Serie A · Italy

AtalantavSassuolo

Sunday 23 August at 19:45Gewiss Stadiumlineups not announced

Referee

Not appointed

0 matches on record

Fouls per game

—

League average

22.6

fouls per match, both teams

Value

No edges published on this fixture. An edge is published only when a bookmaker's price beats the model's fair price by that market's full bar — most fixtures never produce one. The value board explains every gate a candidate has to clear.

What these numbers are

Not tips and not prices. Each row is the model's expected count for one player in this match — how many fouls, tackles or shots it thinks he records — plus the full spread of outcomes around it. Nothing here has been compared to a bookmaker.

Step 1
His own record
Every completed match in the dataset, as a rate per 90 minutes. The n column is how many matches that rests on.
Step 2
Pulled toward his position
A thin record gets pulled hard toward other players in his position, in his league — a goalkeeper toward goalkeepers, not toward the outfielders around him. How hard is fitted per market, not chosen: tackles pull about four times harder than shots on target.
Step 3
This fixture's conditions
How much of the stat the opponent concedes, what the referee's matches look like, and home or away. This is where a projection stops being a season average.
Step 4
Scaled to expected minutes
A rate becomes a count only once you say how long he plays. 60 minutes carries two-thirds the exposure of 90, and the distribution is built at that exposure.

How to read each column

Model /90: The model's rate for this match with the minutes taken back out — steps 1 to 3 already applied. It moves with the opponent and the referee, so it is not his raw career rate; the builder shows career and model rates side by side.
Exp. mins: Minutes the model expects. Confirmed means the lineup is out; provisional means it is guessing from his start rate, and is the widest of the three.
Projected: The expected count in this match, at those minutes. This is the number a line is set against.
Over 1.5, etc.: Read straight off the distribution beside it, not off how often he has beaten that line before. It answers what the model thinks, not what has happened.
n: Matches behind his own rate. Under 30 it turns amber: the projection is mostly his position group speaking, and §6.3 will not publish an edge on it.
Distribution: The whole spread, not just the average. The dashed amber cut is the line; jade bars beat it. An expected 1.8 fouls made of 2 every week and an expected 1.8 made of a 0 and a 5 are different bets, and this is where you see which one you have.

Counts are modelled as negative binomial rather than Poisson, because fouls and tackles are overdispersed and a Poisson would systematically underprice the tails — which is exactly where over bets live. Every market on this page cleared its calibration gate before it was allowed to produce a projection: when the model says 60%, it lands within a point or so of 60% out of sample.

Fouls v20260811-1858 · Tackles v20260811-1858 · Shots v20260811-1858 · Shots on target v20260811-1905 · Fouls won v20260811-1858 · Cards v20260811-1905 · Saves v20260812-1340

Model projections

Fouls39 playersHighest: Domenico Berardi, 1.19 expectedshow

What drives it — Who referees the match. A strict official lifts every player on the pitch, which is the part most books price off a season average. See what has actually happened.

Domenico Berardi
FWD · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
1.19
O 1.5
33%
Model /90
1.41
033%
134%
220%
39%
43%
51%
6+0%
Marten de Roon
MID · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
82
Proj.
1.11
O 1.5
30%
Model /90
1.22
035%
135%
219%
38%
43%
51%
6+0%
Armand Lauriente
FWD · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
69
Proj.
1.06
O 1.5
29%
Model /90
1.39
037%
134%
218%
37%
42%
51%
6+0%
Kristian Thorstvedt
MID · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
77
Proj.
1.06
O 1.5
29%
Model /90
1.24
038%
133%
218%
37%
42%
51%
6+0%
Kossonou Odilon
DEF · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
57
Proj.
1.04
O 1.5
28%
Model /90
1.65
041%
131%
216%
37%
43%
51%
6+0%
Ismael Koné
MID · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
79
Proj.
1.04
O 1.5
28%
Model /90
1.18
037%
135%
218%
37%
42%
51%
6+0%
Giacomo Raspadori
FWD · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
61
Proj.
1.03
O 1.5
27%
Model /90
1.53
040%
132%
217%
37%
43%
51%
6+0%
Nikola Krstović
FWD · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
54
Proj.
1.03
O 1.5
27%
Model /90
1.72
042%
131%
216%
37%
43%
51%
6+0%
Éderson José dos Santos Lourenço da Silva
MID · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
1.02
O 1.5
27%
Model /90
1.20
039%
134%
218%
37%
42%
51%
6+0%
Nemanja Matić
MID · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
79
Proj.
1.02
O 1.5
27%
Model /90
1.17
038%
135%
218%
37%
42%
51%
6+0%
Andrea Pinamonti
FWD · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
72
Proj.
1.02
O 1.5
27%
Model /90
1.28
039%
133%
218%
37%
42%
51%
6+0%
Isak Hien
DEF · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
74
Proj.
0.99
O 1.5
26%
Model /90
1.21
040%
133%
217%
37%
42%
51%
6+0%
Gianluca Scamacca
FWD · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
53
Proj.
0.98
O 1.5
26%
Model /90
1.67
042%
133%
216%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Sead Kolašinac
DEF · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
75
Proj.
0.98
O 1.5
26%
Model /90
1.18
040%
134%
217%
36%
42%
50%
6+0%
Sebastian Walukiewicz
DEF · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
84
Proj.
0.97
O 1.5
25%
Model /90
1.04
040%
135%
217%
36%
42%
50%
6+0%
Jay Idzes
DEF · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
88
Proj.
0.96
O 1.5
25%
Model /90
0.99
039%
135%
217%
36%
42%
5+0%
Lorenzo Bernasconi
MID · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
68
Proj.
0.95
O 1.5
25%
Model /90
1.26
043%
132%
216%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Honest Ahanor
DEF · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
63
Proj.
0.93
O 1.5
24%
Model /90
1.34
042%
134%
216%
36%
42%
50%
6+0%
Charles De Ketelaere
MID · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
64
Proj.
0.92
O 1.5
24%
Model /90
1.30
043%
133%
216%
36%
42%
50%
6+0%
Giorgio Scalvini
DEF · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
70
Proj.
0.91
O 1.5
24%
Model /90
1.18
043%
133%
216%
36%
42%
50%
6+0%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 1.5	n	Distribution
Domenico BerardiFWD	Sassuolo	1.41	76provisional	1.19	33%	26	033% 134% 220% 39% 43% 51% 6+0%
Marten de RoonMID	Atalanta	1.22	82provisional	1.11	30%	70	035% 135% 219% 38% 43% 51% 6+0%
Armand LaurienteFWD	Sassuolo	1.39	69provisional	1.06	29%	38	037% 134% 218% 37% 42% 51% 6+0%
Kristian ThorstvedtMID	Sassuolo	1.24	77provisional	1.06	29%	32	038% 133% 218% 37% 42% 51% 6+0%
Kossonou OdilonDEF	Atalanta	1.65	57provisional	1.04	28%	37	041% 131% 216% 37% 43% 51% 6+0%
Ismael KonéMID	Sassuolo	1.18	79provisional	1.04	28%	35	037% 135% 218% 37% 42% 51% 6+0%
Giacomo RaspadoriFWD	Atalanta	1.53	61provisional	1.03	27%	13	040% 132% 217% 37% 43% 51% 6+0%
Nikola KrstovićFWD	Atalanta	1.72	54provisional	1.03	27%	33	042% 131% 216% 37% 43% 51% 6+0%
Éderson José dos Santos Lourenço da SilvaMID	Atalanta	1.20	76provisional	1.02	27%	67	039% 134% 218% 37% 42% 51% 6+0%
Nemanja MatićMID	Sassuolo	1.17	79provisional	1.02	27%	34	038% 135% 218% 37% 42% 51% 6+0%
Andrea PinamontiFWD	Sassuolo	1.28	72provisional	1.02	27%	36	039% 133% 218% 37% 42% 51% 6+0%
Isak HienDEF	Atalanta	1.21	74provisional	0.99	26%	58	040% 133% 217% 37% 42% 51% 6+0%
Gianluca ScamaccaFWD	Atalanta	1.67	53provisional	0.98	26%	25	042% 133% 216% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Sead KolašinacDEF	Atalanta	1.18	75provisional	0.98	26%	42	040% 134% 217% 36% 42% 50% 6+0%
Sebastian WalukiewiczDEF	Sassuolo	1.04	84provisional	0.97	25%	34	040% 135% 217% 36% 42% 50% 6+0%
Jay IdzesDEF	Sassuolo	0.99	88provisional	0.96	25%	35	039% 135% 217% 36% 42% 5+0%
Lorenzo BernasconiMID	Atalanta	1.26	68provisional	0.95	25%	23	043% 132% 216% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Honest AhanorDEF	Atalanta	1.34	63provisional	0.93	24%	22	042% 134% 216% 36% 42% 50% 6+0%
Charles De KetelaereMID	Atalanta	1.30	64provisional	0.92	24%	67	043% 133% 216% 36% 42% 50% 6+0%
Giorgio ScalviniDEF	Atalanta	1.18	70provisional	0.91	24%	30	043% 133% 216% 36% 42% 50% 6+0%

20 of 39 players shown, ranked by projection.

Tackles39 playersHighest: Marten de Roon, 1.66 expectedshow

What drives it — Possession share. A tackle count depends far more on how much of the match is played at your own end than on a player’s own form. See what has actually happened.

Marten de Roon
MID · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
82
Proj.
1.66
O 1.5
49%
Model /90
1.81
020%
131%
225%
314%
46%
52%
6+1%
Sead Kolašinac
DEF · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
75
Proj.
1.60
O 1.5
47%
Model /90
1.93
022%
131%
225%
314%
46%
52%
6+1%
Sebastian Walukiewicz
DEF · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
84
Proj.
1.52
O 1.5
45%
Model /90
1.63
023%
133%
225%
313%
45%
52%
6+1%
Kristian Thorstvedt
MID · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
77
Proj.
1.49
O 1.5
43%
Model /90
1.75
026%
131%
223%
313%
45%
52%
6+1%
Nemanja Matić
MID · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
79
Proj.
1.47
O 1.5
43%
Model /90
1.69
024%
133%
224%
312%
45%
52%
6+1%
Éderson José dos Santos Lourenço da Silva
MID · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
1.45
O 1.5
42%
Model /90
1.71
026%
132%
223%
312%
45%
52%
6+1%
Ismael Koné
MID · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
79
Proj.
1.45
O 1.5
42%
Model /90
1.64
025%
133%
224%
312%
45%
51%
6+0%
Isak Hien
DEF · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
74
Proj.
1.39
O 1.5
40%
Model /90
1.69
028%
132%
222%
311%
44%
51%
6+1%
Lorenzo Bernasconi
MID · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
68
Proj.
1.39
O 1.5
40%
Model /90
1.83
030%
131%
221%
311%
45%
52%
6+1%
Jay Idzes
DEF · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
88
Proj.
1.37
O 1.5
40%
Model /90
1.41
026%
135%
224%
311%
44%
51%
6+0%
Giorgio Scalvini
DEF · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
70
Proj.
1.35
O 1.5
39%
Model /90
1.74
029%
132%
222%
311%
44%
51%
6+0%
Ulisses Alexandre Garcia Lopes
DEF · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
73
Proj.
1.33
O 1.5
38%
Model /90
1.66
030%
132%
221%
311%
44%
51%
6+0%
Berat Djimsiti
DEF · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
1.33
O 1.5
38%
Model /90
1.57
028%
133%
222%
311%
44%
51%
6+0%
Honest Ahanor
DEF · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
63
Proj.
1.30
O 1.5
37%
Model /90
1.87
029%
134%
222%
310%
44%
51%
6+0%
Aster Vranckx
MID · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
43
Proj.
1.20
O 1.5
33%
Model /90
2.50
037%
130%
218%
39%
44%
51%
6+1%
Josh Doig
DEF · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
64
Proj.
1.18
O 1.5
33%
Model /90
1.66
036%
130%
219%
39%
44%
51%
6+0%
Nicola Zalewski
MID · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
58
Proj.
1.14
O 1.5
32%
Model /90
1.78
035%
134%
219%
38%
43%
51%
6+0%
Woyo Coulibaly
DEF · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
52
Proj.
1.11
O 1.5
30%
Model /90
1.91
038%
132%
217%
38%
43%
51%
6+0%
Davide Zappacosta
MID · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
72
Proj.
1.10
O 1.5
30%
Model /90
1.38
035%
135%
220%
38%
42%
51%
6+0%
Luca Lipani
MID · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
43
Proj.
1.07
O 1.5
28%
Model /90
2.24
041%
131%
216%
38%
43%
51%
6+0%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 1.5	n	Distribution
Marten de RoonMID	Atalanta	1.81	82provisional	1.66	49%	70	020% 131% 225% 314% 46% 52% 6+1%
Sead KolašinacDEF	Atalanta	1.93	75provisional	1.60	47%	42	022% 131% 225% 314% 46% 52% 6+1%
Sebastian WalukiewiczDEF	Sassuolo	1.63	84provisional	1.52	45%	34	023% 133% 225% 313% 45% 52% 6+1%
Kristian ThorstvedtMID	Sassuolo	1.75	77provisional	1.49	43%	32	026% 131% 223% 313% 45% 52% 6+1%
Nemanja MatićMID	Sassuolo	1.69	79provisional	1.47	43%	34	024% 133% 224% 312% 45% 52% 6+1%
Éderson José dos Santos Lourenço da SilvaMID	Atalanta	1.71	76provisional	1.45	42%	67	026% 132% 223% 312% 45% 52% 6+1%
Ismael KonéMID	Sassuolo	1.64	79provisional	1.45	42%	35	025% 133% 224% 312% 45% 51% 6+0%
Isak HienDEF	Atalanta	1.69	74provisional	1.39	40%	58	028% 132% 222% 311% 44% 51% 6+1%
Lorenzo BernasconiMID	Atalanta	1.83	68provisional	1.39	40%	23	030% 131% 221% 311% 45% 52% 6+1%
Jay IdzesDEF	Sassuolo	1.41	88provisional	1.37	40%	35	026% 135% 224% 311% 44% 51% 6+0%
Giorgio ScalviniDEF	Atalanta	1.74	70provisional	1.35	39%	30	029% 132% 222% 311% 44% 51% 6+0%
Ulisses Alexandre Garcia LopesDEF	Sassuolo	1.66	73provisional	1.33	38%	13	030% 132% 221% 311% 44% 51% 6+0%
Berat DjimsitiDEF	Atalanta	1.57	76provisional	1.33	38%	68	028% 133% 222% 311% 44% 51% 6+0%
Honest AhanorDEF	Atalanta	1.87	63provisional	1.30	37%	22	029% 134% 222% 310% 44% 51% 6+0%
Aster VranckxMID	Sassuolo	2.50	43provisional	1.20	33%	16	037% 130% 218% 39% 44% 51% 6+1%
Josh DoigDEF	Sassuolo	1.66	64provisional	1.18	33%	30	036% 130% 219% 39% 44% 51% 6+0%
Nicola ZalewskiMID	Atalanta	1.78	58provisional	1.14	32%	33	035% 134% 219% 38% 43% 51% 6+0%
Woyo CoulibalyDEF	Sassuolo	1.91	52provisional	1.11	30%	20	038% 132% 217% 38% 43% 51% 6+0%
Davide ZappacostaMID	Atalanta	1.38	72provisional	1.10	30%	65	035% 135% 220% 38% 42% 51% 6+0%
Luca LipaniMID	Sassuolo	2.24	43provisional	1.07	28%	24	041% 131% 216% 38% 43% 51% 6+0%

20 of 39 players shown, ranked by projection.

Shots39 playersHighest: Nikola Krstović, 2.01 expectedshow

What drives it — The player’s own shot rate, shrunk toward others in his position, then adjusted for how many shots the opponent concedes. See what has actually happened.

Nikola Krstović
FWD · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
54
Proj.
2.01
O 1.5
51%
Model /90
3.34
023%
126%
219%
313%
48%
55%
6+6%
Giacomo Raspadori
FWD · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
61
Proj.
1.96
O 1.5
51%
Model /90
2.89
022%
126%
220%
313%
48%
55%
6+5%
Gianluca Scamacca
FWD · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
53
Proj.
1.85
O 1.5
50%
Model /90
3.14
023%
127%
221%
313%
48%
54%
6+4%
Domenico Berardi
FWD · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
1.57
O 1.5
44%
Model /90
1.86
025%
130%
222%
312%
46%
52%
6+1%
Andrea Pinamonti
FWD · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
72
Proj.
1.55
O 1.5
44%
Model /90
1.95
027%
129%
221%
312%
46%
53%
6+2%
Armand Lauriente
FWD · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
69
Proj.
1.49
O 1.5
42%
Model /90
1.95
028%
130%
221%
312%
45%
52%
6+1%
Kamal Deen Sulemana
FWD · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
40
Proj.
1.35
O 1.5
35%
Model /90
3.04
036%
130%
217%
39%
45%
52%
6+2%
Davide Zappacosta
MID · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
72
Proj.
1.21
O 1.5
33%
Model /90
1.52
034%
133%
219%
39%
43%
51%
6+1%
Éderson José dos Santos Lourenço da Silva
MID · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
1.21
O 1.5
33%
Model /90
1.43
034%
132%
219%
39%
43%
51%
6+1%
Charles De Ketelaere
MID · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
64
Proj.
1.14
O 1.5
31%
Model /90
1.61
037%
132%
218%
38%
43%
51%
6+0%
Marten de Roon
MID · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
82
Proj.
1.13
O 1.5
31%
Model /90
1.24
036%
134%
219%
38%
43%
51%
6+0%
Nicola Zalewski
MID · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
58
Proj.
1.07
O 1.5
29%
Model /90
1.66
039%
132%
217%
37%
43%
51%
6+0%
Mario Pašalić
MID · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
58
Proj.
1.06
O 1.5
28%
Model /90
1.64
042%
130%
216%
38%
43%
51%
6+1%
Lorenzo Bernasconi
MID · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
68
Proj.
1.06
O 1.5
28%
Model /90
1.39
040%
131%
217%
37%
43%
51%
6+0%
Raoul Bellanova
MID · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
65
Proj.
0.97
O 1.5
25%
Model /90
1.34
042%
132%
216%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Kristian Thorstvedt
MID · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
77
Proj.
0.90
O 1.5
23%
Model /90
1.05
045%
132%
215%
36%
42%
50%
6+0%
Ismael Koné
MID · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
79
Proj.
0.85
O 1.5
21%
Model /90
0.97
045%
134%
215%
35%
41%
5+0%
Lazar Samardžić
MID · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
38
Proj.
0.80
O 1.5
20%
Model /90
1.90
051%
129%
212%
35%
42%
51%
6+0%
Nemanja Matić
MID · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
79
Proj.
0.80
O 1.5
20%
Model /90
0.92
047%
133%
214%
34%
41%
5+0%
Kossonou Odilon
DEF · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
57
Proj.
0.68
O 1.5
16%
Model /90
1.08
055%
129%
211%
34%
41%
5+0%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 1.5	n	Distribution
Nikola KrstovićFWD	Atalanta	3.34	54provisional	2.01	51%	33	023% 126% 219% 313% 48% 55% 6+6%
Giacomo RaspadoriFWD	Atalanta	2.89	61provisional	1.96	51%	13	022% 126% 220% 313% 48% 55% 6+5%
Gianluca ScamaccaFWD	Atalanta	3.14	53provisional	1.85	50%	25	023% 127% 221% 313% 48% 54% 6+4%
Domenico BerardiFWD	Sassuolo	1.86	76provisional	1.57	44%	26	025% 130% 222% 312% 46% 52% 6+1%
Andrea PinamontiFWD	Sassuolo	1.95	72provisional	1.55	44%	36	027% 129% 221% 312% 46% 53% 6+2%
Armand LaurienteFWD	Sassuolo	1.95	69provisional	1.49	42%	38	028% 130% 221% 312% 45% 52% 6+1%
Kamal Deen SulemanaFWD	Atalanta	3.04	40provisional	1.35	35%	25	036% 130% 217% 39% 45% 52% 6+2%
Davide ZappacostaMID	Atalanta	1.52	72provisional	1.21	33%	65	034% 133% 219% 39% 43% 51% 6+1%
Éderson José dos Santos Lourenço da SilvaMID	Atalanta	1.43	76provisional	1.21	33%	67	034% 132% 219% 39% 43% 51% 6+1%
Charles De KetelaereMID	Atalanta	1.61	64provisional	1.14	31%	67	037% 132% 218% 38% 43% 51% 6+0%
Marten de RoonMID	Atalanta	1.24	82provisional	1.13	31%	70	036% 134% 219% 38% 43% 51% 6+0%
Nicola ZalewskiMID	Atalanta	1.66	58provisional	1.07	29%	33	039% 132% 217% 37% 43% 51% 6+0%
Mario PašalićMID	Atalanta	1.64	58provisional	1.06	28%	67	042% 130% 216% 38% 43% 51% 6+1%
Lorenzo BernasconiMID	Atalanta	1.39	68provisional	1.06	28%	23	040% 131% 217% 37% 43% 51% 6+0%
Raoul BellanovaMID	Atalanta	1.34	65provisional	0.97	25%	58	042% 132% 216% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Kristian ThorstvedtMID	Sassuolo	1.05	77provisional	0.90	23%	32	045% 132% 215% 36% 42% 50% 6+0%
Ismael KonéMID	Sassuolo	0.97	79provisional	0.85	21%	35	045% 134% 215% 35% 41% 5+0%
Lazar SamardžićMID	Atalanta	1.90	38provisional	0.80	20%	57	051% 129% 212% 35% 42% 51% 6+0%
Nemanja MatićMID	Sassuolo	0.92	79provisional	0.80	20%	34	047% 133% 214% 34% 41% 5+0%
Kossonou OdilonDEF	Atalanta	1.08	57provisional	0.68	16%	37	055% 129% 211% 34% 41% 5+0%

20 of 39 players shown, ranked by projection.

Shots on target37 playersHighest: Giacomo Raspadori, 0.74 expectedshow

What drives it — Shot volume first, conversion second — literally: the projection is the shots model thinned by the player’s own on-target rate, so a high-volume low-accuracy shooter and a sniper price differently at the same shot count. See what has actually happened.

Giacomo Raspadori
FWD · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
61
Proj.
0.74
O 0.5
48%
Model /90
1.10
052%
131%
212%
34%
41%
50%
6+0%
Gianluca Scamacca
FWD · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
53
Proj.
0.73
O 0.5
48%
Model /90
1.25
052%
131%
212%
34%
41%
5+0%
Nikola Krstović
FWD · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
54
Proj.
0.71
O 0.5
46%
Model /90
1.17
054%
129%
211%
34%
41%
50%
6+0%
Domenico Berardi
FWD · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
0.70
O 0.5
48%
Model /90
0.83
052%
132%
212%
33%
41%
5+0%
Andrea Pinamonti
FWD · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
72
Proj.
0.62
O 0.5
44%
Model /90
0.78
056%
130%
210%
33%
41%
5+0%
Armand Lauriente
FWD · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
69
Proj.
0.55
O 0.5
40%
Model /90
0.72
060%
129%
29%
32%
4+0%
Kamal Deen Sulemana
FWD · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
40
Proj.
0.51
O 0.5
36%
Model /90
1.14
064%
126%
28%
32%
41%
5+0%
Charles De Ketelaere
MID · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
64
Proj.
0.42
O 0.5
33%
Model /90
0.59
067%
125%
26%
31%
4+0%
Éderson José dos Santos Lourenço da Silva
MID · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
0.37
O 0.5
30%
Model /90
0.44
070%
124%
25%
31%
4+0%
Davide Zappacosta
MID · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
72
Proj.
0.35
O 0.5
28%
Model /90
0.44
072%
123%
25%
3+1%
Marten de Roon
MID · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
82
Proj.
0.33
O 0.5
27%
Model /90
0.36
073%
123%
24%
3+1%
Raoul Bellanova
MID · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
65
Proj.
0.30
O 0.5
25%
Model /90
0.42
075%
121%
24%
3+1%
Ismael Koné
MID · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
79
Proj.
0.30
O 0.5
25%
Model /90
0.34
075%
121%
24%
3+1%
Mario Pašalić
MID · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
58
Proj.
0.29
O 0.5
24%
Model /90
0.45
076%
120%
24%
3+1%
Lazar Samardžić
MID · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
38
Proj.
0.29
O 0.5
23%
Model /90
0.68
077%
119%
24%
31%
4+0%
Lorenzo Bernasconi
MID · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
68
Proj.
0.29
O 0.5
24%
Model /90
0.38
076%
120%
23%
3+1%
Kristian Thorstvedt
MID · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
77
Proj.
0.27
O 0.5
23%
Model /90
0.32
077%
120%
23%
3+0%
Nicola Zalewski
MID · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
58
Proj.
0.26
O 0.5
22%
Model /90
0.41
078%
119%
23%
3+0%
Nemanja Matić
MID · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
79
Proj.
0.26
O 0.5
22%
Model /90
0.29
078%
119%
23%
3+0%
Kossonou Odilon
DEF · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
57
Proj.
0.23
O 0.5
20%
Model /90
0.36
080%
117%
22%
3+0%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 0.5	n	Distribution
Giacomo RaspadoriFWD	Atalanta	1.10	61provisional	0.74	48%	13	052% 131% 212% 34% 41% 50% 6+0%
Gianluca ScamaccaFWD	Atalanta	1.25	53provisional	0.73	48%	25	052% 131% 212% 34% 41% 5+0%
Nikola KrstovićFWD	Atalanta	1.17	54provisional	0.71	46%	33	054% 129% 211% 34% 41% 50% 6+0%
Domenico BerardiFWD	Sassuolo	0.83	76provisional	0.70	48%	26	052% 132% 212% 33% 41% 5+0%
Andrea PinamontiFWD	Sassuolo	0.78	72provisional	0.62	44%	36	056% 130% 210% 33% 41% 5+0%
Armand LaurienteFWD	Sassuolo	0.72	69provisional	0.55	40%	38	060% 129% 29% 32% 4+0%
Kamal Deen SulemanaFWD	Atalanta	1.14	40provisional	0.51	36%	25	064% 126% 28% 32% 41% 5+0%
Charles De KetelaereMID	Atalanta	0.59	64provisional	0.42	33%	67	067% 125% 26% 31% 4+0%
Éderson José dos Santos Lourenço da SilvaMID	Atalanta	0.44	76provisional	0.37	30%	67	070% 124% 25% 31% 4+0%
Davide ZappacostaMID	Atalanta	0.44	72provisional	0.35	28%	65	072% 123% 25% 3+1%
Marten de RoonMID	Atalanta	0.36	82provisional	0.33	27%	70	073% 123% 24% 3+1%
Raoul BellanovaMID	Atalanta	0.42	65provisional	0.30	25%	58	075% 121% 24% 3+1%
Ismael KonéMID	Sassuolo	0.34	79provisional	0.30	25%	35	075% 121% 24% 3+1%
Mario PašalićMID	Atalanta	0.45	58provisional	0.29	24%	67	076% 120% 24% 3+1%
Lazar SamardžićMID	Atalanta	0.68	38provisional	0.29	23%	57	077% 119% 24% 31% 4+0%
Lorenzo BernasconiMID	Atalanta	0.38	68provisional	0.29	24%	23	076% 120% 23% 3+1%
Kristian ThorstvedtMID	Sassuolo	0.32	77provisional	0.27	23%	32	077% 120% 23% 3+0%
Nicola ZalewskiMID	Atalanta	0.41	58provisional	0.26	22%	33	078% 119% 23% 3+0%
Nemanja MatićMID	Sassuolo	0.29	79provisional	0.26	22%	34	078% 119% 23% 3+0%
Kossonou OdilonDEF	Atalanta	0.36	57provisional	0.23	20%	37	080% 117% 22% 3+0%

20 of 37 players shown, ranked by projection.

Fouls won39 playersHighest: Domenico Berardi, 1.49 expectedshow

What drives it — How much a player runs at defenders. Dribble volume drives this far more than the referee does. See what has actually happened.

Domenico Berardi
FWD · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
1.49
O 1.5
42%
Model /90
1.77
027%
131%
222%
312%
45%
52%
6+1%
Armand Lauriente
FWD · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
69
Proj.
1.34
O 1.5
37%
Model /90
1.75
031%
131%
220%
310%
44%
52%
6+1%
Andrea Pinamonti
FWD · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
72
Proj.
1.31
O 1.5
37%
Model /90
1.65
032%
131%
220%
310%
44%
52%
6+1%
Giacomo Raspadori
FWD · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
61
Proj.
1.27
O 1.5
34%
Model /90
1.88
035%
131%
218%
39%
44%
52%
6+1%
Kristian Thorstvedt
MID · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
77
Proj.
1.27
O 1.5
35%
Model /90
1.49
034%
131%
219%
310%
44%
52%
6+1%
Éderson José dos Santos Lourenço da Silva
MID · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
1.20
O 1.5
33%
Model /90
1.41
035%
132%
219%
39%
43%
51%
6+1%
Ismael Koné
MID · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
79
Proj.
1.19
O 1.5
33%
Model /90
1.35
034%
133%
219%
39%
43%
51%
6+0%
Nikola Krstović
FWD · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
54
Proj.
1.16
O 1.5
31%
Model /90
1.92
039%
130%
217%
38%
44%
52%
6+1%
Gianluca Scamacca
FWD · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
53
Proj.
1.13
O 1.5
30%
Model /90
1.92
038%
132%
217%
38%
43%
51%
6+1%
Nemanja Matić
MID · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
79
Proj.
1.08
O 1.5
29%
Model /90
1.24
037%
133%
218%
37%
43%
51%
6+0%
Nicola Zalewski
MID · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
58
Proj.
1.08
O 1.5
29%
Model /90
1.69
039%
132%
217%
38%
43%
51%
6+0%
Charles De Ketelaere
MID · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
64
Proj.
1.04
O 1.5
28%
Model /90
1.47
040%
132%
217%
37%
43%
51%
6+0%
Raoul Bellanova
MID · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
65
Proj.
0.97
O 1.5
25%
Model /90
1.34
043%
132%
216%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Marten de Roon
MID · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
82
Proj.
0.95
O 1.5
25%
Model /90
1.04
042%
134%
216%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Lorenzo Bernasconi
MID · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
68
Proj.
0.92
O 1.5
24%
Model /90
1.21
045%
131%
215%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Kamal Deen Sulemana
FWD · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
40
Proj.
0.87
O 1.5
22%
Model /90
1.96
049%
130%
213%
35%
42%
51%
6+0%
Davide Zappacosta
MID · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
72
Proj.
0.83
O 1.5
21%
Model /90
1.04
047%
133%
214%
35%
41%
50%
6+0%
Honest Ahanor
DEF · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
63
Proj.
0.79
O 1.5
19%
Model /90
1.13
049%
132%
213%
34%
41%
5+0%
Aster Vranckx
MID · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
43
Proj.
0.72
O 1.5
18%
Model /90
1.50
054%
128%
212%
34%
41%
50%
6+0%
Lazar Samardžić
MID · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
38
Proj.
0.69
O 1.5
16%
Model /90
1.63
056%
128%
210%
34%
41%
50%
6+0%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 1.5	n	Distribution
Domenico BerardiFWD	Sassuolo	1.77	76provisional	1.49	42%	26	027% 131% 222% 312% 45% 52% 6+1%
Armand LaurienteFWD	Sassuolo	1.75	69provisional	1.34	37%	38	031% 131% 220% 310% 44% 52% 6+1%
Andrea PinamontiFWD	Sassuolo	1.65	72provisional	1.31	37%	36	032% 131% 220% 310% 44% 52% 6+1%
Giacomo RaspadoriFWD	Atalanta	1.88	61provisional	1.27	34%	13	035% 131% 218% 39% 44% 52% 6+1%
Kristian ThorstvedtMID	Sassuolo	1.49	77provisional	1.27	35%	32	034% 131% 219% 310% 44% 52% 6+1%
Éderson José dos Santos Lourenço da SilvaMID	Atalanta	1.41	76provisional	1.20	33%	67	035% 132% 219% 39% 43% 51% 6+1%
Ismael KonéMID	Sassuolo	1.35	79provisional	1.19	33%	35	034% 133% 219% 39% 43% 51% 6+0%
Nikola KrstovićFWD	Atalanta	1.92	54provisional	1.16	31%	33	039% 130% 217% 38% 44% 52% 6+1%
Gianluca ScamaccaFWD	Atalanta	1.92	53provisional	1.13	30%	25	038% 132% 217% 38% 43% 51% 6+1%
Nemanja MatićMID	Sassuolo	1.24	79provisional	1.08	29%	34	037% 133% 218% 37% 43% 51% 6+0%
Nicola ZalewskiMID	Atalanta	1.69	58provisional	1.08	29%	33	039% 132% 217% 38% 43% 51% 6+0%
Charles De KetelaereMID	Atalanta	1.47	64provisional	1.04	28%	67	040% 132% 217% 37% 43% 51% 6+0%
Raoul BellanovaMID	Atalanta	1.34	65provisional	0.97	25%	58	043% 132% 216% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Marten de RoonMID	Atalanta	1.04	82provisional	0.95	25%	70	042% 134% 216% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Lorenzo BernasconiMID	Atalanta	1.21	68provisional	0.92	24%	23	045% 131% 215% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Kamal Deen SulemanaFWD	Atalanta	1.96	40provisional	0.87	22%	25	049% 130% 213% 35% 42% 51% 6+0%
Davide ZappacostaMID	Atalanta	1.04	72provisional	0.83	21%	65	047% 133% 214% 35% 41% 50% 6+0%
Honest AhanorDEF	Atalanta	1.13	63provisional	0.79	19%	22	049% 132% 213% 34% 41% 5+0%
Aster VranckxMID	Sassuolo	1.50	43provisional	0.72	18%	16	054% 128% 212% 34% 41% 50% 6+0%
Lazar SamardžićMID	Atalanta	1.63	38provisional	0.69	16%	57	056% 128% 210% 34% 41% 50% 6+0%

20 of 39 players shown, ranked by projection.

Cards39 playersHighest: Kristian Thorstvedt, 0.16 expectedshow

Known defect — Prices ANY card — yellow or straight red — matching how books settle "to be shown a card" (D-048). The trends column alongside counts yellows only.

What drives it — Fouls first, then how readily the referee reaches for a card. Two officials averaging four cards a match can do it for opposite reasons. See what has actually happened.

Kristian Thorstvedt
MID · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
77
Proj.
0.16
O 0.5
15%
Model /90
0.19
085%
114%
2+1%
Isak Hien
DEF · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
74
Proj.
0.16
O 0.5
15%
Model /90
0.19
085%
113%
2+1%
Nemanja Matić
MID · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
79
Proj.
0.16
O 0.5
14%
Model /90
0.18
086%
113%
2+1%
Sebastian Walukiewicz
DEF · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
84
Proj.
0.16
O 0.5
14%
Model /90
0.17
086%
113%
2+1%
Sead Kolašinac
DEF · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
75
Proj.
0.15
O 0.5
14%
Model /90
0.18
086%
113%
2+1%
Kossonou Odilon
DEF · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
57
Proj.
0.14
O 0.5
13%
Model /90
0.23
087%
112%
2+1%
Ismael Koné
MID · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
79
Proj.
0.14
O 0.5
13%
Model /90
0.16
087%
112%
2+1%
Ulisses Alexandre Garcia Lopes
DEF · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
73
Proj.
0.14
O 0.5
13%
Model /90
0.17
087%
112%
2+1%
Honest Ahanor
DEF · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
63
Proj.
0.14
O 0.5
13%
Model /90
0.20
087%
112%
2+1%
Lorenzo Bernasconi
MID · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
68
Proj.
0.14
O 0.5
13%
Model /90
0.18
087%
112%
2+1%
Marten de Roon
MID · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
82
Proj.
0.13
O 0.5
12%
Model /90
0.15
088%
111%
2+1%
Berat Djimsiti
DEF · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
0.13
O 0.5
12%
Model /90
0.16
088%
111%
2+1%
Jay Idzes
DEF · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
88
Proj.
0.13
O 0.5
12%
Model /90
0.14
088%
111%
2+1%
Giorgio Scalvini
DEF · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
70
Proj.
0.13
O 0.5
12%
Model /90
0.17
088%
111%
2+1%
Domenico Berardi
FWD · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
0.12
O 0.5
12%
Model /90
0.15
088%
111%
2+1%
Josh Doig
DEF · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
64
Proj.
0.12
O 0.5
11%
Model /90
0.17
089%
111%
2+1%
Éderson José dos Santos Lourenço da Silva
MID · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
0.12
O 0.5
12%
Model /90
0.15
088%
111%
2+1%
Davide Zappacosta
MID · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
72
Proj.
0.12
O 0.5
11%
Model /90
0.15
089%
111%
2+1%
Raoul Bellanova
MID · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
65
Proj.
0.12
O 0.5
11%
Model /90
0.16
089%
110%
2+1%
Charles De Ketelaere
MID · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
64
Proj.
0.12
O 0.5
11%
Model /90
0.17
089%
110%
2+1%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 0.5	n	Distribution
Kristian ThorstvedtMID	Sassuolo	0.19	77provisional	0.16	15%	32	085% 114% 2+1%
Isak HienDEF	Atalanta	0.19	74provisional	0.16	15%	58	085% 113% 2+1%
Nemanja MatićMID	Sassuolo	0.18	79provisional	0.16	14%	34	086% 113% 2+1%
Sebastian WalukiewiczDEF	Sassuolo	0.17	84provisional	0.16	14%	34	086% 113% 2+1%
Sead KolašinacDEF	Atalanta	0.18	75provisional	0.15	14%	42	086% 113% 2+1%
Kossonou OdilonDEF	Atalanta	0.23	57provisional	0.14	13%	37	087% 112% 2+1%
Ismael KonéMID	Sassuolo	0.16	79provisional	0.14	13%	35	087% 112% 2+1%
Ulisses Alexandre Garcia LopesDEF	Sassuolo	0.17	73provisional	0.14	13%	13	087% 112% 2+1%
Honest AhanorDEF	Atalanta	0.20	63provisional	0.14	13%	22	087% 112% 2+1%
Lorenzo BernasconiMID	Atalanta	0.18	68provisional	0.14	13%	23	087% 112% 2+1%
Marten de RoonMID	Atalanta	0.15	82provisional	0.13	12%	70	088% 111% 2+1%
Berat DjimsitiDEF	Atalanta	0.16	76provisional	0.13	12%	68	088% 111% 2+1%
Jay IdzesDEF	Sassuolo	0.14	88provisional	0.13	12%	35	088% 111% 2+1%
Giorgio ScalviniDEF	Atalanta	0.17	70provisional	0.13	12%	30	088% 111% 2+1%
Domenico BerardiFWD	Sassuolo	0.15	76provisional	0.12	12%	26	088% 111% 2+1%
Josh DoigDEF	Sassuolo	0.17	64provisional	0.12	11%	30	089% 111% 2+1%
Éderson José dos Santos Lourenço da SilvaMID	Atalanta	0.15	76provisional	0.12	12%	67	088% 111% 2+1%
Davide ZappacostaMID	Atalanta	0.15	72provisional	0.12	11%	65	089% 111% 2+1%
Raoul BellanovaMID	Atalanta	0.16	65provisional	0.12	11%	58	089% 110% 2+1%
Charles De KetelaereMID	Atalanta	0.17	64provisional	0.12	11%	67	089% 110% 2+1%

20 of 39 players shown, ranked by projection.

Saves39 playersHighest: Arijanet Murić, 3.41 expectedshow

What drives it — Opponent shot volume. A keeper’s own record carries so little that this market shrinks harder than any other on the board. See what has actually happened.

Arijanet Murić
GK · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
90
Proj.
3.41
O 2.5
63%
Model /90
3.41
05%
113%
219%
320%
416%
512%
6+15%
Marco Carnesecchi
GK · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
90
Proj.
2.51
O 2.5
45%
Model /90
2.51
010%
121%
224%
319%
413%
57%
6+6%
Jay Idzes
DEF · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
88
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Sebastian Walukiewicz
DEF · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
84
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Nemanja Matić
MID · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
79
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Ismael Koné
MID · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
79
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Domenico Berardi
FWD · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Kristian Thorstvedt
MID · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
77
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Ulisses Alexandre Garcia Lopes
DEF · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
73
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Andrea Pinamonti
FWD · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
72
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Armand Lauriente
FWD · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
69
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Josh Doig
DEF · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
64
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Marten de Roon
MID · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
82
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Woyo Coulibaly
DEF · Sassuolo
provisional
Mins
52
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Éderson José dos Santos Lourenço da Silva
MID · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Berat Djimsiti
DEF · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Isak Hien
DEF · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
74
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Sead Kolašinac
DEF · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
75
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Davide Zappacosta
MID · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
72
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Giorgio Scalvini
DEF · Atalanta
provisional
Mins
70
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 2.5	n	Distribution
Arijanet MurićGK	Sassuolo	3.41	90provisional	3.41	63%	32	05% 113% 219% 320% 416% 512% 6+15%
Marco CarnesecchiGK	Atalanta	2.51	90provisional	2.51	45%	71	010% 121% 224% 319% 413% 57% 6+6%
Jay IdzesDEF	Sassuolo	0.00	88provisional	0.00	—	35	0100% 1+0%
Sebastian WalukiewiczDEF	Sassuolo	0.00	84provisional	0.00	—	34	0100% 1+0%
Nemanja MatićMID	Sassuolo	0.00	79provisional	0.00	—	34	0100% 1+0%
Ismael KonéMID	Sassuolo	0.00	79provisional	0.00	—	35	0100% 1+0%
Domenico BerardiFWD	Sassuolo	0.00	76provisional	0.00	—	26	0100% 1+0%
Kristian ThorstvedtMID	Sassuolo	0.00	77provisional	0.00	—	32	0100% 1+0%
Ulisses Alexandre Garcia LopesDEF	Sassuolo	0.00	73provisional	0.00	—	13	0100% 1+0%
Andrea PinamontiFWD	Sassuolo	0.00	72provisional	0.00	—	36	0100% 1+0%
Armand LaurienteFWD	Sassuolo	0.00	69provisional	0.00	—	38	0100% 1+0%
Josh DoigDEF	Sassuolo	0.00	64provisional	0.00	—	30	0100% 1+0%
Marten de RoonMID	Atalanta	0.00	82provisional	0.00	—	70	0100% 1+0%
Woyo CoulibalyDEF	Sassuolo	0.00	52provisional	0.00	—	20	0100% 1+0%
Éderson José dos Santos Lourenço da SilvaMID	Atalanta	0.00	76provisional	0.00	—	67	0100% 1+0%
Berat DjimsitiDEF	Atalanta	0.00	76provisional	0.00	—	68	0100% 1+0%
Isak HienDEF	Atalanta	0.00	74provisional	0.00	—	58	0100% 1+0%
Sead KolašinacDEF	Atalanta	0.00	75provisional	0.00	—	42	0100% 1+0%
Davide ZappacostaMID	Atalanta	0.00	72provisional	0.00	—	65	0100% 1+0%
Giorgio ScalviniDEF	Atalanta	0.00	70provisional	0.00	—	30	0100% 1+0%

20 of 39 players shown, ranked by projection.