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Fixtures

1 fixture · Friday 14 August · best price from every bookmaker · main books only

Stale odds

Prices were last checked 119 minutes ago, which is beyond the 75-minute limit for the current sweep cadence. Treat every price below as out of date.

Value board is live

11 published edges on upcoming fixtures — each one a live bookmaker price the model prices above its threshold, with the fair price and stake maths shown. See the board →

On a run in these fixtures

Cleared their line in all 5 of their last 5, in the matches below

Every run

Read this carefully — a run of 5 is 5 matches, which is a small sample and not a trend in the statistical sense. These are not selections and nothing here has been compared to a bookmaker price — a run is a pattern, not an edge. The strip is shown (hover any match for the opponent and minutes behind it) so the run can be judged rather than taken on the percentage.

Championship

England1 fixture · 2 edgesshow

Model · most fouls

The player the model expects to commit the most fouls in that fixture, and how many. An expected count over his expected minutes — not a price, not a selection. Open any fixture for all seven markets with the full distribution behind each number.

Best price

The highest decimal price across the books shown, per outcome, with the book beneath it. Always the latest price from each book, never a stale high one from a book that has since moved.

Form and H2H

Last five results per side, and the last five meetings read from the home team's point of view so the strip agrees with the row it sits on.