 21%
- Model /90
- 0.34
079%118%23%3+0% - Cédric Zesigerprovisional
DEF · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 72
- Proj.
- 0.21
- O 0.5
- 19%
- Model /90
- 0.27
081%116%22%3+0%
20 of 23 players shown, ranked by projection.
Fouls won24 playersHighest: Alexis Claude Maurice, 1.43 expectedshowhide
What drives it — How much a player runs at defenders. Dribble volume drives this far more than the referee does. See what has actually happened.
- Alexis Claude Mauriceprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 74
- Proj.
- 1.43
- O 1.5
- 40%
- Model /90
- 1.73
029%131%221%311%45%52%6+1% - Robin Fellhauerprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 83
- Proj.
- 1.31
- O 1.5
- 37%
- Model /90
- 1.43
030%133%221%310%44%51%6+1% - Samuel Essendeprovisional
FWD · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 47
- Proj.
- 1.26
- O 1.5
- 33%
- Model /90
- 2.44
037%129%217%39%44%52%6+1% - Michael Gregoritschprovisional
FWD · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 54
- Proj.
- 1.25
- O 1.5
- 34%
- Model /90
- 2.09
038%128%217%39%44%52%6+1% - Fabian Riederprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 74
- Proj.
- 1.23
- O 1.5
- 34%
- Model /90
- 1.50
035%131%219%39%44%51%6+1% - Elias Saadprovisional
FWD · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 50
- Proj.
- 1.20
- O 1.5
- 33%
- Model /90
- 2.15
037%131%218%39%44%51%6+1% - Han-Noah Massengoprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 74
- Proj.
- 1.13
- O 1.5
- 31%
- Model /90
- 1.38
037%133%218%38%43%51%6+0% - Kristijan Jakićprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 70
- Proj.
- 1.11
- O 1.5
- 30%
- Model /90
- 1.43
038%132%218%38%43%51%6+0% - Elvis Rexhbecajprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 55
- Proj.
- 1.10
- O 1.5
- 29%
- Model /90
- 1.80
041%130%216%38%43%51%6+1% - Anton Kadeprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 62
- Proj.
- 0.99
- O 1.5
- 26%
- Model /90
- 1.43
043%131%216%37%43%51%6+0% - Rodrigo Duarte Ribeiroprovisional
FWD · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 45
- Proj.
- 0.97
- O 1.5
- 25%
- Model /90
- 1.93
045%130%214%36%43%51%6+1% - Mert Kömürprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 44
- Proj.
- 0.85
- O 1.5
- 21%
- Model /90
- 1.74
050%129%213%35%42%51%6+0% - Keven Schlotterbeckprovisional
DEF · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 79
- Proj.
- 0.84
- O 1.5
- 21%
- Model /90
- 0.95
046%133%214%35%41%50%6+0% - Phillip Tietzprovisional
FWD · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 43
- Proj.
- 0.84
- O 1.5
- 21%
- Model /90
- 1.77
050%129%213%35%42%51%6+0% - Arthur Largura Chavesprovisional
DEF · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 75
- Proj.
- 0.83
- O 1.5
- 21%
- Model /90
- 0.99
047%132%214%35%41%50%6+0% - Dimitris Giannoulisprovisional
DEF · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 79
- Proj.
- 0.82
- O 1.5
- 20%
- Model /90
- 0.94
046%133%214%35%41%5+0% - Jeffrey Gouweleeuwprovisional
DEF · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 86
- Proj.
- 0.78
- O 1.5
- 19%
- Model /90
- 0.81
048%133%213%34%41%5+0% - Chrislain Matsimaprovisional
DEF · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 84
- Proj.
- 0.73
- O 1.5
- 17%
- Model /90
- 0.78
051%132%212%34%41%5+0% - Cédric Zesigerprovisional
DEF · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 72
- Proj.
- 0.73
- O 1.5
- 18%
- Model /90
- 0.91
052%130%212%34%41%5+0% - Noahkai Kai Daniel Banksprovisional
DEF · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 65
- Proj.
- 0.73
- O 1.5
- 18%
- Model /90
- 1.01
053%130%212%34%41%5+0%
20 of 24 players shown, ranked by projection.
Cards24 playersHighest: Fabian Rieder, 0.22 expectedshowhide
Known defect — Prices ANY card — yellow or straight red — matching how books settle "to be shown a card" (D-048). The trends column alongside counts yellows only.
What drives it — Fouls first, then how readily the referee reaches for a card. Two officials averaging four cards a match can do it for opposite reasons. See what has actually happened.
- Fabian Riederprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 74
- Proj.
- 0.22
- O 0.5
- 19%
- Model /90
- 0.27
081%117%22%3+0% - Dimitris Giannoulisprovisional
DEF · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 79
- Proj.
- 0.19
- O 0.5
- 17%
- Model /90
- 0.22
083%116%22%3+0% - Jeffrey Gouweleeuwprovisional
DEF · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 86
- Proj.
- 0.19
- O 0.5
- 17%
- Model /90
- 0.20
083%116%22%3+0% - Keven Schlotterbeckprovisional
DEF · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 79
- Proj.
- 0.19
- O 0.5
- 17%
- Model /90
- 0.22
083%115%22%3+0% - Cédric Zesigerprovisional
DEF · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 72
- Proj.
- 0.18
- O 0.5
- 16%
- Model /90
- 0.23
084%115%22%3+0% - Chrislain Matsimaprovisional
DEF · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 84
- Proj.
- 0.18
- O 0.5
- 16%
- Model /90
- 0.19
084%115%21%3+0% - Noahkai Kai Daniel Banksprovisional
DEF · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 65
- Proj.
- 0.18
- O 0.5
- 16%
- Model /90
- 0.25
084%114%22%3+0% - Han-Noah Massengoprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 74
- Proj.
- 0.18
- O 0.5
- 16%
- Model /90
- 0.22
084%114%21%3+0% - Samuel Essendeprovisional
FWD · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 47
- Proj.
- 0.17
- O 0.5
- 15%
- Model /90
- 0.33
085%114%22%3+0% - Robin Fellhauerprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 83
- Proj.
- 0.17
- O 0.5
- 15%
- Model /90
- 0.18
085%114%2+1% - Arthur Largura Chavesprovisional
DEF · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 75
- Proj.
- 0.17
- O 0.5
- 15%
- Model /90
- 0.20
085%114%2+1% - Alexis Claude Mauriceprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 74
- Proj.
- 0.16
- O 0.5
- 15%
- Model /90
- 0.20
085%114%2+1% - Anton Kadeprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 62
- Proj.
- 0.16
- O 0.5
- 15%
- Model /90
- 0.23
085%113%21%3+0% - Kristijan Jakićprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 70
- Proj.
- 0.16
- O 0.5
- 15%
- Model /90
- 0.21
085%113%2+1% - Elvis Rexhbecajprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 55
- Proj.
- 0.15
- O 0.5
- 13%
- Model /90
- 0.24
087%112%2+1% - Michael Gregoritschprovisional
FWD · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 54
- Proj.
- 0.14
- O 0.5
- 12%
- Model /90
- 0.23
088%111%2+1% - Marius Wolfprovisional
DEF · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 52
- Proj.
- 0.13
- O 0.5
- 12%
- Model /90
- 0.22
088%111%2+1% - Elias Saadprovisional
FWD · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 50
- Proj.
- 0.11
- O 0.5
- 11%
- Model /90
- 0.20
089%110%2+1% - Phillip Tietzprovisional
FWD · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 43
- Proj.
- 0.11
- O 0.5
- 10%
- Model /90
- 0.23
090%19%2+1% - Rodrigo Duarte Ribeiroprovisional
FWD · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 45
- Proj.
- 0.11
- O 0.5
- 10%
- Model /90
- 0.21
090%19%2+1%
20 of 24 players shown, ranked by projection.
Saves24 playersHighest: Finn Dahmen, 3.07 expectedshowhide
What drives it — Opponent shot volume. A keeper’s own record carries so little that this market shrinks harder than any other on the board. See what has actually happened.
- Finn Dahmenprovisional
GK · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 90
- Proj.
- 3.07
- O 2.5
- 57%
- Model /90
- 3.07
06%116%221%320%415%510%6+11% - Jeffrey Gouweleeuwprovisional
DEF · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 86
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Chrislain Matsimaprovisional
DEF · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 84
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Robin Fellhauerprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 83
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Keven Schlotterbeckprovisional
DEF · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 79
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Dimitris Giannoulisprovisional
DEF · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 79
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Han-Noah Massengoprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 74
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Arthur Largura Chavesprovisional
DEF · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 75
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Alexis Claude Mauriceprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 74
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Fabian Riederprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 74
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Cédric Zesigerprovisional
DEF · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 72
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Kristijan Jakićprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 70
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Noahkai Kai Daniel Banksprovisional
DEF · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 65
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Anton Kadeprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 62
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Michael Gregoritschprovisional
FWD · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 54
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Elvis Rexhbecajprovisional
MID · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 55
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Elias Saadprovisional
FWD · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 50
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Marius Wolfprovisional
DEF · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 52
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Rodrigo Duarte Ribeiroprovisional
FWD · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 45
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0% - Samuel Essendeprovisional
FWD · FC Augsburg
- Mins
- 47
- Proj.
- 0.00
- O 2.5
- —
- Model /90
- 0.00
0100%1+0%
20 of 24 players shown, ranked by projection.