La Liga · Spain

Atlético de MadridvVillarreal

Sunday 23 August at 16:00Riyadh Air Metropolitanolineups not announced

Referee

Not appointed

0 matches on record

Fouls per game

—

League average

22.6

fouls per match, both teams

Value

No edges published on this fixture. An edge is published only when a bookmaker's price beats the model's fair price by that market's full bar — most fixtures never produce one. The value board explains every gate a candidate has to clear.

What these numbers are

Not tips and not prices. Each row is the model's expected count for one player in this match — how many fouls, tackles or shots it thinks he records — plus the full spread of outcomes around it. Nothing here has been compared to a bookmaker.

Step 1
His own record
Every completed match in the dataset, as a rate per 90 minutes. The n column is how many matches that rests on.
Step 2
Pulled toward his position
A thin record gets pulled hard toward other players in his position, in his league — a goalkeeper toward goalkeepers, not toward the outfielders around him. How hard is fitted per market, not chosen: tackles pull about four times harder than shots on target.
Step 3
This fixture's conditions
How much of the stat the opponent concedes, what the referee's matches look like, and home or away. This is where a projection stops being a season average.
Step 4
Scaled to expected minutes
A rate becomes a count only once you say how long he plays. 60 minutes carries two-thirds the exposure of 90, and the distribution is built at that exposure.

How to read each column

Model /90: The model's rate for this match with the minutes taken back out — steps 1 to 3 already applied. It moves with the opponent and the referee, so it is not his raw career rate; the builder shows career and model rates side by side.
Exp. mins: Minutes the model expects. Confirmed means the lineup is out; provisional means it is guessing from his start rate, and is the widest of the three.
Projected: The expected count in this match, at those minutes. This is the number a line is set against.
Over 1.5, etc.: Read straight off the distribution beside it, not off how often he has beaten that line before. It answers what the model thinks, not what has happened.
n: Matches behind his own rate. Under 30 it turns amber: the projection is mostly his position group speaking, and §6.3 will not publish an edge on it.
Distribution: The whole spread, not just the average. The dashed amber cut is the line; jade bars beat it. An expected 1.8 fouls made of 2 every week and an expected 1.8 made of a 0 and a 5 are different bets, and this is where you see which one you have.

Counts are modelled as negative binomial rather than Poisson, because fouls and tackles are overdispersed and a Poisson would systematically underprice the tails — which is exactly where over bets live. Every market on this page cleared its calibration gate before it was allowed to produce a projection: when the model says 60%, it lands within a point or so of 60% out of sample.

Fouls v20260811-1858 · Tackles v20260811-1858 · Shots v20260811-1858 · Shots on target v20260811-1905 · Fouls won v20260811-1858 · Cards v20260811-1905 · Saves v20260812-1340

Model projections

Fouls41 playersHighest: Santiago Comesaña Veiga, 1.00 expectedshow

What drives it — Who referees the match. A strict official lifts every player on the pitch, which is the part most books price off a season average. See what has actually happened.

Santiago Comesaña Veiga
MID · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
72
Proj.
1.00
O 1.5
27%
Model /90
1.24
040%
133%
217%
37%
42%
51%
6+0%
Pape Gueye
MID · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
68
Proj.
1.00
O 1.5
27%
Model /90
1.31
041%
133%
217%
37%
42%
51%
6+0%
Álvaro Santiago Mouriño González
DEF · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
85
Proj.
0.99
O 1.5
26%
Model /90
1.05
039%
135%
218%
36%
42%
50%
6+0%
Pablo Barrios Rivas
MID · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
74
Proj.
0.99
O 1.5
26%
Model /90
1.20
039%
135%
217%
36%
42%
50%
6+0%
Jorge Resurrección Merodio
MID · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
63
Proj.
0.96
O 1.5
25%
Model /90
1.37
042%
133%
216%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
João Lucas de Souza Cardoso
MID · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
60
Proj.
0.96
O 1.5
25%
Model /90
1.44
041%
134%
217%
36%
42%
50%
6+0%
Obed Vargas
MID · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
62
Proj.
0.91
O 1.5
24%
Model /90
1.33
045%
131%
215%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Clément Lenglet
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
81
Proj.
0.90
O 1.5
23%
Model /90
1.00
042%
135%
216%
35%
41%
5+0%
Alberto Moleiro González
FWD · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
67
Proj.
0.89
O 1.5
23%
Model /90
1.19
044%
133%
215%
35%
42%
50%
6+0%
Daniel Parejo Muñoz
MID · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
57
Proj.
0.87
O 1.5
22%
Model /90
1.37
047%
131%
214%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Alejandro Baena Rodríguez
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
58
Proj.
0.86
O 1.5
22%
Model /90
1.33
045%
133%
215%
35%
41%
5+0%
Julián Álvarez
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
67
Proj.
0.84
O 1.5
21%
Model /90
1.12
046%
133%
215%
35%
41%
5+0%
Juan Marcos Foyth
DEF · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
77
Proj.
0.83
O 1.5
21%
Model /90
0.97
046%
133%
215%
35%
41%
5+0%
Georges Mikautadze
FWD · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
66
Proj.
0.83
O 1.5
21%
Model /90
1.13
047%
132%
214%
35%
41%
5+0%
Sergi Cardona Bermúdez
DEF · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
74
Proj.
0.83
O 1.5
21%
Model /90
1.00
047%
132%
214%
35%
41%
5+0%
Nicolas Pépé
FWD · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
61
Proj.
0.83
O 1.5
21%
Model /90
1.22
048%
131%
214%
35%
42%
50%
6+0%
Robin Aime Robert Le Normand
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
72
Proj.
0.82
O 1.5
21%
Model /90
1.04
047%
132%
214%
35%
41%
5+0%
Renato Palma Veiga
DEF · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
77
Proj.
0.82
O 1.5
21%
Model /90
0.95
047%
132%
214%
35%
41%
5+0%
Pau Navarro Badenes
DEF · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
71
Proj.
0.80
O 1.5
20%
Model /90
1.02
047%
133%
214%
34%
41%
5+0%
Marcos Llorente Moreno
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
0.80
O 1.5
20%
Model /90
0.95
047%
133%
214%
34%
41%
5+0%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 1.5	n	Distribution
Santiago Comesaña VeigaMID	Villarreal	1.24	72provisional	1.00	27%	69	040% 133% 217% 37% 42% 51% 6+0%
Pape GueyeMID	Villarreal	1.31	68provisional	1.00	27%	64	041% 133% 217% 37% 42% 51% 6+0%
Álvaro Santiago Mouriño GonzálezDEF	Villarreal	1.05	85provisional	0.99	26%	28	039% 135% 218% 36% 42% 50% 6+0%
Pablo Barrios RivasMID	Atlético de Madrid	1.20	74provisional	0.99	26%	54	039% 135% 217% 36% 42% 50% 6+0%
Jorge Resurrección MerodioMID	Atlético de Madrid	1.37	63provisional	0.96	25%	66	042% 133% 216% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
João Lucas de Souza CardosoMID	Atlético de Madrid	1.44	60provisional	0.96	25%	15	041% 134% 217% 36% 42% 50% 6+0%
Obed VargasMID	Atlético de Madrid	1.33	62provisional	0.91	24%	12	045% 131% 215% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Clément LengletDEF	Atlético de Madrid	1.00	81provisional	0.90	23%	18	042% 135% 216% 35% 41% 5+0%
Alberto Moleiro GonzálezFWD	Villarreal	1.19	67provisional	0.89	23%	37	044% 133% 215% 35% 42% 50% 6+0%
Daniel Parejo MuñozMID	Villarreal	1.37	57provisional	0.87	22%	19	047% 131% 214% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Alejandro Baena RodríguezFWD	Atlético de Madrid	1.33	58provisional	0.86	22%	27	045% 133% 215% 35% 41% 5+0%
Julián ÁlvarezFWD	Atlético de Madrid	1.12	67provisional	0.84	21%	66	046% 133% 215% 35% 41% 5+0%
Juan Marcos FoythDEF	Villarreal	0.97	77provisional	0.83	21%	32	046% 133% 215% 35% 41% 5+0%
Georges MikautadzeFWD	Villarreal	1.13	66provisional	0.83	21%	32	047% 132% 214% 35% 41% 5+0%
Sergi Cardona BermúdezDEF	Villarreal	1.00	74provisional	0.83	21%	66	047% 132% 214% 35% 41% 5+0%
Nicolas PépéFWD	Villarreal	1.22	61provisional	0.83	21%	64	048% 131% 214% 35% 42% 50% 6+0%
Robin Aime Robert Le NormandDEF	Atlético de Madrid	1.04	72provisional	0.82	21%	55	047% 132% 214% 35% 41% 5+0%
Renato Palma VeigaDEF	Villarreal	0.95	77provisional	0.82	21%	32	047% 132% 214% 35% 41% 5+0%
Pau Navarro BadenesDEF	Villarreal	1.02	71provisional	0.80	20%	40	047% 133% 214% 34% 41% 5+0%
Marcos Llorente MorenoDEF	Atlético de Madrid	0.95	76provisional	0.80	20%	62	047% 133% 214% 34% 41% 5+0%

20 of 41 players shown, ranked by projection.

Tackles41 playersHighest: Álvaro Santiago Mouriño González, 1.85 expectedshow

What drives it — Possession share. A tackle count depends far more on how much of the match is played at your own end than on a player’s own form. See what has actually happened.

Álvaro Santiago Mouriño González
DEF · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
85
Proj.
1.85
O 1.5
55%
Model /90
1.95
016%
129%
226%
316%
48%
53%
6+1%
Santiago Comesaña Veiga
MID · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
72
Proj.
1.55
O 1.5
45%
Model /90
1.94
025%
130%
223%
313%
46%
52%
6+1%
Marcos Llorente Moreno
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
1.53
O 1.5
45%
Model /90
1.82
024%
131%
224%
313%
45%
52%
6+1%
Pau Navarro Badenes
DEF · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
71
Proj.
1.45
O 1.5
42%
Model /90
1.84
026%
132%
223%
312%
45%
52%
6+1%
Obed Vargas
MID · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
62
Proj.
1.44
O 1.5
41%
Model /90
2.10
030%
130%
221%
312%
45%
52%
6+1%
Dávid Hancko
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
81
Proj.
1.43
O 1.5
42%
Model /90
1.59
026%
132%
223%
312%
45%
51%
6+1%
Jorge Resurrección Merodio
MID · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
63
Proj.
1.43
O 1.5
41%
Model /90
2.05
028%
131%
222%
312%
45%
52%
6+1%
Pablo Barrios Rivas
MID · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
74
Proj.
1.42
O 1.5
41%
Model /90
1.73
026%
133%
223%
312%
44%
51%
6+0%
Sergi Cardona Bermúdez
DEF · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
74
Proj.
1.41
O 1.5
41%
Model /90
1.71
028%
131%
222%
312%
45%
52%
6+1%
João Lucas de Souza Cardoso
MID · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
60
Proj.
1.40
O 1.5
40%
Model /90
2.12
027%
133%
223%
311%
44%
51%
6+0%
Pape Gueye
MID · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
68
Proj.
1.37
O 1.5
40%
Model /90
1.81
029%
131%
222%
311%
44%
51%
6+1%
Clément Lenglet
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
81
Proj.
1.36
O 1.5
39%
Model /90
1.50
027%
134%
223%
311%
44%
51%
6+0%
Logan Costa
DEF · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
77
Proj.
1.34
O 1.5
39%
Model /90
1.57
029%
132%
222%
311%
44%
51%
6+0%
Juan Marcos Foyth
DEF · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
77
Proj.
1.33
O 1.5
39%
Model /90
1.56
029%
133%
222%
311%
44%
51%
6+0%
Nahuel Molina Lucero
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
52
Proj.
1.31
O 1.5
36%
Model /90
2.28
035%
129%
218%
310%
45%
52%
6+1%
M. Pubill Pagès
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
73
Proj.
1.31
O 1.5
38%
Model /90
1.62
030%
132%
221%
310%
44%
51%
6+0%
Daniel Parejo Muñoz
MID · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
57
Proj.
1.27
O 1.5
35%
Model /90
2.00
034%
131%
219%
310%
44%
52%
6+1%
José María Giménez de Vargas
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
74
Proj.
1.25
O 1.5
35%
Model /90
1.52
032%
133%
221%
310%
44%
51%
6+0%
Matteo Ruggeri
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
68
Proj.
1.21
O 1.5
34%
Model /90
1.60
033%
133%
220%
39%
43%
51%
6+0%
Renato Palma Veiga
DEF · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
77
Proj.
1.20
O 1.5
34%
Model /90
1.39
033%
133%
220%
39%
43%
51%
6+0%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 1.5	n	Distribution
Álvaro Santiago Mouriño GonzálezDEF	Villarreal	1.95	85provisional	1.85	55%	28	016% 129% 226% 316% 48% 53% 6+1%
Santiago Comesaña VeigaMID	Villarreal	1.94	72provisional	1.55	45%	69	025% 130% 223% 313% 46% 52% 6+1%
Marcos Llorente MorenoDEF	Atlético de Madrid	1.82	76provisional	1.53	45%	62	024% 131% 224% 313% 45% 52% 6+1%
Pau Navarro BadenesDEF	Villarreal	1.84	71provisional	1.45	42%	40	026% 132% 223% 312% 45% 52% 6+1%
Obed VargasMID	Atlético de Madrid	2.10	62provisional	1.44	41%	12	030% 130% 221% 312% 45% 52% 6+1%
Dávid HanckoDEF	Atlético de Madrid	1.59	81provisional	1.43	42%	30	026% 132% 223% 312% 45% 51% 6+1%
Jorge Resurrección MerodioMID	Atlético de Madrid	2.05	63provisional	1.43	41%	66	028% 131% 222% 312% 45% 52% 6+1%
Pablo Barrios RivasMID	Atlético de Madrid	1.73	74provisional	1.42	41%	54	026% 133% 223% 312% 44% 51% 6+0%
Sergi Cardona BermúdezDEF	Villarreal	1.71	74provisional	1.41	41%	66	028% 131% 222% 312% 45% 52% 6+1%
João Lucas de Souza CardosoMID	Atlético de Madrid	2.12	60provisional	1.40	40%	15	027% 133% 223% 311% 44% 51% 6+0%
Pape GueyeMID	Villarreal	1.81	68provisional	1.37	40%	64	029% 131% 222% 311% 44% 51% 6+1%
Clément LengletDEF	Atlético de Madrid	1.50	81provisional	1.36	39%	18	027% 134% 223% 311% 44% 51% 6+0%
Logan CostaDEF	Villarreal	1.57	77provisional	1.34	39%	34	029% 132% 222% 311% 44% 51% 6+0%
Juan Marcos FoythDEF	Villarreal	1.56	77provisional	1.33	39%	32	029% 133% 222% 311% 44% 51% 6+0%
Nahuel Molina LuceroDEF	Atlético de Madrid	2.28	52provisional	1.31	36%	56	035% 129% 218% 310% 45% 52% 6+1%
M. Pubill PagèsDEF	Atlético de Madrid	1.62	73provisional	1.31	38%	19	030% 132% 221% 310% 44% 51% 6+0%
Daniel Parejo MuñozMID	Villarreal	2.00	57provisional	1.27	35%	19	034% 131% 219% 310% 44% 52% 6+1%
José María Giménez de VargasDEF	Atlético de Madrid	1.52	74provisional	1.25	35%	43	032% 133% 221% 310% 44% 51% 6+0%
Matteo RuggeriDEF	Atlético de Madrid	1.60	68provisional	1.21	34%	26	033% 133% 220% 39% 43% 51% 6+0%
Renato Palma VeigaDEF	Villarreal	1.39	77provisional	1.20	34%	32	033% 133% 220% 39% 43% 51% 6+0%

20 of 41 players shown, ranked by projection.

Shots41 playersHighest: Julián Álvarez, 1.73 expectedshow

What drives it — The player’s own shot rate, shrunk toward others in his position, then adjusted for how many shots the opponent concedes. See what has actually happened.

Julián Álvarez
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
67
Proj.
1.73
O 1.5
48%
Model /90
2.32
023%
129%
222%
313%
47%
53%
6+2%
Antoine Griezmann
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
59
Proj.
1.56
O 1.5
43%
Model /90
2.40
029%
128%
220%
312%
46%
53%
6+2%
Alexander Sørloth
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
51
Proj.
1.56
O 1.5
42%
Model /90
2.78
029%
129%
219%
311%
46%
53%
6+2%
Alejandro Baena Rodríguez
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
58
Proj.
1.48
O 1.5
41%
Model /90
2.29
029%
130%
220%
311%
46%
52%
6+1%
Giuliano Simeone
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
64
Proj.
1.47
O 1.5
41%
Model /90
2.07
029%
131%
221%
311%
45%
52%
6+1%
Ademola Lookman
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
52
Proj.
1.42
O 1.5
39%
Model /90
2.47
030%
130%
220%
311%
45%
52%
6+1%
Georges Mikautadze
FWD · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
66
Proj.
1.30
O 1.5
36%
Model /90
1.77
034%
131%
219%
310%
44%
52%
6+1%
Thiago Ezequiel Almada
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
49
Proj.
1.29
O 1.5
35%
Model /90
2.38
035%
130%
218%
39%
44%
52%
6+1%
Alberto Moleiro González
FWD · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
67
Proj.
1.24
O 1.5
34%
Model /90
1.66
035%
131%
219%
39%
44%
51%
6+1%
Nicolas Pépé
FWD · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
61
Proj.
1.17
O 1.5
31%
Model /90
1.72
039%
130%
217%
38%
44%
51%
6+1%
Ayoze Pérez Gutiérrez
FWD · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
56
Proj.
1.14
O 1.5
31%
Model /90
1.82
039%
130%
217%
38%
44%
51%
6+1%
Gerard Moreno Balaguero
FWD · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
53
Proj.
1.08
O 1.5
29%
Model /90
1.83
040%
131%
217%
37%
43%
51%
6+1%
Pablo Barrios Rivas
MID · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
74
Proj.
0.96
O 1.5
25%
Model /90
1.17
041%
134%
216%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Tajon Buchanan
FWD · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
48
Proj.
0.90
O 1.5
23%
Model /90
1.70
047%
129%
214%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Ilias Akhomach Chakkour
FWD · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
39
Proj.
0.83
O 1.5
21%
Model /90
1.95
051%
128%
212%
35%
42%
51%
6+0%
Obed Vargas
MID · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
62
Proj.
0.81
O 1.5
20%
Model /90
1.18
049%
130%
213%
35%
42%
50%
6+0%
Pape Gueye
MID · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
68
Proj.
0.78
O 1.5
19%
Model /90
1.03
049%
131%
213%
34%
41%
5+0%
João Lucas de Souza Cardoso
MID · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
60
Proj.
0.77
O 1.5
19%
Model /90
1.16
049%
132%
213%
34%
41%
5+0%
Santiago Comesaña Veiga
MID · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
72
Proj.
0.76
O 1.5
19%
Model /90
0.95
050%
131%
213%
34%
41%
5+0%
Jorge Resurrección Merodio
MID · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
63
Proj.
0.74
O 1.5
18%
Model /90
1.06
051%
131%
212%
34%
41%
5+0%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 1.5	n	Distribution
Julián ÁlvarezFWD	Atlético de Madrid	2.32	67provisional	1.73	48%	66	023% 129% 222% 313% 47% 53% 6+2%
Antoine GriezmannFWD	Atlético de Madrid	2.40	59provisional	1.56	43%	24	029% 128% 220% 312% 46% 53% 6+2%
Alexander SørlothFWD	Atlético de Madrid	2.78	51provisional	1.56	42%	70	029% 129% 219% 311% 46% 53% 6+2%
Alejandro Baena RodríguezFWD	Atlético de Madrid	2.29	58provisional	1.48	41%	27	029% 130% 220% 311% 46% 52% 6+1%
Giuliano SimeoneFWD	Atlético de Madrid	2.07	64provisional	1.47	41%	64	029% 131% 221% 311% 45% 52% 6+1%
Ademola LookmanFWD	Atlético de Madrid	2.47	52provisional	1.42	39%	12	030% 130% 220% 311% 45% 52% 6+1%
Georges MikautadzeFWD	Villarreal	1.77	66provisional	1.30	36%	32	034% 131% 219% 310% 44% 52% 6+1%
Thiago Ezequiel AlmadaFWD	Atlético de Madrid	2.38	49provisional	1.29	35%	27	035% 130% 218% 39% 44% 52% 6+1%
Alberto Moleiro GonzálezFWD	Villarreal	1.66	67provisional	1.24	34%	37	035% 131% 219% 39% 44% 51% 6+1%
Nicolas PépéFWD	Villarreal	1.72	61provisional	1.17	31%	64	039% 130% 217% 38% 44% 51% 6+1%
Ayoze Pérez GutiérrezFWD	Villarreal	1.82	56provisional	1.14	31%	55	039% 130% 217% 38% 44% 51% 6+1%
Gerard Moreno BalagueroFWD	Villarreal	1.83	53provisional	1.08	29%	39	040% 131% 217% 37% 43% 51% 6+1%
Pablo Barrios RivasMID	Atlético de Madrid	1.17	74provisional	0.96	25%	54	041% 134% 216% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Tajon BuchananFWD	Villarreal	1.70	48provisional	0.90	23%	47	047% 129% 214% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Ilias Akhomach ChakkourFWD	Villarreal	1.95	39provisional	0.83	21%	20	051% 128% 212% 35% 42% 51% 6+0%
Obed VargasMID	Atlético de Madrid	1.18	62provisional	0.81	20%	12	049% 130% 213% 35% 42% 50% 6+0%
Pape GueyeMID	Villarreal	1.03	68provisional	0.78	19%	64	049% 131% 213% 34% 41% 5+0%
João Lucas de Souza CardosoMID	Atlético de Madrid	1.16	60provisional	0.77	19%	15	049% 132% 213% 34% 41% 5+0%
Santiago Comesaña VeigaMID	Villarreal	0.95	72provisional	0.76	19%	69	050% 131% 213% 34% 41% 5+0%
Jorge Resurrección MerodioMID	Atlético de Madrid	1.06	63provisional	0.74	18%	66	051% 131% 212% 34% 41% 5+0%

20 of 41 players shown, ranked by projection.

Shots on target41 playersHighest: Julián Álvarez, 0.86 expectedshow

What drives it — Shot volume first, conversion second — literally: the projection is the shots model thinned by the player’s own on-target rate, so a high-volume low-accuracy shooter and a sniper price differently at the same shot count. See what has actually happened.

Julián Álvarez
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
67
Proj.
0.86
O 0.5
54%
Model /90
1.15
046%
133%
215%
35%
42%
50%
6+0%
Alexander Sørloth
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
51
Proj.
0.77
O 0.5
49%
Model /90
1.37
051%
130%
212%
34%
41%
50%
6+0%
Antoine Griezmann
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
59
Proj.
0.65
O 0.5
45%
Model /90
1.00
055%
130%
211%
33%
41%
5+0%
Georges Mikautadze
FWD · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
66
Proj.
0.58
O 0.5
42%
Model /90
0.80
058%
129%
29%
33%
41%
5+0%
Giuliano Simeone
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
64
Proj.
0.54
O 0.5
40%
Model /90
0.77
060%
129%
29%
32%
4+0%
Thiago Ezequiel Almada
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
49
Proj.
0.53
O 0.5
39%
Model /90
0.99
061%
128%
28%
32%
40%
5+0%
Alberto Moleiro González
FWD · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
67
Proj.
0.51
O 0.5
38%
Model /90
0.68
062%
128%
28%
32%
4+0%
Alejandro Baena Rodríguez
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
58
Proj.
0.48
O 0.5
36%
Model /90
0.74
064%
127%
27%
32%
4+0%
Nicolas Pépé
FWD · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
61
Proj.
0.47
O 0.5
35%
Model /90
0.70
065%
126%
27%
32%
4+0%
Ademola Lookman
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
52
Proj.
0.47
O 0.5
36%
Model /90
0.82
064%
127%
27%
32%
4+0%
Ayoze Pérez Gutiérrez
FWD · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
56
Proj.
0.47
O 0.5
35%
Model /90
0.75
065%
126%
27%
32%
4+0%
Gerard Moreno Balaguero
FWD · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
53
Proj.
0.44
O 0.5
34%
Model /90
0.75
066%
126%
27%
31%
4+0%
Tajon Buchanan
FWD · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
48
Proj.
0.34
O 0.5
27%
Model /90
0.65
073%
121%
25%
31%
4+0%
Ilias Akhomach Chakkour
FWD · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
39
Proj.
0.31
O 0.5
25%
Model /90
0.72
075%
120%
24%
31%
4+0%
Tani Oluwaseyi
FWD · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
33
Proj.
0.28
O 0.5
22%
Model /90
0.76
078%
117%
24%
31%
4+0%
Pablo Barrios Rivas
MID · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
74
Proj.
0.27
O 0.5
23%
Model /90
0.33
077%
120%
23%
3+0%
Pape Gueye
MID · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
68
Proj.
0.24
O 0.5
21%
Model /90
0.31
079%
118%
23%
3+0%
Jorge Resurrección Merodio
MID · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
63
Proj.
0.23
O 0.5
20%
Model /90
0.33
080%
117%
22%
3+0%
João Lucas de Souza Cardoso
MID · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
60
Proj.
0.23
O 0.5
20%
Model /90
0.34
080%
117%
22%
3+0%
Obed Vargas
MID · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
62
Proj.
0.22
O 0.5
19%
Model /90
0.32
081%
117%
22%
3+0%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 0.5	n	Distribution
Julián ÁlvarezFWD	Atlético de Madrid	1.15	67provisional	0.86	54%	66	046% 133% 215% 35% 42% 50% 6+0%
Alexander SørlothFWD	Atlético de Madrid	1.37	51provisional	0.77	49%	70	051% 130% 212% 34% 41% 50% 6+0%
Antoine GriezmannFWD	Atlético de Madrid	1.00	59provisional	0.65	45%	24	055% 130% 211% 33% 41% 5+0%
Georges MikautadzeFWD	Villarreal	0.80	66provisional	0.58	42%	32	058% 129% 29% 33% 41% 5+0%
Giuliano SimeoneFWD	Atlético de Madrid	0.77	64provisional	0.54	40%	64	060% 129% 29% 32% 4+0%
Thiago Ezequiel AlmadaFWD	Atlético de Madrid	0.99	49provisional	0.53	39%	27	061% 128% 28% 32% 40% 5+0%
Alberto Moleiro GonzálezFWD	Villarreal	0.68	67provisional	0.51	38%	37	062% 128% 28% 32% 4+0%
Alejandro Baena RodríguezFWD	Atlético de Madrid	0.74	58provisional	0.48	36%	27	064% 127% 27% 32% 4+0%
Nicolas PépéFWD	Villarreal	0.70	61provisional	0.47	35%	64	065% 126% 27% 32% 4+0%
Ademola LookmanFWD	Atlético de Madrid	0.82	52provisional	0.47	36%	12	064% 127% 27% 32% 4+0%
Ayoze Pérez GutiérrezFWD	Villarreal	0.75	56provisional	0.47	35%	55	065% 126% 27% 32% 4+0%
Gerard Moreno BalagueroFWD	Villarreal	0.75	53provisional	0.44	34%	39	066% 126% 27% 31% 4+0%
Tajon BuchananFWD	Villarreal	0.65	48provisional	0.34	27%	47	073% 121% 25% 31% 4+0%
Ilias Akhomach ChakkourFWD	Villarreal	0.72	39provisional	0.31	25%	20	075% 120% 24% 31% 4+0%
Tani OluwaseyiFWD	Villarreal	0.76	33provisional	0.28	22%	27	078% 117% 24% 31% 4+0%
Pablo Barrios RivasMID	Atlético de Madrid	0.33	74provisional	0.27	23%	54	077% 120% 23% 3+0%
Pape GueyeMID	Villarreal	0.31	68provisional	0.24	21%	64	079% 118% 23% 3+0%
Jorge Resurrección MerodioMID	Atlético de Madrid	0.33	63provisional	0.23	20%	66	080% 117% 22% 3+0%
João Lucas de Souza CardosoMID	Atlético de Madrid	0.34	60provisional	0.23	20%	15	080% 117% 22% 3+0%
Obed VargasMID	Atlético de Madrid	0.32	62provisional	0.22	19%	12	081% 117% 22% 3+0%

20 of 41 players shown, ranked by projection.

Fouls won41 playersHighest: Georges Mikautadze, 1.16 expectedshow

What drives it — How much a player runs at defenders. Dribble volume drives this far more than the referee does. See what has actually happened.

Georges Mikautadze
FWD · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
66
Proj.
1.16
O 1.5
31%
Model /90
1.57
037%
131%
218%
38%
43%
51%
6+1%
Giuliano Simeone
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
64
Proj.
1.15
O 1.5
31%
Model /90
1.62
036%
132%
218%
38%
43%
51%
6+0%
Pape Gueye
MID · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
68
Proj.
1.12
O 1.5
30%
Model /90
1.47
038%
131%
218%
38%
43%
51%
6+0%
Alejandro Baena Rodríguez
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
58
Proj.
1.08
O 1.5
29%
Model /90
1.66
039%
132%
217%
38%
43%
51%
6+0%
Alberto Moleiro González
FWD · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
67
Proj.
1.01
O 1.5
27%
Model /90
1.35
041%
132%
216%
37%
42%
51%
6+0%
Antoine Griezmann
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
59
Proj.
0.98
O 1.5
26%
Model /90
1.51
043%
131%
216%
37%
42%
51%
6+0%
Pablo Barrios Rivas
MID · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
74
Proj.
0.97
O 1.5
25%
Model /90
1.18
041%
133%
216%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Ayoze Pérez Gutiérrez
FWD · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
56
Proj.
0.96
O 1.5
25%
Model /90
1.53
045%
130%
215%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Ademola Lookman
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
52
Proj.
0.94
O 1.5
25%
Model /90
1.63
043%
132%
216%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Nicolas Pépé
FWD · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
61
Proj.
0.94
O 1.5
25%
Model /90
1.39
045%
130%
215%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Julián Álvarez
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
67
Proj.
0.92
O 1.5
24%
Model /90
1.24
044%
133%
215%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Jorge Resurrección Merodio
MID · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
63
Proj.
0.92
O 1.5
24%
Model /90
1.31
045%
132%
215%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Tajon Buchanan
FWD · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
48
Proj.
0.89
O 1.5
23%
Model /90
1.67
048%
129%
214%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
João Lucas de Souza Cardoso
MID · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
60
Proj.
0.88
O 1.5
22%
Model /90
1.34
045%
133%
215%
35%
42%
50%
6+0%
Obed Vargas
MID · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
62
Proj.
0.88
O 1.5
23%
Model /90
1.29
047%
130%
214%
36%
42%
51%
6+0%
Santiago Comesaña Veiga
MID · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
72
Proj.
0.86
O 1.5
22%
Model /90
1.08
046%
132%
215%
35%
42%
50%
6+0%
Gerard Moreno Balaguero
FWD · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
53
Proj.
0.85
O 1.5
22%
Model /90
1.45
047%
131%
214%
35%
42%
51%
6+0%
Thiago Ezequiel Almada
FWD · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
49
Proj.
0.85
O 1.5
21%
Model /90
1.57
048%
131%
214%
35%
42%
51%
6+0%
Ilias Akhomach Chakkour
FWD · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
39
Proj.
0.84
O 1.5
21%
Model /90
1.96
051%
128%
213%
35%
42%
51%
6+0%
Daniel Parejo Muñoz
MID · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
57
Proj.
0.78
O 1.5
19%
Model /90
1.23
051%
130%
213%
35%
42%
50%
6+0%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 1.5	n	Distribution
Georges MikautadzeFWD	Villarreal	1.57	66provisional	1.16	31%	32	037% 131% 218% 38% 43% 51% 6+1%
Giuliano SimeoneFWD	Atlético de Madrid	1.62	64provisional	1.15	31%	64	036% 132% 218% 38% 43% 51% 6+0%
Pape GueyeMID	Villarreal	1.47	68provisional	1.12	30%	64	038% 131% 218% 38% 43% 51% 6+0%
Alejandro Baena RodríguezFWD	Atlético de Madrid	1.66	58provisional	1.08	29%	27	039% 132% 217% 38% 43% 51% 6+0%
Alberto Moleiro GonzálezFWD	Villarreal	1.35	67provisional	1.01	27%	37	041% 132% 216% 37% 42% 51% 6+0%
Antoine GriezmannFWD	Atlético de Madrid	1.51	59provisional	0.98	26%	24	043% 131% 216% 37% 42% 51% 6+0%
Pablo Barrios RivasMID	Atlético de Madrid	1.18	74provisional	0.97	25%	54	041% 133% 216% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Ayoze Pérez GutiérrezFWD	Villarreal	1.53	56provisional	0.96	25%	55	045% 130% 215% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Ademola LookmanFWD	Atlético de Madrid	1.63	52provisional	0.94	25%	12	043% 132% 216% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Nicolas PépéFWD	Villarreal	1.39	61provisional	0.94	25%	64	045% 130% 215% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Julián ÁlvarezFWD	Atlético de Madrid	1.24	67provisional	0.92	24%	66	044% 133% 215% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Jorge Resurrección MerodioMID	Atlético de Madrid	1.31	63provisional	0.92	24%	66	045% 132% 215% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Tajon BuchananFWD	Villarreal	1.67	48provisional	0.89	23%	47	048% 129% 214% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
João Lucas de Souza CardosoMID	Atlético de Madrid	1.34	60provisional	0.88	22%	15	045% 133% 215% 35% 42% 50% 6+0%
Obed VargasMID	Atlético de Madrid	1.29	62provisional	0.88	23%	12	047% 130% 214% 36% 42% 51% 6+0%
Santiago Comesaña VeigaMID	Villarreal	1.08	72provisional	0.86	22%	69	046% 132% 215% 35% 42% 50% 6+0%
Gerard Moreno BalagueroFWD	Villarreal	1.45	53provisional	0.85	22%	39	047% 131% 214% 35% 42% 51% 6+0%
Thiago Ezequiel AlmadaFWD	Atlético de Madrid	1.57	49provisional	0.85	21%	27	048% 131% 214% 35% 42% 51% 6+0%
Ilias Akhomach ChakkourFWD	Villarreal	1.96	39provisional	0.84	21%	20	051% 128% 213% 35% 42% 51% 6+0%
Daniel Parejo MuñozMID	Villarreal	1.23	57provisional	0.78	19%	19	051% 130% 213% 35% 42% 50% 6+0%

20 of 41 players shown, ranked by projection.

Cards41 playersHighest: Álvaro Santiago Mouriño González, 0.17 expectedshow

Known defect — Prices ANY card — yellow or straight red — matching how books settle "to be shown a card" (D-048). The trends column alongside counts yellows only.

What drives it — Fouls first, then how readily the referee reaches for a card. Two officials averaging four cards a match can do it for opposite reasons. See what has actually happened.

Álvaro Santiago Mouriño González
DEF · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
85
Proj.
0.17
O 0.5
16%
Model /90
0.18
084%
114%
2+1%
Clément Lenglet
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
81
Proj.
0.17
O 0.5
15%
Model /90
0.18
085%
114%
2+1%
Pape Gueye
MID · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
68
Proj.
0.16
O 0.5
14%
Model /90
0.21
086%
113%
2+1%
Jorge Resurrección Merodio
MID · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
63
Proj.
0.15
O 0.5
14%
Model /90
0.22
086%
113%
2+1%
Juan Marcos Foyth
DEF · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
77
Proj.
0.15
O 0.5
14%
Model /90
0.18
086%
113%
2+1%
Robin Aime Robert Le Normand
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
72
Proj.
0.15
O 0.5
14%
Model /90
0.19
086%
112%
2+1%
Renato Palma Veiga
DEF · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
77
Proj.
0.15
O 0.5
14%
Model /90
0.17
086%
112%
2+1%
Sergi Cardona Bermúdez
DEF · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
74
Proj.
0.15
O 0.5
14%
Model /90
0.18
086%
112%
2+1%
João Lucas de Souza Cardoso
MID · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
60
Proj.
0.15
O 0.5
14%
Model /90
0.22
086%
112%
2+1%
Santiago Comesaña Veiga
MID · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
72
Proj.
0.14
O 0.5
13%
Model /90
0.18
087%
112%
2+1%
Obed Vargas
MID · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
62
Proj.
0.14
O 0.5
13%
Model /90
0.20
087%
112%
2+1%
Pablo Barrios Rivas
MID · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
74
Proj.
0.13
O 0.5
12%
Model /90
0.16
088%
112%
2+1%
Dávid Hancko
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
81
Proj.
0.13
O 0.5
12%
Model /90
0.15
088%
111%
2+1%
Matteo Ruggeri
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
68
Proj.
0.13
O 0.5
12%
Model /90
0.18
088%
111%
2+1%
M. Pubill Pagès
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
73
Proj.
0.13
O 0.5
12%
Model /90
0.16
088%
111%
2+1%
José María Giménez de Vargas
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
74
Proj.
0.13
O 0.5
12%
Model /90
0.16
088%
111%
2+1%
Daniel Parejo Muñoz
MID · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
57
Proj.
0.13
O 0.5
12%
Model /90
0.21
088%
111%
2+1%
Marcos Llorente Moreno
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
76
Proj.
0.13
O 0.5
12%
Model /90
0.15
088%
111%
2+1%
Logan Costa
DEF · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
77
Proj.
0.13
O 0.5
12%
Model /90
0.15
088%
111%
2+1%
Pau Navarro Badenes
DEF · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
71
Proj.
0.13
O 0.5
12%
Model /90
0.16
088%
111%
2+1%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 0.5	n	Distribution
Álvaro Santiago Mouriño GonzálezDEF	Villarreal	0.18	85provisional	0.17	16%	28	084% 114% 2+1%
Clément LengletDEF	Atlético de Madrid	0.18	81provisional	0.17	15%	18	085% 114% 2+1%
Pape GueyeMID	Villarreal	0.21	68provisional	0.16	14%	64	086% 113% 2+1%
Jorge Resurrección MerodioMID	Atlético de Madrid	0.22	63provisional	0.15	14%	66	086% 113% 2+1%
Juan Marcos FoythDEF	Villarreal	0.18	77provisional	0.15	14%	32	086% 113% 2+1%
Robin Aime Robert Le NormandDEF	Atlético de Madrid	0.19	72provisional	0.15	14%	55	086% 112% 2+1%
Renato Palma VeigaDEF	Villarreal	0.17	77provisional	0.15	14%	32	086% 112% 2+1%
Sergi Cardona BermúdezDEF	Villarreal	0.18	74provisional	0.15	14%	66	086% 112% 2+1%
João Lucas de Souza CardosoMID	Atlético de Madrid	0.22	60provisional	0.15	14%	15	086% 112% 2+1%
Santiago Comesaña VeigaMID	Villarreal	0.18	72provisional	0.14	13%	69	087% 112% 2+1%
Obed VargasMID	Atlético de Madrid	0.20	62provisional	0.14	13%	12	087% 112% 2+1%
Pablo Barrios RivasMID	Atlético de Madrid	0.16	74provisional	0.13	12%	54	088% 112% 2+1%
Dávid HanckoDEF	Atlético de Madrid	0.15	81provisional	0.13	12%	30	088% 111% 2+1%
Matteo RuggeriDEF	Atlético de Madrid	0.18	68provisional	0.13	12%	26	088% 111% 2+1%
M. Pubill PagèsDEF	Atlético de Madrid	0.16	73provisional	0.13	12%	19	088% 111% 2+1%
José María Giménez de VargasDEF	Atlético de Madrid	0.16	74provisional	0.13	12%	43	088% 111% 2+1%
Daniel Parejo MuñozMID	Villarreal	0.21	57provisional	0.13	12%	19	088% 111% 2+1%
Marcos Llorente MorenoDEF	Atlético de Madrid	0.15	76provisional	0.13	12%	62	088% 111% 2+1%
Logan CostaDEF	Villarreal	0.15	77provisional	0.13	12%	34	088% 111% 2+1%
Pau Navarro BadenesDEF	Villarreal	0.16	71provisional	0.13	12%	40	088% 111% 2+1%

20 of 41 players shown, ranked by projection.

Saves41 playersHighest: Arnau Tenas Ureña, 3.15 expectedshow

What drives it — Opponent shot volume. A keeper’s own record carries so little that this market shrinks harder than any other on the board. See what has actually happened.

Arnau Tenas Ureña
GK · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
90
Proj.
3.15
O 2.5
58%
Model /90
3.15
06%
115%
221%
320%
416%
510%
6+12%
Luiz Lúcio Reis Júnior
GK · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
88
Proj.
3.05
O 2.5
56%
Model /90
3.10
07%
116%
221%
320%
415%
510%
6+11%
Juan Agustín Musso
GK · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
90
Proj.
2.46
O 2.5
44%
Model /90
2.46
011%
122%
224%
319%
412%
57%
6+5%
Jan Oblak
GK · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
90
Proj.
2.31
O 2.5
40%
Model /90
2.31
012%
123%
225%
319%
411%
56%
6+4%
Álvaro Santiago Mouriño González
DEF · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
85
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Renato Palma Veiga
DEF · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
77
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Logan Costa
DEF · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
77
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Juan Marcos Foyth
DEF · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
77
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Sergi Cardona Bermúdez
DEF · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
74
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Santiago Comesaña Veiga
MID · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
72
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Pau Navarro Badenes
DEF · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
71
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Alberto Moleiro González
FWD · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
67
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Pape Gueye
MID · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
68
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Georges Mikautadze
FWD · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
66
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Nicolas Pépé
FWD · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
61
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Daniel Parejo Muñoz
MID · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
57
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Willy Kambwala
DEF · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
57
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Clément Lenglet
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
81
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Ayoze Pérez Gutiérrez
FWD · Villarreal
provisional
Mins
56
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%
Dávid Hancko
DEF · Atlético de Madrid
provisional
Mins
81
Proj.
0.00
O 2.5
—
Model /90
0.00
0100%
1+0%

Player	Team	Model /90	Exp. mins	Projected	Over 2.5	n	Distribution
Arnau Tenas UreñaGK	Villarreal	3.15	90provisional	3.15	58%	10	06% 115% 221% 320% 416% 510% 6+12%
Luiz Lúcio Reis JúniorGK	Villarreal	3.10	88provisional	3.05	56%	45	07% 116% 221% 320% 415% 510% 6+11%
Juan Agustín MussoGK	Atlético de Madrid	2.46	90provisional	2.46	44%	10	011% 122% 224% 319% 412% 57% 6+5%
Jan OblakGK	Atlético de Madrid	2.31	90provisional	2.31	40%	66	012% 123% 225% 319% 411% 56% 6+4%
Álvaro Santiago Mouriño GonzálezDEF	Villarreal	0.00	85provisional	0.00	—	28	0100% 1+0%
Renato Palma VeigaDEF	Villarreal	0.00	77provisional	0.00	—	32	0100% 1+0%
Logan CostaDEF	Villarreal	0.00	77provisional	0.00	—	34	0100% 1+0%
Juan Marcos FoythDEF	Villarreal	0.00	77provisional	0.00	—	32	0100% 1+0%
Sergi Cardona BermúdezDEF	Villarreal	0.00	74provisional	0.00	—	66	0100% 1+0%
Santiago Comesaña VeigaMID	Villarreal	0.00	72provisional	0.00	—	69	0100% 1+0%
Pau Navarro BadenesDEF	Villarreal	0.00	71provisional	0.00	—	40	0100% 1+0%
Alberto Moleiro GonzálezFWD	Villarreal	0.00	67provisional	0.00	—	37	0100% 1+0%
Pape GueyeMID	Villarreal	0.00	68provisional	0.00	—	64	0100% 1+0%
Georges MikautadzeFWD	Villarreal	0.00	66provisional	0.00	—	32	0100% 1+0%
Nicolas PépéFWD	Villarreal	0.00	61provisional	0.00	—	64	0100% 1+0%
Daniel Parejo MuñozMID	Villarreal	0.00	57provisional	0.00	—	19	0100% 1+0%
Willy KambwalaDEF	Villarreal	0.00	57provisional	0.00	—	21	0100% 1+0%
Clément LengletDEF	Atlético de Madrid	0.00	81provisional	0.00	—	18	0100% 1+0%
Ayoze Pérez GutiérrezFWD	Villarreal	0.00	56provisional	0.00	—	55	0100% 1+0%
Dávid HanckoDEF	Atlético de Madrid	0.00	81provisional	0.00	—	30	0100% 1+0%

20 of 41 players shown, ranked by projection.