Serie A · Italy

LaziovGenoa

Sunday 30 August at 19:45Stadio Olimpicolineups not announced

Referee

Not appointed

0 matches on record

Fouls per game

—

League average

22.6

fouls per match, both teams

Value

No edges published on this fixture. An edge is published only when a bookmaker's price beats the model's fair price by that market's full bar — most fixtures never produce one. The value board explains every gate a candidate has to clear.

What these numbers are

Not tips and not prices. Each row is the model's expected count for one player in this match — how many fouls, tackles or shots it thinks he records — plus the full spread of outcomes around it. Nothing here has been compared to a bookmaker.

Step 1
His own record
Every completed match in the dataset, as a rate per 90 minutes. The n column is how many matches that rests on.
Step 2
Pulled toward his position
A thin record gets pulled hard toward other players in his position, in his league — a goalkeeper toward goalkeepers, not toward the outfielders around him. How hard is fitted per market, not chosen: tackles pull about four times harder than shots on target.
Step 3
This fixture's conditions
How much of the stat the opponent concedes, what the referee's matches look like, and home or away. This is where a projection stops being a season average.
Step 4
Scaled to expected minutes
A rate becomes a count only once you say how long he plays. 60 minutes carries two-thirds the exposure of 90, and the distribution is built at that exposure.

How to read each column

Model /90: The model's rate for this match with the minutes taken back out — steps 1 to 3 already applied. It moves with the opponent and the referee, so it is not his raw career rate; the builder shows career and model rates side by side.
Exp. mins: Minutes the model expects. Confirmed means the lineup is out; provisional means it is guessing from his start rate, and is the widest of the three.
Projected: The expected count in this match, at those minutes. This is the number a line is set against.
Over 1.5, etc.: Read straight off the distribution beside it, not off how often he has beaten that line before. It answers what the model thinks, not what has happened.
n: Matches behind his own rate. Under 30 it turns amber: the projection is mostly his position group speaking, and §6.3 will not publish an edge on it.
Distribution: The whole spread, not just the average. The dashed amber cut is the line; jade bars beat it. An expected 1.8 fouls made of 2 every week and an expected 1.8 made of a 0 and a 5 are different bets, and this is where you see which one you have.

Counts are modelled as negative binomial rather than Poisson, because fouls and tackles are overdispersed and a Poisson would systematically underprice the tails — which is exactly where over bets live. Every market on this page cleared its calibration gate before it was allowed to produce a projection: when the model says 60%, it lands within a point or so of 60% out of sample.

Fouls v20260811-1858 · Tackles v20260811-1858 · Shots v20260811-1858 · Shots on target v20260811-1905 · Fouls won v20260811-1858 · Cards v20260811-1905 · Saves v20260812-1340

Model projections

Fouls43 playersHighest: Morten Frendrup, 1.27 expectedshow

What drives it — Who referees the match. A strict official lifts every player on the pitch, which is the part most books price off a season average. See what has actually happened.

Morten Frendrup
MID · Genoa
provisional
Mins
87
Proj.
1.27
O 1.5
36%
Model /90
1.31
030%
134%
221%
310%
43%
51%
6+0%
Morten Thorsby
MID · Genoa
provisional
Mins
61
Proj.
1.26
O 1.5
35%
Model /90
1.85
036%
129%
218%
310%
44%
52%
6+1%
Valentín Mariano José Castellanos Giménez
FWD · Lazio
provisional
Mins
77
Proj.
1.22
O 1.5
34%
Model /90
1.42
033%
133%
220%
39%
43%
51%
6+0%
Mattia Zaccagni
FWD · Lazio
provisional
Mins
80
Proj.
1.21
O 1.5
34%
Model /90
1.36
032%
134%
221%
39%
43%
51%
6+0%
Kenneth Taylor
MID · Lazio
provisional
Mins
82
Proj.
1.20
O 1.5
34%
Model /90
1.31
032%
135%
221%
39%
43%
51%
6+0%
Lorenzo Colombo
FWD · Genoa
provisional
Mins
62
Proj.
1.17
O 1.5
32%
Model /90
1.70
036%
132%
219%
39%
43%
51%
6+0%
Mattéo Guendouzi Olié
MID · Lazio
provisional
Mins
89
Proj.
1.14
O 1.5
31%
Model /90
1.15
034%
135%
220%
38%
43%
51%
6+0%
Leo Skiri Oestigaard
DEF · Genoa
provisional
Mins
87
Proj.
1.13
O 1.5
31%
Model /90
1.16
034%
135%
220%
38%
43%
51%
6+0%
Mikael Egill Ellertsson
MID · Genoa
provisional
Mins
77
Proj.
1.11
O 1.5
31%
Model /90
1.30
037%
132%
219%
38%
43%
51%
6+0%
Nicolò Rovella
MID · Lazio
provisional
Mins
74
Proj.
1.11
O 1.5
30%
Model /90
1.36
036%
134%
219%
38%
43%
51%
6+0%
Vítor Manuel Carvalho Oliveira
FWD · Genoa
provisional
Mins
60
Proj.
1.08
O 1.5
29%
Model /90
1.63
039%
131%
218%
38%
43%
51%
6+0%
Danilo Cataldi
MID · Lazio
provisional
Mins
74
Proj.
1.08
O 1.5
29%
Model /90
1.32
036%
135%
219%
37%
42%
51%
6+0%
Ruslan Malinovskiy
MID · Genoa
provisional
Mins
61
Proj.
1.06
O 1.5
29%
Model /90
1.55
039%
133%
218%
37%
43%
51%
6+0%
Matteo Cancellieri
FWD · Lazio
provisional
Mins
58
Proj.
1.06
O 1.5
28%
Model /90
1.65
040%
132%
217%
37%
43%
51%
6+0%
Aarón Martín Caricol
DEF · Genoa
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
0.99
O 1.5
27%
Model /90
1.17
040%
133%
217%
37%
42%
51%
6+0%
Alan Matturro Romero
DEF · Genoa
provisional
Mins
69
Proj.
0.99
O 1.5
27%
Model /90
1.29
043%
131%
216%
37%
42%
51%
6+0%
Johan Felipe Vásquez Ibarra
DEF · Genoa
provisional
Mins
87
Proj.
0.97
O 1.5
26%
Model /90
1.01
039%
135%
217%
36%
42%
50%
6+0%
Tijanni Noslin
FWD · Lazio
provisional
Mins
34
Proj.
0.97
O 1.5
24%
Model /90
2.57
047%
129%
213%
36%
43%
51%
6+1%
Alessandro Marcandalli
DEF · Genoa
provisional
Mins
78
Proj.
0.96
O 1.5
25%
Model /90
1.11
041%
134%
217%
36%
42%
50%
6+0%
Alessio Romagnoli
DEF · Lazio
provisional
Mins
83
Proj.
0.93
O 1.5
24%
Model /90
1.01
041%
135%
217%
36%
42%
5+0%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 1.5	n	Distribution
Morten FrendrupMID	Genoa	1.31	87provisional	1.27	36%	71	030% 134% 221% 310% 43% 51% 6+0%
Morten ThorsbyMID	Genoa	1.85	61provisional	1.26	35%	43	036% 129% 218% 310% 44% 52% 6+1%
Valentín Mariano José Castellanos GiménezFWD	Lazio	1.42	77provisional	1.22	34%	40	033% 133% 220% 39% 43% 51% 6+0%
Mattia ZaccagniFWD	Lazio	1.36	80provisional	1.21	34%	60	032% 134% 221% 39% 43% 51% 6+0%
Kenneth TaylorMID	Lazio	1.31	82provisional	1.20	34%	17	032% 135% 221% 39% 43% 51% 6+0%
Lorenzo ColomboFWD	Genoa	1.70	62provisional	1.17	32%	38	036% 132% 219% 39% 43% 51% 6+0%
Mattéo Guendouzi OliéMID	Lazio	1.15	89provisional	1.14	31%	53	034% 135% 220% 38% 43% 51% 6+0%
Leo Skiri OestigaardDEF	Genoa	1.16	87provisional	1.13	31%	30	034% 135% 220% 38% 43% 51% 6+0%
Mikael Egill EllertssonMID	Genoa	1.30	77provisional	1.11	31%	36	037% 132% 219% 38% 43% 51% 6+0%
Nicolò RovellaMID	Lazio	1.36	74provisional	1.11	30%	44	036% 134% 219% 38% 43% 51% 6+0%
Vítor Manuel Carvalho OliveiraFWD	Genoa	1.63	60provisional	1.08	29%	60	039% 131% 218% 38% 43% 51% 6+0%
Danilo CataldiMID	Lazio	1.32	74provisional	1.08	29%	27	036% 135% 219% 37% 42% 51% 6+0%
Ruslan MalinovskiyMID	Genoa	1.55	61provisional	1.06	29%	43	039% 133% 218% 37% 43% 51% 6+0%
Matteo CancellieriFWD	Lazio	1.65	58provisional	1.06	28%	30	040% 132% 217% 37% 43% 51% 6+0%
Aarón Martín CaricolDEF	Genoa	1.17	76provisional	0.99	27%	69	040% 133% 217% 37% 42% 51% 6+0%
Alan Matturro RomeroDEF	Genoa	1.29	69provisional	0.99	27%	13	043% 131% 216% 37% 42% 51% 6+0%
Johan Felipe Vásquez IbarraDEF	Genoa	1.01	87provisional	0.97	26%	72	039% 135% 217% 36% 42% 50% 6+0%
Tijanni NoslinFWD	Lazio	2.57	34provisional	0.97	24%	59	047% 129% 213% 36% 43% 51% 6+1%
Alessandro MarcandalliDEF	Genoa	1.11	78provisional	0.96	25%	34	041% 134% 217% 36% 42% 50% 6+0%
Alessio RomagnoliDEF	Lazio	1.01	83provisional	0.93	24%	64	041% 135% 217% 36% 42% 5+0%

20 of 43 players shown, ranked by projection.

Tackles43 playersHighest: Morten Frendrup, 1.95 expectedshow

What drives it — Possession share. A tackle count depends far more on how much of the match is played at your own end than on a player’s own form. See what has actually happened.

Morten Frendrup
MID · Genoa
provisional
Mins
87
Proj.
1.95
O 1.5
58%
Model /90
2.01
015%
128%
227%
317%
49%
53%
6+2%
Brooke Norton-Cuffy
DEF · Genoa
provisional
Mins
72
Proj.
1.72
O 1.5
50%
Model /90
2.16
022%
128%
223%
315%
47%
53%
6+1%
Stefano Sabelli
DEF · Genoa
provisional
Mins
60
Proj.
1.58
O 1.5
45%
Model /90
2.38
027%
128%
221%
313%
46%
53%
6+1%
Nicolò Rovella
MID · Lazio
provisional
Mins
74
Proj.
1.55
O 1.5
45%
Model /90
1.90
023%
131%
224%
313%
46%
52%
6+1%
Kenneth Taylor
MID · Lazio
provisional
Mins
82
Proj.
1.48
O 1.5
43%
Model /90
1.61
023%
134%
225%
312%
45%
51%
6+0%
Johan Felipe Vásquez Ibarra
DEF · Genoa
provisional
Mins
87
Proj.
1.40
O 1.5
41%
Model /90
1.45
025%
134%
224%
311%
44%
51%
6+0%
Leo Skiri Oestigaard
DEF · Genoa
provisional
Mins
87
Proj.
1.38
O 1.5
40%
Model /90
1.42
025%
135%
224%
311%
44%
51%
6+0%
Mikael Egill Ellertsson
MID · Genoa
provisional
Mins
77
Proj.
1.38
O 1.5
40%
Model /90
1.62
029%
131%
222%
311%
44%
51%
6+0%
Danilo Cataldi
MID · Lazio
provisional
Mins
74
Proj.
1.37
O 1.5
40%
Model /90
1.67
026%
134%
223%
311%
44%
51%
6+0%
Mattéo Guendouzi Olié
MID · Lazio
provisional
Mins
89
Proj.
1.34
O 1.5
39%
Model /90
1.36
026%
135%
223%
310%
44%
51%
6+0%
Aarón Martín Caricol
DEF · Genoa
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
1.33
O 1.5
38%
Model /90
1.57
029%
132%
222%
311%
44%
51%
6+0%
Morten Thorsby
MID · Genoa
provisional
Mins
61
Proj.
1.31
O 1.5
37%
Model /90
1.92
033%
129%
220%
311%
45%
52%
6+1%
Alessandro Marcandalli
DEF · Genoa
provisional
Mins
78
Proj.
1.23
O 1.5
35%
Model /90
1.42
032%
134%
221%
39%
43%
51%
6+0%
Alessio Romagnoli
DEF · Lazio
provisional
Mins
83
Proj.
1.23
O 1.5
35%
Model /90
1.32
030%
135%
222%
39%
43%
51%
6+0%
Nuno Albertino Varela Tavares
DEF · Lazio
provisional
Mins
69
Proj.
1.19
O 1.5
34%
Model /90
1.56
033%
133%
220%
39%
43%
51%
6+0%
Alan Matturro Romero
DEF · Genoa
provisional
Mins
69
Proj.
1.18
O 1.5
33%
Model /90
1.55
036%
131%
219%
39%
44%
51%
6+0%
Ruslan Malinovskiy
MID · Genoa
provisional
Mins
61
Proj.
1.17
O 1.5
33%
Model /90
1.72
034%
133%
220%
39%
43%
51%
6+0%
Alessandro Vogliacco
DEF · Genoa
provisional
Mins
59
Proj.
1.15
O 1.5
32%
Model /90
1.74
035%
133%
219%
38%
43%
51%
6+0%
Alexsandro Amorim de Freitas Filho
MID · Genoa
provisional
Mins
50
Proj.
1.10
O 1.5
30%
Model /90
1.97
040%
130%
217%
38%
43%
51%
6+0%
Adam Marušić
DEF · Lazio
provisional
Mins
75
Proj.
1.10
O 1.5
30%
Model /90
1.31
036%
134%
219%
38%
42%
51%
6+0%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 1.5	n	Distribution
Morten FrendrupMID	Genoa	2.01	87provisional	1.95	58%	71	015% 128% 227% 317% 49% 53% 6+2%
Brooke Norton-CuffyDEF	Genoa	2.16	72provisional	1.72	50%	41	022% 128% 223% 315% 47% 53% 6+1%
Stefano SabelliDEF	Genoa	2.38	60provisional	1.58	45%	50	027% 128% 221% 313% 46% 53% 6+1%
Nicolò RovellaMID	Lazio	1.90	74provisional	1.55	45%	44	023% 131% 224% 313% 46% 52% 6+1%
Kenneth TaylorMID	Lazio	1.61	82provisional	1.48	43%	17	023% 134% 225% 312% 45% 51% 6+0%
Johan Felipe Vásquez IbarraDEF	Genoa	1.45	87provisional	1.40	41%	72	025% 134% 224% 311% 44% 51% 6+0%
Leo Skiri OestigaardDEF	Genoa	1.42	87provisional	1.38	40%	30	025% 135% 224% 311% 44% 51% 6+0%
Mikael Egill EllertssonMID	Genoa	1.62	77provisional	1.38	40%	36	029% 131% 222% 311% 44% 51% 6+0%
Danilo CataldiMID	Lazio	1.67	74provisional	1.37	40%	27	026% 134% 223% 311% 44% 51% 6+0%
Mattéo Guendouzi OliéMID	Lazio	1.36	89provisional	1.34	39%	53	026% 135% 223% 310% 44% 51% 6+0%
Aarón Martín CaricolDEF	Genoa	1.57	76provisional	1.33	38%	69	029% 132% 222% 311% 44% 51% 6+0%
Morten ThorsbyMID	Genoa	1.92	61provisional	1.31	37%	43	033% 129% 220% 311% 45% 52% 6+1%
Alessandro MarcandalliDEF	Genoa	1.42	78provisional	1.23	35%	34	032% 134% 221% 39% 43% 51% 6+0%
Alessio RomagnoliDEF	Lazio	1.32	83provisional	1.23	35%	64	030% 135% 222% 39% 43% 51% 6+0%
Nuno Albertino Varela TavaresDEF	Lazio	1.56	69provisional	1.19	34%	46	033% 133% 220% 39% 43% 51% 6+0%
Alan Matturro RomeroDEF	Genoa	1.55	69provisional	1.18	33%	13	036% 131% 219% 39% 44% 51% 6+0%
Ruslan MalinovskiyMID	Genoa	1.72	61provisional	1.17	33%	43	034% 133% 220% 39% 43% 51% 6+0%
Alessandro VogliaccoDEF	Genoa	1.74	59provisional	1.15	32%	12	035% 133% 219% 38% 43% 51% 6+0%
Alexsandro Amorim de Freitas FilhoMID	Genoa	1.97	50provisional	1.10	30%	11	040% 130% 217% 38% 43% 51% 6+0%
Adam MarušićDEF	Lazio	1.31	75provisional	1.10	30%	68	036% 134% 219% 38% 42% 51% 6+0%

20 of 43 players shown, ranked by projection.

Shots43 playersHighest: Valentín Mariano José Castellanos Giménez, 2.31 expectedshow

What drives it — The player’s own shot rate, shrunk toward others in his position, then adjusted for how many shots the opponent concedes. See what has actually happened.

Valentín Mariano José Castellanos Giménez
FWD · Lazio
provisional
Mins
77
Proj.
2.31
O 1.5
61%
Model /90
2.69
016%
123%
222%
317%
411%
56%
6+6%
Mattia Zaccagni
FWD · Lazio
provisional
Mins
80
Proj.
2.03
O 1.5
57%
Model /90
2.27
017%
126%
224%
316%
49%
55%
6+3%
Matteo Cancellieri
FWD · Lazio
provisional
Mins
58
Proj.
1.66
O 1.5
45%
Model /90
2.58
027%
128%
220%
312%
47%
53%
6+3%
Vítor Manuel Carvalho Oliveira
FWD · Genoa
provisional
Mins
60
Proj.
1.65
O 1.5
45%
Model /90
2.49
028%
127%
220%
312%
47%
53%
6+3%
Gustav Tang Isaksen
FWD · Lazio
provisional
Mins
57
Proj.
1.64
O 1.5
45%
Model /90
2.59
026%
129%
221%
312%
47%
53%
6+2%
Boulaye Dia
FWD · Lazio
provisional
Mins
56
Proj.
1.51
O 1.5
41%
Model /90
2.43
030%
129%
220%
311%
46%
53%
6+2%
Lorenzo Colombo
FWD · Genoa
provisional
Mins
62
Proj.
1.45
O 1.5
40%
Model /90
2.11
030%
130%
220%
311%
45%
52%
6+1%
Kenneth Taylor
MID · Lazio
provisional
Mins
82
Proj.
1.20
O 1.5
33%
Model /90
1.31
033%
134%
220%
39%
43%
51%
6+0%
Mattéo Guendouzi Olié
MID · Lazio
provisional
Mins
89
Proj.
1.19
O 1.5
33%
Model /90
1.21
033%
134%
220%
39%
43%
51%
6+0%
Pedro Eliezer Rodríguez Ledesma
FWD · Lazio
provisional
Mins
35
Proj.
1.17
O 1.5
31%
Model /90
3.02
038%
132%
217%
38%
43%
52%
6+1%
Tijanni Noslin
FWD · Lazio
provisional
Mins
34
Proj.
1.14
O 1.5
28%
Model /90
3.02
043%
129%
214%
37%
44%
52%
6+2%
Danilo Cataldi
MID · Lazio
provisional
Mins
74
Proj.
1.12
O 1.5
31%
Model /90
1.37
036%
134%
219%
38%
43%
51%
6+0%
Nicolò Rovella
MID · Lazio
provisional
Mins
74
Proj.
1.02
O 1.5
27%
Model /90
1.25
040%
133%
217%
37%
42%
51%
6+0%
Junior Messias
FWD · Genoa
provisional
Mins
41
Proj.
0.97
O 1.5
25%
Model /90
2.13
045%
130%
214%
36%
43%
51%
6+1%
Morten Frendrup
MID · Genoa
provisional
Mins
87
Proj.
0.85
O 1.5
21%
Model /90
0.88
045%
134%
215%
35%
41%
5+0%
Mikael Egill Ellertsson
MID · Genoa
provisional
Mins
77
Proj.
0.84
O 1.5
21%
Model /90
0.99
047%
132%
214%
35%
42%
50%
6+0%
Ruslan Malinovskiy
MID · Genoa
provisional
Mins
61
Proj.
0.83
O 1.5
21%
Model /90
1.22
048%
132%
214%
35%
41%
50%
6+0%
Alexsandro Amorim de Freitas Filho
MID · Genoa
provisional
Mins
50
Proj.
0.82
O 1.5
21%
Model /90
1.47
051%
128%
213%
35%
42%
51%
6+0%
Caleb Ekuban
FWD · Genoa
provisional
Mins
31
Proj.
0.81
O 1.5
19%
Model /90
2.34
050%
131%
212%
34%
42%
51%
6+0%
Fisayo Dele-Bashiru
MID · Lazio
provisional
Mins
48
Proj.
0.77
O 1.5
19%
Model /90
1.44
052%
129%
212%
35%
42%
50%
6+0%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 1.5	n	Distribution
Valentín Mariano José Castellanos GiménezFWD	Lazio	2.69	77provisional	2.31	61%	40	016% 123% 222% 317% 411% 56% 6+6%
Mattia ZaccagniFWD	Lazio	2.27	80provisional	2.03	57%	60	017% 126% 224% 316% 49% 55% 6+3%
Matteo CancellieriFWD	Lazio	2.58	58provisional	1.66	45%	30	027% 128% 220% 312% 47% 53% 6+3%
Vítor Manuel Carvalho OliveiraFWD	Genoa	2.49	60provisional	1.65	45%	60	028% 127% 220% 312% 47% 53% 6+3%
Gustav Tang IsaksenFWD	Lazio	2.59	57provisional	1.64	45%	67	026% 129% 221% 312% 47% 53% 6+2%
Boulaye DiaFWD	Lazio	2.43	56provisional	1.51	41%	62	030% 129% 220% 311% 46% 53% 6+2%
Lorenzo ColomboFWD	Genoa	2.11	62provisional	1.45	40%	38	030% 130% 220% 311% 45% 52% 6+1%
Kenneth TaylorMID	Lazio	1.31	82provisional	1.20	33%	17	033% 134% 220% 39% 43% 51% 6+0%
Mattéo Guendouzi OliéMID	Lazio	1.21	89provisional	1.19	33%	53	033% 134% 220% 39% 43% 51% 6+0%
Pedro Eliezer Rodríguez LedesmaFWD	Lazio	3.02	35provisional	1.17	31%	59	038% 132% 217% 38% 43% 52% 6+1%
Tijanni NoslinFWD	Lazio	3.02	34provisional	1.14	28%	59	043% 129% 214% 37% 44% 52% 6+2%
Danilo CataldiMID	Lazio	1.37	74provisional	1.12	31%	27	036% 134% 219% 38% 43% 51% 6+0%
Nicolò RovellaMID	Lazio	1.25	74provisional	1.02	27%	44	040% 133% 217% 37% 42% 51% 6+0%
Junior MessiasFWD	Genoa	2.13	41provisional	0.97	25%	37	045% 130% 214% 36% 43% 51% 6+1%
Morten FrendrupMID	Genoa	0.88	87provisional	0.85	21%	71	045% 134% 215% 35% 41% 5+0%
Mikael Egill EllertssonMID	Genoa	0.99	77provisional	0.84	21%	36	047% 132% 214% 35% 42% 50% 6+0%
Ruslan MalinovskiyMID	Genoa	1.22	61provisional	0.83	21%	43	048% 132% 214% 35% 41% 50% 6+0%
Alexsandro Amorim de Freitas FilhoMID	Genoa	1.47	50provisional	0.82	21%	11	051% 128% 213% 35% 42% 51% 6+0%
Caleb EkubanFWD	Genoa	2.34	31provisional	0.81	19%	49	050% 131% 212% 34% 42% 51% 6+0%
Fisayo Dele-BashiruMID	Lazio	1.44	48provisional	0.77	19%	44	052% 129% 212% 35% 42% 50% 6+0%

20 of 43 players shown, ranked by projection.

Shots on target41 playersHighest: Valentín Mariano José Castellanos Giménez, 0.88 expectedshow

What drives it — Shot volume first, conversion second — literally: the projection is the shots model thinned by the player’s own on-target rate, so a high-volume low-accuracy shooter and a sniper price differently at the same shot count. See what has actually happened.

Valentín Mariano José Castellanos Giménez
FWD · Lazio
provisional
Mins
77
Proj.
0.88
O 0.5
55%
Model /90
1.02
045%
133%
215%
35%
42%
50%
6+0%
Mattia Zaccagni
FWD · Lazio
provisional
Mins
80
Proj.
0.76
O 0.5
51%
Model /90
0.85
049%
133%
213%
34%
41%
5+0%
Boulaye Dia
FWD · Lazio
provisional
Mins
56
Proj.
0.69
O 0.5
46%
Model /90
1.12
054%
130%
211%
34%
41%
5+0%
Gustav Tang Isaksen
FWD · Lazio
provisional
Mins
57
Proj.
0.68
O 0.5
46%
Model /90
1.07
054%
131%
211%
33%
41%
5+0%
Matteo Cancellieri
FWD · Lazio
provisional
Mins
58
Proj.
0.67
O 0.5
45%
Model /90
1.05
055%
130%
211%
33%
41%
5+0%
Lorenzo Colombo
FWD · Genoa
provisional
Mins
62
Proj.
0.57
O 0.5
41%
Model /90
0.83
059%
129%
29%
32%
41%
5+0%
Pedro Eliezer Rodríguez Ledesma
FWD · Lazio
provisional
Mins
35
Proj.
0.51
O 0.5
37%
Model /90
1.31
063%
127%
28%
32%
41%
5+0%
Vítor Manuel Carvalho Oliveira
FWD · Genoa
provisional
Mins
60
Proj.
0.49
O 0.5
36%
Model /90
0.74
064%
127%
28%
32%
4+0%
Mattéo Guendouzi Olié
MID · Lazio
provisional
Mins
89
Proj.
0.42
O 0.5
34%
Model /90
0.43
066%
126%
26%
31%
4+0%
Tijanni Noslin
FWD · Lazio
provisional
Mins
34
Proj.
0.41
O 0.5
30%
Model /90
1.09
070%
122%
26%
32%
40%
5+0%
Kenneth Taylor
MID · Lazio
provisional
Mins
82
Proj.
0.39
O 0.5
32%
Model /90
0.43
068%
125%
25%
31%
4+0%
Junior Messias
FWD · Genoa
provisional
Mins
41
Proj.
0.35
O 0.5
27%
Model /90
0.76
073%
121%
25%
31%
4+0%
Danilo Cataldi
MID · Lazio
provisional
Mins
74
Proj.
0.33
O 0.5
27%
Model /90
0.40
073%
123%
24%
3+1%
Nicolò Rovella
MID · Lazio
provisional
Mins
74
Proj.
0.30
O 0.5
25%
Model /90
0.37
075%
121%
24%
3+1%
Caleb Ekuban
FWD · Genoa
provisional
Mins
31
Proj.
0.29
O 0.5
24%
Model /90
0.83
076%
119%
23%
31%
4+0%
Morten Frendrup
MID · Genoa
provisional
Mins
87
Proj.
0.27
O 0.5
23%
Model /90
0.27
077%
120%
23%
3+0%
Morten Thorsby
MID · Genoa
provisional
Mins
61
Proj.
0.25
O 0.5
21%
Model /90
0.37
079%
118%
23%
3+0%
Ruslan Malinovskiy
MID · Genoa
provisional
Mins
61
Proj.
0.24
O 0.5
21%
Model /90
0.35
079%
118%
23%
3+0%
Alexsandro Amorim de Freitas Filho
MID · Genoa
provisional
Mins
50
Proj.
0.24
O 0.5
20%
Model /90
0.43
080%
117%
23%
3+0%
Mikael Egill Ellertsson
MID · Genoa
provisional
Mins
77
Proj.
0.23
O 0.5
20%
Model /90
0.27
080%
117%
22%
3+0%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 0.5	n	Distribution
Valentín Mariano José Castellanos GiménezFWD	Lazio	1.02	77provisional	0.88	55%	40	045% 133% 215% 35% 42% 50% 6+0%
Mattia ZaccagniFWD	Lazio	0.85	80provisional	0.76	51%	60	049% 133% 213% 34% 41% 5+0%
Boulaye DiaFWD	Lazio	1.12	56provisional	0.69	46%	62	054% 130% 211% 34% 41% 5+0%
Gustav Tang IsaksenFWD	Lazio	1.07	57provisional	0.68	46%	67	054% 131% 211% 33% 41% 5+0%
Matteo CancellieriFWD	Lazio	1.05	58provisional	0.67	45%	30	055% 130% 211% 33% 41% 5+0%
Lorenzo ColomboFWD	Genoa	0.83	62provisional	0.57	41%	38	059% 129% 29% 32% 41% 5+0%
Pedro Eliezer Rodríguez LedesmaFWD	Lazio	1.31	35provisional	0.51	37%	59	063% 127% 28% 32% 41% 5+0%
Vítor Manuel Carvalho OliveiraFWD	Genoa	0.74	60provisional	0.49	36%	60	064% 127% 28% 32% 4+0%
Mattéo Guendouzi OliéMID	Lazio	0.43	89provisional	0.42	34%	53	066% 126% 26% 31% 4+0%
Tijanni NoslinFWD	Lazio	1.09	34provisional	0.41	30%	59	070% 122% 26% 32% 40% 5+0%
Kenneth TaylorMID	Lazio	0.43	82provisional	0.39	32%	17	068% 125% 25% 31% 4+0%
Junior MessiasFWD	Genoa	0.76	41provisional	0.35	27%	37	073% 121% 25% 31% 4+0%
Danilo CataldiMID	Lazio	0.40	74provisional	0.33	27%	27	073% 123% 24% 3+1%
Nicolò RovellaMID	Lazio	0.37	74provisional	0.30	25%	44	075% 121% 24% 3+1%
Caleb EkubanFWD	Genoa	0.83	31provisional	0.29	24%	49	076% 119% 23% 31% 4+0%
Morten FrendrupMID	Genoa	0.27	87provisional	0.27	23%	71	077% 120% 23% 3+0%
Morten ThorsbyMID	Genoa	0.37	61provisional	0.25	21%	43	079% 118% 23% 3+0%
Ruslan MalinovskiyMID	Genoa	0.35	61provisional	0.24	21%	43	079% 118% 23% 3+0%
Alexsandro Amorim de Freitas FilhoMID	Genoa	0.43	50provisional	0.24	20%	11	080% 117% 23% 3+0%
Mikael Egill EllertssonMID	Genoa	0.27	77provisional	0.23	20%	36	080% 117% 22% 3+0%

20 of 41 players shown, ranked by projection.

Fouls won43 playersHighest: Mattia Zaccagni, 2.13 expectedshow

What drives it — How much a player runs at defenders. Dribble volume drives this far more than the referee does. See what has actually happened.

Mattia Zaccagni
FWD · Lazio
provisional
Mins
80
Proj.
2.13
O 1.5
59%
Model /90
2.39
016%
125%
223%
316%
410%
55%
6+4%
Valentín Mariano José Castellanos Giménez
FWD · Lazio
provisional
Mins
77
Proj.
1.65
O 1.5
46%
Model /90
1.92
025%
129%
222%
313%
46%
53%
6+2%
Matteo Cancellieri
FWD · Lazio
provisional
Mins
58
Proj.
1.55
O 1.5
42%
Model /90
2.41
029%
129%
220%
312%
46%
53%
6+2%
Gustav Tang Isaksen
FWD · Lazio
provisional
Mins
57
Proj.
1.45
O 1.5
40%
Model /90
2.29
030%
130%
220%
311%
45%
52%
6+1%
Vítor Manuel Carvalho Oliveira
FWD · Genoa
provisional
Mins
60
Proj.
1.44
O 1.5
40%
Model /90
2.18
032%
129%
219%
311%
45%
52%
6+2%
Lorenzo Colombo
FWD · Genoa
provisional
Mins
62
Proj.
1.25
O 1.5
35%
Model /90
1.83
035%
131%
219%
39%
44%
52%
6+1%
Mattéo Guendouzi Olié
MID · Lazio
provisional
Mins
89
Proj.
1.24
O 1.5
34%
Model /90
1.26
032%
134%
220%
39%
43%
51%
6+0%
Kenneth Taylor
MID · Lazio
provisional
Mins
82
Proj.
1.21
O 1.5
33%
Model /90
1.32
033%
134%
220%
39%
43%
51%
6+0%
Nicolò Rovella
MID · Lazio
provisional
Mins
74
Proj.
1.13
O 1.5
31%
Model /90
1.38
037%
133%
218%
38%
43%
51%
6+0%
Mikael Egill Ellertsson
MID · Genoa
provisional
Mins
77
Proj.
1.09
O 1.5
30%
Model /90
1.27
039%
131%
218%
38%
43%
51%
6+0%
Morten Frendrup
MID · Genoa
provisional
Mins
87
Proj.
1.05
O 1.5
28%
Model /90
1.09
038%
134%
218%
37%
42%
51%
6+0%
Boulaye Dia
FWD · Lazio
provisional
Mins
56
Proj.
1.03
O 1.5
27%
Model /90
1.66
042%
131%
216%
37%
43%
51%
6+0%
Danilo Cataldi
MID · Lazio
provisional
Mins
74
Proj.
1.02
O 1.5
27%
Model /90
1.25
039%
134%
217%
37%
42%
51%
6+0%
Pedro Eliezer Rodríguez Ledesma
FWD · Lazio
provisional
Mins
35
Proj.
1.02
O 1.5
26%
Model /90
2.63
042%
132%
215%
36%
43%
51%
6+1%
Tijanni Noslin
FWD · Lazio
provisional
Mins
34
Proj.
1.00
O 1.5
25%
Model /90
2.64
047%
128%
213%
36%
43%
51%
6+1%
Manuel Lazzari
DEF · Lazio
provisional
Mins
49
Proj.
0.95
O 1.5
25%
Model /90
1.75
046%
129%
214%
36%
43%
51%
6+1%
Junior Messias
FWD · Genoa
provisional
Mins
41
Proj.
0.94
O 1.5
24%
Model /90
2.06
046%
130%
214%
36%
42%
51%
6+1%
Ruslan Malinovskiy
MID · Genoa
provisional
Mins
61
Proj.
0.86
O 1.5
22%
Model /90
1.26
047%
132%
214%
35%
42%
50%
6+0%
Nuno Albertino Varela Tavares
DEF · Lazio
provisional
Mins
69
Proj.
0.83
O 1.5
21%
Model /90
1.08
047%
132%
214%
35%
41%
50%
6+0%
Alexsandro Amorim de Freitas Filho
MID · Genoa
provisional
Mins
50
Proj.
0.81
O 1.5
20%
Model /90
1.45
051%
128%
213%
35%
42%
51%
6+0%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 1.5	n	Distribution
Mattia ZaccagniFWD	Lazio	2.39	80provisional	2.13	59%	60	016% 125% 223% 316% 410% 55% 6+4%
Valentín Mariano José Castellanos GiménezFWD	Lazio	1.92	77provisional	1.65	46%	40	025% 129% 222% 313% 46% 53% 6+2%
Matteo CancellieriFWD	Lazio	2.41	58provisional	1.55	42%	30	029% 129% 220% 312% 46% 53% 6+2%
Gustav Tang IsaksenFWD	Lazio	2.29	57provisional	1.45	40%	67	030% 130% 220% 311% 45% 52% 6+1%
Vítor Manuel Carvalho OliveiraFWD	Genoa	2.18	60provisional	1.44	40%	60	032% 129% 219% 311% 45% 52% 6+2%
Lorenzo ColomboFWD	Genoa	1.83	62provisional	1.25	35%	38	035% 131% 219% 39% 44% 52% 6+1%
Mattéo Guendouzi OliéMID	Lazio	1.26	89provisional	1.24	34%	53	032% 134% 220% 39% 43% 51% 6+0%
Kenneth TaylorMID	Lazio	1.32	82provisional	1.21	33%	17	033% 134% 220% 39% 43% 51% 6+0%
Nicolò RovellaMID	Lazio	1.38	74provisional	1.13	31%	44	037% 133% 218% 38% 43% 51% 6+0%
Mikael Egill EllertssonMID	Genoa	1.27	77provisional	1.09	30%	36	039% 131% 218% 38% 43% 51% 6+0%
Morten FrendrupMID	Genoa	1.09	87provisional	1.05	28%	71	038% 134% 218% 37% 42% 51% 6+0%
Boulaye DiaFWD	Lazio	1.66	56provisional	1.03	27%	62	042% 131% 216% 37% 43% 51% 6+0%
Danilo CataldiMID	Lazio	1.25	74provisional	1.02	27%	27	039% 134% 217% 37% 42% 51% 6+0%
Pedro Eliezer Rodríguez LedesmaFWD	Lazio	2.63	35provisional	1.02	26%	59	042% 132% 215% 36% 43% 51% 6+1%
Tijanni NoslinFWD	Lazio	2.64	34provisional	1.00	25%	59	047% 128% 213% 36% 43% 51% 6+1%
Manuel LazzariDEF	Lazio	1.75	49provisional	0.95	25%	48	046% 129% 214% 36% 43% 51% 6+1%
Junior MessiasFWD	Genoa	2.06	41provisional	0.94	24%	37	046% 130% 214% 36% 42% 51% 6+1%
Ruslan MalinovskiyMID	Genoa	1.26	61provisional	0.86	22%	43	047% 132% 214% 35% 42% 50% 6+0%
Nuno Albertino Varela TavaresDEF	Lazio	1.08	69provisional	0.83	21%	46	047% 132% 214% 35% 41% 50% 6+0%
Alexsandro Amorim de Freitas FilhoMID	Genoa	1.45	50provisional	0.81	20%	11	051% 128% 213% 35% 42% 51% 6+0%

20 of 43 players shown, ranked by projection.

Cards43 playersHighest: Nicola Leali, 0.22 expectedshow

Known defect — Prices ANY card — yellow or straight red — matching how books settle "to be shown a card" (D-048). The trends column alongside counts yellows only.

What drives it — Fouls first, then how readily the referee reaches for a card. Two officials averaging four cards a match can do it for opposite reasons. See what has actually happened.

Nicola Leali
GK · Genoa
provisional
Mins
87
Proj.
0.22
O 0.5
20%
Model /90
0.23
080%
117%
22%
3+0%
Nicolò Rovella
MID · Lazio
provisional
Mins
74
Proj.
0.18
O 0.5
16%
Model /90
0.22
084%
115%
21%
3+0%
Leo Skiri Oestigaard
DEF · Genoa
provisional
Mins
87
Proj.
0.18
O 0.5
16%
Model /90
0.18
084%
115%
21%
3+0%
Mattéo Guendouzi Olié
MID · Lazio
provisional
Mins
89
Proj.
0.18
O 0.5
16%
Model /90
0.18
084%
115%
21%
3+0%
Kenneth Taylor
MID · Lazio
provisional
Mins
82
Proj.
0.18
O 0.5
16%
Model /90
0.19
084%
115%
2+1%
Mattia Zaccagni
FWD · Lazio
provisional
Mins
80
Proj.
0.18
O 0.5
16%
Model /90
0.20
084%
115%
21%
3+0%
Ruslan Malinovskiy
MID · Genoa
provisional
Mins
61
Proj.
0.17
O 0.5
15%
Model /90
0.24
085%
114%
21%
3+0%
Alessio Romagnoli
DEF · Lazio
provisional
Mins
83
Proj.
0.16
O 0.5
15%
Model /90
0.18
085%
114%
2+1%
Danilo Cataldi
MID · Lazio
provisional
Mins
74
Proj.
0.16
O 0.5
15%
Model /90
0.20
085%
113%
2+1%
Valentín Mariano José Castellanos Giménez
FWD · Lazio
provisional
Mins
77
Proj.
0.16
O 0.5
15%
Model /90
0.18
085%
113%
2+1%
Johan Felipe Vásquez Ibarra
DEF · Genoa
provisional
Mins
87
Proj.
0.16
O 0.5
14%
Model /90
0.16
086%
113%
2+1%
Morten Thorsby
MID · Genoa
provisional
Mins
61
Proj.
0.15
O 0.5
14%
Model /90
0.23
086%
113%
2+1%
Alan Matturro Romero
DEF · Genoa
provisional
Mins
69
Proj.
0.15
O 0.5
14%
Model /90
0.20
086%
113%
2+1%
Morten Frendrup
MID · Genoa
provisional
Mins
87
Proj.
0.15
O 0.5
14%
Model /90
0.16
086%
113%
2+1%
Alessandro Marcandalli
DEF · Genoa
provisional
Mins
78
Proj.
0.15
O 0.5
14%
Model /90
0.17
086%
113%
2+1%
Nuno Albertino Varela Tavares
DEF · Lazio
provisional
Mins
69
Proj.
0.15
O 0.5
14%
Model /90
0.19
086%
112%
2+1%
Luca Pellegrini
DEF · Lazio
provisional
Mins
55
Proj.
0.15
O 0.5
13%
Model /90
0.24
087%
112%
2+1%
Alessandro Vogliacco
DEF · Genoa
provisional
Mins
59
Proj.
0.14
O 0.5
13%
Model /90
0.22
087%
112%
2+1%
Sebastian Otoa
DEF · Genoa
provisional
Mins
63
Proj.
0.14
O 0.5
13%
Model /90
0.20
087%
112%
2+1%
Brooke Norton-Cuffy
DEF · Genoa
provisional
Mins
72
Proj.
0.14
O 0.5
13%
Model /90
0.17
087%
112%
2+1%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 0.5	n	Distribution
Nicola LealiGK	Genoa	0.23	87provisional	0.22	20%	51	080% 117% 22% 3+0%
Nicolò RovellaMID	Lazio	0.22	74provisional	0.18	16%	44	084% 115% 21% 3+0%
Leo Skiri OestigaardDEF	Genoa	0.18	87provisional	0.18	16%	30	084% 115% 21% 3+0%
Mattéo Guendouzi OliéMID	Lazio	0.18	89provisional	0.18	16%	53	084% 115% 21% 3+0%
Kenneth TaylorMID	Lazio	0.19	82provisional	0.18	16%	17	084% 115% 2+1%
Mattia ZaccagniFWD	Lazio	0.20	80provisional	0.18	16%	60	084% 115% 21% 3+0%
Ruslan MalinovskiyMID	Genoa	0.24	61provisional	0.17	15%	43	085% 114% 21% 3+0%
Alessio RomagnoliDEF	Lazio	0.18	83provisional	0.16	15%	64	085% 114% 2+1%
Danilo CataldiMID	Lazio	0.20	74provisional	0.16	15%	27	085% 113% 2+1%
Valentín Mariano José Castellanos GiménezFWD	Lazio	0.18	77provisional	0.16	15%	40	085% 113% 2+1%
Johan Felipe Vásquez IbarraDEF	Genoa	0.16	87provisional	0.16	14%	72	086% 113% 2+1%
Morten ThorsbyMID	Genoa	0.23	61provisional	0.15	14%	43	086% 113% 2+1%
Alan Matturro RomeroDEF	Genoa	0.20	69provisional	0.15	14%	13	086% 113% 2+1%
Morten FrendrupMID	Genoa	0.16	87provisional	0.15	14%	71	086% 113% 2+1%
Alessandro MarcandalliDEF	Genoa	0.17	78provisional	0.15	14%	34	086% 113% 2+1%
Nuno Albertino Varela TavaresDEF	Lazio	0.19	69provisional	0.15	14%	46	086% 112% 2+1%
Luca PellegriniDEF	Lazio	0.24	55provisional	0.15	13%	46	087% 112% 2+1%
Alessandro VogliaccoDEF	Genoa	0.22	59provisional	0.14	13%	12	087% 112% 2+1%
Sebastian OtoaDEF	Genoa	0.20	63provisional	0.14	13%	16	087% 112% 2+1%
Brooke Norton-CuffyDEF	Genoa	0.17	72provisional	0.14	13%	41	087% 112% 2+1%

20 of 43 players shown, ranked by projection.

Saves43 playersHighest: Nicola Leali, 3.03 expectedshow

What drives it — Opponent shot volume. A keeper’s own record carries so little that this market shrinks harder than any other on the board. See what has actually happened.

Nicola Leali
GK · Genoa
provisional
Mins
87
Proj.
3.03
O 2.5
56%
Model /90
3.12
07%
116%
221%
320%
415%
510%
6+11%
Justin Bijlow
GK · Genoa
provisional
Mins
87
Proj.
3.01
O 2.5
56%
Model /90
3.11
07%
116%
221%
320%
415%
510%
6+11%
Leo Skiri Oestigaard
DEF · Genoa
provisional
Mins
87
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Morten Frendrup
MID · Genoa
provisional
Mins
87
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Johan Felipe Vásquez Ibarra
DEF · Genoa
provisional
Mins
87
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Mikael Egill Ellertsson
MID · Genoa
provisional
Mins
77
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Alessandro Marcandalli
DEF · Genoa
provisional
Mins
78
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Aarón Martín Caricol
DEF · Genoa
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Brooke Norton-Cuffy
DEF · Genoa
provisional
Mins
72
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Alan Matturro Romero
DEF · Genoa
provisional
Mins
69
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Sebastian Otoa
DEF · Genoa
provisional
Mins
63
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Lorenzo Colombo
FWD · Genoa
provisional
Mins
62
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Ruslan Malinovskiy
MID · Genoa
provisional
Mins
61
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Morten Thorsby
MID · Genoa
provisional
Mins
61
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Alessandro Vogliacco
DEF · Genoa
provisional
Mins
59
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Mattéo Guendouzi Olié
MID · Lazio
provisional
Mins
89
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Vítor Manuel Carvalho Oliveira
FWD · Genoa
provisional
Mins
60
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Stefano Sabelli
DEF · Genoa
provisional
Mins
60
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Alessio Romagnoli
DEF · Lazio
provisional
Mins
83
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Kenneth Taylor
MID · Lazio
provisional
Mins
82
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 2.5	n	Distribution
Nicola LealiGK	Genoa	3.12	87provisional	3.03	56%	51	07% 116% 221% 320% 415% 510% 6+11%
Justin BijlowGK	Genoa	3.11	87provisional	3.01	56%	16	07% 116% 221% 320% 415% 510% 6+11%
Leo Skiri OestigaardDEF	Genoa	0.00	87provisional	0.00	—	30	0100% 1+0%
Morten FrendrupMID	Genoa	0.00	87provisional	0.00	—	71	0100% 1+0%
Johan Felipe Vásquez IbarraDEF	Genoa	0.00	87provisional	0.00	—	72	0100% 1+0%
Mikael Egill EllertssonMID	Genoa	0.00	77provisional	0.00	—	36	0100% 1+0%
Alessandro MarcandalliDEF	Genoa	0.00	78provisional	0.00	—	34	0100% 1+0%
Aarón Martín CaricolDEF	Genoa	0.00	76provisional	0.00	—	69	0100% 1+0%
Brooke Norton-CuffyDEF	Genoa	0.00	72provisional	0.00	—	41	0100% 1+0%
Alan Matturro RomeroDEF	Genoa	0.00	69provisional	0.00	—	13	0100% 1+0%
Sebastian OtoaDEF	Genoa	0.00	63provisional	0.00	—	16	0100% 1+0%
Lorenzo ColomboFWD	Genoa	0.00	62provisional	0.00	—	38	0100% 1+0%
Ruslan MalinovskiyMID	Genoa	0.00	61provisional	0.00	—	43	0100% 1+0%
Morten ThorsbyMID	Genoa	0.00	61provisional	0.00	—	43	0100% 1+0%
Alessandro VogliaccoDEF	Genoa	0.00	59provisional	0.00	—	12	0100% 1+0%
Mattéo Guendouzi OliéMID	Lazio	0.00	89provisional	0.00	—	53	0100% 1+0%
Vítor Manuel Carvalho OliveiraFWD	Genoa	0.00	60provisional	0.00	—	60	0100% 1+0%
Stefano SabelliDEF	Genoa	0.00	60provisional	0.00	—	50	0100% 1+0%
Alessio RomagnoliDEF	Lazio	0.00	83provisional	0.00	—	64	0100% 1+0%
Kenneth TaylorMID	Lazio	0.00	82provisional	0.00	—	17	0100% 1+0%

20 of 43 players shown, ranked by projection.